Hawaii
Big West
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#162
Expected Predictive Rating+3.2#124
Pace65.3#283
Improvement-0.8#227

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#201
First Shot+0.5#163
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#264
Layup/Dunks+1.3#135
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#156
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#313
Freethrows+3.6#32
Improvement-1.9#311

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#154
First Shot-0.7#196
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#96
Layups/Dunks-3.5#299
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#280
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.1#5
Freethrows-4.1#350
Improvement+1.2#83
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.8% 6.0% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.9 13.2
.500 or above 65.5% 74.2% 50.0%
.500 or above in Conference 60.4% 69.6% 44.0%
Conference Champion 3.8% 5.2% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 4.3% 1.9% 8.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round4.8% 6.0% 2.7%
Second Round0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Long Beach St. (Away) - 64.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 34 - 55 - 10
Quad 410 - 315 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2024 194   San Jose St. W 80-69 65%     1 - 0 +6.6 +12.4 -4.6
  Nov 11, 2024 277   Pacific W 76-66 80%     2 - 0 +0.7 +1.5 -0.7
  Nov 17, 2024 210   Weber St. W 73-68 OT 68%     3 - 0 -0.3 -3.7 +3.4
  Nov 22, 2024 17   North Carolina L 69-87 13%     3 - 1 -6.2 +1.5 -8.2
  Dec 03, 2024 100   @ Grand Canyon L 72-78 21%     3 - 2 +2.2 -2.7 +5.5
  Dec 07, 2024 304   @ Long Beach St. W 68-64 64%    
  Dec 15, 2024 215   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 74-69 69%    
  Dec 22, 2024 205   Charlotte W 68-63 66%    
  Jan 03, 2025 126   UC Santa Barbara W 71-70 52%    
  Jan 05, 2025 228   Cal Poly W 78-72 72%    
  Jan 09, 2025 175   @ UC Riverside L 67-70 41%    
  Jan 11, 2025 307   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 68-64 64%    
  Jan 17, 2025 155   Cal St. Northridge W 74-72 58%    
  Jan 19, 2025 244   Cal St. Bakersfield W 70-63 73%    
  Jan 23, 2025 204   @ UC Davis L 68-70 44%    
  Jan 25, 2025 57   @ UC Irvine L 61-74 12%    
  Jan 31, 2025 102   UC San Diego L 67-69 42%    
  Feb 02, 2025 307   Cal St. Fullerton W 71-61 81%    
  Feb 06, 2025 228   @ Cal Poly W 76-75 51%    
  Feb 08, 2025 126   @ UC Santa Barbara L 67-73 31%    
  Feb 14, 2025 304   Long Beach St. W 71-61 81%    
  Feb 16, 2025 57   UC Irvine L 64-71 26%    
  Feb 22, 2025 102   @ UC San Diego L 64-72 24%    
  Feb 28, 2025 175   UC Riverside W 70-67 62%    
  Mar 02, 2025 204   UC Davis W 71-67 65%    
  Mar 06, 2025 244   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 67-66 53%    
  Mar 08, 2025 155   @ Cal St. Northridge L 71-75 37%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 10 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.9 3.1 2.7 1.3 0.3 0.1 10.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 3.9 4.8 3.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 13.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.8 4.8 5.3 2.4 0.4 0.0 14.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.7 5.0 4.7 1.6 0.2 13.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.9 4.3 1.1 0.1 12.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 4.1 4.0 1.0 0.1 10.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 3.4 3.1 0.8 0.0 8.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.5 2.1 0.6 0.0 6.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.1 2.4 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.7 3.2 5.1 7.2 9.4 11.6 12.2 11.9 11.4 9.3 6.8 4.4 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
18-2 89.2% 0.5    0.4 0.1
17-3 73.0% 0.9    0.7 0.3 0.0
16-4 46.3% 1.2    0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
15-5 16.4% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
14-6 4.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.8% 3.8 2.2 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 43.0% 38.0% 5.1% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 8.2%
18-2 0.5% 31.3% 31.3% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
17-3 1.3% 31.2% 31.2% 12.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9
16-4 2.6% 22.7% 22.7% 12.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.0
15-5 4.4% 18.3% 18.3% 12.7 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.6
14-6 6.8% 12.1% 12.1% 13.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 5.9
13-7 9.3% 8.4% 8.4% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 8.5
12-8 11.4% 4.9% 4.9% 13.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 10.8
11-9 11.9% 2.5% 2.5% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 11.6
10-10 12.2% 1.8% 1.8% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 12.0
9-11 11.6% 0.5% 0.5% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.6
8-12 9.4% 0.4% 0.4% 15.1 0.0 0.0 9.4
7-13 7.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.2
6-14 5.1% 5.1
5-15 3.2% 3.2
4-16 1.7% 1.7
3-17 0.9% 0.9
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 95.2 0.0%