Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
112 UC Irvine 36.9%   14   20 - 10 15 - 5 +3.3      -3.9 276 +7.2 25 70.5 119 +2.7 121 +4.3 1
125 Hawaii 31.4%   20 - 8 14 - 6 +2.5      -1.6 211 +4.1 69 73.0 62 +2.8 120 +2.9 2
130 UC San Diego 10.2%   20 - 10 12 - 8 +1.9      -1.6 209 +3.4 82 67.6 200 +2.9 119 +0.3 5
140 UC Santa Barbara 7.0%   16 - 13 11 - 9 +1.0      +2.4 107 -1.4 217 62.7 328 -0.6 166 -0.9 7
176 UC Davis 3.0%   16 - 13 11 - 9 -0.9      -1.1 194 +0.2 164 69.9 133 +0.2 152 -0.7 6
182 Cal St. Northridge 5.5%   17 - 13 12 - 8 -1.4      -1.4 204 0.0 170 81.5 3 +0.3 151 +0.7 4
183 Cal St. Fullerton 5.1%   15 - 15 12 - 8 -1.5      -0.3 171 -1.2 212 79.1 7 -0.2 158 +0.7 3
222 Cal Poly 1.0%   12 - 18 10 - 10 -3.5      -0.1 167 -3.4 276 83.5 1 -2.9 216 -1.7 8
257 Long Beach St. 0.0%   8 - 22 6 - 14 -5.3      -3.4 261 -2.0 237 70.5 120 -7.0 276 -6.8 9
274 UC Riverside 0.0%   8 - 22 5 - 15 -6.4      -4.5 290 -1.9 231 70.1 128 -7.1 278 -8.3 10
332 Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0%   6 - 24 2 - 18 -11.5      -5.6 313 -5.9 329 73.9 47 -10.7 327 -13.8 11


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Thu, Mar 5 257 Long Beach St. 70 176 UC Davis 76   
Thu, Mar 5 183 Cal St. Fullerton 75 130 UC San Diego 71   
Thu, Mar 5 125 Hawaii 93 274 UC Riverside 74   
Thu, Mar 5 332 Cal St. Bakersfield 84 182 Cal St. Northridge 86   
Thu, Mar 5 222 Cal Poly 85 112 UC Irvine 107   
Sat, Mar 7 130 UC San Diego 64 140 UC Santa Barbara 63   
Sat, Mar 7 182 Cal St. Northridge 77 183 Cal St. Fullerton 90   
Sat, Mar 7 176 UC Davis 69 112 UC Irvine 79   
Sat, Mar 7 125 Hawaii 75 257 Long Beach St. 84   
Sat, Mar 7 332 Cal St. Bakersfield 76 222 Cal Poly 108   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Wed, Mar 11 176 UC Davis 72 140 UC Santa Barbara 74 58%   
Wed, Mar 11 222 Cal Poly 77 130 UC San Diego 83 70%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
UC Irvine 1.0 100.0
Hawaii 2.0 100.0
UC San Diego 3.0 100.0
Cal St. Fullerton 3.0 100.0
Cal St. Northridge 3.0 100.0
UC Davis 6.0 100.0
UC Santa Barbara 6.0 100.0
Cal Poly 8.0 100.0
Long Beach St. 9.0 100.0
UC Riverside 10.0 100.0
Cal St. Bakersfield 11.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
UC Irvine 15 - 5 20 - 10 100.0
Hawaii 14 - 6 20 - 8 100.0
UC San Diego 12 - 8 21 - 10 100.0
Cal St. Fullerton 12 - 8 15 - 15 100.0
Cal St. Northridge 12 - 8 17 - 13 100.0
UC Davis 11 - 9 16 - 14 100.0
UC Santa Barbara 11 - 9 17 - 13 100.0
Cal Poly 10 - 10 12 - 19 100.0
Long Beach St. 6 - 14 8 - 22 100.0
UC Riverside 5 - 15 8 - 22 100.0
Cal St. Bakersfield 2 - 18 6 - 24 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
UC Irvine 100.0% 100.0
Hawaii
UC San Diego
Cal St. Fullerton
Cal St. Northridge
UC Davis
UC Santa Barbara
Cal Poly
Long Beach St.
UC Riverside
Cal St. Bakersfield


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
UC Irvine 36.9% 36.9% 0.0% 14   0.0 4.8 21.6 10.2 0.3 63.1 0.0%
Hawaii 31.4% 31.4% 0.0% 0.0 2.1 14.7 13.8 0.8 68.6 0.0%
UC San Diego 10.2% 10.2% 0.0% 0.0 2.7 6.1 1.4 0.0 89.8 0.0%
UC Santa Barbara 7.0% 7.0% 0.0% 0.5 3.9 2.4 0.1 93.0 0.0%
UC Davis 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0 1.2 1.6 0.2 97.0 0.0%
Cal St. Northridge 5.5% 5.5% 0.0% 0.6 3.2 1.6 0.0 94.5 0.0%
Cal St. Fullerton 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 0.0 1.4 3.6 0.0 94.9 0.0%
Cal Poly 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.9 99.1 0.0%
Long Beach St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Riverside 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 99.7% 1.0 0.3 99.7
2nd Round 4.6% 0.0 95.4 4.6
Sweet Sixteen 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.5
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
UC Irvine 36.9% 0.0% 36.9% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hawaii 31.4% 0.0% 31.4% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC San Diego 10.2% 0.0% 10.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Santa Barbara 7.0% 0.0% 7.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Davis 3.0% 0.0% 3.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Northridge 5.5% 0.0% 5.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Fullerton 5.1% 0.0% 5.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal Poly 1.0% 0.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Long Beach St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Riverside 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%