Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
109 St. Thomas 54.3%   14   21 - 8 12 - 4 +3.7      +3.3 92 +0.4 154 70.6 118 +2.2 126 +0.6 2
130 North Dakota St. 36.5%   22 - 7 14 - 2 +2.0      +1.8 123 +0.3 161 66.3 245 +3.3 117 +6.1 1
215 South Dakota St. 0.0%   11 - 18 7 - 9 -3.1      -1.0 189 -2.2 239 67.5 204 -6.3 264 -7.5 7
244 Nebraska Omaha 6.3%   12 - 16 8 - 8 -4.8      -1.2 198 -3.6 279 68.1 188 -4.7 244 -5.5 6
257 Denver 0.0%   12 - 17 8 - 8 -5.3      +3.3 93 -8.6 360 69.4 149 -4.6 242 -5.4 5
283 South Dakota 0.0%   13 - 16 8 - 8 -7.1      -3.8 274 -3.3 271 73.8 49 -6.1 259 -5.1 4
294 North Dakota 3.0%   14 - 16 10 - 6 -7.6      -1.5 209 -6.1 331 69.2 157 -4.6 243 -1.5 3
314 Oral Roberts 0.0%   7 - 23 4 - 12 -9.3      -5.3 307 -4.0 294 69.0 164 -10.5 325 -12.5 8
363 UMKC 0.0%   1 - 27 1 - 15 -18.5      -12.7 363 -5.8 327 72.9 62 -22.0 364 -19.9 9


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Mar 4 363 UMKC 62 314 Oral Roberts 84   
Thu, Mar 5 215 South Dakota St. 67 109 St. Thomas 80   
Thu, Mar 5 130 North Dakota St. 76 314 Oral Roberts 65   
Fri, Mar 6 244 Nebraska Omaha 76 283 South Dakota 62   
Fri, Mar 6 257 Denver 67 294 North Dakota 83   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Mar 7 130 North Dakota St. 78 244 Nebraska Omaha 71 74%   
Sat, Mar 7 294 North Dakota 74 109 St. Thomas 85 85%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
North Dakota St. 1.0 100.0
St. Thomas 2.0 100.0
North Dakota 3.0 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 4.0 100.0
South Dakota 4.0 100.0
Denver 4.0 100.0
South Dakota St. 7.0 100.0
Oral Roberts 8.0 100.0
UMKC 9.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
North Dakota St. 14 - 2 23 - 7 100.0
St. Thomas 12 - 4 22 - 8 100.0
North Dakota 10 - 6 14 - 17 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 8 - 8 12 - 17 100.0
South Dakota 8 - 8 13 - 16 100.0
Denver 8 - 8 12 - 17 100.0
South Dakota St. 7 - 9 11 - 18 100.0
Oral Roberts 4 - 12 7 - 23 100.0
UMKC 1 - 15 1 - 27 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
North Dakota St. 100.0% 100.0
St. Thomas
North Dakota
Nebraska Omaha
South Dakota
Denver
South Dakota St.
Oral Roberts
UMKC


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
St. Thomas 54.3% 54.3% 0.0% 14   0.0 10.1 29.5 14.3 0.4 45.7 0.0%
North Dakota St. 36.5% 36.5% 0.0% 3.0 16.8 15.6 1.1 63.6 0.0%
South Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 6.3% 6.3% 0.0% 0.0 6.3 93.7 0.0%
Denver 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Dakota 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0 3.0 97.0 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 96.2% 1.0 3.8 96.2
2nd Round 5.3% 0.1 94.7 5.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.7
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
St. Thomas 54.3% 0.0% 54.3% 3.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota St. 36.5% 0.0% 36.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 6.3% 5.9% 3.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Denver 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota 3.0% 2.7% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%