Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
212 Southeast Missouri St. 18.6%   3 - 7 1 - 1 14 - 13 12 - 7 -3.3      -1.8 216 -1.5 218 74.5 57 -4.3 235 -2.5 3
213 Tennessee Martin 19.1%   6 - 4 1 - 1 18 - 10 13 - 7 -3.5      -2.7 241 -0.8 198 66.0 279 +1.6 145 -2.5 3
221 Lindenwood 19.9%   16   5 - 4 2 - 0 16 - 12 13 - 7 -3.7      -3.2 254 -0.6 185 78.4 18 +0.3 157 +5.5 1
237 Tennessee St. 12.7%   4 - 5 1 - 1 14 - 11 11 - 7 -4.5      -4.4 291 0.0 162 74.9 49 -0.2 168 -6.4 5
248 SIU Edwardsville 13.0%   4 - 5 0 - 1 15 - 13 11 - 9 -4.9      -4.7 297 -0.2 172 65.4 290 -5.8 250 -21.9 10
286 Tennessee Tech 6.2%   3 - 7 1 - 1 12 - 15 10 - 9 -6.6      -3.3 259 -3.3 283 72.0 110 -6.4 261 -6.4 5
308 Morehead St. 4.4%   3 - 7 2 - 0 11 - 17 10 - 10 -8.3      -5.4 320 -2.9 273 67.4 240 -8.2 293 +5.4 2
310 Arkansas Little Rock 3.3%   2 - 9 1 - 1 10 - 19 9 - 11 -8.6      -5.1 310 -3.5 290 66.3 274 -9.4 312 -6.8 7
323 Eastern Illinois 2.0%   2 - 8 1 - 1 9 - 19 8 - 12 -9.7      -6.9 339 -2.8 266 66.1 277 -9.5 313 -7.3 8
342 Southern Indiana 0.5%   1 - 9 0 - 2 7 - 21 6 - 14 -11.4      -8.0 350 -3.4 287 72.2 107 -17.9 356 -26.6 11
355 Western Illinois 0.2%   1 - 8 0 - 1 6 - 22 5 - 15 -13.9      -7.3 343 -6.6 348 63.1 334 -16.0 348 -15.9 9




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Thu, Dec 18 237 Tennessee St. 78 213 Tennessee Martin 71   
Thu, Dec 18 212 Southeast Missouri St. 74 286 Tennessee Tech 85   
Thu, Dec 18 323 Eastern Illinois 76 248 SIU Edwardsville 72   
Thu, Dec 18 310 Arkansas Little Rock 77 342 Southern Indiana 62   
Thu, Dec 18 221 Lindenwood 92 355 Western Illinois 76   
Sat, Dec 20 212 Southeast Missouri St. 91 237 Tennessee St. 82   
Sat, Dec 20 286 Tennessee Tech 62 213 Tennessee Martin 86   
Sat, Dec 20 308 Morehead St. 64 342 Southern Indiana 60   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Mon, Dec 22 248 SIU Edwardsville 69 355 Western Illinois 63 72%   
Tue, Dec 23 221 Lindenwood 70 262 Missouri St. 71 55%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Southeast Missouri St. 3.5 21.4 19.7 16.0 13.0 10.2 7.7 5.4 3.4 2.0 0.9 0.3
Tennessee Martin 3.1 29.5 20.5 14.7 11.1 8.4 6.2 4.3 2.8 1.6 0.7 0.2
Lindenwood 3.0 34.2 18.8 13.3 10.4 8.2 5.9 4.2 2.8 1.5 0.7 0.2
Tennessee St. 4.6 9.4 13.4 15.4 14.8 13.0 11.3 9.2 6.4 4.3 2.1 0.7
SIU Edwardsville 4.5 14.6 14.1 13.2 12.3 11.1 9.9 8.6 7.1 5.1 2.9 1.2
Tennessee Tech 5.7 4.9 7.8 10.2 11.7 12.8 13.3 12.3 10.9 8.9 5.2 2.0
Morehead St. 5.6 6.8 8.8 10.0 10.9 11.9 12.5 12.7 11.4 8.7 4.6 1.7
Arkansas Little Rock 6.4 3.5 5.6 7.0 8.9 10.5 11.9 13.6 14.3 13.2 8.2 3.2
Eastern Illinois 7.1 1.8 3.6 5.3 6.8 8.8 10.8 13.5 14.9 15.9 12.2 6.5
Southern Indiana 9.0 0.3 0.7 1.2 2.0 3.1 4.8 6.9 10.8 16.7 27.2 26.4
Western Illinois 9.5 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.3 2.1 3.1 5.3 8.2 14.0 24.3 40.3




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Southeast Missouri St. 12 - 8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.1 4.2 7.0 10.4 12.8 15.3 15.5 13.5 9.7 5.5 2.2 0.5
Tennessee Martin 13 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.7 3.1 5.5 8.3 11.5 14.1 14.9 14.4 11.5 7.8 4.2 1.7 0.3
Lindenwood 13 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.6 3.0 5.2 7.9 10.8 13.1 14.0 13.5 11.7 8.7 5.6 2.7 0.9 0.2
Tennessee St. 11 - 9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.4 4.6 7.5 11.2 14.0 15.5 15.8 12.4 8.7 4.6 1.7 0.3
SIU Edwardsville 11 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 3.0 5.3 7.4 10.2 12.1 13.3 13.5 11.7 8.9 6.2 3.4 1.6 0.5 0.1
Tennessee Tech 10 - 10 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.8 5.4 8.8 11.9 14.0 15.1 13.7 11.2 7.7 4.4 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.0
Morehead St. 10 - 10 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.8 5.5 8.6 11.9 13.9 14.2 13.2 10.6 7.9 5.0 2.9 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Arkansas Little Rock 9 - 11 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.6 4.9 8.5 12.1 13.9 14.7 13.3 10.9 7.8 5.3 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Eastern Illinois 8 - 12 0.1 0.7 2.0 4.6 7.6 11.0 13.4 14.8 13.6 12.0 8.5 5.8 3.3 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
Southern Indiana 6 - 14 0.5 2.2 5.6 9.9 13.1 15.2 15.1 13.2 9.9 6.7 4.4 2.4 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Western Illinois 5 - 15 1.4 4.6 9.1 13.4 15.1 15.3 13.2 10.4 7.3 4.8 2.7 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Southeast Missouri St. 21.4% 12.9 6.2 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Tennessee Martin 29.5% 19.6 7.3 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Lindenwood 34.2% 24.0 7.7 1.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Tennessee St. 9.4% 4.5 3.3 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
SIU Edwardsville 14.6% 8.9 4.0 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Tennessee Tech 4.9% 2.4 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Morehead St. 6.8% 3.6 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Arkansas Little Rock 3.5% 1.7 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Eastern Illinois 1.8% 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Southern Indiana 0.3% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Western Illinois 0.2% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Southeast Missouri St. 18.6% 18.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.1 6.7 9.3 81.4 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 19.1% 19.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.9 3.6 8.7 5.8 80.9 0.0%
Lindenwood 19.9% 19.9% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.1 0.6 2.6 7.9 8.7 80.1 0.0%
Tennessee St. 12.7% 12.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.9 5.5 4.8 87.3 0.0%
SIU Edwardsville 13.0% 13.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 3.7 8.3 87.0 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 6.2% 6.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 4.8 93.8 0.0%
Morehead St. 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 4.0 95.6 0.0%
Arkansas Little Rock 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.2 96.7 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 1.9 98.0 0.0%
Southern Indiana 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.5 99.5 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2 99.8 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Southeast Missouri St. 18.6% 3.9% 16.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 19.1% 1.7% 18.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lindenwood 19.9% 3.1% 18.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee St. 12.7% 1.6% 11.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SIU Edwardsville 13.0% 4.0% 11.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 6.2% 2.8% 4.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morehead St. 4.4% 3.0% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Little Rock 3.3% 2.7% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 2.0% 1.6% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Indiana 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 87.5% 0.9 12.5 87.5
2nd Round 1.2% 0.0 98.8 1.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0