Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
115 Hawaii 34.0%   14   20 - 7 14 - 5 +3.3      -1.2 201 +4.5 62 72.7 69 +3.9 111 +4.2 1
116 UC Irvine 33.9%   19 - 10 14 - 5 +3.2      -3.9 276 +7.1 31 70.9 111 +2.5 123 +4.1 2
133 UC San Diego 9.4%   19 - 10 11 - 8 +1.7      -1.5 205 +3.2 85 67.8 194 +2.3 125 -0.6 7
139 UC Santa Barbara 9.4%   16 - 12 11 - 8 +1.2      +2.7 104 -1.5 218 62.9 326 0.0 156 -0.2 5
170 Cal St. Northridge 6.2%   17 - 12 12 - 7 -0.8      -0.9 188 +0.1 170 81.3 3 +0.9 147 +1.6 3
171 UC Davis 3.9%   16 - 12 11 - 8 -0.8      -1.1 193 +0.3 157 70.2 128 +0.4 151 -0.4 6
191 Cal St. Fullerton 2.7%   14 - 15 11 - 8 -2.0      -0.3 173 -1.7 223 78.8 8 -0.7 170 -0.1 4
230 Cal Poly 0.7%   11 - 18 9 - 10 -4.0      -0.4 176 -3.6 282 83.1 1 -3.0 219 -1.7 8
269 Long Beach St. 0.0%   7 - 22 5 - 14 -6.0      -3.7 270 -2.3 248 70.1 132 -8.0 294 -8.2 9
277 UC Riverside 0.0%   8 - 22 5 - 15 -6.4      -4.6 293 -1.8 225 70.1 133 -7.2 282 -8.3 10
329 Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0%   6 - 23 2 - 17 -10.9      -5.4 309 -5.5 321 73.5 53 -10.6 326 -13.7 11


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Thu, Mar 5 269 Long Beach St. 70 171 UC Davis 76   
Thu, Mar 5 191 Cal St. Fullerton 75 133 UC San Diego 71   
Thu, Mar 5 115 Hawaii 93 277 UC Riverside 74   
Thu, Mar 5 329 Cal St. Bakersfield 84 170 Cal St. Northridge 86   
Thu, Mar 5 230 Cal Poly 85 116 UC Irvine 107   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Mar 7 133 UC San Diego 69 139 UC Santa Barbara 72 60%   
Sat, Mar 7 170 Cal St. Northridge 89 191 Cal St. Fullerton 85 66%   
Sat, Mar 7 171 UC Davis 67 116 UC Irvine 74 75%   
Sat, Mar 7 329 Cal St. Bakersfield 82 230 Cal Poly 91 82%   
Sun, Mar 8 115 Hawaii 80 269 Long Beach St. 68 87%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Hawaii 1.1 90.2 9.8
UC Irvine 1.2 77.7 22.3
Cal St. Northridge 3.0 100.0
UC Santa Barbara 4.5 20.3 39.0 19.5 17.7 3.6
UC San Diego 4.8 14.6 26.1 28.9 25.4 5.0
Cal St. Fullerton 4.5 34.9 48.4 16.7
UC Davis 4.9 8.6 16.7 48.4 26.4
Cal Poly 8.0 100.0
Long Beach St. 9.0 100.0
UC Riverside 9.1 87.3 12.8
Cal St. Bakersfield 11.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Hawaii 15 - 5 21 - 7 12.8 87.3
UC Irvine 15 - 5 20 - 10 25.3 74.7
Cal St. Northridge 13 - 7 18 - 12 34.9 65.1
UC Santa Barbara 12 - 8 17 - 12 40.7 59.3
UC San Diego 11 - 9 19 - 11 59.3 40.7
Cal St. Fullerton 11 - 9 14 - 16 65.1 34.9
UC Davis 11 - 9 16 - 13 74.7 25.3
Cal Poly 10 - 10 12 - 18 17.3 82.7
Long Beach St. 5 - 15 7 - 23 87.3 12.8
UC Riverside 5 - 15 8 - 22 100.0
Cal St. Bakersfield 2 - 18 6 - 24 82.7 17.3

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Hawaii 90.2% 22.3 67.9
UC Irvine 77.7% 9.8 67.9
Cal St. Northridge
UC Santa Barbara
UC San Diego
Cal St. Fullerton
UC Davis
Cal Poly
Long Beach St.
UC Riverside
Cal St. Bakersfield


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Hawaii 34.0% 34.0% 0.0% 14   0.0 9.6 18.9 5.4 0.1 66.1 0.0%
UC Irvine 33.9% 33.9% 0.0% 6.1 19.9 7.7 0.2 66.1 0.0%
UC San Diego 9.4% 9.4% 0.0% 0.0 1.6 5.2 2.4 0.1 90.6 0.0%
UC Santa Barbara 9.4% 9.4% 0.0% 0.5 4.3 4.2 0.4 0.0 90.6 0.0%
Cal St. Northridge 6.2% 6.2% 0.0% 0.1 1.6 3.4 1.1 0.1 93.9 0.0%
UC Davis 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 0.2 1.6 1.8 0.3 0.0 96.2 0.0%
Cal St. Fullerton 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 0.1 0.8 1.7 0.1 97.3 0.0%
Cal Poly 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.7 99.3 0.0%
Long Beach St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Riverside 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 99.7% 1.0 0.3 99.7
2nd Round 5.5% 0.1 94.5 5.5
Sweet Sixteen 0.5% 0.0 99.5 0.5
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Hawaii 34.0% 0.0% 34.0% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Irvine 33.9% 0.0% 33.9% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC San Diego 9.4% 0.0% 9.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Santa Barbara 9.4% 0.0% 9.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Northridge 6.2% 0.0% 6.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Davis 3.9% 0.0% 3.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Fullerton 2.7% 0.0% 2.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal Poly 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Long Beach St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Riverside 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%