Oral Roberts
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -10.7 #333
Expected Predictive Rating -13.2 #347
Pace 68.1 #204
Improvement -5.8 #359

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #325 D D D+ C B-
Defense #307 C- D D+ C- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #160 1.06 #289 -1.4 #233
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #276 0.73 #212 -1.9 #280
Three Pointers 45% #103 0.90 #319 -0.7 #206
1st FG Attempt 0.94 #307 -4.1 #307
Freethrows 0.29 #208 73% #167 0.21 #195
Second Chance 25.9% #305 0.98 #254 0.25 #307
Turnovers 17.9% #276
Total Offense -6.1 #325

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% #8 1.10 #103 -3.7 #300
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #274 0.86 #320 +0.3 #172
Three Pointers 35% #331 1.06 #251 +2.1 #106
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #224 -1.3 #224
Freethrows 0.32 #255 71% #109 0.23 #237
Second Chance 32.3% #264 1.16 #315 0.37 #306
Turnovers 14.5% #297
Total Defense -4.6 #307

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.3% #99 2.0% #340
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -9.2% #325 0.6% #197
Possession Length 17.4 #172 16.8 #93
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #143 0.16 #147
Improvement -4.4 #354 -1.4 #262

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.7% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 55.7% 32.8% 59.0%
First Four0.5% 0.7% 0.5%
First Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota St. (Away) - 12.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 82 - 14
Quad 44 - 106 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 62 @Oklahoma St. L 71 - 95 3% -9  0 - 1 -12 -10 F D+ D+ +2 A- F B+
 Wed, Nov 12 71 Tulsa L 87 - 88 8% +2  0 - 2 +4 +9 A- C B -5 A- C B
 Sat, Nov 15 78 Belmont L 60 - 83 9% -6  0 - 3 -19 -16 F F+ C -1 C F A+
 Thu, Nov 20 54 @Oklahoma L 71 - 95 2% -19  0 - 4 -11 +2 D A+ F -12 C+ F F
 Mon, Nov 24 236 @Florida Gulf Coast L 88 - 93 19% -0  0 - 5 -6 +8 A+ C F -14 F F C
 Tue, Nov 25 154 Kennesaw St. W 91 - 83 15% -1  1 - 5 +8 +9 A+ F F -1 C C+ B
 Wed, Nov 26 233 Rice L 62 - 81 26% -10  1 - 6 -23 -6 F A- D+ -19 F F D+
 Wed, Dec 3 215 @Weber St. L 66 - 92 16% -17  1 - 7 -26 -12 D+ F F+ -13 F C+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 161 Montana St. W 72 - 68 24% -6  2 - 7 +1 +4 D C D- -2 C- B- A
 Tue, Dec 16 179 @Missouri St. L 62 - 63 13% -2  2 - 8 +0 -4 F+ D C +4 C+ A+ D+
 Thu, Dec 18 46 @TCU L 53 - 72 2% -15  2 - 9 -4 -2 B- F D -6 B F D+
 Mon, Dec 22 153 Texas Arlington L 57 - 69 22% -6  2 - 10 -15 -11 F D+ F -4 D+ D- C+
 Thu, Jan 1 280 @North Dakota L 61 - 72 25% -10  2 - 11 0 - 1 -15 -15 F D B -0 C+ D+ A-
 Sat, Jan 3 136 @North Dakota St. L 77 - 79 2OT 9% +0  2 - 12 0 - 2 +2 +1 D C C+ +2 A F A
 Sat, Jan 10 138 St. Thomas L 71 - 82 20% -2  2 - 13 0 - 3 -13 +1 C D- A -14 C+ C- F
 Wed, Jan 14 290 @Denver L 87 - 98 26% -6  2 - 14 0 - 4 -15 +7 C+ D- A -22 F D- D+
 Sat, Jan 17 242 Nebraska Omaha L 62 - 73 38% -6  2 - 15 0 - 5 -19 -12 F D- F -7 D- A+ F
 Thu, Jan 22 280 North Dakota L 62 - 79 46% -8  2 - 16 0 - 6 -27 -14 F B F -14 C- D F
 Sat, Jan 24 136 North Dakota St. L 58 - 86 19% -19  2 - 17 0 - 7 -30 -9 C- C- F+ -24 F F+ F
 Thu, Jan 29 291 @South Dakota L 69 - 77 27% -1  2 - 18 0 - 8 -12 -9 D+ F C -3 B+ D- F
 Sat, Jan 31 177 @South Dakota St. L 68 - 80 13%
 Sat, Feb 7 138 @St. Thomas L 67 - 82 8%
 Thu, Feb 12 354 UMKC W 75 - 69 71%
 Sat, Feb 14 177 South Dakota St. L 71 - 77 28%
 Wed, Feb 18 242 @Nebraska Omaha L 69 - 78 19%
 Sat, Feb 21 291 South Dakota L 78 - 79 48%
 Thu, Feb 26 290 Denver L 78 - 79 48%
 Sat, Feb 28 354 @UMKC W 72 - 71 51%
Totals 5 - 23 3 - 13 -11 -6 D D D+ -5 C- D D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.1 1.5 6th
7th 0.6 3.4 4.5 1.0 0.0 9.5 7th
8th 9.6 22.7 15.4 3.7 0.1 51.4 8th
9th 2.9 12.3 16.0 5.4 0.5 37.2 9th
Total 2.9 12.3 25.6 28.7 19.3 8.7 2.2 0.3 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0% 0.0
7-9 0.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.3
6-10 2.2% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 2.2
5-11 8.7% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 8.5
4-12 19.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 19.2
3-13 28.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 28.6
2-14 25.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 25.5
1-15 12.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.3
0-16 2.9% 2.9
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 16.0 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.5%