TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -1.6 #182
Expected Predictive Rating -1.7 #197
Pace 67.4 #228
Improvement +1.3 #116

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #273 F C C D+ C
Defense #103 B- C+ B+ F C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% #28 0.97 #349 -0.3 #190
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #116 0.68 #276 +0.3 #163
Three Pointers 31% #347 0.91 #298 -6.7 #344
1st FG Attempt 0.88 #346 -6.7 #348
Freethrows 17.0 #210 67% #331 11.3 #263
Second Chance 31.4% #155 1.03 #205 0.32 #160
Turnovers 16.5% #171
Total Offense -3.7 #273

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #109 1.15 #165 -1.3 #226
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #162 0.76 #179 -0.2 #194
Three Pointers 38% #262 0.90 #53 +3.6 #54
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #110 +2.1 #112
Freethrows 23.0 #355 75% #278 17.1 #9
Second Chance 28.8% #113 1.04 #184 0.30 #137
Turnovers 19.0% #58
Total Defense +2.1 #103

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.3% #169 0.3% #187
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -13.5% #353 -4.4% #96
Possession Length 18.4 #282 16.8 #106
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #144 0.17 #179
Improvement +1.0 #118 +0.2 #169

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 5.3% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.2 14.8
.500 or above 43.4% 50.2% 22.2%
.500 or above in Conference 87.5% 91.8% 73.7%
Conference Champion 1.3% 1.6% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round4.6% 5.3% 2.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: SE Louisiana (Home) - 75.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 33 - 43 - 11
Quad 410 - 414 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 30 @SMU L 58 - 69 5% -2  0 - 1 +7 -8 F D- A +14 A+ A+ D-
 Sat, Nov 8 173 @Tarleton St. L 77 - 85 36% -13  0 - 2 -6 +7 F C- A -13 F F B-
 Tue, Nov 11 18 @Kansas L 46 - 77 3% -19  0 - 3 -11 -17 F F D- +7 F A- A+
 Sun, Nov 16 62 @Oklahoma St. L 69 - 85 11% -9  0 - 4 -4 -7 F D+ C- +4 B- C- A+
 Fri, Nov 28 92 @Xavier L 67 - 88 16% -12  0 - 5 -12 -5 F D- A+ -5 C B F
 Sat, Dec 6 220 @Lamar W 57 - 49 45% +1  1 - 5 1 - 0 +8 -3 D- C D- +12 B A B-
 Wed, Dec 17 108 @Stephen F. Austin L 60 - 69 20% -1  1 - 6 1 - 1 -2 -1 D- B+ D -2 D B+ B+
 Mon, Dec 29 205 Nicholls St. L 71 - 76 66% -3  1 - 7 1 - 2 -11 +3 B+ C D- -14 D- F B+
 Wed, Dec 31 245 New Orleans W 83 - 69 73% +6  2 - 7 2 - 2 +6 +5 F A+ C+ +2 B A A+
 Sat, Jan 3 235 @UT Rio Grande Valley W 63 - 59 48% +1  3 - 7 3 - 2 +3 -2 F A- D +5 A+ A+ C-
 Mon, Jan 5 301 @Houston Christian W 81 - 65 63% +8  4 - 7 4 - 2 +11 +6 C- A- C +5 A- F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 276 @Northwestern St. L 78 - 79 58% +7  4 - 8 4 - 3 -5 +5 D+ D- A+ -10 F F A+
 Mon, Jan 12 321 @East Texas A&M W 61 - 50 69% +5  5 - 8 5 - 3 +4 -9 F B F +14 A+ C B-
 Sat, Jan 17 266 SE Louisiana W 70 - 63 76%
 Mon, Jan 19 80 McNeese St. L 67 - 73 29%
 Sat, Jan 24 187 @Incarnate Word L 66 - 69 40%
 Mon, Jan 26 235 UT Rio Grande Valley W 72 - 67 70%
 Sat, Jan 31 301 Houston Christian W 73 - 63 82%
 Mon, Feb 2 187 Incarnate Word W 69 - 66 62%
 Sat, Feb 7 205 @Nicholls St. L 70 - 72 44%
 Mon, Feb 9 245 @New Orleans W 76 - 75 51%
 Sat, Feb 14 220 Lamar W 67 - 62 67%
 Mon, Feb 16 108 Stephen F. Austin L 65 - 68 40%
 Sat, Feb 21 80 @McNeese St. L 64 - 76 14%
 Mon, Feb 23 266 @SE Louisiana W 67 - 66 55%
 Sat, Feb 28 276 Northwestern St. W 73 - 65 77%
 Mon, Mar 2 321 East Texas A&M W 74 - 63 84%
Totals 13 - 14 13 - 9 -2 -4 F C C +2 B- C+ B+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 1.7 2.6 1.5 0.3 6.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.3 5.2 9.1 8.2 3.8 0.6 0.0 28.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.9 7.3 11.0 6.9 2.0 0.2 0.0 29.3 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 5.4 6.8 2.6 0.4 0.0 16.1 5th
6th 0.4 3.0 4.0 1.4 0.1 9.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 2.6 1.0 0.0 4.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.4 0.7 0.1 2.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.3 3.5 7.4 12.3 16.8 18.9 17.0 12.0 7.0 2.6 0.7 0.1 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-4 61.5% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
17-5 18.9% 0.5    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
16-6 3.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
15-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.0%
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-4 0.7% 25.2% 25.2% 12.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5
17-5 2.6% 18.5% 18.5% 13.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.1
16-6 7.0% 12.3% 12.3% 13.7 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 6.1
15-7 12.0% 8.7% 8.7% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 11.0
14-8 17.0% 5.1% 5.1% 14.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.0 16.1
13-9 18.9% 3.7% 3.7% 14.9 0.1 0.6 0.0 18.3
12-10 16.8% 1.8% 1.8% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 16.5
11-11 12.3% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2 12.1
10-12 7.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 7.3
9-13 3.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.5
8-14 1.3% 1.3
7-15 0.3% 0.3
6-16 0.1% 0.1
5-17 0.0% 0.0
4-18
3-19
2-20
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 14.3 95.3 0.0%