IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Cal St. Bakersfield
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.7	#249
Expected Predictive Rating	-3.6	#300

Pace	65.9	#262
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.6	#245

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.1	#243

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.4%	2.8%	1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.1	14.0	14.7

.500 or above	30.9%	36.1%	14.0%
.500 or above in Conference	38.0%	42.1%	24.8%
Conference Champion	2.3%	2.8%	0.8%
Last Place in Conference	11.5%	9.6%	17.6%

First Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%
First Round	2.3%	2.7%	1.0%
Second Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Western Illinois (Home) - 76.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 6
Quad 3	3 - 7	3 - 12
Quad 4	10 - 6	13 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	82	@ California	L	60-87	10%	0 - 1			-17.7	-11.0	-5.5
Nov 11, 2025	334	Western Illinois	W	72-64	76%
Nov 14, 2025	35	@ Mississippi	L	60-81	3%
Nov 17, 2025	198	@ Portland St.	L	67-72	31%
Nov 22, 2025	365	Mississippi Valley	W	85-63	98%
Nov 25, 2025	87	@ Florida St.	L	66-80	11%
Nov 30, 2025	233	@ Fresno St.	L	71-75	37%
Dec 04, 2025	183	@ Cal St. Northridge	L	71-77	30%
Dec 06, 2025	124	@ UC Santa Barbara	L	63-73	19%
Dec 11, 2025	213	North Dakota St.	W	69-67	56%
Dec 13, 2025	254	Pepperdine	W	72-69	61%
Dec 23, 2025	191	Idaho	W	71-70	52%
Jan 01, 2026	107	UC Irvine	L	67-72	32%
Jan 03, 2026	215	@ UC Davis	L	66-70	35%
Jan 08, 2026	281	UC Riverside	W	71-66	65%
Jan 10, 2026	280	@ Long Beach St.	L	64-66	45%
Jan 15, 2026	124	UC Santa Barbara	L	66-70	37%
Jan 17, 2026	144	UC San Diego	L	67-69	43%
Jan 23, 2026	105	@ Hawaii	L	61-72	17%
Jan 29, 2026	275	Cal Poly	W	79-75	64%
Jan 31, 2026	215	UC Davis	W	69-67	55%
Feb 05, 2026	107	@ UC Irvine	L	64-75	17%
Feb 07, 2026	340	@ Cal St. Fullerton	W	70-68	57%
Feb 12, 2026	105	Hawaii	L	64-69	33%
Feb 19, 2026	281	@ UC Riverside	L	68-69	45%
Feb 21, 2026	340	Cal St. Fullerton	W	73-65	75%
Feb 26, 2026	144	@ UC San Diego	L	64-72	26%
Feb 28, 2026	280	Long Beach St.	W	67-63	65%
Mar 05, 2026	183	Cal St. Northridge	W	74-73	50%
Mar 07, 2026	275	@ Cal Poly	L	76-78	44%
Projected Record						13 - 17	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big West Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.1	0.3	0.6	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0		2.3	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	0.9	1.5	1.2	0.5	0.1	0.0				4.3	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.0	0.5	1.7	2.3	1.4	0.5	0.0						6.4	3rd
4th										0.1	0.7	2.8	3.2	1.6	0.3	0.0							8.7	4th
5th									0.1	1.3	3.7	3.9	1.5	0.2	0.0								10.8	5th
6th								0.2	1.7	4.4	4.0	1.4	0.1	0.0									11.9	6th
7th						0.0	0.4	2.0	4.7	4.3	1.3	0.1	0.0										12.8	7th
8th					0.1	0.5	2.6	4.8	3.7	1.1	0.1												12.9	8th
9th				0.1	0.7	2.9	4.4	3.1	0.8	0.0													12.1	9th
10th		0.0	0.2	1.4	3.1	3.3	2.1	0.5	0.0														10.6	10th
11th	0.2	0.8	1.6	2.1	1.7	0.8	0.2	0.0															7.2	11th

Total	0.2	0.8	1.8	3.6	5.5	7.6	9.6	10.7	11.1	11.3	9.8	8.7	6.7	5.0	3.4	2.2	1.2	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0			Total

Big West Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
18-2	97.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
17-3	83.0%	0.5		0.4	0.1	0.0
16-4	52.0%	0.6		0.3	0.2	0.0
15-5	26.4%	0.6		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	7.9%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
13-7	1.5%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	2.3%	2.3		1.2	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%																			0.0				0.0
19-1	0.1%		40.0%	40.0%		12.3												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
18-2	0.2%		30.3%	30.3%		12.1												0.0	0.0	0.0				0.2
17-3	0.6%		27.8%	27.8%		12.9												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.4
16-4	1.2%		25.7%	25.7%		13.2													0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.9
15-5	2.2%		15.5%	15.5%		13.8													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.9
14-6	3.4%		12.2%	12.2%		14.0													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	3.0
13-7	5.0%		7.9%	7.9%		14.5													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.0	4.6
12-8	6.7%		4.5%	4.5%		14.7														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	6.4
11-9	8.7%		1.9%	1.9%		15.2														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	8.6
10-10	9.8%		0.9%	0.9%		15.0													0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	9.8
9-11	11.3%		0.7%	0.7%		15.7																0.0	0.1	11.2
8-12	11.1%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.1
7-13	10.7%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	10.7
6-14	9.6%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	9.6
5-15	7.6%																							7.6
4-16	5.5%																							5.5
3-17	3.6%																							3.6
2-18	1.8%																							1.8
1-19	0.8%																							0.8
0-20	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		2.4%	2.4%	0.0%	14.1												0.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.7	0.3	97.6		0.0%