Cal St. Northridge
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -0.7 167
Results Rating +0.6 147
Consistency 0.18 301
Pace 81.0 3
Improvement +6.6 13

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 180 C C C- D+ B
Defense C 165 C C C- C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 49% 5 C- 56% 229 +5.0 30
2 Pt. Jumpers 41% 137 D 33% 318 -2.1 284
Three Pointers 34% 322 C+ 35% 144 -3.2 287
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.2 41 C- -1.5 228
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 183
Second Chance C+ 32.5% 110 C- 1.00 231 C 0.32 146
Opponents' Steals D+ 10.6% 294
Other Turnovers B- 6.7% 100
Turnovers C- 17.3% 223
Freethrows C 0.30 184 F 65% 358 D+ 0.20 264
Total Offense C -0.8 180

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B 56% 61 C- 12.0% 247
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 29% 120 C- 6.3% 267
Three Pointers B 90% 60 D+ 1.3% 286
Total B 61% 61 D- 7.4% 331


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 320 C 57% 158 -3.5 65
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 260 C- 39% 235 -0.8 124
Three Pointers 49% 11 C+ 33% 151 +3.7 332
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 152 C -0.5 160
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 154
Second Chance B- 27.8% 86 D- 1.16 335 C 0.32 220
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.6% 248
Other Turnovers C 7.2% 187
Turnovers C- 15.8% 237
Freethrows C 0.30 178 D 75% 327 C 0.23 216
Total Defense C +0.1 165

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D- 56% 331 C- 9.5% 228
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 174 D+ 3.4% 268
Three Pointers C+ 82% 132 C+ 1.3% 94
Total D 61% 305 D+ 4.3% 278

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.1 16 16.9 101
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 155 0.20 284
Consistency 0.15 334 0.11 58
Improvement +1.7 102 +4.9 14

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 192 169 147
Results Rating Rank 181 152 130
Conference Record 11 - 9 13 - 7 13 - 7
Conference Finish 5 3 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 14
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8% 8% 6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.8 14.3
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round8% 8% 6%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Cal St. Bakersfield (Away) - 76.2% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 37 - 58 - 10
Quad 410 - 418 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 95 @Northern Iowa L 57 - 86 18% -17  7% 0 - 1 F -20 F -12 F D- F D- -8 D D+ C-
 Sun, Nov 9 304 @North Dakota W 93 - 85 67% +4  66% 1 - 1 C+ +3 B- +5 B- C+ D+ C- -3 D D- F
 Tue, Nov 11 130 @North Dakota St. L 68 - 90 29% -5  20% 1 - 2 F+ -17 F -15 F B+ F C+ +0 A+ F F+
 Sun, Nov 16 150 Troy W 94 - 85 57% +4  74% 2 - 2 B- +6 A +13 A- A+ D D- -7 F+ A+ F
 Wed, Nov 26 188 Idaho L 64 - 78 54% -4  30% 2 - 3 F+ -16 F -15 F C+ C C -0 A F D+
 Fri, Nov 28 259 Idaho St. L 50 - 82 67% -18  10% 2 - 4 F -37 F -34 F D F C -1 C- F C+
 Thu, Dec 4 330 Cal St. Bakersfield W 87 - 66 89% +7  73% 3 - 4 1 - 0 B- +7 C- -0 B- B C B+ +6 A+ F A
 Sat, Dec 6 125 @UC Irvine L 71 - 85 27% +0  56% 3 - 5 1 - 1 D -8 B- +5 C+ F+ A+ F -13 C F D-
 Wed, Dec 10 133 Fresno St. W 89 - 87 52% +4  72% 4 - 5 C +1 A +13 A+ F B F -13 F A- D
 Sat, Dec 13 272 @Delaware W 88 - 66 60% +19  98% 5 - 5 A +19 A +13 A+ D+ C+ B+ +6 B C+ A
 Mon, Dec 22 283 Sacramento St. W 100 - 88 81% +4  77% 6 - 5 C+ +2 B- +4 A- F B+ D+ -3 C B+ F
 Sat, Dec 27 66 @Stanford L 80 - 88 12% -1  45% 6 - 6 C+ +4 B- +5 A- F C- C -1 F A+ B
 Thu, Jan 1 176 @UC Davis L 80 - 89 40% -6  21% 6 - 7 1 - 2 D+ -7 C- -1 D+ D+ D D -5 F A- B-
 Sat, Jan 3 142 UC Santa Barbara W 74 - 65 55% +6  94% 7 - 7 2 - 2 B- +7 D- -8 D+ B- F A+ +14 A+ A C+
 Thu, Jan 8 227 Cal Poly W 95 - 90 72% -3  18% 8 - 7 3 - 2 C- -2 C+ +2 A B- D+ D+ -5 C+ C- F
 Sat, Jan 10 207 @Cal St. Fullerton L 79 - 86 45% +1  65% 8 - 8 3 - 3 D+ -6 D -5 D+ D+ C C -1 D C D+
 Thu, Jan 15 131 @UC San Diego W 84 - 79 30% +2  62% 9 - 8 4 - 3 B +10 A- +10 C- A A+ C -1 A F+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 269 Long Beach St. L 80 - 87 79% -0  38% 9 - 9 4 - 4 F+ -16 F+ -9 F A- D D -6 D- B- D+
 Sat, Jan 24 121 @Hawaii L 68 - 89 26% -9  1% 9 - 10 4 - 5 F+ -15 D- -8 C- D- D D -5 F A B+
 Thu, Jan 29 176 UC Davis W 94 - 78 63% +4  53% 10 - 10 5 - 5 B+ +12 B- +5 A D- B+ B +5 B C+ D+
 Sat, Jan 31 131 UC San Diego W 81 - 64 52% +7  80% 11 - 10 6 - 5 A- +16 C +2 B A- F A+ +13 A+ C+ D+
 Thu, Feb 5 227 @Cal Poly W 97 - 96 50% +5  80% 12 - 10 7 - 5 C +0 B+ +8 A- B+ C- F+ -8 F C- D+
 Sat, Feb 7 276 UC Riverside W 88 - 74 79% +3  66% 13 - 10 8 - 5 C+ +5 B +6 A B+ C C- -2 B- D- C-
 Sat, Feb 14 121 Hawaii W 84 - 60 48% +14  95% 14 - 10 9 - 5 A+ +24 A- +10 A+ C C- A+ +14 A- A A+
 Thu, Feb 19 142 @UC Santa Barbara W 85 - 83 OT 32% -2  29% 15 - 10 10 - 5 B- +6 D+ -4 F B- A+ A +10 A+ B+ C+
 Sat, Feb 21 269 @Long Beach St. W 78 - 76 59% +8  91% 16 - 10 11 - 5 C -1 C- -1 F A+ A C -0 D D C+
 Thu, Feb 26 125 UC Irvine L 67 - 68 48% -3  25% 16 - 11 11 - 6 C -1 D -6 C B F B +4 C+ D A+
 Sat, Feb 28 276 @UC Riverside L 84 - 95 60% -5  29% 16 - 12 11 - 7 D- -14 C- -1 F B B- F -12 C D- F
 Thu, Mar 5 330 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 87 - 79 76%
 Sat, Mar 7 207 Cal St. Fullerton W 90 - 85 68%
Totals 17 - 13 12 - 8 -1 C -1 A C- B C +0 C+ F D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C- D C+ C- 49% 41% 34% B C C+ C- C C- C F D+ C C C- C+ C 33% 18% 49% C C B- D- C C- C D C
1.07 56% 33% 35% -1 +1 1.01 32% 1.0 .32 17% .30 65% .20 1.08 57% 39% 33% -1 0 1.01 28% 1.2 .32 16% .30 75% .23
Nov
6		 Northern Iowa F F C+ D+ F 36% 21% 43% C- F B- F D- F A+ B- A+ D- D- A+ D- D 42% 8% 49% D- D B F D+ C- A F B+
0.79 29% 40% 30% -13 0 0.77 29% 0.5 .13 28% .44 74% .33 1.20 68% 20% 38% +6 +2 1.17 18% 1.5 .27 14% .16 80% .13
Nov
9		 North Dakota B- A- F A+ B 47% 20% 33% D+ B- A- D- C+ D+ A+ F B+ C- F B+ A+ D- 34% 17% 48% B D B+ F D- F C- B+ C+
1.23 71% 20% 47% +9 +1 1.22 42% 1.0 .42 21% .52 61% .32 1.12 80% 30% 25% 0 0 1.02 23% 1.6 .36 11% .34 65% .22
Nov
11		 North Dakota St. F D- F F F 50% 23% 27% B- F C+ A+ B+ F C+ F+ C- C+ B- F+ A+ A+ 30% 18% 52% C- A+ F F F F+ F D- F
0.84 54% 23% 20% -11 0 0.80 31% 1.2 .36 25% .26 69% .18 1.12 56% 45% 22% -9 0 0.84 39% 1.4 .54 12% .37 77% .28
Nov
16		 Troy A B- A+ B B 56% 9% 35% A+ A- A+ A+ A+ D C- D+ C- D- F+ F C- F 37% 9% 54% C F+ A+ A+ A+ F D F F
1.29 60% 60% 37% +5 +3 1.17 45% 1.3 .61 19% .27 69% .19 1.16 65% 60% 34% +5 +1 1.15 21% 0.7 .15 11% .34 86% .29
Nov
26		 Idaho F A F F F 36% 24% 40% C+ F C B- C+ C B+ F+ C+ C C- A A+ A+ 26% 7% 67% C- A C F F D+ F F F
0.87 70% 23% 14% -11 -1 0.78 26% 1.1 .28 15% .40 68% .27 1.06 57% 25% 25% -10 +1 0.83 29% 1.6 .47 15% .43 81% .35
Nov
28		 Idaho St. F F F F F 21% 26% 53% F F C F D F C- C+ C C A F C+ D 25% 22% 53% A C- A F F C+ C D- D+
0.66 25% 13% 20% -25 -2 0.49 30% 0.9 .26 20% .31 79% .25 1.09 46% 73% 33% +4 -1 1.08 25% 1.9 .46 19% .31 79% .24
Dec
4		 Cal St. Bakersfield C- C A+ C- C 57% 8% 35% A+ B- B- B- B C B F F+ B+ A+ A A+ A+ 31% 31% 38% C A+ F F F A F+ D- F
1.17 59% 75% 33% +3 +3 1.14 41% 1.1 .46 18% .41 52% .21 0.89 40% 27% 22% -16 -2 0.67 38% 1.2 .45 24% .43 79% .34
Dec
6		 UC Irvine B- D- F A+ C 48% 19% 33% B+ C+ F D- F+ A+ B F C F A- D D- C 42% 27% 31% C- C F F F D- D- C+ D
1.02 43% 27% 42% -5 +1 0.93 24% 0.8 .19 10% .29 61% .18 1.22 45% 43% 38% -2 -1 0.96 41% 1.9 .76 14% .35 67% .23
Dec
10		 Fresno St. A B A+ A+ A+ 48% 11% 41% A A+ C F F B C- A+ B F D B F F 37% 11% 52% D- F A- B+ A- D B- F C-
1.25 65% 67% 45% +14 +2 1.33 29% 0.6 .18 17% .24 93% .22 1.22 65% 33% 46% +12 +1 1.28 23% 0.9 .20 15% .27 88% .23
Dec
13		 Delaware A D- A+ A+ A+ 43% 19% 38% B+ A+ A- F D+ C+ D D+ D- B+ A+ F C- B+ 29% 13% 58% D+ B F+ A+ C+ A F C F
1.30 52% 70% 50% +13 +1 1.28 38% 0.7 .26 13% .24 79% .19 0.98 43% 50% 36% -1 0 1.00 26% 0.6 .15 22% .34 78% .27
Dec
22		 Sacramento St. B- B- A+ B A- 50% 9% 41% B A- F F F B+ A+ B+ A+ D+ B+ F+ B C 32% 32% 35% B+ C A+ F B+ F D+ F F+
1.23 62% 80% 38% +8 +2 1.22 25% 0.7 .17 13% .43 77% .33 1.08 48% 43% 30% -4 -2 0.91 15% 1.5 .23 10% .37 89% .33
Dec
27		 Stanford B- D+ F+ A+ B+ 44% 21% 35% B A- F F F C- A+ B+ A+ C D+ B- F F 39% 7% 54% C F A+ A+ A+ B F B- F
1.06 52% 30% 47% +3 0 1.08 17% 0.8 .13 20% .50 80% .40 1.17 61% 33% 44% +9 +2 1.24 24% 0.5 .12 17% .61 71% .43
Jan
1		 UC Davis C- C F C- D- 55% 7% 38% A D+ C+ F D+ D A+ F B D F C- F F 24% 29% 47% A+ F B+ A- A- B- B+ D+ B
1.05 58% 0% 33% -3 +3 1.02 33% 0.8 .26 21% .43 62% .26 1.16 69% 38% 50% +14 -2 1.25 22% 0.9 .19 20% .29 78% .23
Jan
3		 UC Santa Barbara D- B- A+ F D- 52% 14% 33% A- D+ B C- B- F A+ F A+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ 46% 5% 48% F A+ A A- A C+ D+ F D-
1.01 64% 67% 14% -3 +2 1.00 31% 1.1 .34 22% .65 62% .40 0.89 54% 0% 19% -15 +3 0.77 24% 0.9 .21 19% .34 85% .29
Jan
8		 Cal Poly C+ C B- A+ A 53% 13% 34% B+ A A D- B- D+ A+ F B D+ C A- D+ C- 23% 13% 64% A C+ A F C- F C B- C
1.17 61% 43% 50% +10 +2 1.26 41% 0.9 .38 17% .40 59% .24 1.11 57% 25% 36% 0 0 1.02 23% 1.4 .32 16% .31 76% .24
Jan
10		 Cal St. Fullerton D C F C D 47% 15% 38% B D+ D+ C- D+ C D- F F C C A+ F D+ 41% 15% 44% D- D B- D- C D+ F B F+
1.01 61% 22% 35% -1 +1 1.03 26% 1.0 .26 18% .25 38% .09 1.10 59% 25% 42% +4 +1 1.11 23% 1.1 .26 14% .42 68% .28
Jan
15		 UC San Diego A- D B+ D C- 48% 20% 31% B- C- A- A A A+ A+ D- A+ C B+ D+ A+ A 38% 17% 45% B- A B+ F F+ F C- D- D+
1.16 50% 45% 29% -5 +1 0.94 36% 1.2 .44 10% .44 66% .29 1.09 52% 40% 26% -7 +1 0.88 21% 1.7 .36 8% .29 74% .21
Jan
17		 Long Beach St. F+ F D- F F 56% 11% 33% A F A- C A- D A+ D+ A D F C C- F+ 26% 20% 54% D D- A F B- D+ F F F
1.01 47% 33% 22% -13 +2 0.81 37% 1.3 .46 19% .45 72% .33 1.10 79% 36% 34% +5 -1 1.11 18% 1.3 .24 16% .42 82% .35
Jan
24		 Hawaii D- F+ B C- C 45% 28% 28% D+ C- A- F D- D C- F F D D+ F F F 30% 19% 51% A- F D A+ A B+ F C F
0.88 46% 44% 31% -5 0 0.91 35% 0.5 .19 18% .30 47% .14 1.15 63% 50% 41% +9 0 1.19 34% 0.6 .21 22% .48 72% .35
Jan
29		 UC Davis B- A+ F B+ A 48% 8% 43% B+ A D F+ D- B+ B- F F+ B B- A+ D- B 35% 25% 40% B- B B D C+ D+ D+ A+ B-
1.18 76% 20% 38% +10 +2 1.27 26% 0.8 .21 16% .34 52% .18 0.98 55% 21% 39% -2 -1 0.96 23% 1.1 .26 16% .37 64% .24
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 UC San Diego C C B+ C B- 48% 17% 35% B B A+ C- A- F A+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ B A+ 43% 16% 41% C+ A+ D+ A- C+ D+ C- A+ A-
1.08 56% 44% 33% 0 +1 1.04 40% 1.0 .40 21% .39 78% .30 0.85 42% 22% 30% -12 +1 0.80 29% 0.9 .25 15% .28 44% .12
Feb
5		 Cal Poly B+ D A+ A+ A- 49% 17% 33% B- A- D A+ B+ C- F D+ F F+ F D- F 33% 0% 67% D+ F A+ F C- D+ A F B
1.22 55% 55% 48% +8 +1 1.21 27% 1.6 .43 16% .15 70% .10 1.20 74% 38% +10 +2 1.26 16% 2.0 .32 19% .22 93% .20
Feb
7		 UC Riverside B C+ B A+ A 62% 17% 21% A- A C- A+ B+ C C+ F F C- C D- A- B- 25% 13% 63% C B- F C D- C- A F B-
1.21 61% 44% 55% +9 +2 1.25 29% 1.3 .39 15% .36 45% .16 1.02 57% 43% 29% -5 0 0.93 35% 0.9 .30 18% .22 92% .20
Feb
14		 Hawaii A- D+ C- A+ A+ 48% 21% 31% C+ A+ D A+ C C- B B- B A+ A D- A- A 35% 14% 51% B- A- C+ A+ A A+ D+ A C+
1.17 52% 36% 56% +7 +1 1.17 21% 1.3 .27 17% .35 71% .25 0.84 47% 43% 28% -8 +1 0.88 29% 0.7 .20 25% .37 65% .24
Feb
19		 UC Santa Barbara D+ D- F F F 48% 27% 24% C F B C B- A+ B F+ C A A+ A+ C+ A+ 20% 18% 63% B+ A+ B B+ B+ C+ F D- F
1.02 53% 22% 19% -12 0 0.77 32% 1.1 .36 7% .39 67% .26 1.00 45% 20% 34% -5 -1 0.89 27% 0.9 .25 19% .48 81% .39
Feb
21		 Long Beach St. C- F+ F F F 68% 16% 16% A F A- A A+ A F+ F F C B B- F D 25% 29% 45% B- D C- F+ D C+ D- C D
1.09 50% 22% 22% -11 +3 0.86 37% 1.5 .55 13% .29 50% .14 1.06 54% 33% 43% +4 -2 1.06 27% 1.2 .33 18% .32 74% .24
Feb
26		 UC Irvine D C- C+ F D 58% 10% 33% A+ C B B- B F A+ F A- B B F+ A- C+ 47% 25% 27% D C+ B F D A+ A F B
0.92 50% 40% 24% -10 +3 0.88 38% 1.0 .38 23% .37 62% .23 0.93 50% 46% 29% -4 0 0.94 27% 1.4 .37 25% .20 82% .16
Feb
28		 UC Riverside C- C+ F F F 58% 16% 26% A- F C+ A- B B- C B C+ F D+ F A C+ 37% 8% 55% F+ C F+ D D- F D F+ D-
1.06 61% 10% 19% -9 +2 0.89 33% 1.1 .37 14% .34 74% .25 1.20 61% 60% 26% -3 +2 0.98 33% 0.9 .31 8% .34 80% .27



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 3.4 3.4 2nd
3rd 30.7 48.5 79.1 3rd
4th 1.5 9.2 10.7 4th
5th 5.7 5.7 5th
6th 1.0 1.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 8.2 39.9 51.9 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 51.9% 9.2% 9.2% 13.6 0.1 1.9 2.4 0.3 47.2
12-8 39.9% 7.0% 7.0% 14.3 0.3 1.6 0.9 0.0 37.1
11-9 8.2% 2.4% 2.4% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.0
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 7.8% 7.8% 0.0% 13.9 92.2 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.8% 100.0% 13.6 1.6 40.9 50.7 6.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 7.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 17.2%
Lose Out 4.3%