Nebraska Omaha
Summit League
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.1#310
Expected Predictive Rating-7.0#290
Pace69.7#129
Improvement-0.8#285

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#261
First Shot-1.3#227
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#282
Layup/Dunks-1.0#222
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#24
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#320
Freethrows+0.4#149
Improvement-0.5#277

Defense
Total Defense-5.4#321
First Shot-6.0#344
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#115
Layups/Dunks-3.7#316
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#53
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#311
Freethrows-0.5#227
Improvement-0.3#231
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 3.8% 6.8% 0.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 17.9% 10.3% 26.1%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Thomas (Home) - 52.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 20 - 40 - 9
Quad 31 - 41 - 13
Quad 48 - 79 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 7   @ Kansas L 64-89 1%     0 - 1 -5.6 +0.9 -6.5
  Nov 10, 2022 94   @ Nebraska L 61-75 8%     0 - 2 -6.1 -4.3 -2.0
  Nov 13, 2022 309   Idaho W 79-72 60%     1 - 2 -3.8 -0.6 -3.1
  Nov 16, 2022 155   Ball St. L 61-71 29%     1 - 3 -12.2 -16.9 +5.1
  Nov 21, 2022 30   @ Iowa L 64-100 3%     1 - 4 -20.7 -9.0 -9.9
  Nov 25, 2022 265   Louisiana Monroe W 63-56 40%     2 - 4 +1.5 -3.5 +5.9
  Nov 26, 2022 233   Southern W 88-78 34%     3 - 4 +6.3 +7.8 -2.5
  Nov 28, 2022 55   @ Mississippi St. L 54-74 4%     3 - 5 -7.7 -4.9 -4.1
  Dec 03, 2022 80   @ North Texas L 45-75 6%     3 - 6 -20.7 -17.4 -5.5
  Dec 07, 2022 84   @ Drake L 65-78 7%     3 - 7 -4.2 -1.5 -2.8
  Dec 10, 2022 120   @ Montana St. L 54-82 11%     3 - 8 -22.6 -9.8 -15.3
  Dec 19, 2022 318   Denver W 83-66 63%     4 - 8 1 - 0 +5.6 +7.7 -1.1
  Dec 29, 2022 69   Oral Roberts L 89-92 11%     4 - 9 1 - 1 +2.5 +6.1 -3.4
  Dec 31, 2022 259   UMKC L 59-75 49%     4 - 10 1 - 2 -23.9 -8.8 -17.0
  Jan 05, 2023 256   @ Western Illinois W 78-74 28%     5 - 10 2 - 2 +1.9 +4.7 -2.7
  Jan 07, 2023 266   @ St. Thomas L 68-80 31%     5 - 11 2 - 3 -14.8 -9.2 -5.7
  Jan 12, 2023 322   North Dakota W 69-63 64%     6 - 11 3 - 3 -5.9 -7.0 +1.4
  Jan 14, 2023 241   North Dakota St. L 65-78 46%     6 - 12 3 - 4 -19.9 -9.4 -11.2
  Jan 19, 2023 200   @ South Dakota St. L 61-84 19%     6 - 13 3 - 5 -21.8 -7.3 -15.6
  Jan 21, 2023 286   @ South Dakota L 68-84 35%     6 - 14 3 - 6 -20.0 -2.0 -19.7
  Jan 26, 2023 259   @ UMKC L 61-64 29%     6 - 15 3 - 7 -5.4 -3.7 -2.1
  Jan 28, 2023 69   @ Oral Roberts L 64-73 5%     6 - 16 3 - 8 +1.9 -8.5 +10.7
  Feb 02, 2023 266   St. Thomas W 74-73 52%    
  Feb 04, 2023 256   Western Illinois L 74-75 49%    
  Feb 09, 2023 241   @ North Dakota St. L 70-77 26%    
  Feb 11, 2023 322   @ North Dakota L 71-73 43%    
  Feb 16, 2023 286   South Dakota W 73-72 56%    
  Feb 18, 2023 200   South Dakota St. L 69-73 37%    
  Feb 25, 2023 318   @ Denver L 73-75 42%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.6 3rd
4th 0.3 1.2 0.1 1.7 4th
5th 0.2 2.9 1.5 0.0 4.6 5th
6th 0.1 3.5 5.5 0.3 9.4 6th
7th 0.1 3.3 10.3 2.1 0.0 15.9 7th
8th 0.4 5.9 16.7 7.2 0.2 30.5 8th
9th 0.6 6.7 14.8 7.6 0.5 30.3 9th
10th 1.7 3.7 1.6 0.1 7.1 10th
Total 2.4 10.8 22.4 27.9 21.8 11.0 3.4 0.4 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.4% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.4
9-9 3.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.4
8-10 11.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.0
7-11 21.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 21.8
6-12 27.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 27.8
5-13 22.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 22.4
4-14 10.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.8
3-15 2.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.4
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 1.4% 16.0 1.4
Lose Out 2.4% 0.1% 16.0 0.1