South Dakota
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#274
Expected Predictive Rating-6.0#256
Pace79.7#12
Improvement+1.0#107

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#193
First Shot-3.7#284
After Offensive Rebound+2.8#38
Layup/Dunks+0.0#180
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#98
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.2#334
Freethrows+1.1#113
Improvement+1.6#66

Defense
Total Defense-5.1#335
First Shot-4.9#332
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#211
Layups/Dunks-10.4#365
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#113
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.5#13
Freethrows-2.0#303
Improvement-0.7#235
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.2% 6.7% 4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.3 15.7
.500 or above 29.6% 55.1% 28.2%
.500 or above in Conference 50.4% 62.6% 49.8%
Conference Champion 3.5% 6.4% 3.3%
Last Place in Conference 7.2% 3.1% 7.4%
First Four2.0% 1.7% 2.0%
First Round3.2% 5.6% 3.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kansas St. (Away) - 5.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 51 - 10
Quad 412 - 613 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 262 Utah Tech L 79-81 OT 60%     0 - 1 -10.6 -8.9 -1.3
  Wed, Nov 5 38 @Creighton L 76-92 3%     0 - 2 -0.6 +6.9 -6.8
  Wed, Nov 12 318 Southern Indiana W 89-74 72%     1 - 2 +2.8 -2.6 +2.9
  Sun, Nov 16 249 Western Michigan W 83-78 58%     2 - 2 -3.1 +6.7 -9.8
  Thu, Nov 20 49 @Missouri L 68-102 4%     2 - 3 -20.0 -4.4 -13.7
  Sun, Nov 23 361 South Carolina St. W 82-81 86%     3 - 3 -16.9 +0.3 -17.2
  Sat, Nov 29 322 Air Force W 80-63 64%     4 - 3 +7.3 +5.9 +1.7
  Wed, Dec 3 176 Portland St. L 71-77 42%     4 - 4 -10.1 -7.2 -2.3
  Sat, Dec 6 151 @Northern Colorado L 87-89 OT 18%     4 - 5 +1.6 +7.4 -5.6
  Tue, Dec 9 90 @Wyoming L 79-106 9%     4 - 6 -18.1 +5.2 -21.7
  Sat, Dec 13 324 Prairie View W 97-85 74%     5 - 6 -0.8 +7.3 -9.5
  Sat, Dec 20 67 @Kansas St. L 80-97 5%    
  Wed, Dec 31 148 @North Dakota St. L 76-86 17%    
  Wed, Jan 7 131 @St. Thomas L 76-87 16%    
  Sat, Jan 10 314 Denver W 89-83 71%    
  Thu, Jan 15 347 UMKC W 84-75 79%    
  Sat, Jan 17 344 @North Dakota W 81-79 58%    
  Wed, Jan 21 231 @Nebraska Omaha L 79-84 32%    
  Sat, Jan 24 131 St. Thomas L 79-84 33%    
  Thu, Jan 29 300 Oral Roberts W 86-82 66%    
  Sat, Jan 31 148 North Dakota St. L 79-83 36%    
  Wed, Feb 4 347 @UMKC W 81-78 60%    
  Sat, Feb 7 164 @South Dakota St. L 77-86 21%    
  Wed, Feb 11 344 North Dakota W 84-76 78%    
  Thu, Feb 19 314 @Denver L 86-87 50%    
  Sat, Feb 21 300 @Oral Roberts L 83-85 44%    
  Wed, Feb 25 231 Nebraska Omaha W 82-81 54%    
  Sat, Feb 28 164 South Dakota St. L 80-83 40%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.5 1st
2nd 0.2 1.8 3.0 1.6 0.3 0.0 6.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.6 5.4 2.3 0.3 0.0 12.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 6.0 7.4 2.8 0.2 17.9 4th
5th 0.1 2.3 7.8 7.3 2.4 0.1 19.9 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 6.8 6.0 1.5 0.1 16.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 5.1 4.1 0.8 0.0 11.9 7th
8th 0.2 1.3 3.4 2.2 0.4 0.0 7.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.3 0.9 0.1 3.5 9th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.7 6.2 9.7 13.6 16.0 15.4 13.7 10.2 6.1 3.1 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-2 96.7% 0.4    0.4 0.0
13-3 76.3% 1.1    0.7 0.3 0.0
12-4 39.7% 1.2    0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0
11-5 10.3% 0.6    0.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.5% 3.5 1.6 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 25.0% 25.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.4% 28.7% 28.7% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3
13-3 1.4% 18.6% 18.6% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1
12-4 3.1% 12.0% 12.0% 15.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.8
11-5 6.1% 10.7% 10.7% 15.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 5.5
10-6 10.2% 7.2% 7.2% 15.8 0.2 0.6 9.5
9-7 13.7% 4.5% 4.5% 15.8 0.1 0.5 13.1
8-8 15.4% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.0 0.6 14.8
7-9 16.0% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.5 15.5
6-10 13.6% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 13.3
5-11 9.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 9.7
4-12 6.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.1
3-13 2.7% 2.7
2-14 1.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.1
1-15 0.3% 0.3
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.9 95.8 0.0%