IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

UC Riverside
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.3	#258
Expected Predictive Rating	-3.6	#225

Pace	67.5	#236
Improvement	+1.6	#73

Offense
Total Offense	-1.7	#216

First Shot	+2.3	#115
After Offensive Rebound	-3.9	#350

Layup/Dunks	+0.4	#159
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.6	#97
3 Pt Jumpshots	-0.9	#209
Freethrows	+1.1	#115

Improvement	+2.7	#20

Defense
Total Defense	-3.7	#292

First Shot	-5.0	#336
After Offensive Rebounds	+1.3	#96

Layups/Dunks	-4.8	#326
2 Pt Jumpshots	-2.2	#308
3 Pt Jumpshots	+1.6	#129
Freethrows	+0.3	#157

Improvement	-1.0	#281

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.9%	0.8%	0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.9	13.0	14.9

.500 or above	12.6%	47.6%	12.5%
.500 or above in Conference	33.5%	56.5%	33.4%
Conference Champion	0.6%	1.6%	0.6%
Last Place in Conference	9.1%	2.4%	9.1%

First Four	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%
First Round	0.8%	0.8%	0.8%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: BYU (Away) - 0.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 4	0 - 7
Quad 3	3 - 7	3 - 13
Quad 4	9 - 6	12 - 19

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Thu, Nov 6	337 @North Dakota	W	74-70	59%	1 - 0			-3.8	-2.0	-1.8
Tue, Nov 11	84 @New Mexico	L	68-82	9%	1 - 1			-4.5	+4.0	-9.1
Sat, Nov 15	337 North Dakota	L	74-76	79%	1 - 2			-15.8	-8.6	-7.0
Tue, Nov 18	131 @California Baptist	L	57-80	17%	1 - 3			-18.0	-17.3	+1.1
Fri, Nov 21	264 @San Diego	W	85-71	39%	2 - 3			+11.5	+12.5	-0.6
Mon, Nov 24	284 Grambling St.	W	83-74	66%	3 - 3			-0.6	+8.1	-8.6
Sat, Nov 29	257 @Utah Tech	L	69-77	38%	3 - 4			-10.3	+3.4	-14.6
Thu, Dec 4	120 @UC Irvine	L	60-73	15%	3 - 5	0 - 1		-7.1	-2.9	-4.5
Sat, Dec 6	252 @Cal Poly	W	88-84	38%	4 - 5	1 - 1		+1.9	+12.3	-10.5
Sat, Dec 13	9 @BYU	L	61-89	0.4%
Sat, Dec 20	169 @St. Thomas	L	70-78	24%
Tue, Dec 23	27 @UCLA	L	60-82	2%
Thu, Jan 1	104 Hawaii	L	70-77	27%
Thu, Jan 8	295 @Cal St. Bakersfield	L	75-76	47%
Sat, Jan 10	103 UC San Diego	L	71-78	26%
Thu, Jan 15	280 @Long Beach St.	L	72-74	44%
Sat, Jan 17	303 Cal St. Fullerton	W	84-78	70%
Thu, Jan 22	120 UC Irvine	L	67-72	32%
Sat, Jan 24	170 @UC Davis	L	68-75	26%
Thu, Jan 29	280 Long Beach St.	W	75-71	64%
Sat, Jan 31	252 Cal Poly	W	83-80	60%
Thu, Feb 5	303 @Cal St. Fullerton	L	81-82	49%
Sat, Feb 7	261 @Cal St. Northridge	L	76-79	40%
Thu, Feb 12	141 UC Santa Barbara	L	72-76	37%
Sat, Feb 14	103 @UC San Diego	L	68-81	12%
Thu, Feb 19	295 Cal St. Bakersfield	W	78-73	67%
Sat, Feb 21	170 UC Davis	L	71-72	45%
Thu, Feb 26	141 @UC Santa Barbara	L	69-79	19%
Sat, Feb 28	261 Cal St. Northridge	W	79-76	61%
Fri, Mar 6	104 @Hawaii	L	67-80	13%
Projected Record					12 - 18	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big West Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0				0.6	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0					1.6	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.3	1.2	1.6	0.7	0.1	0.0						4.0	3rd
4th										0.1	0.9	2.6	3.0	1.4	0.2	0.0							8.2	4th
5th									0.2	2.0	4.7	4.5	1.8	0.3	0.0								13.4	5th
6th							0.0	0.5	3.2	6.5	5.2	1.5	0.2	0.0									17.1	6th
7th						0.0	0.5	3.6	6.8	4.5	1.0	0.1											16.5	7th
8th					0.0	0.4	2.9	6.2	3.8	0.7	0.1												14.1	8th
9th				0.0	0.4	2.7	4.9	2.9	0.5	0.0													11.5	9th
10th			0.0	0.5	2.1	3.3	1.9	0.3	0.0														8.2	10th
11th		0.1	0.5	1.5	1.6	1.0	0.1	0.0															4.9	11th

Total		0.1	0.6	2.0	4.1	7.5	10.3	13.4	14.7	13.8	12.0	9.0	6.2	3.7	1.6	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0					Total

Big West Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-3	90.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-4	63.8%	0.2		0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
15-5	28.7%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	6.8%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.8%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.6%	0.6		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2	0.0%																			0.0				0.0
17-3	0.1%		20.0%	20.0%		13.0														0.0				0.1
16-4	0.3%		20.0%	20.0%		13.9													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.2
15-5	0.7%		13.9%	13.9%		14.0														0.0	0.1	0.0		0.6
14-6	1.6%		6.4%	6.4%		14.3													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		1.5
13-7	3.7%		4.3%	4.3%		14.5														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	3.6
12-8	6.2%		2.1%	2.1%		15.1															0.0	0.1	0.0	6.1
11-9	9.0%		1.4%	1.4%		15.5															0.0	0.1	0.1	8.9
10-10	12.0%		0.9%	0.9%		15.7																0.0	0.1	11.8
9-11	13.8%		0.3%	0.3%		15.9																0.0	0.0	13.8
8-12	14.7%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	14.6
7-13	13.4%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	13.4
6-14	10.3%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	10.3
5-15	7.5%																							7.5
4-16	4.1%																							4.1
3-17	2.0%																							2.0
2-18	0.6%																							0.6
1-19	0.1%																							0.1
0-20

Total	100%		0.9%	0.9%	0.0%	14.9													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	99.1		0.0%