Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#267
Expected Predictive Rating-6.3#260
Pace73.3#85
Improvement+2.9#23

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#264
First Shot-1.1#208
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#321
Layup/Dunks+1.9#109
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#108
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#272
Freethrows-1.5#274
Improvement+3.2#10

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#237
First Shot-2.2#251
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#184
Layups/Dunks+2.8#80
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#255
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#288
Freethrows-1.2#256
Improvement-0.3#206
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.3% 13.4% 6.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 43.1% 54.7% 29.9%
.500 or above in Conference 65.5% 76.6% 52.9%
Conference Champion 10.1% 15.1% 4.4%
Last Place in Conference 3.2% 1.5% 5.0%
First Four4.0% 4.6% 3.2%
First Round8.3% 11.1% 5.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southeast Missouri St. (Home) - 53.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 41 - 7
Quad 412 - 813 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 145 @Western Kentucky L 70-82 18%     0 - 1 -8.1 -6.1 -1.0
  Fri, Nov 7 196 @Charlotte L 65-70 27%     0 - 2 -4.3 -4.6 -0.1
  Mon, Nov 17 317 West Georgia L 59-61 72%     0 - 3 -13.8 -16.3 +2.5
  Wed, Nov 19 271 @South Carolina Upstate W 88-84 39%     1 - 3 +1.3 +7.3 -6.4
  Wed, Nov 26 24 @Kentucky L 54-104 2%     1 - 4 -31.9 -12.3 -17.7
  Sat, Nov 29 19 @Georgia L 81-123 2%     1 - 5 -23.5 +0.4 -15.7
  Wed, Dec 3 141 @Lipscomb L 80-83 17%     1 - 6 +1.3 +5.6 -4.2
  Sat, Dec 6 317 @West Georgia W 87-59 50%     2 - 6 +22.2 +12.1 +10.2
  Thu, Dec 18 217 Southeast Missouri St. W 77-76 53%    
  Sat, Dec 20 246 Tennessee Martin W 72-70 58%    
  Thu, Jan 1 321 @Arkansas Little Rock W 73-72 52%    
  Thu, Jan 8 334 @Eastern Illinois W 72-70 57%    
  Sat, Jan 10 359 @Western Illinois W 74-68 71%    
  Thu, Jan 15 324 Southern Indiana W 79-72 73%    
  Sat, Jan 17 328 Morehead St. W 78-71 74%    
  Thu, Jan 22 235 @Lindenwood L 75-79 34%    
  Sat, Jan 24 231 @SIU Edwardsville L 68-73 34%    
  Tue, Jan 27 247 @Tennessee St. L 74-78 37%    
  Sat, Jan 31 321 Arkansas Little Rock W 75-69 72%    
  Thu, Feb 5 359 Western Illinois W 77-65 85%    
  Sat, Feb 7 334 Eastern Illinois W 75-67 76%    
  Thu, Feb 12 328 @Morehead St. W 75-74 54%    
  Sat, Feb 14 324 @Southern Indiana W 76-75 53%    
  Thu, Feb 19 231 SIU Edwardsville W 71-70 55%    
  Sat, Feb 21 235 Lindenwood W 78-76 56%    
  Thu, Feb 26 246 @Tennessee Martin L 69-73 37%    
  Sat, Feb 28 217 @Southeast Missouri St. L 74-79 32%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 11 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.4 3.2 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1 10.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 4.0 3.8 1.7 0.3 0.0 11.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.1 4.1 1.4 0.1 0.0 12.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 5.3 4.6 1.1 0.1 12.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 4.9 5.0 1.2 0.1 12.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 4.2 4.8 1.1 0.1 0.0 11.2 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 3.3 4.6 1.3 0.1 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.6 3.4 1.1 0.1 7.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.8 2.4 1.0 0.1 6.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.3 0.6 0.1 3.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.6 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.2 2.3 4.1 6.4 8.8 11.3 12.7 13.6 12.5 10.1 7.6 5.0 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
17-3 97.0% 1.0    0.9 0.1
16-4 87.3% 2.2    1.7 0.4 0.0
15-5 63.9% 3.2    1.8 1.2 0.2
14-6 31.6% 2.4    0.9 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 8.6% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 10.1% 10.1 5.8 3.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.3% 52.2% 52.2% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
17-3 1.0% 40.7% 40.7% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.6
16-4 2.5% 38.3% 38.3% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.3 1.5
15-5 5.0% 32.3% 32.3% 15.5 0.1 0.6 0.9 3.4
14-6 7.6% 25.5% 25.5% 15.7 0.0 0.5 1.5 5.7
13-7 10.1% 18.8% 18.8% 15.8 0.0 0.3 1.6 8.2
12-8 12.5% 11.8% 11.8% 15.9 0.1 1.4 11.1
11-9 13.6% 6.7% 6.7% 15.9 0.1 0.9 12.7
10-10 12.7% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.0 0.5 12.2
9-11 11.3% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.2 11.0
8-12 8.8% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 8.6
7-13 6.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.4
6-14 4.1% 4.1
5-15 2.3% 2.3
4-16 1.2% 1.2
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.3% 10.3% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.4 7.4 89.7 0.0%