Morehead St.
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.6#289
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#165
Pace61.8#341
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#304
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#263
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.4% 11.2% 7.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.2 15.2
.500 or above 34.0% 60.5% 32.5%
.500 or above in Conference 51.9% 71.6% 50.9%
Conference Champion 9.2% 17.9% 8.8%
Last Place in Conference 10.3% 3.7% 10.7%
First Four1.3% 0.0% 1.4%
First Round6.6% 11.2% 6.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wake Forest (Away) - 5.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 8
Quad 411 - 812 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2025 66   @ Wake Forest L 58-76 5%    
  Nov 09, 2025 21   @ Georgia L 58-82 1%    
  Nov 11, 2025 40   @ Clemson L 52-74 3%    
  Nov 21, 2025 146   @ East Tennessee St. L 60-70 19%    
  Nov 22, 2025 359   Louisiana Monroe W 70-64 70%    
  Nov 29, 2025 361   @ IU Indianapolis W 81-78 62%    
  Dec 02, 2025 120   @ Murray St. L 63-75 16%    
  Dec 06, 2025 305   @ Presbyterian L 63-65 41%    
  Dec 16, 2025 152   Arkansas Little Rock L 65-68 39%    
  Dec 20, 2025 308   @ Southern Indiana L 66-68 43%    
  Jan 01, 2026 317   @ Lindenwood L 67-68 45%    
  Jan 03, 2026 235   @ SIU Edwardsville L 62-67 33%    
  Jan 08, 2026 297   Tennessee Martin W 73-70 61%    
  Jan 10, 2026 234   Southeast Missouri St. W 67-66 52%    
  Jan 15, 2026 252   @ Tennessee St. L 66-71 34%    
  Jan 17, 2026 331   @ Tennessee Tech L 66-67 47%    
  Jan 22, 2026 336   Western Illinois W 68-62 68%    
  Jan 24, 2026 314   Eastern Illinois W 66-61 64%    
  Jan 29, 2026 235   SIU Edwardsville W 65-64 51%    
  Jan 31, 2026 317   Lindenwood W 70-65 64%    
  Feb 05, 2026 234   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 64-70 31%    
  Feb 07, 2026 297   @ Tennessee Martin L 70-73 42%    
  Feb 12, 2026 331   Tennessee Tech W 69-64 67%    
  Feb 14, 2026 252   Tennessee St. W 69-68 53%    
  Feb 19, 2026 314   @ Eastern Illinois L 63-64 45%    
  Feb 21, 2026 336   @ Western Illinois L 65-66 50%    
  Feb 24, 2026 308   Southern Indiana W 69-65 62%    
  Feb 26, 2026 152   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 62-71 23%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 1.4 2.3 2.1 1.4 0.8 0.6 0.0 9.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.9 3.0 2.8 2.3 0.7 0.3 10.2 2nd
3rd 0.3 1.4 3.0 3.1 1.5 0.5 9.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 3.7 3.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 10.0 4th
5th 0.0 1.8 4.9 2.5 0.7 0.1 10.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 4.1 3.2 0.6 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.2 1.3 3.4 3.2 0.7 8.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 4.0 3.2 0.6 0.0 9.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.3 2.8 1.0 8.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 2.3 1.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 7.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 1.3 1.8 1.8 1.1 0.6 7.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.5 1.4 2.5 3.7 4.7 7.5 9.0 9.1 9.7 10.5 8.4 8.7 7.6 5.9 5.1 2.8 1.6 0.8 0.6 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6
18-2 100.0% 0.8    0.7 0.0
17-3 83.7% 1.4    1.3 0.1
16-4 74.4% 2.1    1.6 0.5
15-5 44.4% 2.3    1.2 0.8 0.2
14-6 23.8% 1.4    0.5 0.6 0.3
13-7 9.1% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1
12-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 9.2% 9.2 5.9 2.4 0.8 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.6% 53.3% 53.3% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3
18-2 0.8% 39.9% 39.9% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5
17-3 1.6% 37.1% 37.1% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 1.0
16-4 2.8% 40.4% 40.4% 14.7 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.2 1.7
15-5 5.1% 31.1% 31.1% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.4 3.5
14-6 5.9% 20.0% 20.0% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 4.7
13-7 7.6% 11.6% 11.6% 15.6 0.3 0.5 6.7
12-8 8.7% 6.6% 6.6% 15.7 0.2 0.4 8.1
11-9 8.4% 6.3% 6.3% 15.9 0.1 0.5 7.9
10-10 10.5% 2.6% 2.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 10.2
9-11 9.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 9.6
8-12 9.1% 9.1
7-13 9.0% 9.0
6-14 7.5% 7.5
5-15 4.7% 4.7
4-16 3.7% 3.7
3-17 2.5% 2.5
2-18 1.4% 1.4
1-19 0.5% 0.5
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.4% 7.4% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.1 2.6 3.2 92.6 0.0%