Arkansas Little Rock
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.5#309
Expected Predictive Rating-9.3#312
Pace66.3#271
Improvement+1.0#113

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#312
First Shot-4.9#318
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#192
Layup/Dunks+1.9#107
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#203
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#279
Freethrows-3.6#345
Improvement+0.2#156

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#290
First Shot-3.5#299
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#184
Layups/Dunks-3.2#294
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#7
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.1#356
Freethrows+2.8#34
Improvement+0.8#125
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 4.6% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 6.7% 10.0% 2.7%
.500 or above in Conference 43.5% 55.3% 29.4%
Conference Champion 3.6% 5.6% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 6.3% 3.4% 9.8%
First Four2.5% 3.2% 1.6%
First Round2.2% 3.0% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee Tech (Home) - 54.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 9
Quad 410 - 1011 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 10 208 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72-92 22%     0 - 1 -20.2 -2.4 -18.0
  Wed, Nov 12 105 @Marquette L 49-89 8%     0 - 2 -32.7 -16.8 -17.8
  Sat, Nov 15 306 @Ball St. W 68-62 38%     1 - 2 +0.7 -3.3 +4.2
  Tue, Nov 18 99 @Murray St. L 68-89 7%     1 - 3 -12.7 +0.2 -14.1
  Fri, Nov 21 257 @Texas St. L 56-65 27%     1 - 4 -11.3 -11.6 -0.4
  Sat, Nov 29 128 @Southern Illinois L 65-74 11%     1 - 5 -4.1 +1.9 -6.8
  Wed, Dec 3 283 @Central Arkansas L 47-85 31%     1 - 6 -41.5 -26.8 -13.9
  Sat, Dec 6 133 Arkansas St. L 78-90 24%     1 - 7 -13.3 +1.4 -14.4
  Tue, Dec 9 64 @West Virginia L 58-90 4%     1 - 8 -20.6 -1.4 -22.9
  Tue, Dec 16 307 @Morehead St. L 64-78 38%     1 - 9 0 - 1 -19.4 -13.9 -4.7
  Thu, Dec 18 341 @Southern Indiana W 77-62 49%     2 - 9 1 - 1 +6.6 +5.6 +1.6
  Thu, Jan 1 284 Tennessee Tech W 73-72 54%    
  Sat, Jan 3 238 Tennessee St. L 71-72 46%    
  Thu, Jan 8 248 @SIU Edwardsville L 64-71 27%    
  Sat, Jan 10 224 @Lindenwood L 70-78 23%    
  Thu, Jan 15 325 Eastern Illinois W 70-66 65%    
  Sat, Jan 17 355 Western Illinois W 72-64 78%    
  Thu, Jan 22 211 @Southeast Missouri St. L 70-78 23%    
  Sat, Jan 24 213 @Tennessee Martin L 65-73 23%    
  Thu, Jan 29 238 @Tennessee St. L 68-75 26%    
  Sat, Jan 31 284 @Tennessee Tech L 70-75 33%    
  Thu, Feb 5 224 Lindenwood L 73-75 44%    
  Sat, Feb 7 248 SIU Edwardsville L 67-68 48%    
  Thu, Feb 12 355 @Western Illinois W 69-67 59%    
  Sat, Feb 14 325 @Eastern Illinois L 67-69 44%    
  Thu, Feb 19 213 Tennessee Martin L 68-70 43%    
  Sat, Feb 21 211 Southeast Missouri St. L 73-75 42%    
  Thu, Feb 26 307 Morehead St. W 71-68 60%    
  Sat, Feb 28 341 Southern Indiana W 73-67 70%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.6 1st
2nd 0.2 1.4 2.5 1.5 0.4 0.0 0.0 6.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.6 3.7 1.8 0.2 0.0 7.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 4.6 2.6 0.3 0.0 9.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 1.2 4.8 3.8 0.6 0.0 10.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 5.0 5.2 1.0 0.0 12.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 4.7 6.0 1.7 0.1 13.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 4.3 6.1 2.2 0.2 14.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.8 4.9 1.8 0.2 12.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.7 2.7 1.0 0.1 8.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 3.4 11th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.5 5.1 8.1 11.3 13.7 14.6 13.6 11.2 8.4 5.2 3.0 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 98.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-4 92.2% 0.5    0.4 0.1
15-5 70.8% 1.0    0.6 0.3 0.0
14-6 41.6% 1.3    0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 12.0% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.6% 3.6 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 35.3% 35.3% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.6% 28.7% 28.7% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4
15-5 1.3% 24.0% 24.0% 15.8 0.1 0.3 1.0
14-6 3.0% 18.0% 18.0% 15.9 0.1 0.5 2.5
13-7 5.2% 13.0% 13.0% 16.0 0.0 0.7 4.5
12-8 8.4% 7.5% 7.5% 16.0 0.6 7.8
11-9 11.2% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.4 10.8
10-10 13.6% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.3 13.3
9-11 14.6% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 14.4
8-12 13.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 13.6
7-13 11.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.3
6-14 8.1% 8.1
5-15 5.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.1
4-16 2.5% 2.5
3-17 0.9% 0.9
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 3.1 96.6 0.0%