Cal St. Northridge
Big West
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.5#328
Expected Predictive Rating-14.8#352
Pace63.2#312
Improvement-0.1#196

Offense
Total Offense-6.4#338
First Shot-7.4#349
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#111
Layup/Dunks-5.8#356
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#65
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#301
Freethrows-0.3#195
Improvement-0.6#287

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#267
First Shot-3.4#293
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#143
Layups/Dunks+0.7#153
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#80
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#252
Freethrows-4.0#357
Improvement+0.5#102
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 57.1% 35.9% 60.9%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Santa Barbara (Home) - 15.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 31 - 101 - 15
Quad 43 - 95 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2022 211   @ Utah Tech L 63-69 17%     0 - 1 -5.3 -9.0 +3.8
  Nov 15, 2022 156   @ California Baptist L 55-62 12%     0 - 2 -3.7 -10.9 +6.7
  Nov 21, 2022 321   Tennessee St. L 73-74 49%     0 - 3 -10.1 -1.3 -8.9
  Nov 23, 2022 299   Central Michigan L 66-82 43%     0 - 4 -23.6 -8.5 -15.1
  Nov 29, 2022 36   @ Boise St. L 46-55 2%     0 - 5 +5.5 -8.9 +12.9
  Dec 07, 2022 169   @ Fresno St. L 56-65 13%     0 - 6 -6.2 -5.2 -2.1
  Dec 10, 2022 268   Northern Colorado L 63-70 45%     0 - 7 -15.3 -12.6 -3.2
  Dec 19, 2022 309   Idaho L 73-76 55%     0 - 8 -13.8 -0.6 -13.5
  Dec 22, 2022 216   San Diego W 83-78 33%     1 - 8 +0.0 -2.5 +2.2
  Dec 29, 2022 298   @ Cal Poly L 57-67 32%     1 - 9 0 - 1 -14.8 -6.9 -9.4
  Dec 31, 2022 154   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 52-64 12%     1 - 10 0 - 2 -8.7 -11.1 +1.0
  Jan 05, 2023 165   Long Beach St. L 74-84 25%     1 - 11 0 - 3 -12.6 +0.7 -13.4
  Jan 07, 2023 158   @ UC Riverside L 45-68 12%     1 - 12 0 - 4 -19.9 -24.1 +2.8
  Jan 11, 2023 174   UC Davis L 54-62 26%     1 - 13 0 - 5 -10.8 -11.4 -0.7
  Jan 14, 2023 100   UC Irvine L 57-71 15%     1 - 14 0 - 6 -12.1 -8.8 -4.8
  Jan 16, 2023 134   @ Hawaii L 51-58 10%     1 - 15 0 - 7 -2.4 -8.7 +5.2
  Jan 19, 2023 101   @ UC Santa Barbara L 52-72 7%     1 - 16 0 - 8 -12.7 -6.7 -9.5
  Jan 21, 2023 154   Cal St. Fullerton W 69-66 OT 24%     2 - 16 1 - 8 +0.9 -2.9 +3.8
  Jan 26, 2023 262   UC San Diego L 57-65 45%     2 - 17 1 - 9 -16.1 -19.8 +3.6
  Jan 28, 2023 100   @ UC Irvine L 56-81 7%     2 - 18 1 - 10 -17.7 -14.2 -2.9
  Feb 04, 2023 101   UC Santa Barbara L 58-69 15%    
  Feb 09, 2023 308   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 57-61 34%    
  Feb 11, 2023 298   Cal Poly W 61-60 54%    
  Feb 15, 2023 174   @ UC Davis L 63-75 12%    
  Feb 18, 2023 262   @ UC San Diego L 60-67 25%    
  Feb 20, 2023 158   UC Riverside L 62-69 26%    
  Feb 23, 2023 308   Cal St. Bakersfield W 60-59 56%    
  Feb 25, 2023 165   @ Long Beach St. L 65-77 12%    
  Mar 02, 2023 134   Hawaii L 57-66 22%    
Projected Record 5 - 24 4 - 16





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 0.1 2.0 3.1 1.4 0.3 0.0 6.9 8th
9th 0.8 7.7 9.5 3.2 0.4 0.0 21.5 9th
10th 2.4 13.2 14.4 3.7 0.2 0.0 33.8 10th
11th 5.3 15.5 13.5 3.2 0.2 0.0 37.6 11th
Total 5.3 17.8 27.4 25.3 15.3 6.5 1.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0% 0.0
9-11 0.0% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.0 0.0
8-12 0.4% 0.4
7-13 1.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.8
6-14 6.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.5
5-15 15.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.3
4-16 25.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 25.3
3-17 27.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 27.4
2-18 17.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 17.8
1-19 5.3% 5.3
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 5.3%