Tennessee Martin
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#242
Expected Predictive Rating+4.7#105
Pace66.0#273
Improvement-1.5#304

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#272
First Shot-7.0#350
After Offensive Rebound+3.4#32
Layup/Dunks-8.3#356
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#359
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#66
Freethrows+1.9#87
Improvement-0.6#237

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#195
First Shot+4.2#58
After Offensive Rebounds-5.1#357
Layups/Dunks+1.1#145
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#67
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#37
Freethrows-3.6#338
Improvement-1.0#274
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.1% 14.9% 9.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.3
.500 or above 76.5% 83.4% 63.4%
.500 or above in Conference 74.2% 78.1% 66.6%
Conference Champion 17.7% 20.5% 12.5%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 1.6% 3.6%
First Four1.4% 1.3% 1.5%
First Round12.4% 14.3% 8.9%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama St. (Home) - 65.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 11 - 1
Quad 32 - 43 - 5
Quad 414 - 717 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 130 @UNLV W 86-81 18%     1 - 0 +10.0 +3.0 +6.4
  Wed, Nov 12 122 @Bradley W 78-67 16%     2 - 0 +17.0 +5.6 +10.9
  Tue, Nov 18 99 @Florida St. L 73-87 12%     2 - 1 -6.0 -0.1 -4.8
  Sat, Nov 22 324 Prairie View W 69-68 67%     3 - 1 -8.2 -6.6 -1.6
  Sun, Nov 23 232 Southern Miss L 60-70 49%     3 - 2 -14.3 -1.7 -15.1
  Tue, Dec 2 289 Charleston Southern W 73-56 70%     4 - 2 +6.9 +0.5 +7.5
  Sun, Dec 7 268 Alabama St. W 73-69 66%    
  Wed, Dec 10 145 @Southern Illinois L 67-75 22%    
  Thu, Dec 18 197 @Tennessee St. L 69-74 32%    
  Sat, Dec 20 316 @Tennessee Tech W 71-70 55%    
  Thu, Jan 1 358 Western Illinois W 74-61 88%    
  Sat, Jan 3 326 Eastern Illinois W 70-62 76%    
  Thu, Jan 8 328 @Morehead St. W 69-67 58%    
  Sat, Jan 10 306 @Southern Indiana W 73-72 51%    
  Thu, Jan 15 204 SIU Edwardsville W 66-65 54%    
  Sat, Jan 17 252 Lindenwood W 73-70 62%    
  Tue, Jan 20 229 @Southeast Missouri St. L 70-74 38%    
  Sat, Jan 24 256 Arkansas Little Rock W 69-65 62%    
  Thu, Jan 29 326 @Eastern Illinois W 67-65 57%    
  Sat, Jan 31 358 @Western Illinois W 71-64 72%    
  Thu, Feb 5 306 Southern Indiana W 76-70 70%    
  Sat, Feb 7 328 Morehead St. W 72-64 76%    
  Thu, Feb 12 252 @Lindenwood L 70-73 41%    
  Sat, Feb 14 204 @SIU Edwardsville L 63-68 34%    
  Tue, Feb 17 229 Southeast Missouri St. W 73-71 59%    
  Thu, Feb 19 256 @Arkansas Little Rock L 66-68 41%    
  Thu, Feb 26 316 Tennessee Tech W 74-67 73%    
  Sat, Feb 28 197 Tennessee St. W 72-71 53%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.1 3.2 4.6 4.2 2.8 1.3 0.5 0.1 17.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.8 4.4 5.2 2.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 15.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.6 5.0 4.9 1.5 0.2 0.0 13.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.9 4.4 1.2 0.1 0.0 12.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 4.2 4.3 1.1 0.1 10.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.2 4.1 1.0 0.0 0.0 9.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.4 1.1 0.1 7.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.6 1.0 0.0 5.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 1.4 1.7 0.8 0.1 4.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.9 4.6 6.6 8.8 10.8 12.1 12.5 11.8 10.0 7.5 5.0 2.9 1.3 0.5 0.1 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5
18-2 99.7% 1.3    1.3 0.0
17-3 96.4% 2.8    2.5 0.3
16-4 85.0% 4.2    3.3 0.9 0.1
15-5 61.1% 4.6    2.5 1.8 0.3 0.0
14-6 31.7% 3.2    1.0 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-7 9.1% 1.1    0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 17.7% 17.7 11.2 4.9 1.3 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 60.0% 60.0% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.5% 56.5% 56.5% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
18-2 1.3% 47.9% 47.9% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7
17-3 2.9% 38.8% 38.8% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.7
16-4 5.0% 34.7% 34.7% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.2 3.2
15-5 7.5% 29.7% 29.7% 15.0 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.5 5.3
14-6 10.0% 26.0% 26.0% 15.2 0.0 0.3 1.4 0.9 7.4
13-7 11.8% 17.8% 17.8% 15.4 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.0 9.7
12-8 12.5% 9.3% 9.3% 15.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 11.3
11-9 12.1% 5.5% 5.5% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 11.4
10-10 10.8% 3.3% 3.3% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 10.4
9-11 8.8% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2 8.7
8-12 6.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1 6.6
7-13 4.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.6
6-14 2.9% 2.9
5-15 1.6% 1.6
4-16 0.8% 0.8
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 13.1% 13.1% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.4 5.6 4.4 86.9 0.0%