Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
238 SIU Edwardsville 40.5%   16   11 - 9 5 - 5 16 - 12 10 - 8 -3.9      -4.5 308 +0.6 155 71.0 104 -2.5 219 -7.7 6
251 Southeast Missouri St. 28.0%   10 - 11 7 - 3 15 - 14 12 - 6 -4.7      -2.9 269 -1.8 234 77.9 17 -4.4 251 -3.2 2
270 Southern Indiana 0.0%   10 - 10 6 - 4 15 - 13 11 - 7 -5.6      -1.4 223 -4.2 302 73.0 62 -4.2 248 -5.6 5
278 Morehead St. 14.0%   10 - 9 7 - 3 15 - 12 12 - 6 -6.1      -2.7 259 -3.5 278 63.3 307 -3.0 228 -2.8 1
296 Tennessee Martin 8.1%   11 - 8 7 - 3 15 - 12 11 - 7 -7.2      -3.5 283 -3.7 287 74.9 37 -3.5 237 -3.4 3
303 Tennessee Tech 5.4%   7 - 13 6 - 4 11 - 17 10 - 8 -7.8      -2.4 250 -5.3 320 65.9 251 -8.7 310 -5.6 4
321 Tennessee St. 2.4%   8 - 11 4 - 6 11 - 16 7 - 11 -9.1      -3.1 272 -6.0 334 72.4 75 -10.1 328 -11.4 7
332 Arkansas Little Rock 1.2%   5 - 16 3 - 7 8 - 21 6 - 12 -10.2      -3.1 273 -7.1 346 74.2 41 -12.9 344 -13.2 9
343 Eastern Illinois 0.3%   5 - 16 3 - 7 8 - 21 6 - 12 -11.8      -7.2 345 -4.5 309 69.9 122 -12.8 342 -12.2 8
352 Lindenwood 0.0%   4 - 16 2 - 8 7 - 21 5 - 13 -13.2      -8.6 355 -4.7 311 68.3 176 -13.4 347 -14.8 10






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
SIU Edwardsville 3.7 11.1 16.8 18.8 18.6 18.3 12.2 3.3 0.8 0.2 0.0
Southeast Missouri St. 2.1 47.2 22.7 13.8 8.5 5.1 2.3 0.3 0.0
Southern Indiana 3.4 17.5 18.7 18.9 17.6 14.0 10.2 2.7 0.5 0.1
Morehead St. 2.4 37.3 23.4 16.3 11.5 7.2 3.7 0.6 0.1 0.0
Tennessee Martin 3.1 22.0 21.4 18.4 15.4 12.8 8.2 1.6 0.2 0.0
Tennessee Tech 4.2 9.2 11.6 14.1 16.5 19.8 22.4 5.2 1.0 0.1 0.0
Tennessee St. 7.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 3.3 6.7 14.3 40.3 21.9 9.3 1.7
Arkansas Little Rock 8.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 2.1 5.8 23.9 33.0 24.1 10.1
Eastern Illinois 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 5.0 22.6 27.9 28.4 13.8
Lindenwood 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.0 6.3 15.3 26.7 50.5




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
SIU Edwardsville 10 - 8 0.0 0.3 1.8 6.7 15.4 24.7 27.2 18.1 5.7
Southeast Missouri St. 12 - 6 0.0 0.6 3.2 10.1 20.0 27.6 23.4 12.1 2.9
Southern Indiana 11 - 7 0.1 1.1 4.7 12.6 22.4 26.6 20.7 9.6 2.0
Morehead St. 12 - 6 0.1 1.2 5.1 13.7 23.4 26.7 19.6 8.6 1.6
Tennessee Martin 11 - 7 0.5 3.2 10.5 20.4 26.0 21.9 12.5 4.3 0.6
Tennessee Tech 10 - 8 0.5 3.5 11.2 21.4 26.0 21.3 11.6 4.0 0.6
Tennessee St. 7 - 11 2.2 9.7 19.8 25.3 22.5 13.7 5.4 1.3 0.2
Arkansas Little Rock 6 - 12 2.1 10.2 21.5 27.1 22.1 11.8 4.3 0.8 0.1
Eastern Illinois 6 - 12 3.3 12.7 23.3 26.8 20.0 10.1 3.2 0.6 0.0
Lindenwood 5 - 13 5.2 17.4 27.8 25.8 15.4 6.4 1.6 0.3 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
SIU Edwardsville 11.1% 2.6 4.3 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.0
Southeast Missouri St. 47.2% 26.5 13.6 5.5 1.4 0.3 0.0
Southern Indiana 17.5% 6.6 6.1 3.5 1.1 0.2 0.0
Morehead St. 37.3% 19.4 11.3 5.0 1.4 0.3 0.0
Tennessee Martin 22.0% 9.2 7.7 3.7 1.1 0.2 0.0
Tennessee Tech 9.2% 3.1 3.2 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0
Tennessee St. 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Arkansas Little Rock 0.0% 0.0
Eastern Illinois 0.0% 0.0 0.0
Lindenwood


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
SIU Edwardsville 40.5% 40.5% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.3 3.7 17.5 19.1 59.5 0.0%
Southeast Missouri St. 28.0% 28.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 5.2 22.4 72.0 0.0%
Southern Indiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Morehead St. 14.0% 14.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 2.7 11.1 86.0 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 8.1% 8.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 1.7 6.3 91.9 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 0.1 5.4 94.6 0.0%
Tennessee St. 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0 2.4 97.6 0.0%
Arkansas Little Rock 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 1.2 98.8 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3 99.7 0.0%
Lindenwood 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
SIU Edwardsville 40.5% 6.5% 37.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southeast Missouri St. 28.0% 13.9% 20.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Indiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morehead St. 14.0% 6.4% 10.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 8.1% 3.4% 6.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 5.4% 5.2% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee St. 2.4% 2.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Little Rock 1.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lindenwood 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 77.9% 0.8 22.1 77.9
2nd Round 1.2% 0.0 98.8 1.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0