Denver
Summit League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -5.9 #266
Expected Predictive Rating -2.0 #198
Pace 69.9 #167
Improvement +1.8 #93

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #103 C+ B- B- B D
Defense #362 D- C+ F F D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #273 1.16 #177 -2.0 #247
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #67 0.79 #133 +2.8 #57
Three Pointers 38% #236 1.14 #39 +1.0 #145
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #133 +1.9 #133
Freethrows 18.1 #145 76% #67 13.8 #102
Second Chance 30.7% #182 1.16 #66 0.36 #107
Turnovers 15.0% #84
Total Offense +2.9 #103

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #45 1.19 #216 -3.9 #305
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #314 0.84 #293 +1.1 #108
Three Pointers 40% #208 1.13 #320 -2.1 #270
1st FG Attempt 1.11 #323 -4.8 #321
Freethrows 17.4 #186 69% #52 11.9 #209
Second Chance 37.3% #349 1.20 #322 0.45 #357
Turnovers 13.5% #335
Total Defense -8.9 #362

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.1% #299 2.0% #336
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 5.8% #98 7.4% #305
Possession Length 17.6 #201 16.6 #87
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 #321 0.20 #278
Improvement +0.9 #122 +0.9 #130

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.0% 7.5% 4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.4 15.6
.500 or above 16.7% 32.0% 12.3%
.500 or above in Conference 51.6% 72.2% 45.7%
Conference Champion 3.2% 8.3% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 9.2% 3.4% 10.9%
First Four2.2% 2.5% 2.1%
First Round4.0% 6.3% 3.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota St. (Away) - 22.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 33 - 54 - 10
Quad 48 - 712 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 115 @Seattle L 73-84 12%     -6.1   0 - 1 -4.5 +0.1 -3.6
  Thu, Nov 6 51 @Washington L 70-84 5%     -8.4   0 - 2 -0.5 +2.8 -3.3
  Sun, Nov 9 156 @Montana St. W 75-73 20%     -2.0   1 - 2 +4.9 +10.6 -5.4
  Sat, Nov 15 311 Texas San Antonio L 79-84 70%     -3.6   1 - 3 -16.5 +9.0 -25.8
  Fri, Nov 21 95 @Colorado St. W 83-81 9%     2.0   2 - 3 +10.7 +24.2 -13.2
  Mon, Nov 24 2 @Arizona L 73-103 1%     -22.8   2 - 4 -3.4 +8.5 -9.8
  Wed, Nov 26 96 @Wyoming L 59-101 9%     -16.1   2 - 5 -33.5 -10.3 -22.9
  Wed, Dec 3 248 Eastern Washington W 93-89 59%     0.2   3 - 5 -4.2 +13.7 -17.8
  Sat, Dec 6 179 @Idaho St. L 79-93 23%     -5.6   3 - 6 -12.3 +8.3 -21.1
  Sat, Dec 13 255 Cal St. Fullerton L 86-105 60%     -18.9   3 - 7 -27.5 +0.9 -26.8
  Sat, Dec 20 175 @Northern Colorado W 86-79 23%     -2.1   4 - 7 +9.0 +11.0 -2.2
  Mon, Dec 22 82 @Tulsa L 85-90 8%     -3.8   4 - 8 +5.1 +6.1 -0.6
  Wed, Dec 31 333 UMKC W 87-74 77%     11.8   5 - 8 1 - 0 -0.6 +10.7 -11.4
  Sun, Jan 4 140 @St. Thomas L 88-92 17%     -2.8   5 - 9 1 - 1 +0.2 +14.6 -14.3
  Thu, Jan 8 170 @South Dakota St. L 78-86 22%    
  Sat, Jan 10 291 @South Dakota L 86-88 44%    
  Wed, Jan 14 296 Oral Roberts W 82-77 67%    
  Thu, Jan 22 152 North Dakota St. L 77-80 39%    
  Sat, Jan 24 317 North Dakota W 84-78 72%    
  Wed, Jan 28 333 @UMKC W 79-77 56%    
  Sat, Jan 31 261 Nebraska Omaha W 83-80 60%    
  Thu, Feb 5 152 @North Dakota St. L 74-83 20%    
  Sat, Feb 7 317 @North Dakota W 81-80 52%    
  Thu, Feb 12 170 South Dakota St. L 81-83 43%    
  Sat, Feb 14 261 @Nebraska Omaha L 80-83 38%    
  Thu, Feb 19 291 South Dakota W 89-85 65%    
  Sat, Feb 21 140 St. Thomas L 80-84 36%    
  Thu, Feb 26 296 @Oral Roberts L 79-80 46%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 3.0 3.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 8.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.7 6.0 5.3 1.6 0.2 0.0 14.8 3rd
4th 0.1 2.5 8.7 7.0 1.6 0.1 19.8 4th
5th 0.0 1.8 8.0 6.1 0.9 0.0 16.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 6.5 5.6 0.7 0.0 13.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 4.1 5.2 0.8 0.0 10.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.6 0.9 0.0 7.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.5 1.7 0.6 0.0 4.4 9th
Total 0.1 0.5 2.0 4.9 9.5 14.5 16.9 17.2 14.7 10.1 5.9 2.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-2 97.4% 0.2    0.2 0.0
13-3 73.8% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
12-4 43.1% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
11-5 17.0% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1
10-6 2.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.2% 3.2 1.3 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.2% 13.2% 13.2% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-3 1.0% 16.4% 16.4% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
12-4 2.5% 11.3% 11.3% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.2
11-5 5.9% 10.8% 10.8% 15.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 5.3
10-6 10.1% 10.2% 10.2% 15.3 0.0 0.7 0.3 9.0
9-7 14.7% 6.5% 6.5% 15.8 0.2 0.8 13.7
8-8 17.2% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.0 0.9 16.3
7-9 16.9% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.6 16.4
6-10 14.5% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.3 14.2
5-11 9.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 9.4
4-12 4.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 4.8
3-13 2.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.0
2-14 0.5% 0.5
1-15 0.1% 0.0 0.1
0-16
Total 100% 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.2 95.0 0.0%