Eastern Illinois
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.0#342
Expected Predictive Rating-14.4#349
Pace66.1#232
Improvement-1.9#277

Offense
Total Offense-9.8#360
First Shot-7.9#353
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#291
Layup/Dunks-7.5#357
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#10
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#322
Freethrows-0.8#233
Improvement-3.5#325

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#233
First Shot-4.5#312
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#27
Layups/Dunks+2.1#93
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#6
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#356
Freethrows-3.1#348
Improvement+1.6#95
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 50.9% 16.9% 72.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Indiana (Away) - 38.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 46 - 136 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 19   @ Illinois L 67-112 1%     0 - 1 -26.0 -8.4 -10.3
  Nov 10, 2024 50   @ Indiana L 55-90 2%     0 - 2 -21.8 -12.7 -8.1
  Nov 15, 2024 61   @ Northwestern L 58-67 OT 2%     0 - 3 +2.8 -4.6 +6.7
  Nov 19, 2024 118   @ DePaul L 69-78 6%     0 - 4 -3.7 +0.2 -4.0
  Nov 24, 2024 236   @ Valparaiso L 53-81 17%     0 - 5 -29.8 -15.4 -18.1
  Nov 29, 2024 344   Northern Illinois W 72-59 61%     1 - 5 -1.8 -6.6 +4.7
  Dec 03, 2024 62   @ Butler L 58-73 3%     1 - 6 -4.0 -9.9 +5.4
  Dec 14, 2024 192   @ Eastern Kentucky L 66-81 12%     1 - 7 -14.3 -12.3 -1.4
  Dec 19, 2024 223   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 72-79 15%     1 - 8 0 - 1 -7.7 +5.5 -13.7
  Jan 02, 2025 336   Lindenwood W 78-74 OT 58%     2 - 8 1 - 1 -10.0 -12.2 +1.5
  Jan 04, 2025 348   Western Illinois L 67-75 62%     2 - 9 1 - 2 -23.1 -11.4 -12.0
  Jan 07, 2025 245   SIU Edwardsville L 57-60 32%     2 - 10 1 - 3 -10.3 -10.2 -0.4
  Jan 09, 2025 309   Tennessee Tech L 64-69 46%     2 - 11 1 - 4 -16.0 -8.5 -8.0
  Jan 16, 2025 301   @ Tennessee Martin L 63-68 26%     2 - 12 1 - 5 -10.3 -12.0 +1.7
  Jan 18, 2025 274   @ Tennessee St. L 65-84 21%     2 - 13 1 - 6 -22.6 -10.4 -11.8
  Jan 23, 2025 323   Morehead St. L 66-73 51%     2 - 14 1 - 7 -19.1 +4.2 -25.1
  Jan 25, 2025 341   Southern Indiana L 60-64 59%     2 - 15 1 - 8 -18.3 -14.3 -4.4
  Jan 27, 2025 227   Arkansas Little Rock W 56-54 21%     3 - 15 2 - 8 -1.4 -7.4 +6.2
  Jan 30, 2025 348   @ Western Illinois W 71-59 43%     4 - 15 3 - 8 +1.9 -1.0 +3.9
  Feb 01, 2025 336   @ Lindenwood W 76-70 38%     5 - 15 4 - 8 -2.9 +1.6 -4.6
  Feb 04, 2025 245   @ SIU Edwardsville L 41-66 18%     5 - 16 4 - 9 -27.2 -26.3 -3.5
  Feb 08, 2025 309   @ Tennessee Tech L 54-59 28%     5 - 17 4 - 10 -10.9 -16.1 +4.6
  Feb 13, 2025 274   Tennessee St. L 49-66 37%     5 - 18 4 - 11 -25.7 -24.6 -2.1
  Feb 15, 2025 301   Tennessee Martin L 68-72 44%     5 - 19 4 - 12 -14.3 -8.7 -5.7
  Feb 20, 2025 341   @ Southern Indiana L 66-69 39%    
  Feb 22, 2025 323   @ Morehead St. L 61-66 31%    
  Feb 27, 2025 227   Arkansas Little Rock L 60-66 29%    
  Mar 01, 2025 223   Southeast Missouri St. L 64-70 30%    
Projected Record 6 - 22 5 - 15





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 0.6 0.6 8th
9th 14.5 23.1 10.0 0.9 48.5 9th
10th 5.9 19.3 3.7 0.1 29.0 10th
11th 17.0 4.9 0.1 22.0 11th
Total 22.9 38.7 26.9 10.0 1.5 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 1.5% 1.5
7-13 10.0% 10.0
6-14 26.9% 26.9
5-15 38.7% 38.7
4-16 22.9% 22.9
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.9%
Lose Out 22.9%