Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
112 St. Thomas 0.0%   21 - 9 12 - 4 +3.2      +2.8 102 +0.4 153 70.3 126 +1.3 134 +0.6 2
125 North Dakota St. 100.0%   14   24 - 7 14 - 2 +2.5      +1.2 133 +1.2 134 66.2 244 +3.5 114 +6.0 1
216 South Dakota St. 0.0%   11 - 18 7 - 9 -3.2      -0.9 188 -2.3 249 67.6 198 -6.3 259 -7.5 7
252 Denver 0.0%   12 - 17 8 - 8 -5.2      +3.7 87 -8.9 359 69.6 145 -4.6 241 -5.4 6
257 Nebraska Omaha 0.0%   12 - 17 8 - 8 -5.4      -1.9 219 -3.4 278 68.1 190 -4.9 244 -5.4 5
280 North Dakota 0.0%   15 - 17 10 - 6 -7.0      -1.8 214 -5.2 315 68.6 177 -4.1 234 -1.6 3
283 South Dakota 0.0%   13 - 16 8 - 8 -7.2      -3.8 274 -3.4 275 73.7 43 -6.1 256 -5.1 4
312 Oral Roberts 0.0%   7 - 23 4 - 12 -9.3      -5.2 301 -4.1 294 69.2 154 -10.5 325 -12.5 8
363 UMKC 0.0%   1 - 27 1 - 15 -18.8      -12.9 363 -5.9 328 73.1 61 -22.0 364 -19.9 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
North Dakota St. 1.0 100.0
St. Thomas 2.0 100.0
North Dakota 3.0 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 4.0 100.0
South Dakota 4.0 100.0
Denver 4.0 100.0
South Dakota St. 7.0 100.0
Oral Roberts 8.0 100.0
UMKC 9.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
North Dakota St. 14 - 2 24 - 7 100.0
St. Thomas 12 - 4 21 - 9 100.0
North Dakota 10 - 6 15 - 17 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 8 - 8 12 - 17 100.0
South Dakota 8 - 8 13 - 16 100.0
Denver 8 - 8 12 - 17 100.0
South Dakota St. 7 - 9 11 - 18 100.0
Oral Roberts 4 - 12 7 - 23 100.0
UMKC 1 - 15 1 - 27 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
North Dakota St. 100.0% 100.0
St. Thomas
North Dakota
Nebraska Omaha
South Dakota
Denver
South Dakota St.
Oral Roberts
UMKC


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
St. Thomas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Dakota St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   1.7 30.3 67.0 1.1
South Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Denver 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 4.2% 0.0 95.8 4.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
St. Thomas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Denver 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%