Tennessee Martin
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#252
Expected Predictive Rating+3.1#128
Pace66.0#279
Improvement-2.8#337

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#287
First Shot-7.0#350
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#36
Layup/Dunks-7.8#357
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#363
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.5#24
Freethrows-0.9#243
Improvement-2.1#324

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#194
First Shot+3.3#74
After Offensive Rebounds-4.1#356
Layups/Dunks+0.3#162
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#26
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#109
Freethrows-1.4#272
Improvement-0.8#250
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.5% 17.0% 10.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.1 15.3
.500 or above 79.0% 89.6% 73.1%
.500 or above in Conference 74.0% 86.6% 67.1%
Conference Champion 17.1% 27.7% 11.3%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 0.8% 3.4%
First Four1.9% 2.0% 1.8%
First Round11.4% 15.9% 9.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee St. (Away) - 35.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 11 - 1
Quad 32 - 43 - 5
Quad 414 - 717 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 141 @UNLV W 86-81 18%     1 - 0 +9.4 +4.2 +4.5
  Wed, Nov 12 116 @Bradley W 78-67 14%     2 - 0 +17.3 +6.0 +10.8
  Tue, Nov 18 105 @Florida St. L 73-87 13%     2 - 1 -6.9 -1.7 -4.3
  Sat, Nov 22 326 Prairie View W 69-68 67%     3 - 1 -8.8 -7.3 -1.4
  Sun, Nov 23 200 Southern Miss L 60-70 41%     3 - 2 -12.7 +0.6 -15.8
  Tue, Dec 2 264 Charleston Southern W 73-56 63%     4 - 2 +8.5 +1.7 +7.8
  Sun, Dec 7 265 Alabama St. W 74-64 63%     5 - 2 +1.4 -0.4 +2.4
  Wed, Dec 10 129 @Southern Illinois L 54-83 17%     5 - 3 -24.0 -15.7 -8.4
  Thu, Dec 18 231 @Tennessee St. L 68-72 35%    
  Sat, Dec 20 266 @Tennessee Tech L 70-73 40%    
  Thu, Jan 1 354 Western Illinois W 72-60 86%    
  Sat, Jan 3 333 Eastern Illinois W 70-62 78%    
  Thu, Jan 8 322 @Morehead St. W 70-69 56%    
  Sat, Jan 10 316 @Southern Indiana W 72-71 54%    
  Thu, Jan 15 235 SIU Edwardsville W 67-65 57%    
  Sat, Jan 17 238 Lindenwood W 73-71 57%    
  Tue, Jan 20 214 @Southeast Missouri St. L 69-74 33%    
  Sat, Jan 24 313 Arkansas Little Rock W 71-64 73%    
  Thu, Jan 29 333 @Eastern Illinois W 67-65 59%    
  Sat, Jan 31 354 @Western Illinois W 69-63 69%    
  Thu, Feb 5 316 Southern Indiana W 75-68 74%    
  Sat, Feb 7 322 Morehead St. W 73-66 75%    
  Thu, Feb 12 238 @Lindenwood L 70-74 36%    
  Sat, Feb 14 235 @SIU Edwardsville L 64-68 36%    
  Tue, Feb 17 214 Southeast Missouri St. W 72-71 54%    
  Thu, Feb 19 313 @Arkansas Little Rock W 68-67 53%    
  Thu, Feb 26 266 Tennessee Tech W 73-70 62%    
  Sat, Feb 28 231 Tennessee St. W 71-69 56%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.2 3.4 4.5 4.0 2.6 1.0 0.2 0.1 17.1 1st
2nd 0.2 1.8 4.9 5.2 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 15.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 5.1 4.6 1.5 0.2 0.0 13.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 4.8 4.1 1.1 0.1 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 4.6 4.5 1.2 0.1 11.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.7 4.1 1.2 0.1 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.7 3.5 1.0 0.1 7.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.5 0.9 0.0 5.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.8 0.6 0.1 4.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.0 2.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.8 4.7 6.6 9.3 11.3 12.6 12.4 11.9 10.2 7.0 4.7 2.6 1.0 0.2 0.1 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
18-2 99.7% 1.0    1.0 0.0
17-3 97.8% 2.6    2.3 0.2 0.0
16-4 86.7% 4.0    3.1 0.8 0.0
15-5 64.4% 4.5    2.7 1.6 0.2 0.0
14-6 32.9% 3.4    1.2 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-7 9.9% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-8 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 17.1% 17.1 10.9 4.6 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 46.4% 46.4% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 1.0% 49.0% 49.0% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5
17-3 2.6% 39.3% 39.3% 14.4 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 1.6
16-4 4.7% 33.7% 33.7% 14.8 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.2 3.1
15-5 7.0% 32.1% 32.1% 15.1 0.0 0.3 1.4 0.6 4.7
14-6 10.2% 24.1% 24.1% 15.4 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.2 7.7
13-7 11.9% 17.2% 17.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.3 9.9
12-8 12.4% 10.1% 10.1% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.9 11.2
11-9 12.6% 5.5% 5.5% 15.9 0.1 0.6 11.9
10-10 11.3% 2.8% 2.8% 15.8 0.1 0.3 11.0
9-11 9.3% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.1
8-12 6.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 6.6
7-13 4.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.6
6-14 2.8% 2.8
5-15 1.6% 1.6
4-16 0.7% 0.7
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 12.5% 12.5% 0.0% 15.2 0.1 0.3 1.7 5.2 5.3 87.5 0.0%