Tennessee Martin
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.5#346
Expected Predictive Rating-9.6#304
Pace70.9#136
Improvement-0.1#185

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#320
First Shot-4.6#306
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#245
Layup/Dunks+4.9#39
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#325
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#203
Freethrows-5.5#357
Improvement-0.4#225

Defense
Total Defense-7.9#347
First Shot-2.9#273
After Offensive Rebounds-5.1#354
Layups/Dunks+1.6#122
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#212
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#295
Freethrows-1.1#252
Improvement+0.3#151
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 4.7% 9.5% 4.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 40.5% 33.3% 41.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Middle Tennessee (Away) - 7.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 30 - 70 - 12
Quad 46 - 116 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 18   @ Tennessee L 62-90 1%     0 - 1 -10.5 -2.1 -8.2
  Nov 19, 2021 221   @ Florida Atlantic L 67-75 10%     0 - 2 -7.5 -7.1 -0.4
  Nov 20, 2021 240   Troy L 67-80 19%     0 - 3 -17.1 -9.7 -6.6
  Nov 21, 2021 330   North Dakota W 77-72 40%     1 - 3 -5.9 -8.4 +2.1
  Nov 27, 2021 126   @ Western Kentucky L 66-81 5%     1 - 4 -9.4 -4.5 -4.8
  Dec 01, 2021 183   @ Middle Tennessee L 64-80 7%    
  Dec 04, 2021 191   @ Western Illinois L 69-84 8%    
  Dec 11, 2021 183   Middle Tennessee L 67-77 19%    
  Dec 14, 2021 270   UNC Asheville L 70-75 34%    
  Dec 18, 2021 245   @ Evansville L 60-72 13%    
  Dec 21, 2021 25   @ Ohio St. L 58-88 0.3%   
  Dec 30, 2021 259   @ Austin Peay L 66-77 15%    
  Jan 01, 2022 322   SIU Edwardsville L 71-72 45%    
  Jan 06, 2022 321   @ Tennessee St. L 72-80 25%    
  Jan 08, 2022 68   Belmont L 68-86 5%    
  Jan 12, 2022 134   @ Morehead St. L 60-79 5%    
  Jan 15, 2022 277   Tennessee Tech L 73-77 34%    
  Jan 20, 2022 259   Austin Peay L 69-74 33%    
  Jan 22, 2022 89   @ Murray St. L 58-81 3%    
  Jan 27, 2022 347   Eastern Illinois W 73-70 61%    
  Jan 29, 2022 68   @ Belmont L 65-89 2%    
  Feb 03, 2022 303   Southeast Missouri St. L 75-78 41%    
  Feb 05, 2022 321   Tennessee St. L 75-77 44%    
  Feb 10, 2022 322   @ SIU Edwardsville L 68-75 26%    
  Feb 12, 2022 347   @ Eastern Illinois L 70-73 40%    
  Feb 16, 2022 134   Morehead St. L 63-76 14%    
  Feb 19, 2022 89   Murray St. L 61-78 7%    
  Feb 24, 2022 303   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 72-81 22%    
  Feb 26, 2022 277   @ Tennessee Tech L 70-80 19%    
Projected Record 6 - 23 4 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.4 0.0 2.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 2.1 1.2 0.3 0.0 4.6 5th
6th 0.1 2.0 3.9 1.9 0.3 0.0 8.2 6th
7th 0.3 3.0 5.8 3.0 0.4 0.0 12.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.8 8.3 3.4 0.5 17.7 8th
9th 0.0 2.9 8.5 9.6 3.7 0.6 0.0 25.4 9th
10th 2.2 6.6 10.0 6.8 2.4 0.2 0.0 28.3 10th
Total 2.2 6.6 12.9 15.9 17.1 15.4 11.9 8.5 4.8 2.4 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0%
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.2
11-7 0.6% 0.6
10-8 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 1.4
9-9 2.4% 2.4
8-10 4.8% 4.8
7-11 8.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.5
6-12 11.9% 11.9
5-13 15.4% 15.4
4-14 17.1% 17.1
3-15 15.9% 15.9
2-16 12.9% 12.9
1-17 6.6% 6.6
0-18 2.2% 2.2
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.4%