Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
122 St. Thomas 37.9%   18 - 7 10 - 3 +2.8      +3.4 95 -0.7 194 71.4 105 +2.0 129 +0.6 2
135 North Dakota St. 38.5%   14   19 - 6 12 - 1 +1.6      +1.9 116 -0.3 181 65.3 266 +3.5 106 +8.2 1
209 South Dakota St. 8.8%   9 - 16 5 - 8 -2.8      -1.4 209 -1.4 218 68.8 175 -6.5 270 -8.3 7
238 Nebraska Omaha 5.9%   11 - 14 8 - 6 -4.4      -0.3 173 -4.0 296 68.5 184 -4.6 242 -4.6 4
249 Denver 4.7%   10 - 15 6 - 7 -4.8      +3.2 97 -7.9 358 69.8 144 -4.6 241 -6.5 6
280 South Dakota 2.4%   11 - 13 6 - 6 -6.9      -2.7 248 -4.2 300 74.8 35 -5.6 257 -4.9 5
297 North Dakota 1.6%   12 - 14 9 - 4 -7.8      -1.9 221 -6.0 331 68.8 173 -4.8 244 -0.3 3
339 Oral Roberts 0.2%   3 - 22 1 - 12 -11.8      -6.4 332 -5.4 318 68.3 190 -13.6 349 -19.8 9
359 UMKC 0.0%   1 - 22 1 - 11 -16.1      -11.4 361 -4.7 309 71.7 98 -20.3 362 -18.0 8


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sun, Feb 15 249 Denver 76 238 Nebraska Omaha 83   
Wed, Feb 18 135 North Dakota St. 74 209 South Dakota St. 66   
Wed, Feb 18 238 Nebraska Omaha 80 339 Oral Roberts 71   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Thu, Feb 19 249 Denver 87 280 South Dakota 82 69%   
Thu, Feb 19 359 UMKC 69 297 North Dakota 80 85%   
Sat, Feb 21 249 Denver 82 122 St. Thomas 86 67%   
Sat, Feb 21 297 North Dakota 72 209 South Dakota St. 80 78%   
Sat, Feb 21 339 Oral Roberts 76 280 South Dakota 78 58%   
Sat, Feb 21 359 UMKC 61 135 North Dakota St. 82 96%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
St. Thomas 2.0 5.8 93.0 1.2
North Dakota St. 1.0 99.9 0.2
South Dakota St. 5.9 9.9 25.4 30.3 34.4
Nebraska Omaha 4.1 0.9 10.7 63.5 23.2 1.8
Denver 5.2 1.6 25.4 34.4 26.3 12.3
South Dakota 5.1 0.1 5.7 34.2 24.2 17.2 18.6
North Dakota 2.9 0.0 8.1 90.5 1.4
Oral Roberts 8.3 74.2 25.8
UMKC 8.5 0.0 47.2 52.8

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
St. Thomas 12 - 4 20 - 8 2.4 18.0 42.8 36.8
North Dakota St. 14 - 2 21 - 7 0.3 9.8 59.3 30.6
South Dakota St. 7 - 9 11 - 17 2.1 17.0 44.9 35.9
Nebraska Omaha 9 - 7 12 - 15 43.5 47.7 8.8
Denver 8 - 8 12 - 16 8.0 33.0 42.8 16.3
South Dakota 8 - 8 13 - 15 8.8 28.4 36.1 21.5 5.2
North Dakota 10 - 6 13 - 16 10.3 61.6 25.4 2.6
Oral Roberts 2 - 14 4 - 24 18.3 40.1 32.4 9.3
UMKC 2 - 14 2 - 25 39.0 44.8 14.3 1.8 0.1

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
St. Thomas 5.8% 0.2 5.7 0.0
North Dakota St. 99.9% 94.2 5.7 0.0
South Dakota St.
Nebraska Omaha
Denver
South Dakota
North Dakota 0.0% 0.0 0.0
Oral Roberts
UMKC


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
St. Thomas 37.9% 37.9% 0.0% 0.0 3.6 19.8 13.2 1.2 62.2 0.0%
North Dakota St. 38.5% 38.5% 0.0% 14   0.0 2.1 16.0 17.5 2.8 0.0 61.5 0.0%
South Dakota St. 8.8% 8.8% 0.0% 0.4 8.3 91.3 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.7 5.3 94.1 0.0%
Denver 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 0.9 3.8 95.3 0.0%
South Dakota 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 2.1 97.6 0.0%
North Dakota 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 0.1 1.5 98.4 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2 99.8 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 93.1% 0.9 6.9 93.1
2nd Round 3.7% 0.0 96.3 3.7
Sweet Sixteen 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
St. Thomas 37.9% 0.0% 37.9% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota St. 38.5% 0.0% 38.5% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota St. 8.8% 6.7% 6.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 5.9% 4.0% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Denver 4.7% 3.1% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota 2.4% 1.6% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota 1.6% 1.2% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%