Hawaii
Big West
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.3#188
Expected Predictive Rating-3.5#231
Pace67.3#229
Improvement+0.1#163

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#148
First Shot-0.7#196
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#91
Layup/Dunks+0.6#143
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#302
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#222
Freethrows+2.8#31
Improvement+0.1#162

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#241
First Shot-4.6#311
After Offensive Rebounds+2.6#43
Layups/Dunks-6.0#337
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#40
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#186
Freethrows-1.1#250
Improvement-0.1#183
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.0% 10.1% 6.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.3 14.8
.500 or above 45.5% 66.3% 39.4%
.500 or above in Conference 60.9% 73.2% 57.3%
Conference Champion 5.6% 9.2% 4.5%
Last Place in Conference 3.5% 1.7% 4.0%
First Four1.0% 0.7% 1.1%
First Round6.7% 9.8% 5.8%
Second Round0.5% 1.1% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Vanderbilt (Neutral) - 22.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 33 - 64 - 10
Quad 49 - 413 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2021 175   Northern Colorado L 78-81 59%     0 - 1 -6.7 -2.4 -4.1
  Nov 13, 2021 187   Pacific W 73-61 61%     1 - 1 +7.8 +0.2 +7.7
  Nov 25, 2021 252   Illinois-Chicago W 88-80 64%     2 - 1 +3.1 +16.2 -12.8
  Nov 26, 2021 157   South Alabama L 69-72 43%     2 - 2 -2.4 -1.3 -1.2
  Nov 30, 2021 82   @ Santa Clara L 58-70 15%     2 - 3 -2.3 -11.1 +8.8
  Dec 23, 2021 77   Vanderbilt L 66-74 23%    
  Dec 31, 2021 212   UC Davis W 75-71 64%    
  Jan 02, 2022 139   UC Riverside L 65-66 48%    
  Jan 06, 2022 208   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 69-71 42%    
  Jan 08, 2022 297   @ Long Beach St. W 78-75 62%    
  Jan 14, 2022 74   UC Irvine L 63-68 32%    
  Jan 16, 2022 193   UC San Diego W 72-69 62%    
  Jan 20, 2022 206   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 65-67 41%    
  Jan 22, 2022 316   @ Cal Poly W 69-64 65%    
  Jan 28, 2022 271   Cal St. Northridge W 71-63 76%    
  Jan 30, 2022 118   UC Santa Barbara L 68-69 46%    
  Feb 03, 2022 139   @ UC Riverside L 63-69 30%    
  Feb 05, 2022 212   @ UC Davis L 72-74 45%    
  Feb 11, 2022 297   Long Beach St. W 81-72 79%    
  Feb 13, 2022 208   Cal St. Fullerton W 72-68 64%    
  Feb 17, 2022 193   @ UC San Diego L 69-72 41%    
  Feb 19, 2022 74   @ UC Irvine L 60-71 18%    
  Feb 25, 2022 316   Cal Poly W 72-61 82%    
  Feb 27, 2022 206   Cal St. Bakersfield W 68-64 63%    
  Mar 04, 2022 118   @ UC Santa Barbara L 65-72 26%    
  Mar 05, 2022 271   @ Cal St. Northridge W 68-66 55%    
Projected Record 13 - 13 10 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 5.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.0 3.3 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.0 9.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 2.9 4.6 3.0 0.5 0.0 11.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.6 5.6 2.0 0.5 0.0 14.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 4.8 4.8 2.1 0.2 13.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 4.6 4.7 1.5 0.1 11.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 3.9 4.0 1.1 0.1 10.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.4 3.6 1.2 0.1 9.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 2.8 2.2 0.7 0.1 6.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.5 1.3 0.6 4.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.1 2.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.6 3.1 5.3 7.5 9.3 11.2 12.0 11.9 11.3 8.9 7.2 4.6 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.1 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 91.9% 0.5    0.5
17-3 77.5% 1.1    0.8 0.3
16-4 59.1% 1.7    0.9 0.7 0.1 0.0
15-5 31.8% 1.5    0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0
14-6 6.9% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.6% 5.6 3.2 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 21.2% 21.2% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-1 0.1% 34.4% 34.4% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.5% 34.0% 34.0% 12.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
17-3 1.4% 37.6% 37.6% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.9
16-4 2.9% 28.6% 28.6% 13.7 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 2.1
15-5 4.6% 19.9% 19.9% 14.1 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.7
14-6 7.2% 13.7% 13.7% 14.7 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 6.2
13-7 8.9% 11.9% 11.9% 14.9 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 7.8
12-8 11.3% 7.9% 7.9% 15.2 0.1 0.5 0.3 10.4
11-9 11.9% 4.5% 4.5% 15.4 0.3 0.2 11.3
10-10 12.0% 3.6% 3.6% 15.7 0.1 0.3 11.5
9-11 11.2% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.3 11.0
8-12 9.3% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 9.1
7-13 7.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 7.5
6-14 5.3% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 5.2
5-15 3.1% 3.1
4-16 1.6% 1.6
3-17 0.8% 0.8
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.0% 7.0% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.9 2.3 1.8 93.0 0.0%