East Texas A&M
Southland
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -8.8 308
Results Rating -7.2 276
Consistency 0.18 323
Pace 71.0 113
Improvement +0.7 161

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- 336 D+ D- D+ F+ C+
Defense C- 234 D+ D C C D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 267 C- 57% 206 -2.2 260
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% 262 D 34% 303 -2.1 280
Three Pointers 47% 52 D 31% 306 +1.0 149
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 163 D -3.4 299
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.96 284
Second Chance D- 24.2% 333 D 0.93 319 D- 0.22 347
Opponents' Steals C 9.7% 214
Other Turnovers D 8.4% 312
Turnovers D+ 18.1% 275
Freethrows F+ 0.24 350 D- 67% 340 F+ 0.16 358
Total Offense D- -6.8 336

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B- 53% 98 C- 11.6% 220
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A 44% 11 B- 3.9% 98
Three Pointers C 83% 215 D+ 1.4% 298
Total B 63% 48 C 5.5% 171

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 31 C+ 56% 134 +2.7 279
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 312 C+ 37% 144 -1.8 46
Three Pointers 39% 229 D- 38% 340 +1.6 263
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- +1.0 344 C- +1.5 243
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 262
Second Chance D+ 32.3% 265 D 1.14 318 D 0.37 310
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.3% 124
Other Turnovers D+ 6.7% 258
Turnovers C 17.0% 171
Freethrows C- 0.31 217 B- 71% 93 C 0.22 198
Total Defense C- -2.0 234

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 313 C+ 11.9% 134
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 228 D 2.1% 327
Three Pointers D 88% 298 D 0.2% 318
Total D 62% 320 C 5.7% 165

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.2 155 17.0 126
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 244 0.18 225
Consistency 0.14 286 0.15 331
Improvement +1.2 121 -0.5 215

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 317 307 293
Results Rating Rank 292 286 263
Conference Record 6 - 16 6 - 16 7 - 15
Conference Finish 11 10 9
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 33% 3% 37%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: UT Rio Grande Valley (Away) - 11.1% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 8
Quad 32 - 52 - 12
Quad 48 - 99 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 52 @New Mexico L 54 - 76 3% -16  1% 0 - 1 D+ -8 F -19 F+ D- F A+ +13 A+ F A
 Sun, Nov 9 116 @Hawaii L 74 - 100 9% -17  3% 0 - 2 F -20 C- -2 B- D D+ F -16 F F C-
 Fri, Nov 14 237 @Rice L 64 - 71 23% -2  41% 0 - 3 D -8 F+ -10 C- F F C+ +1 F C- A+
 Mon, Nov 24 339 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 70 - 65 50% -5  26% 1 - 3 C- -4 D- -7 C- D- F B- +3 F D A+
 Tue, Nov 25 341 Army W 84 - 67 62% +10  73% 2 - 3 B- +5 C+ +3 B+ F+ D- B- +2 C B- C+
 Fri, Dec 5 9 @Connecticut L 59 - 83 1% -13  0% 2 - 4 C -0 C- -0 A F+ C C -1 B- B- F
 Sun, Dec 7 173 Central Arkansas W 75 - 68 32% +1  48% 3 - 4 C+ +3 D- -7 F B+ C+ A +10 C A+ C
 Fri, Dec 12 85 @McNeese St. L 66 - 102 5% -26  0% 3 - 5 0 - 1 F -26 F -12 D F F+ F -10 F F A+
 Mon, Dec 15 290 @SE Louisiana W 70 - 69 34% -1  41% 4 - 5 1 - 1 C- -4 C +1 B- F C+ D+ -4 D B+ F
 Sun, Dec 21 34 @Texas A&M L 77 - 118 2% -22  1% 4 - 6 F -24 D+ -4 F+ D C F -13 F F B-
 Mon, Dec 29 103 Stephen F. Austin L 48 - 75 17% -6  14% 4 - 7 1 - 2 F -26 F -22 D F F D -6 C D C+
 Wed, Dec 31 220 Lamar L 62 - 69 41% +0  38% 4 - 8 1 - 3 D- -13 F -12 F A F C- -2 A F D-
 Sat, Jan 3 253 @Nicholls St. L 58 - 80 26% -12  0% 4 - 9 1 - 4 F -24 F -22 F F F C -1 D+ D B
 Mon, Jan 5 193 @New Orleans L 73 - 83 18% -8  0% 4 - 10 1 - 5 D -9 D+ -4 C- F C+ D+ -5 C- A+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 144 UT Rio Grande Valley W 77 - 69 26% +9  87% 5 - 10 2 - 5 B- +6 B +6 A- A+ D+ C+ +1 D B- C+
 Mon, Jan 12 198 TX A&M Corpus Christi L 50 - 61 37% -5  5% 5 - 11 2 - 6 F+ -16 F -23 F D+ C- B+ +6 A- F A
 Sat, Jan 17 294 @Houston Christian L 70 - 81 35% +3  71% 5 - 12 2 - 7 F+ -16 D- -6 C+ F D- F -10 F F B+
 Mon, Jan 19 270 @Incarnate Word W 80 - 58 30% +11  83% 6 - 12 3 - 7 A +19 A +14 B+ A A+ A +9 A+ D- F
 Tue, Jan 27 220 @Lamar L 61 - 82 21% -7  4% 6 - 13 3 - 8 F -21 F -11 F B- A- F -11 F F+ B
 Sat, Jan 31 253 Nicholls St. L 68 - 72 47% -6  8% 6 - 14 3 - 9 D- -12 F -11 F+ F C+ C -1 C- D- C
 Mon, Feb 2 193 New Orleans L 85 - 94 35% -11  0% 6 - 15 3 - 10 D- -14 D+ -3 C D B- F+ -10 F A+ D-
 Wed, Feb 4 269 @Northwestern St. W 74 - 68 30% +0  42% 7 - 15 4 - 10 C+ +3 B +6 B+ D C C- -3 F B+ F+
 Sat, Feb 7 269 Northwestern St. W 52 - 48 52% +6  91% 8 - 15 5 - 10 D+ -5 F -24 F F B A+ +19 A+ F A+
 Mon, Feb 9 103 @Stephen F. Austin L 70 - 74 7% -2  29% 8 - 16 5 - 11 C+ +3 C+ +2 A+ F F+ C+ +1 C C+ B
 Sat, Feb 14 85 McNeese St. L 54 - 97 12% -18  3% 8 - 17 5 - 12 F -39 F -18 F F B F -22 F D+ F
 Mon, Feb 16 290 SE Louisiana W 70 - 53 57% +12  86% 9 - 17 6 - 12 B- +6 D -6 C D B- A+ +13 A+ B D-
 Sat, Feb 21 270 Incarnate Word L 73 - 82 52% -5  0% 9 - 18 6 - 13 F -18 B +7 B B A F -27 F+ F D+
 Mon, Feb 23 294 Houston Christian L 68 - 69 58% -8  12% 9 - 19 6 - 14 D- -12 D- -7 F A+ F D -5 C+ F C-
 Sat, Feb 28 144 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 66 - 79 11%
 Mon, Mar 2 198 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 64 - 74 18%
Totals 9 - 21 6 - 16 -9 D- -7 C+ D C+ C- -2 D D- F+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- C- D D D 36% 30% 47% C+ D+ D- D D- D+ F+ D- F+ C- C+ C+ D- C- 44% 16% 39% D- D+ D+ D D C C- B- C
0.99 57% 34% 31% -3 0 0.96 24% 0.9 .22 18% .24 67% .16 1.11 56% 37% 38% +1 +1 1.07 32% 1.1 .37 17% .31 71% .17
Nov
5		 New Mexico F A+ D F F 25% 20% 55% C F+ C F D- F F F F A+ A A+ F+ A+ 51% 16% 33% C- A+ C F F A F+ A+ C
0.70 71% 36% 17% -11 -1 0.78 26% 0.6 .17 27% .20 64% .12 0.99 46% 13% 41% -6 +2 0.92 30% 1.4 .43 19% .37 61% .23
Nov
9		 Hawaii C- C+ F B C+ 46% 11% 43% A- B- D+ D- D D+ A+ C A+ F F+ B- F F 56% 13% 31% D- F F F F C- F B F
0.96 57% 0% 35% -4 +2 0.98 24% 0.9 .21 18% .50 69% .35 1.29 68% 33% 43% +9 +2 1.24 38% 1.5 .58 18% .85 69% .58
Nov
14		 Rice F+ B+ A- F C 33% 37% 31% D C- F C- F F F F F C+ A B- F F+ 44% 13% 42% F F D+ C C- A+ C- F D
0.97 69% 44% 27% +2 -2 1.02 21% 1.0 .21 21% .25 62% .15 1.07 45% 33% 53% +5 +1 1.16 38% 0.9 .34 27% .31 80% .25
Nov
24		 Fairleigh Dickinson D- B F A C- 29% 17% 54% C- C- C- F D- F F F F B- D- B D F 40% 7% 53% F F D- C D A+ F+ A+ C
1.05 67% 11% 43% +5 0 1.12 27% 0.7 .19 19% .17 56% .09 0.97 65% 33% 35% +3 +2 1.12 37% 0.9 .33 30% .34 56% .19
Nov
25		 Army C+ A+ F A- B+ 32% 8% 60% B B+ F B+ F+ D- B- A A- B- C A+ B C+ 42% 2% 56% F C C+ B+ B- C+ F C+ F
1.22 75% 25% 40% +10 +1 1.24 20% 1.3 .27 17% .39 82% .32 0.97 55% 0% 30% -6 +3 0.96 28% 0.8 .23 19% .36 70% .25
Dec
5		 Connecticut C- B D+ B+ A+ 29% 25% 46% D+ A D F F+ C F B F C D A+ A B+ 60% 15% 25% F+ B- C- B+ B- F A- F+ B
0.90 57% 33% 36% 0 -1 1.00 21% 0.6 .12 20% .23 75% .17 1.26 70% 25% 29% +3 +2 1.13 38% 1.0 .38 9% .23 79% .18
Dec
7		 Central Arkansas D- B- F F F 29% 10% 60% C F F+ A+ B+ C+ A+ B A+ A D+ A+ A+ B 61% 4% 35% F C A+ B- A+ C B- A+ A+
1.01 64% 20% 24% -9 +1 0.85 19% 2.1 .42 19% .41 76% .31 0.91 63% 0% 25% -3 +4 1.04 11% 1.0 .11 16% .24 33% .08
Dec
12		 McNeese St. F C A+ F D- 40% 12% 48% B D F+ F F F+ F F F F C B+ F F 58% 6% 36% F F F D F A+ F D F
0.84 57% 50% 24% -6 +1 0.92 27% 0.8 .22 28% .28 56% .16 1.29 58% 33% 58% +13 +3 1.34 41% 1.1 .45 20% .38 79% .30
Dec
15		 SE Louisiana C F A+ A+ B 30% 26% 43% D B- F F F C+ D- A C- D+ B+ C+ F D- 39% 27% 33% C D B- A- B+ F B- F C-
1.08 43% 50% 45% +6 -1 1.11 20% 0.8 .17 19% .32 82% .27 1.07 50% 36% 41% 0 -1 1.00 25% 0.8 .19 11% .30 76% .23
Dec
21		 Texas A&M D+ D+ F+ F F 35% 19% 46% C+ F+ C+ F D C A+ C+ A+ F F C+ F F 47% 16% 38% B- F C+ F F B- A+ A+ A+
0.92 53% 30% 24% -10 0 0.81 31% 0.7 .21 19% .47 75% .35 1.41 87% 40% 46% +20 +1 1.45 32% 1.8 .58 17% .22 53% .11
Dec
29		 Stephen F. Austin F F F+ A- D+ 30% 26% 45% D- D F F F F C- F F D A+ F D C- 25% 27% 47% B C F+ C D C+ F+ D F+
0.74 36% 33% 38% -5 -1 0.89 19% 0.3 .05 22% .28 29% .08 1.16 38% 50% 38% +1 -2 1.00 38% 1.0 .38 14% .30 71% .21
Dec
31		 Lamar F D F F F 29% 16% 56% C F D+ A+ A F D- A+ C+ C- A+ C- A+ A+ 45% 29% 25% F A D+ F F D- F+ C D-
0.93 54% 14% 28% -10 0 0.82 27% 1.7 .45 24% .32 88% .28 1.04 39% 40% 23% -12 -1 0.76 36% 1.4 .51 14% .30 71% .21
Jan
3		 Nicholls St. F A D F F 47% 6% 47% A- F D F F F F F F C C+ A+ D- C- 38% 8% 55% F+ D+ F A+ D B F B- F+
0.79 73% 33% 14% -8 +2 0.91 30% 0.8 .24 33% .22 64% .14 1.08 55% 0% 38% -1 +2 1.04 39% 0.8 .32 19% .37 64% .23
Jan
5		 New Orleans D+ F C A+ D+ 41% 9% 50% B C- F F F C+ F+ A+ D+ D+ B- F B C 40% 15% 44% F+ C- F A+ A+ F F B- F
1.03 27% 40% 44% -5 +2 0.96 26% 0.5 .14 14% .30 83% .25 1.17 52% 63% 30% -1 +1 1.02 44% 0.4 .20 13% .48 73% .36
Jan
10		 UT Rio Grande Valley B A- D A- A- 33% 13% 54% B A- B- A+ A+ D+ F F F C+ C+ A+ F D+ 47% 4% 49% F D C A- B- C+ C- A- C+
1.17 69% 33% 38% +7 +1 1.17 36% 1.4 .50 18% .24 62% .15 1.05 57% 0% 42% +3 +3 1.14 28% 0.9 .25 18% .24 69% .17
Jan
12		 TX A&M Corpus Christi F F+ C F F 48% 16% 36% B- F C F+ D+ C- C F F+ B+ A D- A+ B+ 36% 32% 32% A A- C+ F F A F C F
0.75 50% 38% 0% -22 +1 0.60 29% 0.8 .24 21% .42 59% .25 0.91 44% 43% 21% -10 -2 0.80 28% 1.4 .41 22% .46 67% .31
Jan
17		 Houston Christian D- B F B+ C+ 38% 15% 48% C C+ D+ F F D- C F F F B+ B- F F+ 43% 13% 43% F+ F F+ F F B+ F B- F
1.02 67% 29% 39% +6 +1 1.15 30% 0.6 .18 20% .29 50% .15 1.18 50% 33% 45% +3 +1 1.11 35% 1.1 .38 20% .55 67% .37
Jan
19		 Incarnate Word A B A B+ B 51% 9% 40% B+ B+ C A+ A A+ D- D+ D- A A+ D A+ A+ 39% 24% 37% C- A+ D D- D- F D+ F F
1.33 65% 50% 39% +8 +2 1.22 32% 1.6 .52 10% .31 71% .22 0.96 37% 42% 17% -17 0 0.67 35% 1.1 .38 10% .29 88% .26
Jan
27		 Lamar F F F+ F F 50% 13% 37% A- F D+ A+ B- A- F F F F D D+ F F 34% 24% 42% F F F C F+ B D+ A- C
0.90 46% 29% 16% -17 +2 0.71 28% 1.3 .37 13% .29 47% .14 1.21 59% 42% 48% +10 -1 1.20 44% 0.9 .42 19% .26 64% .16
Jan
31		 Nicholls St. F F+ D C F+ 33% 17% 50% D+ F+ C F F C+ C+ D+ C C D- D+ B+ D+ 36% 28% 36% A- C- B+ F D- C F D+ F
0.98 53% 33% 35% -2 0 0.98 35% 0.4 .14 20% .36 75% .27 1.04 65% 38% 29% 0 -1 1.00 20% 1.7 .33 16% .43 68% .29
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
2		 New Orleans D+ D A+ D C 39% 16% 45% C+ C F A+ D B- A+ B- A+ F+ D B- F F 51% 27% 22% D+ F A- A+ A+ D- F D+ F
1.09 50% 63% 30% -2 +1 1.00 18% 1.7 .29 14% .55 76% .42 1.20 62% 36% 73% +14 0 1.29 29% 0.1 .03 17% .55 78% .43
Feb
4		 Northwestern St. B B- F A+ B 43% 6% 51% A- B+ F A+ D C F A+ F C- C+ F F F 40% 25% 35% D F A+ F B+ F+ B+ A+ A+
1.17 62% 0% 44% +7 +2 1.20 15% 2.0 .31 17% .19 90% .17 1.08 53% 58% 41% +7 0 1.15 13% 1.5 .19 13% .25 50% .13
Feb
7		 Northwestern St. F F F F F 42% 12% 46% B F D+ F F B B D- C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 37% 31% 33% C+ A+ F F+ F A+ C+ D- C
0.78 41% 17% 25% -16 +1 0.73 29% 0.1 .04 15% .37 67% .25 0.72 17% 27% 25% -23 -1 0.53 34% 1.3 .43 23% .29 80% .23
Feb
9		 Stephen F. Austin C+ A+ C+ B A+ 32% 15% 53% C A+ F C- F F+ D D- D- C+ C- A+ D B- 47% 22% 31% F C D A- C+ B F B- F
1.05 87% 43% 36% +11 0 1.26 8% 1.0 .08 21% .25 69% .17 1.11 58% 18% 38% -3 0 0.98 36% 0.8 .31 15% .35 65% .23
Feb
14		 McNeese St. F A F F F 28% 17% 55% C- F F B- F B F A+ F+ F D- D F F 38% 15% 47% C- F A- F D+ F B A- A-
0.79 69% 25% 19% -11 0 0.79 18% 1.2 .21 22% .26 86% .23 1.42 65% 44% 46% +12 +1 1.28 28% 1.3 .38 6% .25 69% .17
Feb
16		 SE Louisiana D C+ A+ F C 39% 22% 39% C+ C F A+ D B- B F F A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ 42% 13% 44% F A+ A D+ B D- C+ A- B-
1.03 61% 60% 28% +2 0 1.07 19% 1.5 .29 18% .41 52% .22 0.78 27% 14% 30% -19 +1 0.67 20% 1.0 .20 15% .31 61% .19
Feb
21		 Incarnate Word B B C A B+ 31% 20% 49% D- B A- C- B A F F F F B+ F F+ F 31% 21% 48% C F+ F F F D+ D- F F
1.28 67% 40% 42% +9 -1 1.18 40% 1.1 .43 10% .16 63% .10 1.43 46% 56% 40% +4 -1 1.10 43% 2.1 .91 14% .33 94% .30
Feb
23		 Houston Christian D- D D F F 40% 15% 45% C F C+ A+ A+ F B+ B A- D C B- A B- 43% 18% 39% D C+ F F F C- C- B- C
1.06 56% 33% 28% -6 +1 0.93 34% 1.8 .62 23% .35 76% .26 1.08 57% 33% 26% -6 +1 0.92 41% 1.1 .43 17% .28 67% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.9 0.9 7th
8th 1.1 1.1 8th
9th 14.2 0.3 14.6 9th
10th 26.1 10.5 36.5 10th
11th 43.8 0.3 44.1 11th
12th 2.9 2.9 12th
Total 72.7 25.0 2.3 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9
12-10
11-11
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9
12-10
11-11
10-12
9-13
8-14 2.3% 2.3
7-15 25.0% 25.0
6-16 72.7% 72.7
5-17
4-18
3-19
2-20
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%
Lose Out 72.7%