Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.2#277
Expected Predictive Rating-7.8#284
Pace71.0#132
Improvement+0.4#140

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#234
First Shot-1.9#229
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#191
Layup/Dunks+3.9#61
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#81
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#308
Freethrows-2.8#326
Improvement-0.1#188

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#304
First Shot-8.0#352
After Offensive Rebounds+3.8#15
Layups/Dunks-6.9#345
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#273
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#302
Freethrows+3.7#7
Improvement+0.5#127
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 2.0% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.6 15.6
.500 or above 15.0% 27.6% 8.9%
.500 or above in Conference 50.0% 59.3% 45.4%
Conference Champion 0.6% 0.9% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 4.1% 1.8% 5.2%
First Four0.6% 0.7% 0.5%
First Round1.1% 1.8% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Evansville (Away) - 32.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 31 - 52 - 12
Quad 410 - 712 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 23   @ Memphis L 65-89 3%     0 - 1 -7.2 +2.3 -9.2
  Nov 16, 2021 100   @ Chattanooga L 62-69 10%     0 - 2 +0.8 +2.3 -2.7
  Nov 18, 2021 270   UNC Asheville L 55-61 49%     0 - 3 -12.0 -23.7 +12.0
  Nov 23, 2021 222   Lipscomb W 88-77 48%     1 - 3 +5.4 +9.7 -4.4
  Nov 26, 2021 18   @ Tennessee L 69-80 2%     1 - 4 +6.5 +5.9 +0.6
  Nov 30, 2021 100   Chattanooga L 65-82 22%     1 - 5 -15.2 -6.5 -9.2
  Dec 04, 2021 245   @ Evansville L 64-69 33%    
  Dec 08, 2021 302   @ Western Carolina L 76-77 45%    
  Dec 11, 2021 240   Troy W 71-70 53%    
  Dec 18, 2021 205   @ Wright St. L 73-80 25%    
  Dec 21, 2021 55   @ Cincinnati L 62-79 6%    
  Dec 30, 2021 321   @ Tennessee St. L 76-77 50%    
  Jan 01, 2022 89   @ Murray St. L 62-77 9%    
  Jan 06, 2022 134   Morehead St. L 67-72 32%    
  Jan 08, 2022 347   Eastern Illinois W 77-66 82%    
  Jan 13, 2022 303   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 76-77 46%    
  Jan 15, 2022 346   @ Tennessee Martin W 77-73 66%    
  Jan 20, 2022 322   SIU Edwardsville W 75-69 71%    
  Jan 22, 2022 68   @ Belmont L 69-85 7%    
  Jan 27, 2022 89   Murray St. L 65-74 21%    
  Jan 29, 2022 259   Austin Peay W 72-70 60%    
  Feb 03, 2022 134   @ Morehead St. L 64-75 16%    
  Feb 05, 2022 68   Belmont L 72-82 18%    
  Feb 10, 2022 347   @ Eastern Illinois W 74-69 66%    
  Feb 12, 2022 322   @ SIU Edwardsville W 72-71 50%    
  Feb 17, 2022 303   Southeast Missouri St. W 79-74 67%    
  Feb 19, 2022 259   @ Austin Peay L 69-73 37%    
  Feb 24, 2022 321   Tennessee St. W 79-73 70%    
  Feb 26, 2022 346   Tennessee Martin W 80-70 81%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 2.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.0 2.6 3.3 2.0 0.6 0.0 9.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.2 7.9 6.7 2.3 0.4 0.0 22.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 6.4 7.7 4.0 0.9 0.1 21.2 5th
6th 0.0 2.0 6.3 6.0 2.2 0.3 0.0 16.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 4.8 4.1 1.0 0.1 11.6 7th
8th 0.0 1.4 3.2 2.8 0.6 0.0 8.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 2.1 1.4 0.3 4.8 9th
10th 0.2 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.6 10th
Total 0.2 0.5 1.7 4.0 6.1 10.0 12.9 14.6 14.4 13.2 10.4 6.1 3.5 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 73.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 44.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 10.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 4.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 56.8% 56.8% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.4% 9.0% 9.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-4 1.8% 11.2% 11.2% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.6
13-5 3.5% 7.3% 7.3% 15.6 0.1 0.1 3.2
12-6 6.1% 3.1% 3.1% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 5.9
11-7 10.4% 3.1% 3.1% 15.9 0.0 0.3 10.0
10-8 13.2% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 13.1
9-9 14.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 14.3
8-10 14.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.6
7-11 12.9% 12.9
6-12 10.0% 10.0
5-13 6.1% 6.1
4-14 4.0% 4.0
3-15 1.7% 1.7
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 98.6 0.0%