South Dakota
Summit League
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.3#243
Expected Predictive Rating-2.8#224
Pace70.7#140
Improvement-0.4#206

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#237
First Shot-5.3#319
After Offensive Rebound+3.3#30
Layup/Dunks-8.5#354
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#195
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#152
Freethrows+3.2#20
Improvement-0.6#242

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#248
First Shot-5.1#324
After Offensive Rebounds+2.9#33
Layups/Dunks-3.2#277
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#49
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#294
Freethrows-1.1#251
Improvement+0.2#156
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.0% 5.5% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.1 15.4
.500 or above 53.7% 72.6% 46.8%
.500 or above in Conference 59.5% 68.8% 56.1%
Conference Champion 2.8% 4.0% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 3.0% 2.4% 3.2%
First Four0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
First Round3.5% 5.1% 3.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Colorado (Away) - 26.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 52 - 9
Quad 412 - 514 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2021 256   Air Force W 59-53 54%     1 - 0 +0.6 -11.0 +12.0
  Nov 14, 2021 58   @ Drake L 50-99 9%     1 - 1 -38.1 -19.1 -17.8
  Nov 19, 2021 292   Southern W 71-68 71%     2 - 1 -7.1 -6.5 -0.6
  Nov 21, 2021 321   Tennessee St. W 83-66 77%     3 - 1 +5.0 +1.0 +3.5
  Nov 27, 2021 107   @ Nebraska L 70-83 14%     3 - 2 -5.8 -1.8 -3.5
  Nov 30, 2021 280   @ San Jose St. L 52-61 46%     3 - 3 -12.3 -17.0 +3.6
  Dec 07, 2021 175   @ Northern Colorado L 70-77 27%    
  Dec 11, 2021 317   Northern Arizona W 75-67 76%    
  Dec 15, 2021 177   Bellarmine L 69-70 49%    
  Dec 20, 2021 170   Oral Roberts L 78-79 46%    
  Dec 22, 2021 215   UMKC W 68-67 53%    
  Dec 30, 2021 330   @ North Dakota W 75-71 62%    
  Jan 01, 2022 182   @ North Dakota St. L 65-71 28%    
  Jan 08, 2022 70   @ South Dakota St. L 74-88 9%    
  Jan 13, 2022 326   Denver W 75-66 78%    
  Jan 15, 2022 335   Nebraska Omaha W 77-66 83%    
  Jan 20, 2022 191   @ Western Illinois L 72-78 29%    
  Jan 22, 2022 329   @ St. Thomas W 78-74 62%    
  Jan 27, 2022 182   North Dakota St. L 67-68 49%    
  Jan 29, 2022 330   North Dakota W 78-68 80%    
  Feb 05, 2022 70   South Dakota St. L 77-85 23%    
  Feb 10, 2022 335   @ Nebraska Omaha W 74-69 65%    
  Feb 12, 2022 326   @ Denver W 72-69 59%    
  Feb 17, 2022 329   St. Thomas W 81-71 80%    
  Feb 19, 2022 191   Western Illinois W 76-75 49%    
  Feb 24, 2022 215   @ UMKC L 65-70 32%    
  Feb 26, 2022 170   @ Oral Roberts L 75-82 25%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.8 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.5 0.1 8.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.5 4.4 4.8 2.0 0.3 0.0 13.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.4 5.8 5.4 1.8 0.2 16.1 4th
5th 0.5 3.6 6.9 5.5 1.6 0.0 18.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 4.8 6.9 4.7 0.8 0.0 18.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 3.7 4.4 1.9 0.2 11.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.4 2.4 0.8 0.0 6.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.3 0.4 3.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.6 10th
Total 0.2 0.3 1.3 2.5 5.2 7.7 10.5 12.9 14.4 13.8 11.9 8.7 5.5 3.1 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 90.9% 0.6    0.5 0.1
15-3 57.9% 0.8    0.4 0.4 0.1
14-4 27.9% 0.9    0.3 0.5 0.1
13-5 6.4% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.8% 2.8 1.2 1.2 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 73.8% 73.8% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.7% 24.6% 24.6% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5
15-3 1.4% 16.7% 16.7% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.1
14-4 3.1% 14.5% 14.5% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 2.6
13-5 5.5% 9.0% 9.0% 15.2 0.0 0.3 0.2 5.0
12-6 8.7% 9.3% 9.3% 15.5 0.0 0.4 0.4 7.9
11-7 11.9% 4.7% 4.7% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 11.3
10-8 13.8% 3.8% 3.8% 15.6 0.2 0.3 13.2
9-9 14.4% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.4 14.1
8-10 12.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 12.7
7-11 10.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.5
6-12 7.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 7.6
5-13 5.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.2
4-14 2.5% 2.5
3-15 1.3% 1.3
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18
Total 100% 4.0% 4.0% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 1.9 96.0 0.0%