TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#226
Expected Predictive Rating-5.7#255
Pace68.4#225
Improvement+0.0#171

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#280
First Shot-4.8#312
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#134
Layup/Dunks+0.7#152
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#324
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#275
Freethrows+0.0#173
Improvement-0.3#209

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#163
First Shot-0.4#180
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#148
Layups/Dunks+4.8#43
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#185
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#178
Freethrows-5.5#361
Improvement+0.3#163
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 5.9% 3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 13.8 14.5
.500 or above 22.1% 44.4% 19.7%
.500 or above in Conference 48.6% 63.7% 47.0%
Conference Champion 2.5% 5.2% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 8.7% 4.4% 9.1%
First Four0.3% 0.0% 0.3%
First Round3.3% 5.9% 3.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Xavier (Away) - 9.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 32 - 63 - 12
Quad 48 - 511 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 42 @SMU L 58-69 5%     0 - 1 +3.9 -7.5 +11.3
  Sat, Nov 8 195 @Tarleton St. L 77-85 32%     0 - 2 -7.2 +5.5 -12.9
  Tue, Nov 11 18 @Kansas L 46-77 3%     0 - 3 -11.7 -16.9 +5.8
  Sun, Nov 16 46 @Oklahoma St. L 69-85 6%     0 - 4 -2.0 -4.8 +4.5
  Fri, Nov 28 85 @Xavier L 64-78 10%    
  Sat, Dec 6 199 @Lamar L 63-68 33%    
  Wed, Dec 17 139 @Stephen F. Austin L 65-73 22%    
  Mon, Dec 29 270 Nicholls St. W 71-66 67%    
  Wed, Dec 31 205 New Orleans W 73-71 57%    
  Sat, Jan 3 202 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 72-76 35%    
  Mon, Jan 5 276 @Houston Christian L 66-67 48%    
  Sat, Jan 10 285 @Northwestern St. L 67-68 49%    
  Mon, Jan 12 308 @East Texas A&M W 69-68 53%    
  Sat, Jan 17 250 SE Louisiana W 69-65 63%    
  Mon, Jan 19 82 McNeese St. L 64-72 24%    
  Sat, Jan 24 192 @Incarnate Word L 67-72 33%    
  Mon, Jan 26 202 UT Rio Grande Valley W 75-73 56%    
  Sat, Jan 31 276 Houston Christian W 69-64 68%    
  Mon, Feb 2 192 Incarnate Word W 70-69 53%    
  Sat, Feb 7 270 @Nicholls St. L 68-69 46%    
  Mon, Feb 9 205 @New Orleans L 70-74 36%    
  Sat, Feb 14 199 Lamar W 66-65 55%    
  Mon, Feb 16 139 Stephen F. Austin L 68-70 42%    
  Sat, Feb 21 82 @McNeese St. L 61-75 11%    
  Mon, Feb 23 250 @SE Louisiana L 66-68 42%    
  Sat, Feb 28 285 Northwestern St. W 71-65 69%    
  Mon, Mar 2 308 East Texas A&M W 72-65 73%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 10 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 2.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.9 2.1 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 7.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 2.2 2.9 2.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 9.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 2.9 3.8 2.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 10.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.3 4.3 2.0 0.3 0.0 10.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.2 4.6 1.9 0.3 0.0 10.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.2 4.1 2.1 0.3 10.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.5 4.3 2.0 0.3 0.0 9.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.3 3.8 1.9 0.4 0.0 8.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.0 3.1 2.0 0.4 0.0 8.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.0 2.3 1.4 0.2 0.0 7.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.6 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.7 3.9 5.4 7.3 9.1 10.4 10.4 11.0 10.0 8.6 6.5 5.1 3.5 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
20-2 88.1% 0.2    0.2 0.0
19-3 76.2% 0.3    0.3 0.1
18-4 56.8% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
17-5 33.4% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
16-6 12.4% 0.4    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
15-7 3.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 2.5% 2.5 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1 0.1% 70.0% 70.0% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
20-2 0.2% 32.8% 32.8% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
19-3 0.4% 36.9% 36.9% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
18-4 1.0% 31.0% 31.0% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
17-5 2.2% 21.4% 21.4% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.7
16-6 3.5% 17.3% 17.3% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.9
15-7 5.1% 10.0% 10.0% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 4.6
14-8 6.5% 7.6% 7.6% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 6.0
13-9 8.6% 3.7% 3.7% 15.1 0.0 0.3 0.0 8.3
12-10 10.0% 2.0% 2.0% 15.7 0.1 0.1 9.8
11-11 11.0% 1.5% 1.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 10.9
10-12 10.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.4
9-13 10.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.4
8-14 9.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.1
7-15 7.3% 7.3
6-16 5.4% 5.4
5-17 3.9% 3.9
4-18 2.7% 2.7
3-19 1.4% 1.4
2-20 0.5% 0.5
1-21 0.2% 0.2
0-22 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.2 0.5 96.5 0.0%