Southeast Missouri St.
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#303
Expected Predictive Rating-9.1#300
Pace74.5#63
Improvement-1.6#293

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#247
First Shot-1.7#220
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#227
Layup/Dunks-2.2#244
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#238
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#194
Freethrows+2.4#48
Improvement-4.1#357

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#325
First Shot-1.3#225
After Offensive Rebounds-4.1#345
Layups/Dunks+2.2#99
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#156
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#78
Freethrows-6.7#356
Improvement+2.5#18
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 12.3% 18.7% 6.3%
.500 or above in Conference 32.9% 38.0% 28.1%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 8.3% 6.4% 10.2%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
First Round0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Evansville (Home) - 48.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 3
Quad 31 - 62 - 9
Quad 49 - 1011 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 93   @ Missouri St. W 99-94 7%     1 - 0 +13.8 +18.1 -4.7
  Nov 13, 2021 279   Youngstown St. L 79-97 55%     1 - 1 -27.3 -5.3 -20.8
  Nov 19, 2021 229   Arkansas St. L 60-72 44%     1 - 2 -18.3 -11.1 -8.2
  Nov 26, 2021 350   @ Incarnate Word W 79-76 64%     2 - 2 -8.7 -2.3 -6.4
  Nov 27, 2021 251   Portland L 68-74 38%     2 - 3 -10.9 -9.0 -1.7
  Nov 28, 2021 181   Montana St. L 68-75 25%     2 - 4 -8.0 -13.8 +6.5
  Dec 08, 2021 245   Evansville L 68-69 48%    
  Dec 11, 2021 274   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 76-81 34%    
  Dec 15, 2021 154   @ Southern Illinois L 63-75 13%    
  Dec 18, 2021 235   @ Pepperdine L 72-79 25%    
  Dec 21, 2021 217   @ California Baptist L 74-83 21%    
  Dec 30, 2021 89   @ Murray St. L 63-80 6%    
  Jan 01, 2022 259   Austin Peay W 74-73 52%    
  Jan 06, 2022 68   @ Belmont L 70-88 5%    
  Jan 08, 2022 321   @ Tennessee St. L 77-79 44%    
  Jan 13, 2022 277   Tennessee Tech W 77-76 54%    
  Jan 15, 2022 322   @ SIU Edwardsville L 73-75 43%    
  Jan 20, 2022 321   Tennessee St. W 80-76 63%    
  Jan 22, 2022 347   @ Eastern Illinois W 75-72 60%    
  Jan 27, 2022 134   Morehead St. L 68-75 26%    
  Jan 29, 2022 322   SIU Edwardsville W 76-72 66%    
  Feb 03, 2022 346   @ Tennessee Martin W 78-75 59%    
  Feb 05, 2022 347   Eastern Illinois W 78-69 78%    
  Feb 10, 2022 259   @ Austin Peay L 70-76 30%    
  Feb 12, 2022 68   Belmont L 73-85 14%    
  Feb 17, 2022 277   @ Tennessee Tech L 74-79 33%    
  Feb 19, 2022 134   @ Morehead St. L 65-78 13%    
  Feb 24, 2022 346   Tennessee Martin W 81-72 78%    
  Feb 26, 2022 89   Murray St. L 66-77 17%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 1.6 1.6 0.9 0.1 4.9 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 3.4 5.3 3.8 1.4 0.2 14.9 4th
5th 0.0 1.6 6.5 6.8 2.9 0.4 0.0 18.3 5th
6th 0.0 2.1 8.2 6.1 2.1 0.3 18.7 6th
7th 0.1 2.7 7.1 5.2 1.3 0.0 16.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.6 3.6 0.8 0.0 12.5 8th
9th 0.3 2.2 3.8 2.0 0.3 0.0 8.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.2 1.5 0.7 0.1 4.0 10th
Total 0.0 0.5 1.5 4.0 6.8 10.4 13.0 16.0 14.8 12.3 9.1 5.8 3.3 1.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 62.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
14-4 16.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 1.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.3% 7.3% 7.3% 14.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 0.5% 8.2% 8.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-5 1.5% 4.1% 4.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 1.5
12-6 3.3% 2.1% 2.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 3.2
11-7 5.8% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 5.7
10-8 9.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 9.1
9-9 12.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.3
8-10 14.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.8
7-11 16.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.0
6-12 13.0% 13.0
5-13 10.4% 10.4
4-14 6.8% 6.8
3-15 4.0% 4.0
2-16 1.5% 1.5
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 99.6 0.0%