UC San Diego
Big West
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +1.8 131
Results Rating +2.7 122
Consistency 0.15 171
Pace 68.1 190
Improvement -5.0 343

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 200 C+ D+ C+ D B
Defense B- 88 B- C+ C- B C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 103 C+ 60% 116 +2.6 91
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 294 D+ 35% 262 -2.9 309
Three Pointers 44% 107 C 34% 164 +2.0 113
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.0 56 C +0.6 144
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.05 124
Second Chance D+ 26.2% 296 C 1.02 206 D+ 0.27 278
Opponents' Steals C 9.2% 160
Other Turnovers C+ 6.9% 128
Turnovers C+ 16.1% 140
Freethrows D 0.27 287 D 68% 311 D 0.18 317
Total Offense C- -1.3 200

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D+ 42% 283 C 10.9% 174
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 31% 95 C 5.3% 206
Three Pointers B 90% 56 C+ 0.8% 165
Total C+ 57% 150 C 5.6% 194


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 291 B- 55% 94 -3.4 71
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 231 C 39% 205 -0.6 140
Three Pointers 47% 36 B 31% 66 +1.1 239
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 156 B- -2.8 69
1st FG Attempt B- 0.96 83
Second Chance B- 28.1% 94 C 1.04 200 C+ 0.29 126
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.3% 120
Other Turnovers D- 5.7% 351
Turnovers C- 16.0% 225
Freethrows B 0.26 61 B- 70% 77 B 0.18 50
Total Defense B- +3.1 88

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 312 D+ 8.9% 254
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 300 D 2.5% 312
Three Pointers C 84% 173 D+ 0.5% 253
Total D 61% 307 D 3.8% 317

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.8 110 17.9 270
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 119 0.18 215
Consistency 0.15 330 0.13 219
Improvement -8.1 365 +3.1 48

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 151 133 117
Results Rating Rank 158 126 105
Conference Record 11 - 9 12 - 8 13 - 7
Conference Finish 6 4 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 13
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11% 12% 10%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 13.1 13.0 13.4
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round11% 12% 10%
Second Round1% 1% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Cal St. Fullerton (Away) - 55.0% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 2
Quad 39 - 511 - 8
Quad 411 - 321 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 301 Houston Christian W 78 - 60 88% +13  76% 1 - 0 B- +7 D+ -2 B- F+ C A +9 C- A- A
 Wed, Nov 12 133 @Fresno St. W 78 - 73 39% +4  74% 2 - 0 B +10 B +6 A B- F B +4 C+ B B
 Sat, Nov 15 188 Idaho W 75 - 67 74% -3  25% 3 - 0 C+ +3 D+ -3 C+ D C- B+ +6 A C C-
 Mon, Nov 24 157 Temple W 91 - 76 57% +9  88% 4 - 0 A- +15 A+ +16 A+ F A+ C -1 B+ F D-
 Tue, Nov 25 116 Bradley W 87 - 77 45% +3  68% 5 - 0 B+ +13 A +13 C+ A A+ C +0 B- F A+
 Wed, Nov 26 175 Towson W 87 - 73 61% +13  96% 6 - 0 B+ +13 A+ +22 A+ C A- D- -8 C+ D+ D
 Tue, Dec 2 76 @Nevada L 70 - 76 20% -4  7% 6 - 1 C+ +5 B +6 F+ A- A+ C- -2 D+ D D+
 Sat, Dec 6 269 @Long Beach St. W 80 - 74 68% +4  75% 7 - 1 1 - 0 C+ +3 B +6 A F C+ C- -3 D+ B F
 Sat, Dec 13 180 Tulane W 93 - 67 62% +16  90% 8 - 1 A+ +25 B+ +8 A- C- B A+ +14 A A- A-
 Tue, Dec 16 152 @Loyola Marymount W 67 - 57 45% +3  65% 9 - 1 B+ +13 D -6 B- C F A+ +19 B A+ A+
 Fri, Dec 19 239 San Diego L 80 - 82 81% -7  6% 9 - 2 D -9 B+ +8 C+ C+ A F -17 C+ F D
 Thu, Jan 1 227 @Cal Poly L 65 - 67 60% +2  77% 9 - 3 1 - 1 C- -3 F+ -8 F B+ C- B+ +6 A D+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 121 Hawaii W 83 - 73 57% +7  72% 10 - 3 2 - 1 B +10 A +14 B+ A A D+ -3 B- F+ D
 Thu, Jan 8 207 Cal St. Fullerton L 71 - 88 76% -4  45% 10 - 4 2 - 2 F -22 D- -7 F A F F -15 F D F
 Sat, Jan 10 276 @UC Riverside W 69 - 66 69% -1  41% 11 - 4 3 - 2 C -0 C- -1 B- C- F+ C+ +1 A- F B-
 Thu, Jan 15 167 Cal St. Northridge L 79 - 84 70% -2  22% 11 - 5 3 - 3 D -9 C- -0 D- B- A+ F+ -8 B F F
 Sat, Jan 17 330 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 83 - 62 83% +13  89% 12 - 5 4 - 3 B+ +13 C+ +2 D+ D+ A+ A +10 B- A+ B
 Thu, Jan 22 176 @UC Davis W 80 - 74 50% +1  58% 13 - 5 5 - 3 B- +8 C +1 B D- D B+ +7 A B D-
 Sat, Jan 24 125 UC Irvine L 59 - 61 58% -1  26% 13 - 6 5 - 4 C- -2 F -11 C+ F A+ A +9 A- A- F+
 Thu, Jan 29 142 UC Santa Barbara L 48 - 62 64% -9  4% 13 - 7 5 - 5 F+ -16 F -27 D F F A +10 A A- C
 Sat, Jan 31 167 @Cal St. Northridge L 64 - 81 48% -7  10% 13 - 8 5 - 6 F+ -15 F -14 F D B- C+ +1 C- D- A-
 Thu, Feb 5 269 Long Beach St. W 77 - 74 84% -1  32% 14 - 8 6 - 6 D+ -6 D- -8 D+ C F C+ +1 D+ A+ D+
 Sat, Feb 7 121 @Hawaii L 67 - 72 35% -4  22% 14 - 9 6 - 7 C +1 D -6 C+ F B- A- +7 B B- C
 Thu, Feb 12 176 UC Davis W 68 - 51 72% +11  80% 15 - 9 7 - 7 B+ +13 F+ -10 A- F F A+ +22 A+ A+ C
 Sat, Feb 14 276 UC Riverside W 72 - 66 85% +5  87% 16 - 9 8 - 7 C- -3 D- -7 D- F+ C+ B +4 A- B D-
 Sat, Feb 21 125 @UC Irvine W 71 - 69 35% +5  89% 17 - 9 9 - 7 B- +8 A +12 A+ D+ A- D+ -4 C D+ F
 Thu, Feb 26 330 Cal St. Bakersfield W 84 - 72 92% +11  97% 18 - 9 10 - 7 C- -2 C -0 D A+ C+ C- -2 D- A+ C-
 Sat, Feb 28 227 Cal Poly W 80 - 64 79% +9  87% 19 - 9 11 - 7 B +9 C -0 C F A+ A +9 B B+ C+
 Thu, Mar 5 207 @Cal St. Fullerton W 78 - 77 55%
 Sat, Mar 7 142 @UC Santa Barbara L 70 - 72 42%
Totals 20 - 10 12 - 8 +2 C- -1 A+ C B B- +3 C D D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C+ D+ C C 41% 28% 44% B C+ D+ C D+ C+ D D D B- B- C B B- 35% 19% 47% C B- B- C C+ C- B B- B
1.07 60% 35% 34% +1 +1 1.05 26% 1.0 .27 16% .27 68% .18 1.04 55% 39% 31% -3 0 0.96 28% 1.0 .29 16% .26 70% .19
Nov
8		 Houston Christian D+ B C A B 36% 16% 48% C- B- D- D- F+ C D- B D A D- A C+ D+ 34% 22% 44% C+ C- A+ B- A- A C+ A+ A+
1.12 67% 38% 42% +9 0 1.20 27% 1.0 .27 17% .23 77% .17 0.86 65% 27% 32% -2 0 0.98 19% 0.9 .16 23% .26 36% .09
Nov
12		 Fresno St. B A+ A+ D+ A 27% 10% 63% B- A B D+ B- F C F F B A- D- C- B- 41% 18% 41% C- C+ F+ A+ B B F C- F
1.10 86% 60% 30% +6 +1 1.15 34% 1.0 .34 25% .24 46% .11 1.03 50% 44% 35% -2 0 1.00 35% 0.7 .24 20% .37 76% .28
Nov
15		 Idaho D+ A- F F+ C 50% 15% 35% A+ C+ F A+ D C- A+ B A+ B+ A+ B+ C- A 24% 14% 62% B- A B- D- C C- D- C+ D
1.07 67% 29% 29% 0 +2 1.06 13% 1.5 .19 16% .48 79% .37 0.96 25% 29% 35% -8 0 0.86 26% 1.1 .29 16% .34 70% .24
Nov
24		 Temple A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 18% 44% C+ A+ F F F A+ C+ F F C C- A- A+ A- 38% 19% 43% D+ B+ B- F F D- F+ B- D
1.33 76% 70% 50% +23 0 1.49 7% 0.5 .04 7% .32 45% .14 1.11 60% 30% 26% -6 0 0.91 26% 1.5 .39 10% .42 73% .31
Nov
25		 Bradley A D- D A- C- 41% 12% 47% A+ C+ D+ A+ A A+ A+ B- A+ C A F+ C+ B 31% 14% 55% D B- F F F A+ B+ C+ B+
1.24 50% 33% 39% 0 +1 1.04 27% 1.7 .45 13% .51 74% .38 1.10 47% 43% 33% -3 0 0.96 37% 1.5 .55 20% .27 73% .20
Nov
26		 Towson A+ A- D+ A+ A+ 31% 22% 47% D+ A+ F+ A+ C A- C- F F D- C+ B- C+ C 25% 33% 42% B+ C+ D C- D+ D D+ F F+
1.36 67% 36% 65% +24 -1 1.49 20% 1.4 .28 11% .26 47% .12 1.14 54% 35% 32% -3 -3 0.90 39% 0.9 .34 14% .31 82% .25
Dec
2		 Nevada B D- C+ F F 56% 9% 35% A+ F+ B- A A- A+ F C+ F C- D F+ B+ C- 46% 20% 35% F+ D+ D- C- D D+ C- A+ A-
1.09 47% 40% 20% -14 +3 0.81 30% 1.4 .42 6% .18 73% .13 1.18 62% 44% 31% +2 +1 1.07 39% 1.1 .42 12% .39 59% .23
Dec
6		 Long Beach St. B B+ D- A+ A 45% 13% 43% B+ A F F F C+ A C+ A C- C- F C D+ 29% 23% 48% D+ D+ C+ A- B F A+ B A+
1.18 67% 33% 45% +10 +1 1.26 18% 0.8 .14 16% .44 76% .33 1.09 63% 46% 33% +3 -1 1.05 25% 0.9 .22 13% .17 70% .12
Dec
13		 Tulane B+ B F A- B 53% 5% 42% A+ A- B+ F C- B F C- F+ A+ C C+ A+ A 42% 25% 33% B- A B- A+ A- A- B- A B+
1.19 63% 0% 40% +4 +3 1.17 40% 0.8 .30 15% .24 69% .17 0.86 58% 36% 16% -10 0 0.82 20% 0.9 .17 19% .35 68% .24
Dec
16		 Loyola Marymount D A- F F C 57% 16% 27% A+ B- B+ F+ C F B+ F D- A+ A- F B B+ 24% 20% 57% C B A- A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+
0.95 64% 25% 23% -3 +2 1.00 37% 0.8 .31 23% .35 47% .16 0.80 50% 50% 31% -2 -1 0.96 21% 0.5 .11 25% .19 40% .08
Dec
19		 San Diego B+ B- A+ D C- 44% 6% 50% A- C+ D- A+ C+ A D- B- D F B+ F C B- 38% 15% 47% F+ C+ F F F D B- F F+
1.26 65% 67% 31% +2 +2 1.12 28% 1.4 .38 14% .29 75% .22 1.29 52% 50% 35% 0 +1 1.04 39% 1.1 .45 16% .21 109% .22
Jan
1		 Cal Poly F+ F F F F 32% 15% 53% C- F B- B+ B+ C- D- A+ C- B+ C A+ A A 26% 7% 67% B A D- B- D+ F A- A A
0.98 41% 25% 25% -15 0 0.74 35% 1.2 .42 17% .23 85% .20 1.01 57% 0% 28% -9 +1 0.85 36% 0.9 .33 14% .24 71% .17
Jan
3		 Hawaii A D- A+ D+ B 45% 13% 42% B+ B+ B A+ A A D- A+ C D+ C+ F A+ B 46% 9% 46% D- B- A F F+ D C+ F D+
1.23 48% 86% 30% -1 +2 1.04 31% 1.3 .41 12% .25 87% .22 1.08 57% 75% 24% -4 +2 0.98 23% 1.7 .40 16% .34 84% .28
Jan
8		 Cal St. Fullerton D- C D- F F 27% 6% 67% B- F B+ A A F A A+ A+ F F A+ F F 29% 21% 50% B- F A F D F D- A+ C-
1.02 62% 33% 27% -6 +1 0.92 35% 1.3 .44 24% .38 90% .34 1.27 73% 9% 50% +10 -1 1.21 18% 1.7 .30 9% .38 63% .24
Jan
10		 UC Riverside C- A+ C F C+ 49% 12% 39% B+ B- C D C- F+ A+ D+ A+ C+ B- D A+ B+ 27% 24% 49% A A- F+ F F B- F F F
1.07 75% 40% 25% +3 +2 1.12 31% 0.9 .28 19% .47 68% .32 1.02 54% 42% 25% -7 -1 0.86 33% 1.2 .38 20% .39 85% .33
Jan
15		 Cal St. Northridge C- D C+ F F+ 38% 17% 45% B- D- D- A+ B- A+ C- C- C- F+ B+ F A- B 48% 20% 31% B- B D F F F F C F
1.09 52% 40% 26% -7 +1 0.88 21% 1.7 .36 8% .29 74% .21 1.16 50% 45% 29% -5 +1 0.94 36% 1.2 .44 10% .44 66% .29
Jan
17		 Cal St. Bakersfield C+ D- F A D 43% 14% 43% B- D+ F A+ D+ A+ D- D+ D- A A A- C- B- 29% 29% 43% C- B- C A+ A+ B F B F
1.17 50% 25% 42% 0 +1 1.04 23% 1.4 .33 11% .32 70% .22 0.87 43% 29% 33% -7 -2 0.84 31% 0.4 .12 21% .48 70% .34
Jan
22		 UC Davis C A- A+ D- B 45% 8% 47% B+ B B- F D- D A+ D A+ B+ A+ B- F A+ 38% 16% 47% D A B- B B D- C+ A B
1.08 68% 75% 30% +5 +2 1.16 34% 0.6 .22 22% .46 70% .33 0.99 27% 33% 41% -8 +1 0.88 24% 0.9 .22 15% .33 67% .22
Jan
24		 UC Irvine F C- C- D+ C+ 31% 19% 50% C+ C+ F F F A+ F D- F A A- C+ A- B+ 40% 35% 25% B+ A- A+ D A- F+ A A+ A+
0.84 50% 36% 31% -5 0 0.91 18% 0.0 .00 13% .15 67% .10 0.87 45% 37% 29% -8 -2 0.84 20% 1.1 .23 14% .22 54% .12
Jan
29		 UC Santa Barbara F D F B+ F+ 57% 12% 31% A D C- F F F F F F A A+ A D- A 24% 24% 51% A A A+ D A- C F+ A- D+
0.73 54% 0% 38% -5 +2 0.98 26% 0.0 .00 29% .26 58% .15 0.95 36% 27% 39% -4 -1 0.91 21% 1.1 .24 18% .37 70% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Cal St. Northridge F F F D F 43% 16% 41% B F C+ F D B- C- F F C+ C+ F C+ C- 48% 17% 35% C C- F C D- A- F F F
0.85 42% 22% 30% -12 +1 0.80 29% 0.9 .25 15% .28 44% .12 1.08 56% 44% 33% 0 +1 1.04 40% 1.0 .40 21% .39 78% .30
Feb
5		 Long Beach St. D- F C A D 47% 11% 43% A- D+ B- F+ C F A+ D+ A+ C+ F B D D 28% 36% 36% B+ D+ A+ F A+ D+ D- F F
1.03 45% 40% 40% -2 +2 1.02 32% 1.1 .35 24% .51 72% .37 0.99 73% 32% 37% +4 -3 1.04 3% 2.0 .06 16% .32 85% .27
Feb
7		 Hawaii D C+ C+ D- C 38% 18% 45% C+ C+ F A+ F B- D+ F F+ A- D- F A+ B+ 42% 8% 50% D B D A B- C D+ A C+
0.90 57% 40% 28% -4 0 0.95 5% 2.0 .11 15% .28 56% .16 0.97 67% 50% 20% -6 +2 0.94 33% 0.8 .28 19% .38 65% .25
Feb
12		 UC Davis F+ B- A+ A A- 50% 15% 35% B- A- F C+ F F F B F A+ A A- B A+ 41% 25% 34% C+ A+ A A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+
0.97 63% 57% 41% +9 +2 1.23 17% 1.0 .17 30% .18 78% .14 0.73 48% 29% 32% -8 0 0.86 20% 0.2 .04 18% .12 14% .02
Feb
14		 UC Riverside D- B B- F F+ 45% 14% 41% B D- F+ F F+ C+ C- B+ C+ B B+ A+ A- A 36% 13% 51% D A- A+ F+ B D- B F C-
1.01 65% 43% 19% -5 +1 0.94 23% 0.8 .18 14% .33 75% .25 0.93 50% 14% 29% -10 +1 0.84 18% 1.0 .18 15% .27 88% .23
Feb
21		 UC Irvine A A F A+ A+ 33% 25% 42% C- A+ C D- D+ A- D A+ C- D+ A B F C+ 47% 23% 30% D- C D- C+ D+ F A+ D A+
1.12 63% 25% 45% +5 -1 1.10 33% 0.8 .27 14% .20 82% .17 1.09 44% 33% 44% -3 0 0.96 36% 1.0 .36 13% .13 71% .09
Feb
26		 Cal St. Bakersfield C D A D D- 39% 18% 43% C D D+ A+ A+ C+ A+ D A+ C- F F A+ D- 30% 28% 41% C- D- A+ F A+ C- F D F
1.18 53% 50% 32% -1 0 1.00 33% 1.8 .61 17% .59 69% .40 1.01 79% 54% 16% -1 -2 0.98 13% 1.3 .17 18% .55 78% .43
Feb
28		 Cal Poly C A- F C C 40% 19% 41% C C F+ F F A+ D F F+ A D+ F A- B- 25% 8% 67% B+ B A+ F+ B+ C+ A+ F A+
1.14 70% 27% 33% +2 0 1.07 24% 0.8 .20 9% .25 63% .16 0.91 62% 50% 29% -4 +1 0.96 19% 1.1 .22 21% .14 100% .14



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 1.6 1.6 2nd
3rd 23.7 22.1 45.8 3rd
4th 25.6 25.6 4th
5th 17.2 17.2 5th
6th 8.8 8.8 6th
7th 1.0 1.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 27.0 49.3 23.7 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 23.7% 16.7% 16.7% 12.8 1.0 2.5 0.4 0.0 19.7
12-8 49.3% 10.5% 10.5% 13.2 0.4 3.2 1.6 0.0 44.2
11-9 27.0% 7.5% 7.5% 13.5 0.1 1.0 0.9 0.1 25.0
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 11.1% 11.1% 0.0% 13.1 88.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.9% 100.0% 12.8 26.3 64.2 9.4 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 8.1%
Lose Out 10.3%