Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
133 St. Thomas 34.0%   15   8 - 4 0 - 0 20 - 8 12 - 4 +1.7      +1.5 128 +0.2 152 69.6 181 +2.1 135 0.0 1
155 North Dakota St. 26.0%   7 - 5 0 - 0 18 - 10 11 - 5 +0.3      +0.1 159 +0.1 154 69.7 180 +1.1 149 0.0 1
166 South Dakota St. 20.7%   4 - 8 0 - 0 15 - 13 11 - 5 -0.7      +0.1 160 -0.8 191 71.6 119 -4.0 232 0.0 1
228 Nebraska Omaha 8.5%   3 - 8 0 - 0 12 - 15 9 - 7 -4.0      -0.2 170 -3.8 301 68.5 214 -4.5 239 0.0 1
289 South Dakota 3.6%   5 - 7 0 - 0 12 - 16 7 - 9 -6.8      -1.2 204 -5.6 335 78.6 19 -6.4 262 0.0 1
290 Denver 3.7%   4 - 8 0 - 0 11 - 17 7 - 9 -6.8      +2.0 117 -8.8 361 69.7 178 -1.5 185 0.0 1
302 Oral Roberts 2.3%   2 - 10 0 - 0 8 - 20 6 - 10 -8.0      -3.6 267 -4.4 317 70.6 150 -7.7 285 0.0 1
333 North Dakota 0.8%   3 - 10 0 - 0 8 - 21 5 - 11 -10.4      -6.2 331 -4.2 310 71.6 122 -10.5 321 0.0 1
342 UMKC 0.4%   0 - 11 0 - 0 4 - 23 4 - 12 -11.7      -9.2 359 -2.4 250 72.7 95 -16.3 347 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sun, Dec 28 228 Nebraska Omaha 57 56 Oregon 80   
Mon, Dec 29 2 Arizona 99 166 South Dakota St. 71   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Wed, Dec 31 155 North Dakota St. 86 289 South Dakota 76 83%   
Wed, Dec 31 290 Denver 82 342 UMKC 74 77%   
Thu, Jan 1 228 Nebraska Omaha 74 166 South Dakota St. 80 73%   
Thu, Jan 1 333 North Dakota 76 302 Oral Roberts 75 52%   
Sat, Jan 3 155 North Dakota St. 81 302 Oral Roberts 70 85%   
Sat, Jan 3 333 North Dakota 72 166 South Dakota St. 79 74%   
Sat, Jan 3 342 UMKC 68 228 Nebraska Omaha 79 84%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
St. Thomas 2.0 48.4 25.4 14.0 6.8 3.2 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
North Dakota St. 2.4 33.9 27.1 18.7 10.8 5.3 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1
South Dakota St. 2.8 25.5 25.0 21.6 13.7 7.6 3.8 1.8 0.7 0.2
Nebraska Omaha 4.1 8.8 13.7 18.3 20.1 15.8 10.9 7.1 3.8 1.6
South Dakota 5.4 2.5 5.6 10.2 14.7 18.5 17.7 14.7 10.2 5.8
Denver 5.4 2.6 5.9 9.5 14.7 18.2 17.8 14.9 10.8 5.6
Oral Roberts 5.9 1.3 3.6 7.0 11.4 16.1 18.6 18.0 14.6 9.4
North Dakota 7.0 0.3 1.0 2.5 5.6 9.6 14.4 19.6 24.1 22.9
UMKC 7.4 0.2 0.7 1.6 3.6 7.3 11.1 17.1 24.5 33.8




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
St. Thomas 12 - 4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.8 7.0 11.5 15.7 18.8 18.4 13.2 6.7 2.0
North Dakota St. 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 3.3 6.7 10.5 14.4 17.2 17.9 14.2 8.8 3.9 0.8
South Dakota St. 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.5 5.0 8.7 13.4 16.1 16.9 15.3 11.5 6.1 2.3 0.5
Nebraska Omaha 9 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.6 5.3 8.9 12.7 15.0 16.1 14.3 11.1 7.1 3.6 1.3 0.4 0.0
South Dakota 7 - 9 0.1 0.5 1.8 4.0 7.8 12.2 15.1 16.3 15.0 11.8 7.9 4.6 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Denver 7 - 9 0.1 0.5 1.7 4.0 8.1 12.0 15.6 16.2 14.8 11.6 7.9 4.2 2.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
Oral Roberts 6 - 10 0.1 0.9 3.1 6.7 11.0 14.7 16.7 16.1 12.4 8.8 5.3 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
North Dakota 5 - 11 0.8 3.7 8.2 13.8 17.0 18.1 14.9 10.9 6.6 3.6 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
UMKC 4 - 12 1.8 6.0 12.5 17.1 18.1 16.4 12.2 8.0 4.5 2.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
St. Thomas 48.4% 34.6 11.4 2.1 0.3 0.0 0.0
North Dakota St. 33.9% 22.2 9.4 2.0 0.3 0.0 0.0
South Dakota St. 25.5% 15.7 7.8 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
Nebraska Omaha 8.8% 4.5 3.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
South Dakota 2.5% 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Denver 2.6% 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Oral Roberts 1.3% 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
North Dakota 0.3% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
UMKC 0.2% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
St. Thomas 34.0% 34.0% 0.0% 15   0.0 0.4 2.5 9.2 14.0 7.1 0.9 66.0 0.0%
North Dakota St. 26.0% 26.0% 0.0% 0.1 0.9 4.9 10.8 7.7 1.6 74.0 0.0%
South Dakota St. 20.7% 20.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.6 5.5 8.5 4.9 79.3 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 8.5% 8.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.9 3.2 4.2 91.5 0.0%
South Dakota 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.7 96.4 0.0%
Denver 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.2 96.3 0.0%
Oral Roberts 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 2.1 97.7 0.0%
North Dakota 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.7 99.2 0.0%
UMKC 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4 99.6 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
St. Thomas 34.0% 0.1% 33.9% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota St. 26.0% 0.3% 25.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota St. 20.7% 2.2% 20.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 8.5% 2.8% 7.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota 3.6% 1.8% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Denver 3.7% 1.6% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oral Roberts 2.3% 1.9% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UMKC 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 94.9% 0.9 5.1 94.9
2nd Round 3.8% 0.0 96.2 3.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0