Nebraska Omaha
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -5.0 252
Results Rating -5.0 244
Consistency 0.12 39
Pace 68.5 182
Improvement +2.3 90

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 180 C D+ C C- C
Defense D 302 D+ C+ D C C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 260 C 57% 186 -1.8 249
2 Pt. Jumpers 35% 212 C+ 39% 135 +0.2 165
Three Pointers 44% 129 C+ 34% 156 +1.7 126
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.2 215 C +0.3 163
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 172
Second Chance D 25.6% 311 C+ 1.06 140 D+ 0.27 272
Turnovers from Steals C 9.6% 195
Other Turnovers C 7.2% 172
Turnovers C 16.8% 179
Freethrows C- 0.30 210 C 72% 189 C- 0.21 199
Total Offense C -0.7 180

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D 39% 308 D+ 12.9% 294
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 16% 310 C- 6.2% 259
Three Pointers B- 87% 111 D- 1.7% 337
Total D+ 52% 270 D+ 6.6% 291

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 275 D- 65% 339 +0.7 208
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 308 D 41% 297 -1.0 112
Three Pointers 48% 18 C 34% 180 +3.6 329
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 227 D+ +2.8 293
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.09 283
Second Chance C+ 29.0% 121 C 1.04 198 C+ 0.30 150
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.0% 295
Other Turnovers D 6.2% 324
Turnovers D 14.1% 330
Freethrows C 0.30 173 D+ 74% 268 C 0.22 193
Total Defense D -4.3 302

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 51% 244 D+ 9.0% 253
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 23% 128 B- 6.5% 82
Three Pointers D+ 86% 259 D 0.1% 345
Total D+ 59% 268 D+ 4.3% 284

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.4 289 16.4 32
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 290 0.16 139
Consistency 0.12 159 0.11 110
Improvement +1.7 107 +0.6 151

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 269 251 224
Results Rating Rank 266 243 218
Conference Record 8 - 8 8 - 8 9 - 7
Conference Finish 5 5 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5% 6% 4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 1% 6% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four4% 3% 4%
First Round3% 4% 3%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: St. Thomas (Away) - 16.0% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 34 - 64 - 11
Quad 48 - 612 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 123 Murray St. L 77 - 85 23% -5  33% 0 - 1 D+ -5 F+ -9 C F+ F B +5 A C+ B-
 Thu, Nov 6 242 @Abilene Christian L 71 - 73 37% -4  14% 0 - 2 C- -4 C- -1 C- F C C- -3 D- C- C
 Sun, Nov 9 92 @Colorado St. L 74 - 97 10% -8  8% 0 - 3 D- -14 B- +5 B- D A F -21 F+ F C-
 Sat, Nov 15 277 Southern Utah W 90 - 85 67% +3  76% 1 - 3 C- -4 B- +4 A- F C F+ -9 F B+ F
 Fri, Nov 21 53 @LSU L 73 - 99 5% -16  0% 1 - 4 D- -12 D -5 C+ F C D+ -5 F A+ C
 Tue, Nov 25 196 James Madison L 77 - 88 39% -13  9% 1 - 5 D- -13 B +6 A B- F F -20 F F D-
 Wed, Nov 26 184 @Florida International L 61 - 74 27% -8  2% 1 - 6 D- -12 F -14 F A F B- +3 B- B+ F
 Wed, Dec 3 165 Northern Colorado L 70 - 75 44% -1  37% 1 - 7 D -8 D+ -4 D+ B D+ D+ -4 D+ A+ D-
 Sat, Dec 6 153 @Portland St. W 60 - 55 21% +2  59% 2 - 7 B +8 C+ +3 D- A+ C- B+ +6 A C D+
 Sat, Dec 20 219 @Lamar W 85 - 82 OT 33% +7  82% 3 - 7 C+ +3 B +7 A- C+ D D -5 C+ F D+
 Sun, Dec 28 84 @Oregon L 57 - 80 9% -11  1% 3 - 8 D- -13 D- -7 D- C+ B+ D- -8 F+ A- F
 Thu, Jan 1 209 @South Dakota St. L 69 - 84 31% -6  2% 3 - 9 0 - 1 F+ -15 D- -7 F F A+ D- -8 C F D+
 Sat, Jan 3 360 UMKC L 66 - 73 91% -2  41% 3 - 10 0 - 2 F -27 F -13 D+ D- F F -14 D- B- F
 Thu, Jan 8 291 North Dakota W 90 - 79 71% +7  89% 4 - 10 1 - 2 C +0 B+ +9 A+ D- C+ F+ -8 C- C- F
 Sat, Jan 10 131 North Dakota St. L 76 - 78 35% +6  89% 4 - 11 1 - 3 C- -3 B+ +9 B- A+ C- F -12 F B F+
 Sat, Jan 17 333 @Oral Roberts W 73 - 62 63% +6  95% 5 - 11 2 - 3 C+ +3 D+ -2 B- F B+ B+ +5 B B- C-
 Wed, Jan 21 284 South Dakota L 64 - 68 69% +2  64% 5 - 12 2 - 4 D- -14 F -18 F F+ F+ B +5 D A A+
 Sat, Jan 24 360 @UMKC W 77 - 60 80% +8  92% 6 - 12 3 - 4 C+ +3 D -5 D B- F A- +8 C A B-
 Wed, Jan 28 209 South Dakota St. W 80 - 71 53% +2  71% 7 - 12 4 - 4 C+ +3 C +1 D+ B A- B- +2 A B- B-
 Sat, Jan 31 223 @Denver W 84 - 82 34% -1  43% 8 - 12 5 - 4 C +1 C +1 C- F+ B C+ +1 C A F
 Thu, Feb 5 291 @North Dakota L 73 - 76 49% +5  86% 8 - 13 5 - 5 D+ -8 D -6 F B- B C- -2 B- A- F
 Sat, Feb 7 131 @North Dakota St. L 84 - 92 17% -8  13% 8 - 14 5 - 6 C- -3 A +14 A+ B- B F -17 F C F
 Thu, Feb 12 128 St. Thomas W 98 - 94 33% +1  68% 9 - 14 6 - 6 C+ +4 A+ +15 A C A F -12 F D B-
 Sun, Feb 15 223 Denver W 83 - 76 56% +7  96% 10 - 14 7 - 6 C +0 B- +4 A- F B C- -3 B F C+
 Wed, Feb 18 333 Oral Roberts W 80 - 71 82% +9  88% 11 - 14 8 - 6 D+ -5 C+ +4 A+ F F F+ -8 F B- B-
 Wed, Feb 25 284 @South Dakota L 72 - 89 46% -11  0% 11 - 15 8 - 7 F -21 F+ -9 F C- B F -12 F A+ F
 Sat, Feb 28 128 @St. Thomas L 74 - 85 16%
Totals 11 - 16 8 - 8 -5 C -1 F C C D -4 C+ C C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C C+ C+ C 36% 35% 44% C C D C+ D+ C C- C C- D D- D C D+ 35% 17% 48% C- D+ C+ C C+ D C D+ C
1.08 57% 39% 34% 0 0 1.02 26% 1.1 .27 17% .30 72% .21 1.15 65% 41% 34% +3 0 1.09 29% 1.0 .30 14% .30 74% .22
Nov
3		 Murray St. F+ C- C A- C 50% 32% 18% C- C D F F+ F C C C B C- A+ A+ A+ 35% 12% 53% D+ A B D+ C+ B- F F F
0.97 54% 39% 40% 0 -1 1.00 28% 0.8 .22 21% .29 72% .21 1.07 61% 17% 26% -8 +1 0.88 29% 1.2 .34 18% .51 91% .46
Nov
6		 Abilene Christian C- C A+ C C 37% 22% 41% D C- F+ F F C A+ C+ A+ C- D C- C- D- 39% 17% 43% D D- D- C+ C- C D- D- F+
1.03 60% 56% 35% +5 0 1.12 20% 0.4 .08 23% .59 74% .44 1.06 61% 38% 35% +2 0 1.07 38% 0.8 .31 20% .38 76% .29
Nov
9		 Colorado St. B- B- C- B B- 24% 15% 61% C+ B- D- C D A D+ B C F F+ F D+ D- 38% 4% 58% F F+ F F F C- F F F
1.13 62% 38% 36% +3 0 1.07 22% 1.1 .24 11% .26 73% .19 1.48 71% 100% 38% +11 +2 1.29 52% 1.4 .70 17% .61 85% .51
Nov
15		 Southern Utah B- C C+ A+ A 44% 22% 35% C A- D- F F C A+ A+ A+ F+ F F A- F 45% 14% 41% F+ F C+ A+ B+ F C- C+ C-
1.21 58% 42% 53% +11 0 1.24 25% 0.3 .06 13% .39 80% .31 1.14 73% 50% 29% +5 +1 1.16 28% 0.7 .21 13% .26 71% .19
Nov
21		 LSU D C A+ D- C+ 28% 21% 52% C- C+ D+ F F C A F D+ D+ F+ F F F 38% 7% 55% F+ F A+ A+ A+ C C- B- C
0.94 56% 50% 30% -1 -1 0.98 26% 0.5 .13 15% .38 48% .18 1.28 71% 50% 45% +15 +2 1.36 23% 0.9 .20 14% .36 75% .27
Nov
25		 James Madison B A+ C A- A+ 32% 16% 52% C A C+ B- B- F F C- F F C- A+ F F 35% 12% 53% D+ F C- F F D- A+ F A+
1.19 75% 38% 38% +9 0 1.20 31% 1.1 .34 17% .19 70% .13 1.36 61% 17% 56% +16 +1 1.35 30% 1.8 .52 14% .14 88% .13
Nov
26		 Florida International F F A+ F F 34% 15% 51% C- F C- A+ A F A D+ B+ B- D+ A+ C- C+ 27% 23% 50% A B- A D+ B+ F D+ A+ B+
0.85 38% 57% 21% -14 0 0.74 32% 1.5 .49 28% .38 70% .27 1.03 60% 23% 36% -2 -1 0.96 25% 1.1 .28 10% .34 50% .17
Dec
3		 Northern Colorado D+ F+ F C+ D 48% 15% 38% B- D+ D+ A+ B D+ B+ F C+ D+ A F F+ C- 43% 8% 49% F D+ C- A+ A+ D- D+ F F+
1.06 48% 29% 33% -7 +1 0.92 23% 1.6 .37 14% .38 68% .26 1.13 50% 75% 40% +4 +2 1.14 29% 0.5 .14 14% .26 87% .23
Dec
6		 Portland St. C+ D F C- F+ 45% 15% 40% B D- A- A+ A+ C- D+ A+ B- B+ F F A+ A+ 33% 7% 60% D+ A B- C- C D+ D- A+ B-
1.04 50% 0% 31% -11 +1 0.83 37% 1.4 .50 19% .34 88% .30 0.95 71% 67% 15% -11 +1 0.84 29% 1.0 .29 17% .36 53% .19
Dec
20		 Lamar B B A+ C+ A- 34% 16% 50% C+ A- D- A+ C+ D B A+ A D D B+ A+ B 44% 32% 25% F+ C+ F F F D+ F D- F
1.16 65% 63% 36% +8 0 1.18 24% 1.4 .34 19% .42 80% .34 1.12 60% 33% 21% -5 -1 0.89 42% 1.3 .55 15% .32 75% .24
Dec
28		 Oregon D- F A+ F F+ 27% 25% 47% C- D- D+ A C+ B+ C+ F F D- D- A F F 32% 13% 55% C+ F+ F A+ A- F A+ A+ A+
0.90 29% 62% 25% -8 -1 0.82 26% 1.1 .28 14% .27 47% .13 1.26 65% 29% 41% +7 +1 1.17 44% 0.7 .32 13% .23 46% .11
Jan
1		 South Dakota St. D- F C F+ F 31% 17% 53% C F F D F A+ C- C C- D- D- A+ A+ B- 55% 9% 36% F C F F+ F D+ F F F
0.99 44% 40% 29% -8 0 0.86 16% 1.0 .16 6% .29 74% .21 1.20 66% 20% 26% -2 +3 1.04 41% 1.2 .49 14% .35 81% .28
Jan
3		 UMKC F B F B C- 42% 25% 33% D D+ F A+ D- F D- F+ F+ F B B- F D- 38% 29% 33% C D- A+ F B- F F F F
0.97 65% 25% 38% +1 0 1.04 20% 1.5 .30 22% .21 64% .13 1.08 50% 33% 41% -1 -1 0.98 17% 1.2 .20 10% .36 82% .30
Jan
8		 North Dakota B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 46% 12% 41% C+ A+ D+ D- D- C+ A+ A A+ F+ C+ C+ C D+ 34% 12% 54% C+ C- D C+ C- F F C F
1.32 68% 60% 47% +16 +2 1.37 32% 1.0 .32 19% .63 80% .51 1.15 53% 33% 33% -3 +1 0.98 31% 1.0 .31 10% .49 70% .34
Jan
10		 North Dakota St. B+ A F A- C+ 40% 17% 43% B- B- A A A+ C- B- A+ A F F F B+ F 38% 16% 46% F+ F A+ F B F+ A- F C+
1.23 74% 13% 40% +6 +1 1.15 38% 1.1 .42 19% .28 93% .26 1.26 79% 63% 30% +9 +1 1.22 20% 1.4 .28 13% .20 91% .19
Jan
17		 Oral Roberts D+ D- A+ A+ B- 52% 13% 35% B- B- F D- F B+ C- F D B+ A F A+ A- 43% 7% 50% F B B+ D+ B- C- F D+ F
1.09 48% 57% 44% +3 +2 1.12 13% 1.0 .13 12% .30 61% .19 0.92 42% 100% 23% -11 +2 0.84 21% 1.0 .21 18% .45 76% .34
Jan
21		 South Dakota F A- C F F 46% 20% 34% D+ F F+ D+ F+ F+ A F C+ B F A+ C D- 30% 17% 52% B- D A+ F A A+ C- C- C-
0.89 70% 40% 6% -9 +1 0.86 24% 1.1 .27 19% .38 59% .22 0.94 71% 25% 33% +1 0 1.04 11% 1.3 .14 24% .38 76% .29
Jan
24		 UMKC D B- A+ F+ C- 28% 24% 48% F D B- C+ B- F A+ D+ A A- B F A D+ 15% 32% 53% A+ C B+ A+ A B- C A+ B
1.04 64% 50% 29% +1 -1 1.02 39% 1.1 .42 23% .39 68% .26 0.81 50% 53% 25% -4 -3 0.89 23% 0.6 .13 20% .26 53% .14
Jan
28		 South Dakota St. C B+ A+ F C- 34% 25% 42% D+ D+ D+ A+ B A- B+ A A B- F A A+ A 35% 22% 43% B- A F+ A+ B- B- F C- F
1.14 67% 54% 23% 0 -1 1.00 24% 1.5 .36 11% .35 82% .29 1.01 72% 27% 18% -8 0 0.86 34% 0.8 .27 17% .43 72% .31
Jan
31		 Denver C B C- C C 38% 25% 36% D- C- D F F+ B B- A B+ C+ B B- F C- 26% 26% 48% C+ C A+ F+ A F A+ C A+
1.17 67% 36% 35% +3 -1 1.07 30% 0.9 .27 11% .34 77% .27 1.14 50% 38% 41% +3 -2 1.05 18% 1.3 .23 7% .19 77% .15
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 North Dakota D A+ F F F 28% 24% 48% F F C B+ B- B C+ F D+ C- F A A+ C+ 37% 15% 48% B- B- D+ A+ A- F F B F
1.07 77% 9% 27% -6 -1 0.87 35% 1.3 .45 18% .39 64% .25 1.11 74% 25% 20% -6 +1 0.90 30% 0.7 .21 4% .58 66% .38
Feb
7		 North Dakota St. A B+ D- A+ A+ 31% 12% 57% B- A+ D- A+ B- B D C+ D F D- D F F 34% 26% 40% C+ F C C C F F F F
1.25 69% 33% 48% +15 +1 1.33 23% 1.3 .30 16% .21 75% .16 1.37 67% 43% 48% +12 -1 1.25 32% 1.0 .32 7% .35 91% .32
Feb
12		 St. Thomas A+ A D A A 45% 17% 38% C+ A B- F+ C A A+ A+ A+ F F A F F 38% 7% 55% C F C- F D B- A- A+ A+
1.32 71% 33% 40% +8 +1 1.21 33% 1.0 .33 12% .43 89% .38 1.27 81% 25% 45% +17 +2 1.39 23% 1.1 .26 16% .23 43% .10
Feb
15		 Denver B- D A A+ A 44% 24% 31% D+ A- F A+ F B F A+ D- C- A F A B- 25% 31% 44% B B F F F C+ A+ F A+
1.26 54% 46% 59% +12 0 1.26 14% 1.5 .21 11% .20 83% .17 1.15 43% 59% 29% -1 -2 0.96 39% 1.4 .53 15% .12 86% .11
Feb
18		 Oral Roberts C+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 6% 51% B A+ B- F F F F F F F+ F F C- F 30% 16% 54% B- F A+ F B- B- A+ B A+
1.21 59% 67% 50% +14 +2 1.35 35% 0.5 .16 20% .21 64% .13 1.08 73% 63% 33% +8 0 1.18 14% 1.5 .21 20% .19 70% .13
Feb
25		 South Dakota F+ F F+ B- F 56% 17% 27% C+ F F A+ C- B A+ F+ A+ F C F F F 44% 12% 44% F+ F A+ A A+ F F D+ F
0.98 45% 33% 36% -8 +2 0.90 22% 1.6 .36 14% .44 68% .30 1.21 57% 50% 43% +7 +2 1.19 16% 0.8 .13 11% .46 77% .35



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 27.1 16.0 43.1 4th
5th 56.9 56.9 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 84.0 16.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 16.0% 5.7% 5.7% 15.9 0.1 0.8 15.1
8-8 84.0% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.0 3.6 80.4
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 16.0 95.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.9% 100.0% 15.9 14.1 85.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 5.4%
Lose Out 42.2%