Houston Christian
Southland
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -7.5 290
Results Rating -7.2 284
Consistency 0.14 100
Pace 62.2 335
Improvement +1.7 124

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 289 D+ D C- D C
Defense D+ 265 D D C+ C+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 138 C- 56% 233 +0.0 181
2 Pt. Jumpers 43% 113 D+ 35% 285 -0.1 183
Three Pointers 38% 249 D 31% 295 -3.2 286
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 203 D+ -3.1 291
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.95 282
Second Chance C- 28.0% 246 D- 0.90 340 D 0.25 311
Opponents' Steals C 9.4% 177
Other Turnovers D 8.3% 308
Turnovers C- 17.7% 252
Freethrows D+ 0.28 271 D 69% 312 D 0.19 302
Total Offense D+ -4.4 289

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B 56% 68 D+ 12.6% 280
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 29% 120 C 5.1% 193
Three Pointers C 83% 205 B+ 0.2% 21
Total C+ 58% 111 D+ 6.2% 260


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 54 D- 64% 334 +5.6 347
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 293 C+ 37% 126 -1.6 60
Three Pointers 39% 224 D+ 36% 260 +0.3 198
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.8 325 D +3.4 312
1st FG Attempt D 1.11 325
Second Chance D+ 33.0% 292 D 1.12 304 D 0.37 313
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.3% 118
Other Turnovers C 7.3% 158
Turnovers C+ 17.6% 114
Freethrows C+ 0.29 150 C- 73% 224 C+ 0.21 150
Total Defense D+ -3.1 265

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 308 C 10.9% 176
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 202 C 5.3% 133
Three Pointers D 88% 301 B 1.5% 61
Total D+ 61% 296 C+ 6.3% 127

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.1 337 17.3 180
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 276 0.18 235
Consistency 0.16 359 0.12 155
Improvement -2.8 309 +4.5 16

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 290 290 290
Results Rating Rank 284 284 283
Conference Record 8 - 14 8 - 14 8 - 14
Conference Finish 7 7 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 31 - 51 - 11
Quad 49 - 910 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 137 @UC San Diego L 60 - 78 13% -13  17% 0 - 1 D- -14 F+ -10 C+ F F D+ -4 F C- C+
 Thu, Nov 13 353 Louisiana Monroe W 72 - 61 83% -3  32% 1 - 1 D+ -7 F -14 F F C+ A- +7 D+ A+ A
 Tue, Nov 25 282 Bellarmine L 69 - 74 49% +1  48% 1 - 2 D- -12 D- -8 F B+ B D -5 F A+ B
 Wed, Nov 26 341 @The Citadel W 72 - 65 58% +6  96% 2 - 2 C- -3 B- +4 B- B- D D -6 C- F D
 Sat, Nov 29 230 @Georgia Southern L 62 - 80 27% -6  6% 2 - 3 F -19 F -14 F+ F F+ D -6 F+ D- F+
 Tue, Dec 2 135 @North Texas L 75 - 77 13% -1  35% 2 - 4 C+ +3 A+ +16 A+ F A+ F -14 F F+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 201 @New Orleans W 85 - 76 21% +4  77% 3 - 4 1 - 0 B +10 A +14 C+ B+ A+ D+ -4 F+ B+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 286 SE Louisiana L 71 - 74 OT 61% -3  4% 3 - 5 1 - 1 D- -13 D- -7 C- D F+ D- -7 D D+ C+
 Mon, Dec 15 80 McNeese St. L 68 - 78 13% +1  56% 3 - 6 1 - 2 D+ -6 B +7 D B+ A+ F -14 F F C
 Wed, Dec 17 241 @Nicholls St. L 64 - 79 29% -11  0% 3 - 7 1 - 3 F+ -17 F -11 D+ F+ F D -6 D- D F
 Mon, Dec 29 6 @Iowa St. L 61 - 89 1% -12  2% 3 - 8 C- -2 C+ +3 B F+ B D- -7 A+ F C-
 Sat, Jan 3 267 @Incarnate Word L 56 - 73 33% -9  0% 3 - 9 1 - 4 F -20 F -21 F F F C +0 D+ B+ F+
 Mon, Jan 5 177 TX A&M Corpus Christi L 65 - 81 37% -8  10% 3 - 10 1 - 5 F -20 F+ -9 F+ B- F F -11 F+ F D
 Sat, Jan 10 106 @Stephen F. Austin L 67 - 85 9% -15  0% 3 - 11 1 - 6 D -11 B- +4 B+ D+ F F -17 F F D-
 Mon, Jan 12 238 @Lamar L 56 - 64 29% +1  59% 3 - 12 1 - 7 D -10 F -11 F D- D+ C+ +1 F B A+
 Sat, Jan 17 302 East Texas A&M W 81 - 70 66% -3  25% 4 - 12 2 - 7 C -1 B- +4 C+ C F+ D+ -4 F B B+
 Mon, Jan 19 279 Northwestern St. W 82 - 80 59% -4  4% 5 - 12 3 - 7 D+ -8 A+ +25 A+ A+ C- F -32 F F D
 Sat, Jan 24 134 UT Rio Grande Valley L 51 - 68 28% -8  10% 5 - 13 3 - 8 F -18 F -17 C D- F D+ -4 F A+ C+
 Tue, Jan 27 267 Incarnate Word W 81 - 75 55% -6  21% 6 - 13 4 - 8 C- -3 D+ -4 F A F+ C+ +1 F+ C A+
 Sat, Jan 31 177 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 71 - 73 19% -0  45% 6 - 14 4 - 9 C -0 A- +10 A+ F C F -10 F A C
 Mon, Feb 2 134 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 57 - 74 13% -15  0% 6 - 15 4 - 10 D- -12 D- -8 F+ F A+ D -6 B- F A
 Sat, Feb 7 286 @SE Louisiana L 47 - 55 38% -6  1% 6 - 16 4 - 11 D- -12 F -16 F F D B- +2 F+ D+ A+
 Mon, Feb 9 80 @McNeese St. L 69 - 73 6% -5  4% 6 - 17 4 - 12 B- +6 C+ +2 D+ D+ B B +4 F+ A- B+
 Sat, Feb 14 201 New Orleans W 61 - 60 41% +1  45% 7 - 17 5 - 12 C- -4 F -10 D C- F B+ +6 A- C- D-
 Mon, Feb 16 241 Nicholls St. W 72 - 68 51% +5  77% 8 - 17 6 - 12 C- -4 D+ -4 F C A+ C+ +0 A F D+
 Sat, Feb 21 279 @Northwestern St. L 53 - 71 36% -10  10% 8 - 18 6 - 13 F -22 F -17 F D F D- -7 C- F F
 Mon, Feb 23 302 @East Texas A&M W 69 - 68 43% +8  83% 9 - 18 7 - 13 C- -5 C- -1 F+ B C D+ -4 C+ F A+
 Sat, Feb 28 106 Stephen F. Austin L 56 - 77 20% -18  0% 9 - 19 7 - 14 F -20 F -12 F B+ B- F -11 D+ F B-
 Mon, Mar 2 238 Lamar W 75 - 53 51% +8  80% 10 - 19 8 - 14 B+ +14 C +1 B D- F+ A+ +14 A+ C- A-
 Sun, Mar 8 201 New Orleans L 60 - 73 30% -6  16% 10 - 20 F+ -15 F -18 C- F D+ B- +3 B- B- C+
Totals 10 - 20 8 - 14 -8 D+ -4 F D+ C D+ -3 D D D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C- D+ D D+ 40% 43% 38% C D+ C- D- D C- D+ D D D+ D- C+ D+ D 43% 17% 39% D D D+ D D C+ C+ C- C+
1.02 56% 35% 31% -3 0 0.95 28% 0.9 .25 18% .28 69% .19 1.13 64% 37% 36% +3 +1 1.11 33% 1.1 .37 18% .29 73% .20
Nov
8		 UC San Diego F+ B+ F C- C+ 34% 22% 44% C- C+ F F F F C+ F F D+ D- C F F 36% 16% 48% B- F C- C- C- C+ B F C+
0.86 65% 27% 32% -2 0 0.98 19% 0.9 .16 23% .26 36% .09 1.12 67% 38% 42% +9 0 1.20 27% 1.0 .27 17% .23 77% .17
Nov
13		 Louisiana Monroe F D F+ D F 45% 11% 45% B F F+ F F C+ F A+ D- A- C+ C C+ C- 43% 15% 42% F+ D+ A+ C+ A+ A A+ F A+
1.03 56% 33% 32% -3 +2 1.00 28% 0.9 .25 14% .17 80% .13 0.87 52% 38% 32% -4 +1 0.96 12% 1.0 .12 21% .13 86% .11
Nov
25		 Bellarmine D- A- F C F 32% 25% 43% D F D- A+ B+ B A+ F F D F A+ F+ F 45% 19% 36% B F A+ A+ A+ B F F F
1.13 71% 18% 37% +1 -1 1.02 29% 1.7 .50 13% .45 38% .17 1.21 89% 25% 40% +15 +1 1.33 6% 0.0 .00 18% .40 90% .36
Nov
26		 The Citadel B- A+ A D B- 38% 13% 49% C B- C+ B- B- D C- F D D C- A+ F+ D+ 30% 15% 55% C C- F+ F F D B F D+
1.23 82% 50% 32% +9 +1 1.22 35% 1.1 .38 17% .27 62% .16 1.11 57% 0% 38% -2 0 0.98 32% 1.2 .39 15% .22 91% .20
Nov
29		 Georgia Southern F D F F F 52% 9% 39% A- F+ D- F F F+ F F F D D+ A+ F F+ 46% 9% 44% D- F+ D- C- D- F+ C+ A+ A
0.93 54% 25% 28% -7 +3 0.93 30% 0.8 .24 22% .29 67% .19 1.20 60% 20% 42% +4 +2 1.15 32% 1.1 .35 12% .31 56% .17
Dec
2		 North Texas A+ A C+ A+ A+ 39% 18% 43% B- A+ F F F A+ A+ F A F D- A+ F F 61% 5% 34% F F C- F F+ A+ D- A+ A-
1.21 71% 38% 42% +10 0 1.23 21% 0.3 .06 6% .55 59% .33 1.24 64% 0% 64% +17 +4 1.44 35% 1.2 .42 24% .40 47% .19
Dec
6		 New Orleans A C- B- B- C+ 46% 19% 35% C+ C+ C+ A B+ A+ A+ B A+ D+ C- A+ F D- 44% 12% 44% F F+ A- C B+ F C+ A+ B+
1.29 55% 44% 35% 0 +1 1.04 36% 1.3 .45 8% .49 77% .38 1.15 59% 17% 41% +2 +2 1.10 29% 1.0 .29 14% .35 65% .23
Dec
13		 SE Louisiana D- C- F C+ D 48% 12% 40% A C- B- F D F+ D F F+ D- C B- C- D 39% 24% 37% C- D D+ D+ D+ C+ F D- F
1.01 58% 17% 35% -2 +2 1.02 34% 0.8 .29 23% .33 67% .22 1.05 58% 33% 33% -2 0 0.98 30% 1.0 .30 19% .44 72% .31
Dec
15		 McNeese St. B F F A+ D+ 27% 27% 47% F+ D C A+ B+ A+ D A C- F F D- A+ F 46% 19% 35% C- F B F F C A+ D A+
1.13 42% 17% 43% -4 -2 0.91 34% 1.3 .46 17% .34 82% .28 1.30 86% 44% 24% +9 +1 1.21 30% 2.1 .65 13% .17 78% .13
Dec
17		 Nicholls St. F C B F D- 62% 17% 21% B+ D+ F A+ F+ F A+ F B+ D F F B+ D- 39% 19% 42% C+ D- C F D F A+ F+ A-
0.93 62% 43% 22% -1 +2 1.05 19% 1.4 .27 26% .49 64% .31 1.14 68% 45% 29% +2 0 1.07 26% 1.2 .31 10% .18 73% .13
Dec
29		 Iowa St. C+ A+ C+ D A 19% 45% 36% F B F A+ F+ B A A+ A+ D- F A+ A+ A+ 41% 25% 34% B+ A+ F F F C- F D+ F
0.92 89% 38% 29% +3 -4 1.00 10% 1.3 .13 21% .32 82% .27 1.34 83% 9% 27% -1 0 1.00 53% 1.4 .75 14% .66 71% .47
Jan
3		 Incarnate Word F F F F F 53% 19% 28% C+ F C F F F F F F C F+ F+ A C- 36% 20% 45% D+ D+ A C- B+ F+ A- D B
0.84 50% 30% 27% -9 +1 0.87 32% 0.3 .10 21% .21 55% .11 1.09 65% 45% 28% 0 0 1.02 24% 1.0 .24 12% .20 75% .15
Jan
5		 TX A&M Corpus Christi F+ B F+ F F+ 35% 20% 45% D+ F+ B- C B- F D B- D+ F D- F B F 46% 23% 31% C F+ F C- F D A- F+ B-
0.94 65% 30% 23% -7 0 0.88 32% 1.0 .32 25% .36 74% .27 1.17 63% 50% 31% +4 0 1.10 45% 1.0 .45 16% .26 73% .19
Jan
10		 Stephen F. Austin B- A C+ D+ B+ 45% 17% 38% B B+ C F D+ F A A A+ F F F C+ D- 40% 8% 52% F F F B+ F D- C+ F D+
1.07 68% 43% 31% +4 +1 1.12 30% 0.9 .26 22% .35 82% .29 1.36 67% 50% 33% +4 +2 1.13 49% 0.9 .43 10% .21 83% .18
Jan
12		 Lamar F F+ F F F 43% 21% 36% C F B F D- D+ A- C- B+ C+ D B+ F+ F+ 36% 21% 43% F F B+ B- B A+ F D F
0.90 50% 22% 27% -11 0 0.81 36% 0.6 .23 19% .46 70% .32 1.03 60% 33% 39% +3 0 1.07 29% 0.9 .25 26% .50 74% .37
Jan
17		 East Texas A&M B- D- D A+ C+ 43% 13% 43% C+ C+ B- C- C F+ A+ D- A+ D+ F+ A- F F 38% 15% 48% D+ F F+ A+ B B+ D- A+ C+
1.18 50% 33% 45% +3 +1 1.11 35% 1.1 .38 20% .55 67% .37 1.02 67% 29% 39% +6 +1 1.15 30% 0.6 .18 20% .29 50% .15
Jan
19		 Northwestern St. A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 41% 13% 46% B- A+ A+ A+ A+ C- A+ C+ A+ F F+ F D- F 46% 15% 39% F F F F F D F D- F
1.48 56% 60% 56% +17 +1 1.38 50% 1.4 .68 18% .48 73% .35 1.44 63% 67% 38% +9 +1 1.22 48% 1.3 .61 14% .51 79% .40
Jan
24		 UT Rio Grande Valley F D B- B+ C+ 37% 24% 39% C- C C F D- F F F F D+ F+ A+ F F 58% 4% 38% F F A A+ A+ C+ A+ F A+
0.84 53% 40% 38% +1 -1 1.02 32% 0.6 .18 31% .19 63% .12 1.12 68% 0% 44% +10 +4 1.29 20% 0.4 .08 18% .08 100% .08
Jan
27		 Incarnate Word D+ D- F F F 61% 15% 24% B+ F A+ C- A F+ A+ A- A+ C+ A+ F F F+ 39% 18% 43% D F+ F A+ C A+ F A+ F+
1.12 54% 29% 27% -7 +2 0.93 45% 1.1 .48 19% .64 78% .50 1.04 37% 56% 48% +4 0 1.10 41% 0.7 .30 28% .42 59% .25
Jan
31		 TX A&M Corpus Christi A- C C+ A+ A+ 29% 24% 46% F+ A+ B+ F F C C A+ A- F F A+ D- F 60% 13% 28% F F F A+ A C F C F
1.17 58% 40% 53% +14 -1 1.27 34% 0.2 .07 20% .41 85% .35 1.20 71% 17% 38% +7 +3 1.21 37% 0.5 .19 18% .42 67% .28
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
2		 UT Rio Grande Valley D- F B- D+ F+ 42% 20% 38% C+ F+ D+ F F A+ F A- F D A- A+ D+ B+ 41% 9% 50% F+ B- F F F A F F F
0.92 43% 40% 32% -7 0 0.88 29% 0.3 .10 11% .24 77% .18 1.20 50% 25% 36% -3 +2 1.00 47% 1.3 .59 23% .38 94% .36
Feb
7		 SE Louisiana F F+ F F F 46% 23% 31% B- F B+ F F D C- C C- B- D- F C+ F 34% 27% 39% C+ F+ F B+ D+ A+ A+ A+ A+
0.83 50% 11% 25% -14 0 0.74 37% 0.5 .17 21% .36 75% .27 0.97 64% 45% 31% +2 -1 1.05 37% 0.8 .30 28% .17 57% .10
Feb
9		 McNeese St. C+ C A- F D+ 40% 23% 36% C- D+ D B- D+ B D+ A+ B B D+ F B F+ 60% 19% 21% F+ F+ A+ F+ A- B+ C B C+
1.02 58% 45% 24% -4 0 0.94 29% 1.1 .32 22% .36 89% .32 1.08 62% 56% 30% +4 +2 1.15 22% 1.2 .26 16% .30 71% .21
Feb
14		 New Orleans F B- A F D+ 33% 26% 41% D- D F+ A C- F F C- F+ B+ C+ B- A+ A 54% 29% 17% D+ A- C- C C- D- B+ A+ A+
0.98 60% 50% 21% -4 -1 0.91 27% 1.2 .33 19% .28 71% .20 0.97 54% 36% 13% -8 0 0.85 36% 1.0 .36 16% .31 56% .17
Feb
16		 Nicholls St. D+ D+ D+ F F 39% 35% 27% F F F A+ C A+ A D- B+ C+ A+ F A+ A+ 43% 24% 33% B- A B+ F F D+ F D- F
1.07 58% 35% 23% -5 -2 0.88 25% 1.4 .36 10% .43 73% .31 1.01 43% 50% 19% -11 0 0.80 22% 1.8 .38 15% .42 71% .30
Feb
21		 Northwestern St. F F D+ D F 39% 25% 36% D F F B D F F D- F D- D+ D+ A+ C- 40% 35% 25% B C- C+ F F F D+ D- D
0.84 35% 36% 31% -11 -1 0.80 24% 1.2 .30 22% .24 67% .16 1.12 58% 41% 25% -2 -2 0.94 23% 1.6 .37 11% .34 79% .27
Feb
23		 East Texas A&M C- C D F F 43% 18% 39% C- F+ A- D+ B C D D- D D+ C+ B- A- B- 40% 15% 45% D+ C+ F F F A+ F F F
1.08 57% 33% 26% -6 +1 0.92 41% 1.1 .43 17% .28 67% .19 1.06 56% 33% 28% -6 +1 0.93 34% 1.8 .62 23% .35 76% .26
Feb
28		 Stephen F. Austin F C B F F 44% 23% 33% C F C- A+ B+ B- C- F D F D- B C C- 33% 19% 48% D- D+ F+ F F B- D F F+
0.89 57% 45% 0% -16 0 0.71 27% 1.5 .41 16% .27 64% .17 1.23 63% 33% 35% +1 0 1.04 38% 1.3 .50 14% .26 79% .21
Mar
2		 Lamar C B- A+ C- B 52% 15% 33% A- B C F D- F+ A- B+ A A+ A A+ A+ A+ 43% 22% 35% F A+ D- C+ C- A- D+ A+ B-
1.12 63% 57% 33% +5 +2 1.15 31% 0.8 .23 21% .45 75% .34 0.79 43% 18% 18% -19 0 0.63 38% 0.9 .33 21% .25 54% .13
Mar
8		 New Orleans F B+ C- D C+ 28% 26% 46% F+ C- F F F D+ C- F F B- B+ C+ D C+ 38% 40% 23% A+ B- B C B- C+ F A D-
0.85 64% 38% 30% -1 -1 0.98 9% 0.0 .00 17% .34 55% .19 1.03 50% 37% 36% -3 -2 0.92 31% 1.0 .31 20% .48 67% .32



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9
12-10
11-11
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9
12-10
11-11
10-12
9-13
8-14 100.0% 100.0
7-15
6-16
5-17
4-18
3-19
2-20
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%