Oral Roberts
Summit League
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.2#69
Expected Predictive Rating+10.0#52
Pace75.5#32
Improvement+1.1#53

Offense
Total Offense+7.3#24
First Shot+9.2#4
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#314
Layup/Dunks-0.2#182
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#186
3 Pt Jumpshots+10.3#2
Freethrows-0.6#227
Improvement+0.0#202

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#143
First Shot+1.9#116
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#280
Layups/Dunks+3.4#54
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#315
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#253
Freethrows+1.6#70
Improvement+1.1#34
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 92.6% 93.1% 90.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 6.2% 7.5% 1.2%
Average Seed 11.6 11.5 11.9
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 99.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
First Round92.3% 92.8% 90.1%
Second Round27.2% 27.8% 24.1%
Sweet Sixteen8.2% 8.4% 6.9%
Elite Eight2.0% 2.1% 1.4%
Final Four0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UMKC (Away) - 83.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 21 - 01 - 4
Quad 34 - 15 - 5
Quad 417 - 022 - 5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 12   @ St. Mary's L 70-78 18%     0 - 1 +9.7 +9.2 +0.5
  Nov 14, 2022 1   @ Houston L 45-83 10%     0 - 2 -15.8 -14.2 -3.4
  Nov 15, 2022 314   @ Texas Southern W 82-64 89%     1 - 2 +12.5 +9.6 +3.0
  Nov 22, 2022 47   @ Utah St. L 85-95 33%     1 - 3 +2.7 +3.6 +0.5
  Dec 03, 2022 235   @ Tulsa W 77-66 81%     2 - 3 +10.0 +0.8 +8.9
  Dec 10, 2022 338   Central Arkansas W 111-78 97%     3 - 3 +19.3 +12.4 +1.3
  Dec 12, 2022 70   Liberty W 84-70 61%     4 - 3 +19.4 +16.9 +2.9
  Dec 16, 2022 136   Missouri St. W 80-77 81%     5 - 3 +2.1 +14.9 -12.5
  Dec 19, 2022 200   South Dakota St. W 79-40 87%     6 - 3 1 - 0 +34.8 +4.9 +29.7
  Dec 29, 2022 310   @ Nebraska Omaha W 92-89 89%     7 - 3 2 - 0 -2.3 +5.3 -8.0
  Dec 31, 2022 318   @ Denver W 80-62 90%     8 - 3 3 - 0 +12.1 -1.0 +12.3
  Jan 07, 2023 259   UMKC W 74-71 92%     9 - 3 4 - 0 -4.9 +5.7 -10.3
  Jan 09, 2023 54   @ New Mexico L 75-82 35%     9 - 4 +5.3 +2.7 +3.0
  Jan 12, 2023 256   Western Illinois W 87-63 92%     10 - 4 5 - 0 +16.4 +7.6 +8.6
  Jan 14, 2023 266   St. Thomas W 81-69 93%     11 - 4 6 - 0 +3.7 +4.2 +0.0
  Jan 19, 2023 241   @ North Dakota St. W 92-69 82%     12 - 4 7 - 0 +21.5 +14.3 +6.5
  Jan 21, 2023 322   @ North Dakota W 84-72 91%     13 - 4 8 - 0 +5.6 +10.4 -4.3
  Jan 26, 2023 318   Denver W 102-61 96%     14 - 4 9 - 0 +29.6 +17.5 +10.4
  Jan 28, 2023 310   Nebraska Omaha W 73-64 95%     15 - 4 10 - 0 -1.8 -8.7 +6.6
  Jan 30, 2023 286   South Dakota W 103-53 94%     16 - 4 11 - 0 +40.6 +20.0 +19.1
  Feb 04, 2023 259   @ UMKC W 77-66 84%    
  Feb 09, 2023 266   @ St. Thomas W 84-73 85%    
  Feb 11, 2023 256   @ Western Illinois W 84-74 82%    
  Feb 16, 2023 322   North Dakota W 87-67 97%    
  Feb 18, 2023 241   North Dakota St. W 86-71 92%    
  Feb 23, 2023 286   @ South Dakota W 84-72 87%    
  Feb 25, 2023 200   @ South Dakota St. W 79-72 74%    
Projected Record 22 - 5 17 - 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.1 5.7 19.3 38.6 35.2 100.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 1.1 5.7 19.3 38.6 35.2 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 35.2    35.2
17-1 100.0% 38.6    38.6
16-2 100.0% 19.3    19.3
15-3 100.0% 5.7    5.7
14-4 100.0% 1.1    0.9 0.2 0.0
13-5 83.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 16.7% 0.0    0.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 99.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 35.2% 95.1% 93.9% 1.2% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 3.2 21.0 8.1 0.3 1.7 19.6%
17-1 38.6% 92.7% 92.5% 0.1% 11.7 0.3 13.6 19.3 2.6 0.0 2.8 1.9%
16-2 19.3% 89.8% 89.7% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 3.6 10.8 2.8 0.1 2.0 0.6%
15-3 5.7% 88.2% 88.1% 0.1% 12.2 0.5 3.1 1.4 0.1 0.7 0.6%
14-4 1.1% 85.5% 85.5% 12.6 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.2
13-5 0.1% 81.9% 81.9% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 92.6% 92.1% 0.5% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 3.5 38.6 41.7 7.6 0.3 0.0 7.4 6.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 35.2% 95.1% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.1 9.2 59.6 23.0 0.7