Southern Indiana
Ohio Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.2#312
Expected Predictive Rating-13.2#337
Pace78.5#26
Improvement+2.6#27

Offense
Total Offense-6.2#337
First Shot-1.9#224
After Offensive Rebound-4.4#353
Layup/Dunks-3.9#311
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#66
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#205
Freethrows+0.4#152
Improvement+1.5#55

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#228
First Shot-5.6#334
After Offensive Rebounds+3.6#16
Layups/Dunks-9.0#363
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#33
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.9#21
Freethrows-4.6#356
Improvement+1.1#79
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.5% 6.6% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 16.8% 29.6% 12.0%
.500 or above in Conference 43.6% 53.7% 39.8%
Conference Champion 5.5% 8.1% 4.5%
Last Place in Conference 11.4% 7.6% 12.9%
First Four3.0% 3.9% 2.6%
First Round3.0% 4.7% 2.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Michigan (Away) - 27.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 410 - 1111 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 48 @Butler L 58-88 3%     0 - 1 -15.7 -12.5 -1.2
  Fri, Nov 7 341 VMI L 74-78 72%     0 - 2 -18.2 -14.5 -3.3
  Wed, Nov 12 285 @South Dakota L 74-89 34%     0 - 3 -18.8 -14.9 -1.5
  Thu, Nov 20 186 Incarnate Word L 81-87 27%     0 - 4 -7.8 +1.4 -8.9
  Sat, Nov 22 174 Illinois-Chicago L 73-84 25%     0 - 5 -12.3 -4.6 -7.1
  Wed, Nov 26 267 @Valparaiso W 64-56 30%     1 - 5 +5.3 -8.8 +14.1
  Wed, Dec 3 246 @Western Michigan L 74-80 28%    
  Sun, Dec 7 195 @Indiana St. L 74-83 20%    
  Thu, Dec 18 248 Arkansas Little Rock L 72-73 49%    
  Sat, Dec 20 310 Morehead St. W 77-74 60%    
  Thu, Jan 1 206 @SIU Edwardsville L 67-75 23%    
  Sat, Jan 3 307 @Lindenwood L 75-78 38%    
  Thu, Jan 8 211 Southeast Missouri St. L 76-78 43%    
  Sat, Jan 10 263 Tennessee Martin W 73-72 52%    
  Thu, Jan 15 321 @Tennessee Tech L 73-76 41%    
  Sat, Jan 17 223 @Tennessee St. L 75-82 25%    
  Thu, Jan 22 330 Eastern Illinois W 73-69 65%    
  Sat, Jan 24 353 Western Illinois W 75-68 75%    
  Thu, Jan 29 307 Lindenwood W 78-75 60%    
  Sat, Jan 31 206 SIU Edwardsville L 70-72 43%    
  Thu, Feb 5 263 @Tennessee Martin L 70-76 32%    
  Sat, Feb 7 211 @Southeast Missouri St. L 73-81 24%    
  Thu, Feb 12 223 Tennessee St. L 78-79 45%    
  Sat, Feb 14 321 Tennessee Tech W 76-73 61%    
  Thu, Feb 19 353 @Western Illinois W 72-71 55%    
  Sat, Feb 21 330 @Eastern Illinois L 70-72 45%    
  Tue, Feb 24 310 @Morehead St. L 74-77 40%    
  Sat, Feb 28 248 @Arkansas Little Rock L 69-75 29%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.5 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 5.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.5 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 6.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.6 3.3 2.2 0.5 0.1 7.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 4.3 2.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 9.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 4.4 3.4 0.6 0.0 10.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 4.8 3.8 0.7 0.0 0.0 10.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 4.4 4.7 1.0 0.0 11.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.0 4.4 1.4 0.1 11.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.5 4.2 1.3 0.1 10.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.6 3.4 2.9 1.2 0.1 9.7 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.7 1.9 1.4 0.5 0.0 6.8 11th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.2 3.8 6.3 8.2 10.7 11.5 12.5 11.0 10.3 8.1 5.9 3.9 2.4 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 98.3% 0.6    0.5 0.1
16-4 85.6% 1.1    0.9 0.2 0.0
15-5 62.5% 1.5    0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-6 34.5% 1.4    0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 11.2% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.5% 5.5 3.1 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 35.1% 35.1% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.6% 34.8% 34.8% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4
16-4 1.3% 28.8% 28.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9
15-5 2.4% 25.7% 25.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8
14-6 3.9% 20.5% 20.5% 15.9 0.1 0.8 3.1
13-7 5.9% 13.9% 13.9% 16.0 0.0 0.8 5.1
12-8 8.1% 8.4% 8.4% 16.0 0.0 0.7 7.4
11-9 10.3% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.4 9.8
10-10 11.0% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 10.8
9-11 12.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 12.4
8-12 11.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 11.4
7-13 10.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.6
6-14 8.2% 8.2
5-15 6.3% 6.3
4-16 3.8% 3.8
3-17 2.2% 2.2
2-18 0.9% 0.9
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 4.0 95.5 0.0%