UC Davis
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -1.1 178
Results Rating +0.0 157
Consistency 0.14 110
Pace 70.2 132
Improvement -1.3 236

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 178 C+ D+ D+ B C
Defense C 186 D+ C+ B C- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 241 C+ 60% 128 -0.6 205
2 Pt. Jumpers 38% 182 D+ 35% 265 -0.6 212
Three Pointers 43% 137 B- 36% 79 +2.8 88
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 209 C+ +1.6 114
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.05 127
Second Chance D+ 27.2% 270 C- 1.01 211 D+ 0.27 265
Opponents' Steals C 9.5% 181
Other Turnovers D 8.6% 320
Turnovers D+ 18.1% 269
Freethrows B 0.34 62 B 76% 76 B 0.26 45
Total Offense C -0.6 178

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C+ 52% 109 D- 14.1% 332
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 36% 40 C+ 4.4% 137
Three Pointers B 90% 50 B+ 0.2% 25
Total B 63% 42 C- 6.1% 238

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 97 C 58% 180 +2.0 241
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 301 C 38% 187 -1.5 68
Three Pointers 41% 159 D 37% 296 +1.9 275
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.7 310 C- +1.5 244
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 254
Second Chance C- 30.9% 208 B- 0.98 106 C+ 0.30 155
Turnovers from Steals C 9.8% 156
Other Turnovers A- 9.1% 18
Turnovers B 18.9% 61
Freethrows C- 0.32 231 C- 74% 259 C- 0.23 246
Total Defense C -0.4 186

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 53% 272 D+ 7.9% 308
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 29% 261 C 5.3% 142
Three Pointers C+ 81% 110 C 0.9% 149
Total D+ 59% 256 D+ 4.6% 257

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.5 87 17.5 228
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 151 0.20 264
Consistency 0.14 289 0.14 292
Improvement -0.9 227 -0.4 211

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 203 179 155
Results Rating Rank 206 165 139
Conference Record 10 - 10 11 - 9 12 - 8
Conference Finish 8 6 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3% 4% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.5 14.1
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round3% 4% 2%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Long Beach St. (Away) - 56.0% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 1
Quad 21 - 42 - 5
Quad 35 - 87 - 12
Quad 410 - 217 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 137 North Dakota St. W 80 - 68 52% +2  51% 1 - 0 B +10 B- +4 A A F B+ +6 A+ D- C+
 Sun, Nov 9 224 @Portland L 63 - 67 48% +0  38% 1 - 1 C- -5 F -11 F C+ F B+ +7 B+ B+ A
 Fri, Nov 14 275 Sacramento St. W 77 - 73 79% -2  31% 2 - 1 D+ -5 D- -8 F+ D+ D+ B- +2 C D+ A-
 Tue, Nov 18 72 @Nevada W 75 - 71 13% -0  35% 3 - 1 A- +15 C +0 A+ F F A+ +14 C+ A+ A+
 Fri, Nov 21 66 @Colorado L 79 - 95 12% -6  5% 3 - 2 C- -4 B+ +9 B- A+ C- F -13 F D+ C
 Mon, Nov 24 297 Louisiana W 77 - 56 82% +8  98% 4 - 2 B +10 C+ +3 A- D+ B+ A- +8 B+ B A
 Thu, Dec 4 116 @Hawaii L 69 - 75 25% -6  3% 4 - 3 0 - 1 C +0 C- -1 C- D C+ C+ +1 F C B
 Sat, Dec 13 84 @Oregon L 62 - 104 15% -30  0% 4 - 4 F -32 F+ -10 D- D D F -21 F F C
 Wed, Dec 17 125 Seattle L 78 - 79 47% -4  14% 4 - 5 C -1 B- +5 A+ F B+ D -6 C- F B+
 Sun, Dec 21 249 @Idaho St. W 93 - 83 53% +8  90% 5 - 5 B +8 A+ +20 A+ C+ A+ F -11 F C C-
 Thu, Jan 1 158 Cal St. Northridge W 89 - 80 58% +6  76% 6 - 5 1 - 1 B- +6 B- +5 A+ F F+ C -0 C B+ A-
 Sat, Jan 3 332 Cal St. Bakersfield L 79 - 81 89% +2  67% 6 - 6 1 - 2 F+ -16 D -5 C C- D F -11 D F+ F
 Thu, Jan 8 142 @UC Santa Barbara W 93 - 86 31% -3  42% 7 - 6 2 - 2 B +11 A+ +16 A B C+ D+ -5 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 222 @Cal Poly L 78 - 84 48% +6  88% 7 - 7 2 - 3 D+ -6 D+ -3 D- D C+ C- -3 B C- F
 Thu, Jan 15 206 Cal St. Fullerton W 74 - 69 67% +9  98% 8 - 7 3 - 3 C -1 F+ -9 D B F A- +8 A D+ A
 Sat, Jan 17 123 UC Irvine W 75 - 72 47% +2  70% 9 - 7 4 - 3 C+ +3 B +6 C- A- A- D+ -3 D+ C- B
 Thu, Jan 22 132 UC San Diego L 74 - 80 51% -1  36% 9 - 8 4 - 4 D+ -7 D -5 D D C+ C- -3 D- B A
 Sat, Jan 24 282 UC Riverside W 74 - 66 80% +10  98% 10 - 8 5 - 4 C- -2 D+ -3 B D F+ C+ +1 B F C
 Thu, Jan 29 158 @Cal St. Northridge L 78 - 94 35% -4  44% 10 - 9 5 - 5 D- -13 D -5 C- D C D -6 F A C-
 Sat, Jan 31 332 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 80 - 72 76% +0  50% 11 - 9 6 - 5 C -0 C +1 D- B- B+ C -1 F D+ B
 Thu, Feb 5 142 UC Santa Barbara W 85 - 75 53% +5  78% 12 - 9 7 - 5 B +8 A +13 A+ F C+ D+ -4 C C- B
 Sat, Feb 7 222 Cal Poly W 67 - 58 70% -2  25% 13 - 9 8 - 5 C+ +3 F -12 F+ D- F A+ +15 A+ B+ A+
 Thu, Feb 12 132 @UC San Diego L 51 - 68 29% -11  15% 13 - 10 8 - 6 D- -12 F -20 D- F D- A- +8 F A A+
 Sat, Feb 14 265 Long Beach St. W 71 - 54 77% +11  98% 14 - 10 9 - 6 B +8 F+ -9 C+ D F A+ +17 A+ C A
 Thu, Feb 19 206 @Cal St. Fullerton L 92 - 93 44% +8  97% 14 - 11 9 - 7 C -1 A+ +21 A- C A+ F -22 F D+ C+
 Sat, Feb 21 282 @UC Riverside W 78 - 73 61% +4  83% 15 - 11 10 - 7 C +1 C- -2 F+ D C B- +3 A- F+ B
 Thu, Feb 26 116 Hawaii L 73 - 77 46% -5  9% 15 - 12 10 - 8 C- -4 C+ +3 B B+ F D- -7 F A+ C
 Thu, Mar 5 265 @Long Beach St. W 76 - 74 56%
 Sat, Mar 7 123 @UC Irvine L 67 - 74 26%
Totals 16 - 13 11 - 9 -1 C -1 D- C+ C C +0 B- B B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C+ D+ B- C+ 36% 38% 43% C C+ D+ C- D+ D+ B B B C C C D C- 42% 17% 41% D D+ C- B- C+ B C- C- C-
1.08 60% 35% 36% +2 0 1.05 27% 1.0 .27 18% .34 76% .26 1.09 58% 38% 37% +2 +1 1.07 31% 1.0 .30 19% .32 74% .25
Nov
5		 North Dakota St. B- B+ F A+ A 58% 9% 33% A+ A A+ C A F A D B+ B+ C+ B A+ A+ 46% 17% 37% F A+ F A- D- C+ B- F D
1.16 69% 25% 47% +12 +3 1.31 44% 0.9 .40 26% .33 71% .24 0.99 56% 33% 10% -15 +1 0.74 47% 0.9 .40 17% .25 93% .23
Nov
9		 Portland F F A+ F F 25% 16% 59% C- F B D+ C+ F C C+ C B+ A- A+ D+ B+ 38% 19% 43% C B+ D A+ B+ A F C+ F
0.91 38% 50% 23% -13 0 0.76 38% 1.0 .38 23% .30 75% .22 0.96 50% 22% 35% -5 0 0.91 32% 0.8 .27 24% .42 73% .30
Nov
14		 Sacramento St. D- C+ A- F F 41% 8% 51% B- F+ F+ A D+ D+ A+ B+ A+ B- B C B- B- 52% 22% 26% F C D C+ D+ A- C- D D+
1.06 60% 50% 24% -6 +2 0.94 26% 1.3 .34 18% .45 78% .35 1.01 50% 36% 31% -6 +1 0.92 31% 1.1 .34 19% .36 81% .29
Nov
18		 Nevada C A B- A+ A+ 29% 17% 54% C A+ F F F F A+ B A+ A+ B+ A+ F B- 46% 17% 37% F C+ A A+ A+ A+ F B F
1.01 67% 43% 45% +13 0 1.27 15% 0.8 .11 27% .50 74% .37 0.96 48% 13% 47% -2 +1 1.00 27% 0.4 .12 23% .51 72% .37
Nov
21		 Colorado B+ A+ F+ F B- 41% 19% 41% B B- C- A+ A+ C- F A+ F+ F D- B+ F F 51% 22% 27% D+ F B+ F D+ C D+ F F+
1.13 73% 30% 27% 0 0 1.04 24% 2.0 .48 17% .16 100% .16 1.36 68% 33% 60% +15 +1 1.33 27% 1.3 .35 14% .35 86% .30
Nov
24		 Louisiana C+ A A- A A 35% 23% 43% D- A- F A+ D+ B+ A+ D- A+ A- F A B B 12% 36% 52% A- B+ C- A+ B A C+ D+ C
1.18 71% 44% 41% +11 0 1.23 22% 1.3 .30 15% .58 69% .40 0.86 67% 28% 31% -5 -4 0.84 29% 0.6 .17 21% .21 73% .16
Dec
4		 Hawaii C- D B F+ C 42% 30% 28% D C- D- C D C+ B B- B C+ F A+ F F 49% 15% 37% C- F A+ F C B F A+ F
0.97 50% 44% 27% -5 -1 0.91 21% 1.0 .21 15% .35 71% .25 1.05 70% 17% 40% +6 +2 1.17 17% 1.8 .31 21% .55 58% .32
Dec
13		 Oregon F+ F C+ F F+ 27% 23% 50% C D- F B D D A- B A- F F+ F F F 43% 16% 41% C- F F F F C F C F
0.86 43% 42% 27% -9 -1 0.83 19% 1.0 .19 19% .33 79% .26 1.44 67% 50% 45% +12 +1 1.29 50% 1.6 .79 17% .45 74% .33
Dec
17		 Seattle B- F+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 15% 46% B- A+ F F F B+ C+ D+ C D B- B+ F C- 41% 19% 41% C+ C- F C F B+ B- D- C
1.06 45% 75% 46% +9 +1 1.21 16% 0.4 .06 18% .31 68% .21 1.07 55% 30% 41% +1 0 1.06 38% 0.9 .33 20% .27 75% .20
Dec
21		 Idaho St. A+ A+ A F A+ 45% 25% 29% C- A+ D+ A+ C+ A+ B+ A+ A+ F C F F F 35% 8% 58% D F D B C C- F C- F
1.41 91% 54% 27% +16 0 1.33 26% 1.3 .35 9% .38 91% .35 1.26 57% 67% 48% +14 +1 1.33 37% 0.9 .33 17% .60 76% .46
Jan
1		 Cal St. Northridge B- A C- A+ A+ 24% 29% 47% F A+ D F F F+ C- B- C C C- A+ C+ B- 55% 7% 38% F C C- A B+ A- F B F
1.16 69% 38% 50% +14 -2 1.25 22% 0.9 .19 20% .29 78% .23 1.05 58% 0% 33% -3 +3 1.02 33% 0.8 .26 21% .43 62% .26
Jan
3		 Cal St. Bakersfield D F C- A C 34% 11% 55% B- C D+ C+ C- D A+ B- A+ F B- C- C- D 36% 25% 40% F+ D D+ F F+ F F+ F F
1.10 47% 40% 42% +3 +1 1.09 33% 1.1 .36 20% .62 75% .47 1.13 53% 38% 33% -2 -1 0.96 33% 1.2 .39 14% .42 85% .36
Jan
8		 UC Santa Barbara A+ A+ D+ A A+ 22% 22% 57% D- A C A+ B C+ B+ A+ A D+ F+ B F F 37% 18% 45% C- F A+ C+ A+ F F A+ C-
1.31 91% 36% 41% +13 -1 1.25 27% 1.4 .37 15% .40 83% .33 1.21 68% 33% 52% +15 0 1.33 14% 1.0 .14 13% .40 64% .26
Jan
10		 Cal Poly D+ D F B+ D+ 20% 33% 47% F D- F B+ D C+ B- A+ A- C- C- F A B- 28% 11% 60% A- B A+ F C- F F F F
1.06 55% 28% 38% -1 -3 0.95 23% 1.2 .28 15% .32 85% .27 1.14 60% 50% 28% -3 0 0.96 20% 1.6 .31 14% .44 93% .41
Jan
15		 Cal St. Fullerton F+ C C F F+ 47% 11% 42% B+ D A- C- B F A+ D A+ A- A A+ D+ A+ 40% 17% 42% D+ A D+ C- D+ A F A+ F
0.99 62% 40% 26% -3 +2 1.00 38% 1.0 .38 27% .57 68% .39 0.93 48% 11% 36% -7 +1 0.88 28% 1.0 .28 20% .54 59% .32
Jan
17		 UC Irvine B D F C C- 28% 21% 51% C- C- C A+ A- A- A+ D- A+ D+ B- D D- D+ 46% 28% 26% C- D+ C+ D C- B B+ F D
1.09 46% 20% 33% -8 -1 0.85 33% 1.2 .41 15% .51 67% .34 1.05 52% 43% 38% 0 0 1.02 29% 1.1 .32 20% .24 100% .24
Jan
22		 UC San Diego D F D A+ D- 38% 16% 47% B- D D+ D- D C+ A- D B C- F+ F B D- 45% 8% 47% D- D- F A+ B A F D+ F
0.99 27% 33% 41% -8 +1 0.88 24% 0.9 .22 15% .33 67% .22 1.08 68% 75% 30% +5 +2 1.16 34% 0.6 .22 22% .46 70% .33
Jan
24		 UC Riverside D+ B- F A+ B+ 43% 23% 34% C- B D D- D F+ A+ D+ A C+ A B- B A 48% 6% 46% F B C- F F C D A+ B+
1.08 63% 30% 47% +7 0 1.16 26% 0.9 .22 19% .45 68% .31 0.96 46% 33% 30% -9 +3 0.90 28% 1.3 .36 19% .34 53% .18
Jan
29		 Cal St. Northridge D C- F A- C- 35% 25% 40% D+ C- D D+ D C A- F C+ D F A+ D- F 48% 8% 43% D- F A A A C- D A+ B-
0.98 55% 21% 39% -2 -1 0.96 23% 1.1 .26 16% .37 64% .24 1.18 76% 20% 38% +10 +2 1.27 26% 0.8 .21 16% .34 52% .18
Jan
31		 Cal St. Bakersfield C C- C+ D- D 29% 29% 42% F D- D- A+ B- B+ A+ A A+ C B D- F F 39% 30% 30% D F B F D+ B C- B+ C+
1.15 57% 43% 30% -1 -2 0.96 31% 1.4 .44 14% .52 81% .42 1.03 50% 43% 43% +2 -1 1.04 28% 1.3 .34 22% .37 70% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 UC Santa Barbara A B+ F A+ A+ 50% 14% 36% A- A+ C+ F F C+ A+ A+ A+ D+ B F D B 68% 2% 30% F C F A+ C- B F C F
1.31 68% 17% 56% +14 +2 1.34 28% 0.4 .12 15% .48 88% .42 1.16 53% 100% 38% 0 +5 1.11 42% 0.8 .33 20% .41 76% .31
Feb
7		 Cal Poly F C F F+ F 42% 15% 44% C+ F+ B+ F D- F B- A+ A A+ A+ F A A+ 41% 2% 57% D A+ D+ A+ B+ A+ B- F D
0.97 60% 14% 29% -6 +1 0.92 38% 0.7 .25 22% .31 88% .28 0.84 32% 100% 27% -16 +3 0.76 33% 0.7 .23 27% .28 100% .28
Feb
12		 UC San Diego F F+ F C- D- 41% 25% 34% C- D- F+ F F D- F F F A- D+ F F F 50% 15% 35% D+ F A+ C+ A A+ A F B+
0.73 48% 29% 32% -8 0 0.86 20% 0.2 .04 18% .12 14% .02 0.97 63% 57% 41% +9 +2 1.23 17% 1.0 .17 30% .18 78% .14
Feb
14		 Long Beach St. F+ A+ F C+ B- 38% 22% 40% C- C+ C F D F F A+ F A+ A- A A+ A+ 40% 36% 24% C+ A+ C+ C- C A B- B+ B
1.01 74% 27% 35% +4 0 1.10 29% 1.0 .29 21% .18 90% .16 0.77 50% 28% 25% -10 -2 0.78 25% 1.1 .28 23% .24 69% .17
Feb
19		 Cal St. Fullerton A+ A- C- A+ A- 33% 16% 51% C A- C+ C- C A+ A+ B- A+ F F F F F 32% 21% 47% B- F F B+ D+ C+ D+ F F
1.38 71% 38% 42% +10 0 1.24 30% 1.0 .30 9% .53 75% .40 1.40 87% 70% 45% +24 -1 1.49 32% 0.9 .27 17% .34 89% .31
Feb
21		 UC Riverside C- F A+ F F+ 42% 23% 35% C- F+ F A- D C A+ A- A+ B- B- C A+ A 37% 17% 46% C- A- F D+ F+ B F C- F
1.05 45% 64% 24% -5 0 0.92 20% 1.1 .23 15% .62 77% .47 0.98 53% 38% 24% -9 0 0.85 35% 0.9 .32 22% .55 75% .41
Feb
26		 Hawaii C+ F A+ B- B- 36% 11% 52% B B A- C B+ F A+ A+ A+ D- C B- F F 54% 6% 40% F F A A+ A+ C A+ F A-
1.06 44% 60% 35% -2 +1 1.00 34% 1.0 .34 25% .50 81% .41 1.12 59% 33% 50% +10 +3 1.28 22% 0.3 .07 19% .23 85% .20



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 2.1 2.1 3rd
4th 0.7 8.9 9.6 4th
5th 18.5 4.0 22.6 5th
6th 5.5 28.7 0.0 34.3 6th
7th 21.7 3.7 25.3 7th
8th 6.1 0.0 6.2 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 33.3 51.6 15.1 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 15.1% 8.5% 8.5% 13.3 0.0 0.9 0.4 13.8
11-9 51.6% 3.0% 3.0% 13.8 0.5 0.9 0.2 50.1
10-10 33.3% 1.9% 1.9% 14.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 32.6
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 13.7 96.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.3% 100.0% 13.3 0.8 71.1 28.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.9%
Lose Out 18.6%