Cal St. Northridge
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -3.0 #205
Expected Predictive Rating -1.3 #181
Pace 78.9 #17
Improvement +4.9 #3

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #168 C C C- C B
Defense #271 C- C- D D C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #41 1.10 #247 +2.4 #112
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #242 0.66 #284 -1.9 #265
Three Pointers 38% #244 1.08 #97 -0.3 #193
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #181 +0.2 #178
Freethrows 16.8 #207 74% #143 12.4 #184
Second Chance 31.6% #156 0.94 #294 0.30 #226
Turnovers 17.0% #195
Total Offense -0.1 #168

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #315 1.24 #271 +2.0 #114
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #246 0.84 #293 +0.0 #193
Three Pointers 49% #25 0.98 #154 -3.3 #298
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #214 -1.3 #216
Freethrows 16.7 #163 79% #357 13.2 #234
Second Chance 27.6% #80 1.34 #361 0.37 #287
Turnovers 14.7% #296
Total Defense -2.9 #271

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.8% #76 -0.2% #146
Shot Type Make Effect -1.6% #202 2.7% #224
Possession Length 15.3 #35 17.0 #146
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 #116 0.19 #215
Improvement +3.7 #7 +1.2 #108
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 3.7% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.9 14.3
.500 or above 41.1% 58.3% 32.8%
.500 or above in Conference 47.1% 64.8% 38.5%
Conference Champion 1.1% 2.1% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 4.8% 1.5% 6.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round2.2% 3.7% 1.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Davis (Away) - 32.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 34 - 74 - 12
Quad 411 - 415 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 93 @Northern Iowa L 57-86 13%     -16.7   0 - 1 -20.0 -7.6 -11.6
  Sun, Nov 9 329 @North Dakota W 93-85 67%     3.6   1 - 1 +0.5 +10.4 -10.5
  Tue, Nov 11 144 @North Dakota St. L 68-90 26%     -5.3   1 - 2 -18.2 -11.9 -3.4
  Sun, Nov 16 131 Troy W 94-85 43%     3.6   2 - 2 +7.9 +16.4 -8.9
  Wed, Nov 26 175 Idaho L 64-78 43%     -4.3   2 - 3 -15.1 -13.5 -1.0
  Fri, Nov 28 170 Idaho St. L 50-82 42%     -18.1   2 - 4 -32.9 -28.1 -2.4
  Thu, Dec 4 303 Cal St. Bakersfield W 87-66 78%     6.7   3 - 4 1 - 0 +9.7 +4.9 +3.6
  Sat, Dec 6 133 @UC Irvine L 71-85 23%     0.0   3 - 5 1 - 1 -9.1 +5.0 -14.2
  Wed, Dec 10 181 Fresno St. W 89-87 55%     3.8   4 - 5 -2.4 +13.8 -16.2
  Sat, Dec 13 298 @Delaware W 88-66 57%     18.7   5 - 5 +17.1 +17.5 +0.4
  Mon, Dec 22 276 Sacramento St. W 100-88 73%     4.2   6 - 5 +2.6 +9.2 -8.3
  Sat, Dec 27 91 @Stanford L 80-88 13%     -0.9   6 - 6 +1.1 +7.5 -5.8
  Thu, Jan 1 174 @UC Davis L 79-84 33%    
  Sat, Jan 3 148 UC Santa Barbara L 79-80 47%    
  Thu, Jan 8 258 Cal Poly W 93-87 70%    
  Sat, Jan 10 260 @Cal St. Fullerton L 88-89 49%    
  Thu, Jan 15 84 @UC San Diego L 75-88 11%    
  Sat, Jan 17 270 Long Beach St. W 83-77 71%    
  Sun, Jan 25 110 @Hawaii L 72-82 18%    
  Thu, Jan 29 174 UC Davis W 82-81 54%    
  Sat, Jan 31 84 UC San Diego L 78-85 26%    
  Thu, Feb 5 258 @Cal Poly L 89-90 48%    
  Sat, Feb 7 268 UC Riverside W 84-78 71%    
  Sat, Feb 14 110 Hawaii L 75-79 37%    
  Thu, Feb 19 148 @UC Santa Barbara L 76-83 27%    
  Sat, Feb 21 270 @Long Beach St. W 81-80 49%    
  Thu, Feb 26 133 UC Irvine L 76-78 44%    
  Sat, Feb 28 268 @UC Riverside W 81-80 50%    
  Thu, Mar 5 303 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 82-80 58%    
  Sat, Mar 7 260 Cal St. Fullerton W 91-85 69%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 3.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 2.1 2.9 1.4 0.3 7.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 4.2 4.6 1.8 0.3 0.0 12.5 4th
5th 0.3 2.4 6.7 5.4 2.1 0.3 17.3 5th
6th 0.3 3.1 7.0 5.2 1.4 0.2 0.0 17.1 6th
7th 0.3 2.6 6.4 4.6 1.0 0.1 14.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 4.6 3.5 0.7 0.0 10.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 3.3 2.4 0.6 0.0 7.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.2 1.5 0.3 0.0 5.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.1 2.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 4.4 7.0 10.2 13.8 14.8 14.5 11.9 9.3 5.8 3.3 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-3 87.5% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
16-4 45.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 28.2% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1
14-6 5.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.1
16-4 0.5% 5.9% 5.9% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.5
15-5 1.5% 15.4% 15.4% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.3
14-6 3.3% 11.8% 11.8% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.9
13-7 5.8% 7.7% 7.7% 13.9 0.1 0.3 0.1 5.4
12-8 9.3% 3.9% 3.9% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 8.9
11-9 11.9% 2.8% 2.8% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 11.6
10-10 14.5% 1.0% 1.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.4
9-11 14.8% 0.7% 0.7% 15.4 0.1 0.0 14.7
8-12 13.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.8
7-13 10.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.2
6-14 7.0% 7.0
5-15 4.4% 4.4
4-16 1.9% 1.9
3-17 0.7% 0.7
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.6 0.1 97.8 0.0%