Oral Roberts
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -11.8 338
Expected Predictive Rating -13.6 347
Pace 68.3 188
Improvement -6.1 354

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 329 D D D+ C- B-
Defense D 320 D+ D- D+ C- F+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 173 D- 51% 338 -2.7 281
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 284 C 38% 192 -1.8 268
Three Pointers 45% 94 D 31% 311 -0.2 185
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.6 102 D- -5.1 337
1st FG Attempt D 0.93 316
Second Chance D+ 26.4% 293 D+ 0.97 271 D 0.26 308
Turnovers D+ 18.5% 288
Freethrows C- 0.29 232 C+ 73% 160 C- 0.21 212
Total Offense D -6.4 329

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D- 38% 322 D 13.4% 313
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 13% 341 C 5.6% 226
Three Pointers F+ 73% 351 C- 1.2% 268
Total D- 46% 336 D+ 6.7% 289

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 49% 2 B- 54% 87 +4.2 318
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 321 D 43% 326 -1.0 107
Three Pointers 35% 327 D- 38% 330 -0.8 144
Shot Selection/Accuracy F+ +1.3 359 C- +0.9 219
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 253
Second Chance D 33.4% 300 D 1.14 317 D- 0.38 328
Turnovers D+ 15.0% 293
Freethrows C- 0.32 228 C+ 71% 125 C- 0.23 218
Total Defense D -5.4 320

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 41% 39 C 10.6% 189
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A- 12% 6 F+ 0.8% 360
Three Pointers C 83% 159 D+ 0.5% 257
Total B 49% 50 C 5.5% 186

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.3 170 16.7 89
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 149 0.15 107
Improvement -3.3 #327 -2.9 #314

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 349 338 322
Conference Record 1 - 15 2 - 14 4 - 12
Conference Finish 9 8 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 42% 31% 51%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: South Dakota (Home) - 45.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 50 - 7
Quad 32 - 82 - 15
Quad 43 - 105 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 62 @Oklahoma St. L 71 - 95 2% -9  3% 0 - 1 D- -12 F -13 F D+ C- B +5 A F B+
 Wed, Nov 12 77 Tulsa L 87 - 88 7% +2  67% 0 - 2 C+ +4 B +7 A C+ B D+ -3 B+ C- B-
 Sat, Nov 15 68 Belmont L 60 - 83 7% -6  27% 0 - 3 F -18 F -20 F F+ C+ B +4 C+ F A+
 Thu, Nov 20 51 @Oklahoma L 71 - 95 2% -19  0% 0 - 4 D -10 C- -2 D- A+ F F+ -8 B F F
 Mon, Nov 24 253 @Florida Gulf Coast L 88 - 93 18% -0  40% 0 - 5 D+ -7 B- +5 A+ C+ F F -12 F F D+
 Tue, Nov 25 165 Kennesaw St. W 91 - 83 14% -1  39% 1 - 5 B- +8 B- +5 A+ F F B- +2 C B- B
 Wed, Nov 26 233 Rice L 62 - 81 22% -10  9% 1 - 6 F -23 F+ -9 F A- D F -17 F F D+
 Wed, Dec 3 224 @Weber St. L 66 - 92 15% -17  2% 1 - 7 F -27 F -15 D- F F F -10 F C F+
 Sat, Dec 6 147 Montana St. W 72 - 68 19% -6  12% 2 - 7 C +1 C+ +2 D- C D- C -0 D+ B- A+
 Tue, Dec 16 202 @Missouri St. L 62 - 63 13% -2  18% 2 - 8 C -0 D- -7 F D C B+ +6 C A+ D+
 Thu, Dec 18 50 @TCU L 53 - 72 2% -15  0% 2 - 9 D+ -5 D -5 B F D- D+ -4 B- F D
 Mon, Dec 22 176 Texas Arlington L 57 - 69 23% -6  5% 2 - 10 F+ -16 F -15 F D- F+ C- -2 D+ D- C+
 Thu, Jan 1 295 @North Dakota L 61 - 72 25% -10  0% 2 - 11 0 - 1 F+ -16 F -18 F D- B B- +2 C D+ A
 Sat, Jan 3 132 @North Dakota St. L 77 - 79 2OT 7% +0  40% 2 - 12 0 - 2 C+ +3 C- -2 D- C+ C B +5 A F A
 Sat, Jan 10 121 St. Thomas L 71 - 82 14% -2  21% 2 - 13 0 - 3 D -11 D+ -2 C- D- A- F+ -10 B- C F
 Wed, Jan 14 236 @Denver L 87 - 98 16% -6  13% 2 - 14 0 - 4 D- -12 B- +5 B- D A F -18 F D- D+
 Sat, Jan 17 240 Nebraska Omaha L 62 - 73 33% -6  1% 2 - 15 0 - 5 F -18 F -16 F D- F+ C- -2 D A+ F
 Thu, Jan 22 295 North Dakota L 62 - 79 46% -8  6% 2 - 16 0 - 6 F -28 F -17 F B F F -12 D+ F F
 Sat, Jan 24 132 North Dakota St. L 58 - 86 16% -19  3% 2 - 17 0 - 7 F -29 F -12 D+ C- F+ F -21 F F+ F
 Thu, Jan 29 291 @South Dakota L 69 - 77 24% -1  36% 2 - 18 0 - 8 D- -12 F -10 D- F B- C- -2 B+ F F
 Sat, Jan 31 206 @South Dakota St. L 72 - 95 13% -14  2% 2 - 19 0 - 9 F -23 D- -6 F D- B+ F -15 F F D
 Sat, Feb 7 121 @St. Thomas L 75 - 92 6% -5  28% 2 - 20 0 - 10 D -11 D -5 F C+ B- D -5 D+ B+ F
 Thu, Feb 12 360 UMKC W 69 - 60 76% +4  57% 3 - 20 1 - 10 D -10 D- -7 D+ F B+ C- -2 A- D- F+
 Sat, Feb 14 206 South Dakota St. L 69 - 87 28% -5  19% 3 - 21 1 - 11 F -24 D -5 F A+ F F -20 C- F C-
 Wed, Feb 18 240 @Nebraska Omaha L 71 - 80 16% -9  10% 3 - 22 1 - 12 D -10 D+ -3 B D- F F+ -8 F A B
 Sat, Feb 21 291 South Dakota L 77 - 78 45%
 Thu, Feb 26 236 Denver L 77 - 82 33%
 Sat, Feb 28 360 @UMKC W 73 - 71 56%
Totals 4 - 24 2 - 14 -12 D -6 C- D- B- D -5 D C+ C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D- C D D- 39% 28% 45% B- D D+ D+ D D+ C- C+ C- D B- D D- C- 49% 16% 35% F+ D+ D D D- D+ C- C+ C-
0.99 51% 38% 31% -5 +1 0.93 26% 1.0 .26 19% .29 73% .21 1.16 54% 43% 38% +1 +1 1.07 33% 1.1 .38 15% .32 71% .21
Nov
4		 Oklahoma St. F B F F F 38% 8% 54% B F D C D+ C- B D+ B- B A F B- A 55% 10% 35% D A D- F F B+ F D+ F
0.83 61% 0% 18% -15 +2 0.75 23% 1.1 .25 19% .32 68% .22 1.11 45% 50% 33% -6 +3 0.95 37% 1.3 .46 18% .43 77% .33
Nov
12		 Tulsa B A+ F A+ A 31% 13% 56% C+ A F+ A+ C+ B B+ F C+ D+ B+ A+ C- A 51% 9% 40% D B+ D+ C+ C- B- F C+ F
1.20 76% 0% 42% +8 0 1.18 19% 1.7 .31 14% .32 65% .21 1.21 50% 25% 37% -3 +2 1.00 34% 1.3 .43 16% .59 78% .46
Nov
15		 Belmont F D+ A+ F F 33% 15% 52% B- F F D F+ C+ A+ C+ A+ B B- C+ F C 45% 16% 39% B- C+ F F F A+ C A+ A
0.80 53% 50% 11% -18 0 0.67 23% 0.9 .20 17% .42 77% .32 1.10 59% 38% 47% +8 +1 1.20 35% 1.5 .52 25% .30 47% .14
Nov
20		 Oklahoma C- F D C- D- 30% 26% 45% C- D- B+ A+ A+ F C A- B- F+ C D+ B+ B 43% 22% 34% C+ B C+ F F F D+ B+ C
1.01 43% 33% 33% -6 -1 0.87 37% 1.4 .51 26% .29 80% .23 1.35 60% 46% 30% +1 0 1.03 32% 1.8 .57 4% .34 70% .24
Nov
24		 Florida Gulf Coast B- B- C+ A+ A 46% 10% 44% B+ A+ C B- C+ F A C+ A F F F B- F 36% 30% 34% C+ F F F+ F D+ F B- F
1.19 64% 40% 48% +12 +2 1.29 31% 1.1 .35 24% .45 76% .34 1.26 82% 50% 31% +11 -1 1.21 41% 1.2 .48 16% .55 71% .39
Nov
25		 Kennesaw St. B- A- F A+ A+ 44% 11% 44% B A+ F C F F A A+ A+ B- B- F B+ C- 38% 22% 40% A- C C+ B- B- B F B F
1.17 65% 20% 60% +18 +2 1.42 17% 1.0 .17 26% .49 86% .42 1.07 53% 55% 30% -1 0 1.00 33% 0.9 .31 19% .56 66% .37
Nov
26		 Rice F+ F A+ F F 37% 14% 49% A F C A+ A- D F F F F A F F F 37% 27% 37% D- F F+ F F D+ A- F C-
1.00 39% 57% 25% -11 +1 0.82 33% 1.4 .45 18% .20 60% .12 1.31 44% 54% 56% +11 -1 1.22 43% 1.4 .61 16% .23 92% .21
Dec
3		 Weber St. F F D A F+ 36% 11% 53% C+ D- F F F F C D- D+ F F A+ C- F 65% 11% 25% F F C+ C- C F+ B+ F+ B-
0.89 37% 33% 39% -4 +1 0.96 16% 0.5 .08 20% .32 68% .22 1.25 73% 17% 36% +8 +3 1.25 30% 1.0 .30 12% .28 78% .22
Dec
6		 Montana St. C+ D C F F+ 51% 21% 28% C+ D- A F C D- A+ A+ A+ C F+ F B- C- 37% 12% 51% F D+ F A+ B- A+ C B+ C+
1.12 50% 40% 23% -8 +1 0.87 41% 0.8 .32 19% .50 92% .46 1.06 67% 50% 32% +3 +1 1.10 40% 0.6 .26 22% .26 69% .18
Dec
16		 Missouri St. D- B+ F A- F+ 16% 40% 44% F F F A+ D C A A+ A+ B+ F F+ A C- 18% 31% 51% A C A- A+ A+ D+ D D- D-
0.98 71% 17% 40% -2 -4 0.89 15% 1.8 .27 17% .44 87% .38 0.99 88% 43% 26% +1 -3 0.98 26% 0.9 .23 16% .39 71% .28
Dec
18		 TCU D D+ F A+ B- 41% 16% 43% B B B- F F D- F F+ F D+ C+ B A B+ 62% 13% 24% F B- F C- F D F+ B+ D+
0.88 50% 29% 42% 0 +1 1.05 28% 0.2 .06 23% .17 63% .11 1.20 57% 33% 27% -4 +3 1.00 47% 1.1 .53 13% .40 67% .27
Dec
22		 Texas Arlington F D- D F F 46% 19% 35% A- F B- F D- F+ A+ A+ A+ C- A+ A+ F C 57% 2% 41% F D+ A- F D- C+ D+ A C
0.85 50% 33% 12% -16 +1 0.71 32% 0.8 .24 21% .47 84% .39 1.03 40% 0% 44% -5 +4 1.00 29% 1.4 .42 21% .38 65% .24
Jan
1		 North Dakota F F A+ F F 41% 14% 45% C- F F A- D- B D F F+ B- A B+ F C+ 51% 16% 33% D+ C F B+ D+ A F B- F
0.88 45% 57% 18% -13 +1 0.78 23% 1.3 .30 17% .33 63% .21 1.04 41% 29% 43% -6 +1 0.93 36% 0.9 .33 20% .62 68% .42
Jan
3		 North Dakota St. C- D F C- F+ 31% 12% 57% B- D- B- C- C+ C D A+ C- B A A- B+ A+ 39% 24% 37% C- A F B+ F A F A+ F
1.03 56% 29% 33% -2 +1 0.98 33% 0.8 .28 19% .21 85% .18 1.05 48% 31% 30% -8 0 0.85 52% 0.9 .45 21% .53 61% .32
Jan
10		 St. Thomas D+ A D- D- C 37% 20% 43% D+ C- D- C- D- A- A+ F C+ F+ D C+ A+ B 60% 6% 33% F B- F A+ C F F D F
1.07 72% 30% 29% 0 0 1.02 24% 1.1 .26 14% .39 55% .21 1.24 69% 33% 25% +2 +3 1.13 31% 0.6 .19 9% .52 74% .38
Jan
14		 Denver B- B+ B- C- C+ 49% 9% 42% B+ B- C+ F D A C F D- F C+ F F F 32% 25% 43% D+ F D D+ D- D+ F F F
1.24 68% 40% 33% +5 +2 1.16 35% 0.9 .32 9% .31 55% .17 1.40 53% 62% 48% +13 -1 1.26 34% 1.2 .41 13% .43 85% .36
Jan
17		 Nebraska Omaha F F A+ F F 43% 7% 50% A- F F+ C- D- F+ A+ B- A+ C- A- F F D+ 52% 13% 35% F D A+ C+ A+ F C- A+ B-
0.92 42% 100% 23% -11 +2 0.84 21% 1.0 .21 18% .45 76% .34 1.09 48% 57% 44% +3 +2 1.12 13% 1.0 .13 12% .30 61% .19
Jan
22		 North Dakota F D F F F 55% 3% 43% A F B C B F A+ C- A+ F A+ C+ F C 63% 12% 25% F D+ D+ F F F B- F D
0.94 55% 0% 18% -13 +4 0.83 39% 1.2 .45 27% .57 70% .40 1.20 39% 33% 54% -5 +3 0.98 30% 1.4 .42 9% .30 89% .27
Jan
24		 North Dakota St. F D+ C- C D 40% 17% 43% B- D+ D- B+ C- F+ F+ F F F D F F F 53% 8% 40% F F C+ F F+ F A+ F A-
0.93 58% 38% 35% 0 +1 1.04 23% 1.0 .23 22% .19 67% .12 1.38 64% 50% 43% +9 +3 1.26 31% 1.3 .41 10% .16 89% .14
Jan
29		 South Dakota F F A+ B+ D 53% 24% 24% D D- F F F B- D+ F D- C- A- A A+ A+ 67% 8% 25% F B+ B- F F F F A F
0.97 41% 62% 38% -2 +1 1.00 23% 0.6 .13 14% .25 67% .16 1.09 47% 25% 25% -12 +4 0.85 26% 1.5 .38 7% .56 68% .38
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 South Dakota St. D- F A C- F 26% 14% 60% C F D F+ D- B+ A+ D A F B+ F F F 57% 12% 31% F F D+ F F D A A+ A
0.98 20% 50% 32% -10 0 0.82 24% 0.9 .22 12% .42 70% .30 1.30 52% 71% 56% +10 +2 1.28 30% 1.6 .48 14% .19 58% .11
Feb
7		 St. Thomas D D- A+ F F 30% 14% 56% C- F B D C+ B- C F D+ D D- F C+ D+ 54% 12% 35% D D+ A+ C- B+ F F A- F
1.00 53% 50% 25% -7 0 0.88 34% 1.1 .36 16% .27 65% .17 1.23 71% 50% 33% +8 +2 1.23 12% 1.0 .12 5% .53 63% .34
Feb
12		 UMKC D- F A+ B- D 44% 13% 42% B- D+ D+ F F B+ C+ A+ B C- A+ A+ C A+ 50% 9% 41% F A- F C D- F+ D A- C-
1.06 48% 57% 36% 0 +1 1.04 33% 0.3 .11 14% .29 81% .23 0.92 37% 0% 32% -15 +2 0.76 35% 0.9 .30 15% .29 63% .18
Feb
14		 South Dakota St. D F F F+ F 45% 11% 45% A- F A- A+ A+ F D+ A+ B F B- A+ F C 49% 12% 39% F C- F F F C- C+ F D-
1.04 48% 20% 29% -10 +2 0.85 37% 1.5 .57 23% .27 93% .25 1.32 54% 17% 42% 0 +2 1.06 37% 2.1 .77 15% .25 93% .23
Feb
18		 Nebraska Omaha D+ A A+ C B+ 30% 16% 54% C- B F A+ D- F F D F F+ C F F F 43% 6% 51% F F F A+ A B A A A
1.08 73% 63% 33% +8 0 1.18 14% 1.5 .21 20% .19 70% .13 1.21 59% 67% 50% +14 +2 1.35 35% 0.5 .16 20% .21 64% .13



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 36.4 33.4 9.2 79.0 8th
9th 17.0 4.0 0.0 21.0 9th
Total 17.0 40.4 33.4 9.2 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12 9.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 9.1
3-13 33.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 33.3
2-14 40.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.1 40.3
1-15 17.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 17.0
0-16
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 99.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.6%
Lose Out 6.6%