Hawaii
Big West
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.7#143
Expected Predictive Rating-0.7#188
Pace61.2#344
Improvement-0.1#181

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#185
First Shot-3.1#276
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#37
Layup/Dunks-1.7#237
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#175
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#145
Freethrows-2.3#313
Improvement-0.1#181

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#115
First Shot+2.5#101
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#217
Layups/Dunks-4.0#310
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#337
3 Pt Jumpshots+9.1#2
Freethrows+0.3#160
Improvement-0.1#175
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.9% 11.8% 7.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.2 14.0
.500 or above 85.9% 94.2% 82.2%
.500 or above in Conference 81.7% 87.1% 79.3%
Conference Champion 9.6% 13.5% 7.9%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.5% 1.2%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.5%
First Round8.7% 11.6% 7.4%
Second Round1.0% 1.6% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNLV (Neutral) - 30.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 35 - 46 - 8
Quad 412 - 318 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 363   Mississippi Valley W 72-54 98%     1 - 0 -3.8 +0.2 -1.3
  Nov 13, 2022 255   Eastern Washington W 71-51 81%     2 - 0 +12.3 +0.3 +13.7
  Nov 14, 2022 65   Yale L 59-62 OT 37%     2 - 1 +2.2 -9.7 +12.0
  Nov 25, 2022 260   Sacramento St. W 74-61 74%     3 - 1 +8.0 +15.1 -3.9
  Nov 26, 2022 167   Texas St. W 72-65 57%     4 - 1 +7.0 +9.4 -1.5
  Nov 30, 2022 261   Texas A&M - Commerce L 51-53 82%     4 - 2 -10.0 -20.9 +10.8
  Dec 07, 2022 78   UNLV L 61-66 31%    
  Dec 11, 2022 324   St. Francis (PA) W 73-58 92%    
  Dec 22, 2022 134   Pepperdine W 68-66 58%    
  Dec 30, 2022 161   UC Davis W 71-67 65%    
  Dec 31, 2022 285   Cal Poly W 66-55 84%    
  Jan 05, 2023 283   @ UC San Diego W 65-60 67%    
  Jan 07, 2023 211   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 64-63 54%    
  Jan 15, 2023 165   Long Beach St. W 69-65 66%    
  Jan 16, 2023 299   Cal St. Northridge W 68-56 86%    
  Jan 19, 2023 49   @ UC Irvine L 56-67 16%    
  Jan 21, 2023 152   @ UC Riverside L 62-64 41%    
  Jan 27, 2023 164   UC Santa Barbara W 64-60 65%    
  Jan 29, 2023 264   Cal St. Bakersfield W 63-53 81%    
  Feb 02, 2023 161   @ UC Davis L 68-70 44%    
  Feb 04, 2023 285   @ Cal Poly W 63-58 68%    
  Feb 10, 2023 283   UC San Diego W 68-57 84%    
  Feb 12, 2023 211   Cal St. Fullerton W 67-60 74%    
  Feb 18, 2023 165   @ Long Beach St. L 66-68 45%    
  Feb 20, 2023 264   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 60-56 64%    
  Feb 24, 2023 152   UC Riverside W 65-61 63%    
  Feb 26, 2023 49   UC Irvine L 59-64 33%    
  Mar 02, 2023 299   @ Cal St. Northridge W 65-59 71%    
  Mar 04, 2023 164   @ UC Santa Barbara L 61-63 44%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 12 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.5 2.6 1.6 0.6 0.1 9.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 3.3 6.5 6.5 3.7 1.3 0.1 22.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.6 6.1 4.4 1.4 0.2 0.0 18.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.6 5.9 2.7 0.5 0.0 15.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 4.0 4.6 2.0 0.3 0.0 12.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.3 3.7 1.0 0.1 8.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 6.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.6 0.6 0.0 3.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.4 0.0 2.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.6 3.0 5.0 7.4 9.9 11.7 13.5 12.5 11.9 9.5 6.4 3.9 1.8 0.6 0.1 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.6    0.5 0.0
18-2 91.7% 1.6    1.3 0.4
17-3 66.6% 2.6    1.7 0.8 0.0
16-4 38.8% 2.5    1.2 1.2 0.1 0.0
15-5 16.9% 1.6    0.5 0.8 0.3 0.0
14-6 4.9% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 9.6% 9.6 5.4 3.4 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 69.7% 51.5% 18.2% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 37.5%
19-1 0.6% 50.2% 40.5% 9.7% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 16.3%
18-2 1.8% 32.5% 30.4% 2.1% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.2 3.0%
17-3 3.9% 23.0% 22.8% 0.3% 12.7 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 3.0 0.3%
16-4 6.4% 18.1% 18.1% 13.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 5.2
15-5 9.5% 14.2% 14.2% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 8.2
14-6 11.9% 11.1% 11.1% 13.8 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 10.6
13-7 12.5% 8.7% 8.7% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 11.4
12-8 13.5% 6.5% 6.5% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 12.6
11-9 11.7% 4.9% 4.9% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 11.1
10-10 9.9% 3.5% 3.5% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 9.5
9-11 7.4% 2.5% 2.5% 15.8 0.0 0.2 7.2
8-12 5.0% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 4.9
7-13 3.0% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 2.9
6-14 1.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.6
5-15 0.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.9
4-16 0.3% 0.3
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 8.9% 8.8% 0.1% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.5 2.7 1.6 0.7 91.1 0.1%