Denver
Summit League
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.6#309
Expected Predictive Rating-0.3#178
Pace68.1#202
Improvement+0.1#86

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#287
First Shot-2.7#261
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#246
Layup/Dunks+4.1#47
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#333
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.0#351
Freethrows+3.3#27
Improvement+0.2#42

Defense
Total Defense-5.0#306
First Shot-2.3#250
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#319
Layups/Dunks-6.8#347
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#191
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#36
Freethrows-0.4#209
Improvement-0.1#223
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 1.0% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 33.5% 45.1% 20.9%
.500 or above in Conference 25.3% 30.6% 19.5%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.1% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 25.9% 20.8% 31.5%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
First Round0.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Houston Christian (Away) - 52.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 41 - 6
Quad 412 - 913 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 335   Idaho W 68-63 73%     1 - 0 -10.0 -16.6 +6.5
  Nov 14, 2022 260   Sacramento St. L 69-73 48%     1 - 1 -12.0 -7.2 -4.9
  Nov 18, 2022 300   @ Idaho St. W 70-69 35%     2 - 1 -3.7 +0.6 -4.3
  Nov 23, 2022 359   IUPUI W 86-64 79%     3 - 1 +5.1 +5.7 +0.0
  Nov 24, 2022 270   The Citadel W 74-71 38%     4 - 1 -2.5 +0.2 -2.7
  Nov 25, 2022 337   @ New Orleans W 77-76 52%     5 - 1 -8.0 -5.4 -2.7
  Dec 01, 2022 340   @ Houston Christian W 69-68 52%    
  Dec 04, 2022 261   Texas A&M - Commerce L 67-68 48%    
  Dec 07, 2022 260   @ Sacramento St. L 65-72 27%    
  Dec 10, 2022 9   @ UCLA L 58-87 0.3%   
  Dec 19, 2022 289   @ Nebraska Omaha L 71-76 33%    
  Dec 21, 2022 217   @ Oregon St. L 64-72 22%    
  Dec 29, 2022 281   UMKC W 67-66 52%    
  Dec 31, 2022 105   Oral Roberts L 73-83 19%    
  Jan 05, 2023 290   @ St. Thomas L 69-74 33%    
  Jan 07, 2023 298   @ Western Illinois L 72-76 36%    
  Jan 12, 2023 303   North Dakota St. W 74-72 58%    
  Jan 14, 2023 297   North Dakota W 72-70 58%    
  Jan 19, 2023 230   @ South Dakota L 67-75 24%    
  Jan 21, 2023 141   @ South Dakota St. L 66-80 11%    
  Jan 26, 2023 105   @ Oral Roberts L 70-86 8%    
  Jan 28, 2023 281   @ UMKC L 64-69 32%    
  Feb 02, 2023 298   Western Illinois W 75-73 57%    
  Feb 04, 2023 290   St. Thomas W 72-71 54%    
  Feb 09, 2023 297   @ North Dakota L 69-73 36%    
  Feb 11, 2023 303   @ North Dakota St. L 71-75 37%    
  Feb 16, 2023 141   South Dakota St. L 69-77 25%    
  Feb 18, 2023 230   South Dakota L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 25, 2023 289   Nebraska Omaha W 74-73 54%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.2 2.2 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 6.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 3.4 3.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 9.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.3 4.1 1.2 0.1 10.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.3 5.1 1.4 0.1 0.0 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 4.2 5.6 1.9 0.1 12.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 4.3 6.8 2.4 0.2 14.4 8th
9th 0.2 1.5 4.6 6.0 2.7 0.2 0.0 15.2 9th
10th 0.3 1.4 3.6 4.9 4.6 2.0 0.2 17.0 10th
Total 0.3 1.4 3.7 6.5 10.0 12.7 14.6 13.2 12.3 9.5 7.1 4.2 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 81.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 74.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 46.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 18.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 9.1% 9.1% 13.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 11.4% 11.4% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.5% 9.6% 9.6% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-5 1.3% 6.4% 6.4% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.2
12-6 2.4% 3.7% 3.7% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.3
11-7 4.2% 2.0% 2.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.2
10-8 7.1% 1.6% 1.6% 15.8 0.0 0.1 7.0
9-9 9.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 9.4
8-10 12.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.3
7-11 13.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.1
6-12 14.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.5
5-13 12.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.7
4-14 10.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.0
3-15 6.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.5
2-16 3.7% 3.7
1-17 1.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.4
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%