Houston Christian
Southland
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#263
Expected Predictive Rating-6.0#256
Pace62.8#338
Improvement+1.2#95

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#192
First Shot+1.7#132
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#330
Layup/Dunks+3.1#80
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#279
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#143
Freethrows-0.8#226
Improvement+3.4#8

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#323
First Shot-6.3#349
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#73
Layups/Dunks-4.0#310
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#105
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.2#353
Freethrows+2.9#35
Improvement-2.2#336
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 2.1% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.9 15.1
.500 or above 22.2% 28.7% 11.4%
.500 or above in Conference 41.6% 51.0% 26.0%
Conference Champion 1.4% 1.9% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 10.8% 5.5% 19.6%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round1.5% 2.0% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: SE Louisiana (Home) - 62.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 62 - 10
Quad 410 - 712 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 101 @UC San Diego L 60-78 11%     0 - 1 -10.3 -10.3 -0.1
  Thu, Nov 13 357 Louisiana Monroe W 72-61 86%     1 - 1 -6.4 -9.2 +2.8
  Tue, Nov 25 295 Bellarmine L 69-74 57%     1 - 2 -12.3 -0.8 -12.3
  Wed, Nov 26 361 @The Citadel W 72-65 73%     2 - 2 -5.1 +4.6 -8.4
  Sat, Nov 29 234 @Georgia Southern L 62-80 34%     2 - 3 -19.2 -9.2 -10.8
  Tue, Dec 2 146 @North Texas L 75-77 19%     2 - 4 +1.7 +16.4 -14.9
  Sat, Dec 6 241 @New Orleans W 85-76 35%     3 - 4 1 - 0 +7.5 +15.3 -7.3
  Sat, Dec 13 273 SE Louisiana W 70-67 62%    
  Mon, Dec 15 73 McNeese St. L 65-75 17%    
  Wed, Dec 17 254 @Nicholls St. L 69-72 38%    
  Mon, Dec 29 3 @Iowa St. L 57-88 0.3%   
  Sat, Jan 3 183 @Incarnate Word L 67-74 26%    
  Mon, Jan 5 208 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 69-68 52%    
  Sat, Jan 10 140 @Stephen F. Austin L 65-75 18%    
  Mon, Jan 12 220 @Lamar L 63-68 33%    
  Sat, Jan 17 302 East Texas A&M W 73-68 68%    
  Mon, Jan 19 283 Northwestern St. W 72-68 64%    
  Sat, Jan 24 206 UT Rio Grande Valley W 72-71 52%    
  Mon, Jan 26 183 Incarnate Word L 70-71 47%    
  Sat, Jan 31 208 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 66-71 32%    
  Mon, Feb 2 206 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 69-74 31%    
  Sat, Feb 7 273 @SE Louisiana L 67-70 41%    
  Mon, Feb 9 73 @McNeese St. L 62-78 7%    
  Sat, Feb 14 241 New Orleans W 75-73 57%    
  Mon, Feb 16 254 Nicholls St. W 72-69 60%    
  Sat, Feb 21 283 @Northwestern St. L 69-71 44%    
  Mon, Feb 23 302 @East Texas A&M L 70-71 48%    
  Sat, Feb 28 140 Stephen F. Austin L 68-72 37%    
  Mon, Mar 2 220 Lamar W 66-65 53%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 10 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.8 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 2.4 2.7 1.6 0.4 0.1 8.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 3.5 3.3 1.4 0.2 0.0 9.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.8 3.9 1.3 0.2 10.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.6 4.5 1.5 0.2 0.0 10.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.2 5.4 1.8 0.2 0.0 10.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.9 2.3 0.2 0.0 10.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.4 2.7 0.4 0.0 9.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.0 3.0 0.4 0.0 9.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 1.9 3.3 2.3 0.6 0.0 8.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.6 2.1 1.2 0.3 0.0 6.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.2 4.2 6.4 8.9 10.9 11.9 12.5 11.4 9.9 7.5 5.4 3.7 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
20-2 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
19-3 87.5% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
18-4 65.1% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
17-5 38.5% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
16-6 15.8% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
15-7 4.1% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
14-8 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0% 0.0    0.0
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
20-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-3 0.2% 21.4% 21.4% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-4 0.4% 18.3% 18.3% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
17-5 1.0% 15.5% 15.5% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
16-6 1.9% 12.2% 12.2% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.7
15-7 3.7% 8.5% 8.5% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 3.4
14-8 5.4% 4.6% 4.6% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 5.2
13-9 7.5% 2.4% 2.4% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.3
12-10 9.9% 1.6% 1.6% 15.5 0.1 0.1 9.7
11-11 11.4% 0.9% 0.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 11.3
10-12 12.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.5
9-13 11.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.9
8-14 10.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.9
7-15 8.9% 8.9
6-16 6.4% 6.4
5-17 4.2% 4.2
4-18 2.2% 2.2
3-19 1.1% 1.1
2-20 0.2% 0.2
1-21 0.0% 0.0
0-22
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.4 98.4 0.0%