Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
127 St. Thomas 36.2%   18 - 8 10 - 4 +2.5      +3.2 98 -0.7 197 71.3 105 +1.2 145 -0.7 2
130 North Dakota St. 38.4%   14   20 - 6 13 - 1 +2.0      +1.9 118 +0.1 166 66.0 247 +3.5 111 +8.3 1
209 South Dakota St. 9.5%   10 - 16 6 - 8 -2.7      -0.7 178 -2.1 237 68.5 177 -6.0 260 -7.3 7
226 Denver 6.6%   12 - 15 8 - 7 -3.7      +3.8 85 -7.5 352 69.1 164 -3.3 224 -4.5 5
239 Nebraska Omaha 5.8%   11 - 14 8 - 6 -4.3      -0.3 170 -4.0 293 68.5 184 -4.5 241 -4.5 4
291 South Dakota 1.7%   11 - 15 6 - 8 -7.7      -3.8 269 -3.9 289 74.3 42 -6.8 272 -6.9 6
293 North Dakota 1.7%   13 - 15 10 - 5 -7.8      -1.2 198 -6.6 339 68.9 170 -5.0 246 -1.1 3
333 Oral Roberts 0.2%   4 - 22 2 - 12 -11.5      -7.1 339 -4.4 303 68.5 183 -12.3 340 -15.8 8
360 UMKC 0.0%   1 - 24 1 - 13 -16.7      -12.2 361 -4.6 305 73.1 64 -20.4 362 -18.4 9


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Feb 21 226 Denver 82 127 St. Thomas 80   
Sat, Feb 21 293 North Dakota 83 209 South Dakota St. 91   
Sat, Feb 21 333 Oral Roberts 67 291 South Dakota 62   
Sat, Feb 21 360 UMKC 59 130 North Dakota St. 95   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Wed, Feb 25 239 Nebraska Omaha 80 291 South Dakota 79 52%   
Thu, Feb 26 130 North Dakota St. 75 127 St. Thomas 79 63%   
Thu, Feb 26 226 Denver 81 333 Oral Roberts 76 68%   
Thu, Feb 26 360 UMKC 68 209 South Dakota St. 79 85%   
Sat, Feb 28 239 Nebraska Omaha 75 127 St. Thomas 84 82%   
Sat, Feb 28 291 South Dakota 77 209 South Dakota St. 79 58%   
Sat, Feb 28 293 North Dakota 70 130 North Dakota St. 83 88%   
Sat, Feb 28 360 UMKC 70 333 Oral Roberts 73 59%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
St. Thomas 2.0 99.2 0.8
North Dakota St. 1.0 100.0
South Dakota St. 5.9 6.7 23.2 46.3 23.8
Denver 4.3 73.7 26.3
Nebraska Omaha 4.1 3.4 5.9 63.7 27.1
South Dakota 6.3 5.3 12.6 28.1 54.0
North Dakota 2.9 11.2 88.8
Oral Roberts 8.0 95.0 5.0
UMKC 8.7 30.5 69.5

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
St. Thomas 11 - 5 19 - 9 7.0 41.2 51.8
North Dakota St. 14 - 2 21 - 7 7.4 58.9 33.7
South Dakota St. 7 - 9 11 - 17 6.9 43.3 49.8
Denver 9 - 7 13 - 15 32.7 67.3
Nebraska Omaha 9 - 7 12 - 15 40.2 50.0 9.9
South Dakota 7 - 9 12 - 16 30.1 49.7 20.3
North Dakota 10 - 6 13 - 16 88.8 11.2
Oral Roberts 3 - 13 5 - 23 28.4 52.4 19.3
UMKC 2 - 14 2 - 25 50.3 42.6 7.1

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
St. Thomas
North Dakota St. 100.0% 100.0
South Dakota St.
Denver
Nebraska Omaha
South Dakota
North Dakota
Oral Roberts
UMKC


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
St. Thomas 36.2% 36.2% 0.0% 0.0 3.2 18.2 13.5 1.2 63.8 0.0%
North Dakota St. 38.4% 38.4% 0.0% 14   0.0 3.6 18.9 14.6 1.3 0.0 61.6 0.0%
South Dakota St. 9.5% 9.5% 0.0% 0.5 9.0 90.5 0.0%
Denver 6.6% 6.6% 0.0% 2.8 3.8 93.4 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 0.1 0.9 4.8 94.2 0.0%
South Dakota 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0 1.7 98.3 0.0%
North Dakota 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 0.1 1.6 98.4 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2 99.8 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 93.7% 0.9 6.3 93.7
2nd Round 3.6% 0.0 96.4 3.6
Sweet Sixteen 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
St. Thomas 36.2% 0.0% 36.2% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota St. 38.4% 0.0% 38.4% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota St. 9.5% 6.9% 7.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Denver 6.6% 2.1% 5.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 5.8% 3.9% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota 1.7% 1.5% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota 1.7% 1.3% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%