SIU Edwardsville
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#245
Expected Predictive Rating-5.6#250
Pace65.4#291
Improvement-2.8#339

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#294
First Shot-1.8#222
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#344
Layup/Dunks-1.7#248
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#53
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#265
Freethrows-0.4#206
Improvement-0.1#189

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#175
First Shot+1.9#107
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#319
Layups/Dunks+7.2#16
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#291
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#263
Freethrows-1.5#287
Improvement-2.7#342
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.1% 15.0% 8.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 66.8% 73.9% 48.9%
.500 or above in Conference 71.2% 78.2% 53.5%
Conference Champion 15.3% 18.6% 7.1%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 1.0% 6.3%
First Four4.2% 4.4% 3.5%
First Round11.2% 12.9% 6.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Illinois (Away) - 71.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 32 - 32 - 4
Quad 414 - 1016 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 295 @Texas San Antonio W 77-60 47%     1 - 0 +12.8 +1.3 +10.9
  Mon, Nov 10 195 Indiana St. L 55-64 51%     1 - 1 -14.2 -19.6 +5.6
  Fri, Nov 14 139 @Drake W 61-59 19%     2 - 1 +6.3 -1.9 +8.6
  Mon, Nov 17 46 @Wisconsin L 69-94 5%     2 - 2 -11.0 +6.6 -18.9
  Fri, Nov 21 320 @Air Force L 63-77 57%     2 - 3 -20.6 -9.6 -11.3
  Sun, Nov 23 282 Alabama St. W 83-68 56%     3 - 3 +8.6 +9.7 -0.3
  Tue, Dec 2 350 @North Florida W 72-63 67%     4 - 3 -0.4 -3.2 +3.5
  Sat, Dec 6 257 Western Michigan L 73-83 63%     4 - 4 -18.4 -2.7 -15.9
  Thu, Dec 18 324 @Eastern Illinois L 72-76 OT 57%     4 - 5 0 - 1 -10.7 -3.5 -7.2
  Mon, Dec 22 356 @Western Illinois W 69-63 72%    
  Thu, Jan 1 335 Southern Indiana W 75-66 80%    
  Sat, Jan 3 310 Morehead St. W 72-65 74%    
  Tue, Jan 6 225 Lindenwood W 73-71 57%    
  Thu, Jan 8 309 Arkansas Little Rock W 71-64 73%    
  Thu, Jan 15 258 @Tennessee Martin L 65-67 41%    
  Sat, Jan 17 226 @Southeast Missouri St. L 69-73 37%    
  Thu, Jan 22 222 Tennessee St. W 70-68 57%    
  Sat, Jan 24 241 Tennessee Tech W 72-69 60%    
  Thu, Jan 29 310 @Morehead St. W 69-68 53%    
  Sat, Jan 31 335 @Southern Indiana W 72-69 61%    
  Tue, Feb 3 225 @Lindenwood L 70-74 36%    
  Sat, Feb 7 309 @Arkansas Little Rock W 68-67 52%    
  Thu, Feb 12 226 Southeast Missouri St. W 72-70 58%    
  Sat, Feb 14 258 Tennessee Martin W 68-64 62%    
  Thu, Feb 19 241 @Tennessee Tech L 69-72 39%    
  Sat, Feb 21 222 @Tennessee St. L 67-71 36%    
  Thu, Feb 26 356 Western Illinois W 72-60 86%    
  Sat, Feb 28 324 Eastern Illinois W 70-62 76%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.6 3.8 4.4 3.3 1.3 0.5 0.1 15.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.3 4.3 1.5 0.3 0.0 13.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 2.2 5.5 3.8 0.9 0.1 12.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 5.4 4.4 0.9 0.0 0.0 12.4 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 4.8 4.7 0.9 0.0 11.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.7 4.4 1.0 0.0 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.7 4.1 1.1 0.0 8.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.1 1.4 0.1 6.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.1 1.0 0.1 5.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.6 0.1 2.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.6 3.1 5.2 7.5 10.4 12.2 13.5 13.3 11.6 9.0 6.0 3.6 1.4 0.5 0.1 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
17-3 99.0% 1.3    1.3 0.0
16-4 92.2% 3.3    2.9 0.5 0.0
15-5 73.3% 4.4    2.7 1.5 0.2 0.0
14-6 42.4% 3.8    1.4 1.8 0.6 0.1
13-7 13.4% 1.6    0.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0
12-8 1.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 15.3% 15.3 9.2 4.4 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.1% 57.1% 57.1% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.5% 51.8% 51.8% 13.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
17-3 1.4% 42.6% 42.6% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.8
16-4 3.6% 39.5% 39.5% 15.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.3 2.2
15-5 6.0% 34.0% 34.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.0 4.0
14-6 9.0% 28.6% 28.6% 15.7 0.0 0.8 1.8 6.4
13-7 11.6% 21.7% 21.7% 15.8 0.0 0.5 2.0 9.1
12-8 13.3% 13.4% 13.4% 15.9 0.2 1.6 11.5
11-9 13.5% 6.7% 6.7% 15.9 0.0 0.9 12.6
10-10 12.2% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.0 0.6 11.6
9-11 10.4% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2 10.2
8-12 7.5% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 7.4
7-13 5.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.2
6-14 3.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.0
5-15 1.6% 1.6
4-16 0.7% 0.7
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 13.1% 13.1% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 3.7 8.5 86.9 0.0%