Oral Roberts
Summit League
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.2#170
Expected Predictive Rating-6.5#265
Pace75.5#50
Improvement+4.1#8

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#77
First Shot+3.7#73
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#167
Layup/Dunks-4.1#311
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#304
3 Pt Jumpshots+9.5#5
Freethrows+0.9#124
Improvement+2.2#23

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#298
First Shot-2.7#269
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#271
Layups/Dunks-3.7#290
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#138
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#272
Freethrows+2.4#43
Improvement+2.0#37
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.0% 18.3% 11.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.2 15.0
.500 or above 73.5% 90.9% 69.1%
.500 or above in Conference 88.0% 94.5% 86.4%
Conference Champion 12.7% 20.8% 10.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.0% 0.4%
First Four1.4% 0.4% 1.7%
First Round12.4% 18.3% 11.0%
Second Round1.2% 2.3% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: TCU (Away) - 19.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 33 - 33 - 8
Quad 412 - 416 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 42   @ Colorado St. L 80-109 11%     0 - 1 -15.6 +3.6 -16.9
  Nov 20, 2021 340   @ Central Arkansas L 67-70 82%     0 - 2 -13.0 -14.2 +1.3
  Nov 26, 2021 32   Oklahoma St. L 77-78 OT 19%     0 - 3 +8.0 +4.4 +3.7
  Nov 29, 2021 142   Tulsa W 87-80 54%     1 - 3 +5.8 +13.6 -7.7
  Dec 02, 2021 90   @ TCU L 71-80 20%    
  Dec 04, 2021 353   @ Houston Baptist W 87-74 88%    
  Dec 11, 2021 93   @ Missouri St. L 77-86 21%    
  Dec 16, 2021 234   Texas Arlington W 80-74 73%    
  Dec 20, 2021 243   @ South Dakota W 79-78 54%    
  Dec 22, 2021 70   @ South Dakota St. L 83-93 17%    
  Dec 30, 2021 326   Denver W 83-70 89%    
  Jan 01, 2022 335   Nebraska Omaha W 86-71 91%    
  Jan 06, 2022 329   @ St. Thomas W 86-78 76%    
  Jan 08, 2022 191   @ Western Illinois L 81-83 42%    
  Jan 15, 2022 215   @ UMKC L 72-73 47%    
  Jan 20, 2022 330   North Dakota W 87-73 89%    
  Jan 22, 2022 182   North Dakota St. W 76-72 63%    
  Jan 27, 2022 335   @ Nebraska Omaha W 83-74 79%    
  Jan 29, 2022 326   @ Denver W 80-73 73%    
  Feb 03, 2022 191   Western Illinois W 84-80 63%    
  Feb 05, 2022 329   St. Thomas W 89-75 89%    
  Feb 12, 2022 215   UMKC W 75-70 68%    
  Feb 17, 2022 182   @ North Dakota St. L 73-75 42%    
  Feb 19, 2022 330   @ North Dakota W 84-76 76%    
  Feb 24, 2022 70   South Dakota St. L 86-90 35%    
  Feb 26, 2022 243   South Dakota W 82-75 75%    
Projected Record 15 - 11 12 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.9 2.4 3.8 3.4 1.7 0.3 12.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 4.1 8.6 7.6 4.0 0.5 25.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.5 5.7 8.4 4.6 0.9 0.0 21.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.4 6.0 2.8 0.3 16.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 3.9 3.7 1.3 0.1 11.0 5th
6th 0.2 1.3 3.2 2.0 0.7 0.0 7.4 6th
7th 0.2 0.9 1.4 0.7 0.1 3.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.8 3.2 5.9 8.0 11.3 13.9 15.6 14.4 10.9 7.8 3.9 1.7 0.3 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 100.0% 1.7    1.5 0.1
16-2 86.5% 3.4    2.5 0.9 0.0
15-3 48.7% 3.8    1.9 1.8 0.1
14-4 22.2% 2.4    0.7 1.3 0.4 0.1
13-5 6.1% 0.9    0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.7% 12.7 7.1 4.6 0.8 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 48.6% 48.6% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-1 1.7% 36.9% 36.9% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0
16-2 3.9% 32.4% 32.4% 13.7 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.2 2.7
15-3 7.8% 27.7% 27.7% 14.3 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.8 0.1 5.6
14-4 10.9% 21.5% 21.5% 14.6 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.3 8.6
13-5 14.4% 15.8% 15.8% 15.1 0.0 0.3 1.3 0.7 12.1
12-6 15.6% 11.3% 11.3% 15.3 0.2 0.9 0.8 13.9
11-7 13.9% 7.2% 7.2% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.7 12.9
10-8 11.3% 5.4% 5.4% 15.9 0.1 0.5 10.7
9-9 8.0% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 0.0 0.5 7.6
8-10 5.9% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.2 5.7
7-11 3.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 3.2
6-12 1.8% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 1.8
5-13 0.7% 0.7
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 13.0% 13.0% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 3.1 4.6 3.7 87.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0%