South Dakota
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#265
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#224
Pace80.0#11
Improvement+0.8#114

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#198
First Shot-3.4#266
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#68
Layup/Dunks-0.6#198
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#123
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#306
Freethrows+1.0#127
Improvement+1.2#84

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#328
First Shot-3.3#290
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#279
Layups/Dunks-8.7#360
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#115
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.0#11
Freethrows-2.7#316
Improvement-0.4#229
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.4% 8.1% 5.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.6
.500 or above 38.9% 53.7% 29.1%
.500 or above in Conference 51.8% 59.3% 46.8%
Conference Champion 5.8% 7.6% 4.5%
Last Place in Conference 9.9% 7.4% 11.5%
First Four2.4% 2.3% 2.4%
First Round5.3% 6.9% 4.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Portland St. (Home) - 39.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 52 - 9
Quad 412 - 714 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 267 Utah Tech L 79-81 OT 62%     0 - 1 -10.9 -8.7 -1.9
  Wed, Nov 5 49 @Creighton L 76-92 4%     0 - 2 -1.9 +5.8 -7.1
  Wed, Nov 12 306 Southern Indiana W 89-74 68%     1 - 2 +4.3 -1.7 +3.5
  Sun, Nov 16 275 Western Michigan W 83-78 63%     2 - 2 -4.3 +7.0 -11.1
  Thu, Nov 20 35 @Missouri L 68-102 3%     2 - 3 -18.3 -2.7 -13.7
  Sun, Nov 23 349 South Carolina St. W 82-81 80%     3 - 3 -13.9 +2.5 -16.4
  Sat, Nov 29 327 Air Force W 80-63 64%     4 - 3 +7.4 +5.8 +1.9
  Wed, Dec 3 157 Portland St. L 80-83 40%    
  Sat, Dec 6 153 @Northern Colorado L 77-86 20%    
  Tue, Dec 9 106 @Wyoming L 75-88 11%    
  Sat, Dec 13 324 Prairie View W 85-79 73%    
  Sat, Dec 20 71 @Kansas St. L 80-97 6%    
  Wed, Dec 31 164 @North Dakota St. L 75-83 22%    
  Wed, Jan 7 163 @St. Thomas L 76-84 22%    
  Sat, Jan 10 296 Denver W 85-80 66%    
  Thu, Jan 15 337 UMKC W 84-76 76%    
  Sat, Jan 17 331 @North Dakota W 81-80 53%    
  Wed, Jan 21 253 @Nebraska Omaha L 83-87 36%    
  Sat, Jan 24 163 St. Thomas L 79-81 41%    
  Thu, Jan 29 292 Oral Roberts W 87-83 65%    
  Sat, Jan 31 164 North Dakota St. L 78-80 43%    
  Wed, Feb 4 337 @UMKC W 81-79 57%    
  Sat, Feb 7 155 @South Dakota St. L 76-85 21%    
  Wed, Feb 11 331 North Dakota W 84-77 73%    
  Thu, Feb 19 296 @Denver L 82-83 45%    
  Sat, Feb 21 292 @Oral Roberts L 84-86 44%    
  Wed, Feb 25 253 Nebraska Omaha W 86-84 57%    
  Sat, Feb 28 155 South Dakota St. L 79-82 40%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.0 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 5.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.8 3.7 1.9 0.3 0.0 9.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 4.7 5.2 1.8 0.2 12.9 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 5.9 6.5 1.9 0.1 0.0 15.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 6.2 6.2 1.7 0.1 15.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 5.9 5.9 1.4 0.1 14.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 4.7 4.6 1.1 0.1 11.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.4 3.1 0.8 0.0 8.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.0 1.3 0.4 0.0 5.4 9th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.3 6.0 9.7 12.8 14.5 14.5 13.6 10.2 6.7 4.1 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
14-2 96.7% 0.7    0.6 0.1
13-3 81.5% 1.5    1.0 0.5 0.0
12-4 48.9% 2.0    0.9 0.9 0.2 0.0
11-5 16.5% 1.1    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 5.8% 5.8 3.0 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.2% 30.8% 30.8% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.7% 33.0% 33.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
13-3 1.9% 23.3% 23.3% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.4
12-4 4.1% 19.1% 19.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 3.3
11-5 6.7% 15.1% 15.1% 15.3 0.1 0.5 0.4 5.7
10-6 10.2% 11.3% 11.3% 15.6 0.0 0.4 0.7 9.1
9-7 13.6% 7.1% 7.1% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 12.6
8-8 14.5% 5.2% 5.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 13.7
7-9 14.5% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.0 0.5 14.0
6-10 12.8% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.3 12.5
5-11 9.7% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 9.5
4-12 6.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 5.9
3-13 3.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.3
2-14 1.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.4
1-15 0.4% 0.4
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.4% 6.4% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.9 4.0 93.6 0.0%