Denver
Summit League
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.9#326
Expected Predictive Rating-12.1#321
Pace68.3#209
Improvement+0.7#126

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#309
First Shot-2.1#239
After Offensive Rebound-3.0#330
Layup/Dunks-0.8#192
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#163
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#168
Freethrows-1.4#273
Improvement+0.1#163

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#313
First Shot-7.1#345
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#55
Layups/Dunks-3.8#293
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#206
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#270
Freethrows-0.8#237
Improvement+0.5#123
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 2.7% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.5 16.0
.500 or above 3.0% 10.5% 2.8%
.500 or above in Conference 13.5% 22.1% 13.2%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 22.0% 13.6% 22.3%
First Four0.4% 1.3% 0.4%
First Round0.4% 2.7% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wyoming (Away) - 3.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 71 - 11
Quad 48 - 109 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2021 336   IUPUI W 63-47 59%     1 - 0 +3.8 -8.0 +13.1
  Nov 16, 2021 300   @ Texas San Antonio L 64-78 30%     1 - 1 -18.5 -13.3 -5.0
  Nov 17, 2021 318   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 67-69 46%     1 - 2 -10.8 -6.5 -4.4
  Nov 21, 2021 353   Houston Baptist W 74-61 80%     2 - 2 -5.8 -5.3 +0.5
  Nov 24, 2021 256   @ Air Force L 65-66 24%     2 - 3 -3.4 -1.0 -2.5
  Nov 27, 2021 152   @ Utah Valley L 68-77 OT 11%     2 - 4 -5.2 -6.9 +2.2
  Dec 02, 2021 84   @ Wyoming L 61-80 3%    
  Dec 05, 2021 138   @ Texas St. L 59-74 8%    
  Dec 09, 2021 201   @ New Mexico L 72-83 14%    
  Dec 11, 2021 306   @ Dixie St. L 74-79 33%    
  Dec 15, 2021 193   UC San Diego L 67-73 30%    
  Dec 20, 2021 191   Western Illinois L 71-77 30%    
  Dec 22, 2021 329   St. Thomas W 76-72 63%    
  Dec 30, 2021 170   @ Oral Roberts L 70-83 12%    
  Jan 01, 2022 215   @ UMKC L 60-71 16%    
  Jan 06, 2022 182   North Dakota St. L 64-70 29%    
  Jan 08, 2022 330   North Dakota W 74-70 64%    
  Jan 13, 2022 243   @ South Dakota L 66-75 22%    
  Jan 15, 2022 70   @ South Dakota St. L 69-89 4%    
  Jan 22, 2022 335   Nebraska Omaha W 73-68 68%    
  Jan 27, 2022 215   UMKC L 63-68 33%    
  Jan 29, 2022 170   Oral Roberts L 73-80 27%    
  Feb 03, 2022 330   @ North Dakota L 71-73 42%    
  Feb 05, 2022 182   @ North Dakota St. L 61-73 15%    
  Feb 10, 2022 70   South Dakota St. L 72-86 10%    
  Feb 12, 2022 243   South Dakota L 69-72 41%    
  Feb 19, 2022 335   @ Nebraska Omaha L 70-71 46%    
  Feb 24, 2022 329   @ St. Thomas L 73-75 42%    
  Feb 26, 2022 191   @ Western Illinois L 68-80 15%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.2 1.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.2 2.6 1.4 0.2 0.0 6.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.3 4.9 4.6 1.8 0.2 12.8 6th
7th 0.3 3.0 7.5 7.2 2.6 0.3 20.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.8 8.3 5.6 1.5 0.1 19.9 8th
9th 0.0 1.3 4.9 7.6 4.5 0.8 0.0 19.1 9th
10th 0.5 2.3 4.1 4.4 1.8 0.3 13.3 10th
Total 0.5 2.3 5.4 9.8 13.5 16.1 15.3 13.9 9.7 6.1 3.8 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 20.0% 0.0    0.0
13-5 10.6% 0.0    0.0
12-6 4.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 0.1
13-5 0.4% 0.4
12-6 1.1% 2.0% 2.0% 14.0 0.0 1.1
11-7 1.9% 1.9
10-8 3.8% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.1 3.7
9-9 6.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 6.0
8-10 9.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 9.6
7-11 13.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 13.8
6-12 15.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 15.3
5-13 16.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 16.0
4-14 13.5% 13.5
3-15 9.8% 9.8
2-16 5.4% 5.4
1-17 2.3% 2.3
0-18 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.5 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%