Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
115 St. Thomas 42.4%   14   19 - 8 11 - 4 +3.2      +3.5 94 -0.3 178 71.2 107 +1.5 138 +0.2 2
137 North Dakota St. 34.9%   20 - 7 13 - 2 +1.4      +1.6 125 -0.2 176 65.8 253 +3.1 116 +5.9 1
209 South Dakota St. 8.0%   11 - 16 7 - 8 -2.7      -0.7 183 -2.0 233 68.0 192 -5.8 254 -6.9 7
243 Denver 5.8%   12 - 16 8 - 8 -4.7      +3.7 86 -8.4 357 69.4 152 -4.1 237 -5.5 5
255 Nebraska Omaha 4.3%   11 - 15 8 - 7 -5.1      -0.8 187 -4.3 300 68.5 183 -5.1 247 -5.3 4
285 South Dakota 2.3%   12 - 15 7 - 8 -7.1      -3.6 260 -3.5 279 74.4 36 -6.3 263 -6.1 6
291 North Dakota 1.8%   13 - 15 10 - 5 -7.7      -1.1 199 -6.6 340 68.9 170 -5.0 245 -1.1 3
325 Oral Roberts 0.4%   5 - 22 3 - 12 -10.4      -6.1 322 -4.3 303 68.8 175 -11.1 332 -13.3 8
360 UMKC 0.0%   1 - 25 1 - 14 -16.9      -12.4 363 -4.5 309 72.7 72 -20.7 363 -18.8 9


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Feb 25 255 Nebraska Omaha 72 285 South Dakota 89   
Thu, Feb 26 360 UMKC 59 209 South Dakota St. 73   
Thu, Feb 26 137 North Dakota St. 62 115 St. Thomas 84   
Thu, Feb 26 243 Denver 80 325 Oral Roberts 102   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Feb 28 255 Nebraska Omaha 74 115 St. Thomas 85 85%   
Sat, Feb 28 285 South Dakota 77 209 South Dakota St. 78 55%   
Sat, Feb 28 291 North Dakota 70 137 North Dakota St. 82 87%   
Sat, Feb 28 360 UMKC 70 325 Oral Roberts 73 63%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
St. Thomas 2.0 100.0
North Dakota St. 1.0 100.0
South Dakota St. 5.4 47.1 7.8 45.1
Denver 4.1 85.8 14.2
Nebraska Omaha 4.0 100.0
South Dakota 5.7 38.7 6.4 54.9
North Dakota 3.0 1.7 98.3
Oral Roberts 8.0 100.0
UMKC 9.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
St. Thomas 12 - 4 20 - 8 14.2 85.8
North Dakota St. 14 - 2 21 - 7 12.6 87.4
South Dakota St. 8 - 8 12 - 16 45.1 54.9
Denver 8 - 8 12 - 16 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 8 - 8 11 - 16 85.8 14.2
South Dakota 7 - 9 12 - 16 54.9 45.1
North Dakota 10 - 6 13 - 16 87.4 12.6
Oral Roberts 4 - 12 6 - 22 37.4 62.7
UMKC 1 - 15 1 - 26 62.7 37.4

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
St. Thomas
North Dakota St. 100.0% 100.0
South Dakota St.
Denver
Nebraska Omaha
South Dakota
North Dakota
Oral Roberts
UMKC


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
St. Thomas 42.4% 42.4% 0.0% 14   5.0 24.9 11.9 0.5 57.6 0.0%
North Dakota St. 34.9% 34.9% 0.0% 1.8 16.7 15.2 1.3 65.1 0.0%
South Dakota St. 8.0% 8.0% 0.0% 0.2 7.8 92.0 0.0%
Denver 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 0.2 5.6 94.2 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 4.3% 4.3% 0.0% 0.1 4.2 95.7 0.0%
South Dakota 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 0.1 2.2 97.7 0.0%
North Dakota 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 0.1 1.8 98.2 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4 99.6 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 92.3% 0.9 7.7 92.3
2nd Round 3.7% 0.0 96.3 3.7
Sweet Sixteen 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
St. Thomas 42.4% 0.0% 42.4% 2.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota St. 34.9% 0.0% 34.9% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota St. 8.0% 6.3% 5.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Denver 5.8% 4.3% 3.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 4.3% 3.7% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota 2.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota 1.8% 1.4% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%