Denver
Summit League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.7#303
Expected Predictive Rating-1.1#182
Pace68.6#207
Improvement-0.7#231

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#121
First Shot+2.0#116
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#191
Layup/Dunks-1.4#238
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#94
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#130
Freethrows+0.4#147
Improvement+0.0#170

Defense
Total Defense-9.6#365
First Shot-7.5#359
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#318
Layups/Dunks-2.7#281
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#153
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#332
Freethrows-0.8#239
Improvement-0.8#244
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 3.7% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.2 15.7
.500 or above 8.5% 22.0% 7.8%
.500 or above in Conference 32.9% 44.5% 32.3%
Conference Champion 1.5% 3.3% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 15.1% 8.9% 15.4%
First Four1.2% 0.7% 1.3%
First Round1.8% 3.5% 1.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tulsa (Away) - 4.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 33 - 54 - 11
Quad 47 - 711 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 111 @Seattle L 73-84 10%     0 - 1 -4.3 -0.9 -2.4
  Thu, Nov 6 50 @Washington L 70-84 4%     0 - 2 -0.6 +3.1 -3.6
  Sun, Nov 9 167 @Montana St. W 75-73 17%     1 - 2 +4.4 +11.1 -6.5
  Sat, Nov 15 294 Texas San Antonio L 79-84 59%     1 - 3 -15.1 +9.1 -24.6
  Fri, Nov 21 92 @Colorado St. W 83-81 7%     2 - 3 +11.1 +23.8 -12.4
  Mon, Nov 24 2 @Arizona L 73-103 1%     2 - 4 -3.8 +8.5 -10.2
  Wed, Nov 26 102 @Wyoming L 59-101 8%     2 - 5 -34.2 -10.9 -23.1
  Wed, Dec 3 261 Eastern Washington W 93-89 53%     3 - 5 -4.5 +13.9 -18.4
  Sat, Dec 6 178 @Idaho St. L 79-93 18%     3 - 6 -12.2 +9.2 -21.9
  Sat, Dec 13 243 Cal St. Fullerton L 86-105 50%     3 - 7 -26.7 +1.8 -26.8
  Sat, Dec 20 170 @Northern Colorado W 86-79 17%     4 - 7 +9.3 +11.4 -2.2
  Mon, Dec 22 80 @Tulsa L 72-90 5%    
  Wed, Dec 31 344 UMKC W 81-74 74%    
  Sun, Jan 4 130 @St. Thomas L 73-86 12%    
  Thu, Jan 8 172 @South Dakota St. L 76-86 18%    
  Sat, Jan 10 289 @South Dakota L 85-89 36%    
  Wed, Jan 14 299 Oral Roberts W 82-79 60%    
  Thu, Jan 22 149 North Dakota St. L 76-82 30%    
  Sat, Jan 24 333 North Dakota W 82-76 70%    
  Wed, Jan 28 344 @UMKC W 78-77 53%    
  Sat, Jan 31 221 Nebraska Omaha L 80-81 46%    
  Thu, Feb 5 149 @North Dakota St. L 73-85 15%    
  Sat, Feb 7 333 @North Dakota L 79-80 49%    
  Thu, Feb 12 172 South Dakota St. L 79-83 36%    
  Sat, Feb 14 221 @Nebraska Omaha L 77-84 27%    
  Thu, Feb 19 289 South Dakota W 88-86 57%    
  Sat, Feb 21 130 St. Thomas L 76-83 28%    
  Thu, Feb 26 299 @Oral Roberts L 79-82 38%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.4 0.5 0.1 3.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.8 3.1 1.0 0.1 7.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 5.2 4.7 1.4 0.1 12.8 4th
5th 0.1 2.2 6.9 6.0 1.4 0.1 16.7 5th
6th 0.2 2.5 8.0 6.5 1.4 0.1 18.5 6th
7th 0.3 2.8 7.8 5.7 0.9 0.0 17.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.7 3.7 0.7 0.0 13.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 2.3 3.2 1.9 0.2 0.0 8.5 9th
Total 0.1 0.8 2.7 6.3 10.5 14.3 16.7 15.6 13.2 9.2 6.0 2.9 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-3 82.8% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
12-4 47.2% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-5 13.2% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 1.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.1% 12.9% 12.9% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-3 0.4% 10.2% 10.2% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-4 1.1% 13.9% 13.9% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.0
11-5 2.9% 8.7% 8.7% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 2.6
10-6 6.0% 5.8% 5.8% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 5.6
9-7 9.2% 4.0% 4.0% 15.7 0.1 0.3 8.8
8-8 13.2% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.4 12.8
7-9 15.6% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.3 15.3
6-10 16.7% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 16.4
5-11 14.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 14.2
4-12 10.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.5
3-13 6.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.3
2-14 2.7% 2.7
1-15 0.8% 0.8
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 97.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%