UC San Diego
Big West
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.4#262
Expected Predictive Rating-5.1#261
Pace64.1#290
Improvement+0.6#111

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#263
First Shot-2.0#252
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#236
Layup/Dunks+1.4#111
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#204
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#236
Freethrows-2.0#319
Improvement+0.3#143

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#253
First Shot-1.5#233
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#287
Layups/Dunks+1.2#130
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#298
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#283
Freethrows+1.1#94
Improvement+0.3#131
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.3% 0.9% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 3.5% 4.3% 3.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.9% 2.4% 3.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Diego (Away) - 28.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 33 - 104 - 16
Quad 46 - 410 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 142   Seattle L 71-85 34%     0 - 1 -15.1 +3.9 -19.8
  Nov 12, 2022 219   Sacramento St. L 55-65 49%     0 - 2 -15.2 -10.0 -7.2
  Nov 15, 2022 224   California W 64-62 51%     1 - 2 -3.7 -1.4 -2.0
  Nov 18, 2022 212   @ Navy L 69-78 OT 28%     1 - 3 -8.4 -7.9 +0.0
  Nov 19, 2022 131   Youngstown St. L 54-73 24%     1 - 4 -16.9 -18.0 -0.5
  Nov 22, 2022 191   @ George Washington W 75-70 25%     2 - 4 +6.6 +3.2 +3.5
  Nov 27, 2022 302   @ Eastern Michigan W 66-63 49%     3 - 4 -2.0 -9.1 +7.2
  Dec 12, 2022 216   @ San Diego L 71-77 28%    
  Dec 14, 2022 59   @ Nevada L 56-64 7%     3 - 5 +3.7 -7.3 +10.4
  Dec 20, 2022 33   @ San Diego St. L 46-62 4%     3 - 6 -1.1 -19.0 +17.7
  Dec 29, 2022 165   @ Long Beach St. W 85-83 OT 21%     4 - 6 1 - 0 +4.9 +1.4 +3.2
  Dec 31, 2022 101   @ UC Santa Barbara L 61-82 12%     4 - 7 1 - 1 -13.7 -1.0 -14.8
  Jan 05, 2023 134   Hawaii L 49-62 33%     4 - 8 1 - 2 -13.9 -13.5 -2.6
  Jan 11, 2023 158   UC Riverside L 68-74 38%     4 - 9 1 - 3 -8.3 -4.5 -4.0
  Jan 14, 2023 308   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 52-56 50%     4 - 10 1 - 4 -9.3 -9.4 -0.8
  Jan 16, 2023 174   UC Davis L 70-78 40%     4 - 11 1 - 5 -10.8 -0.2 -11.1
  Jan 19, 2023 298   @ Cal Poly W 71-64 48%     5 - 11 2 - 5 +2.2 +5.0 -2.1
  Jan 21, 2023 165   Long Beach St. L 110-112 3OT 39%     5 - 12 2 - 6 -4.6 +4.8 -8.7
  Jan 26, 2023 328   @ Cal St. Northridge W 65-57 55%     6 - 12 3 - 6 +1.2 -9.4 +10.7
  Jan 28, 2023 158   @ UC Riverside L 65-72 21%     6 - 13 3 - 7 -3.9 -0.7 -3.8
  Feb 02, 2023 100   UC Irvine L 65-72 25%    
  Feb 04, 2023 308   Cal St. Bakersfield W 64-59 70%    
  Feb 10, 2023 134   @ Hawaii L 59-69 17%    
  Feb 15, 2023 154   Cal St. Fullerton L 63-66 39%    
  Feb 18, 2023 328   Cal St. Northridge W 67-60 75%    
  Feb 20, 2023 174   @ UC Davis L 67-75 22%    
  Feb 23, 2023 100   @ UC Irvine L 62-75 11%    
  Feb 25, 2023 101   UC Santa Barbara L 62-69 26%    
  Mar 02, 2023 298   Cal Poly W 65-60 68%    
  Mar 04, 2023 154   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 60-69 20%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 1.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.4 1.2 0.1 7.4 7th
8th 0.2 5.3 18.5 23.2 15.1 4.2 0.3 0.0 66.8 8th
9th 0.0 2.2 7.9 6.4 1.8 0.2 0.0 18.6 9th
10th 0.3 2.2 1.4 0.2 0.0 4.1 10th
11th 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.7 11th
Total 0.7 4.9 14.7 25.1 25.4 17.5 8.2 2.8 0.6 0.1 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.1% 0.1
11-9 0.6% 0.6
10-10 2.8% 2.8
9-11 8.2% 8.2
8-12 17.5% 17.5
7-13 25.4% 25.4
6-14 25.1% 25.1
5-15 14.7% 14.7
4-16 4.9% 4.9
3-17 0.7% 0.7
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%