IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Nebraska Omaha
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating	-4.5	#243
Expected Predictive Rating	-6.2	#267

Pace	68.5	#192
Improvement	+2.5	#79

	Overall	1st FGA	Second Chance	TOs	Free throws	Shot Selection
Offense	#224	C	D+	C	C	C
Defense	#253	C-	C+	D	C-	D+

Offense Breakdown

	Attempts		Conversion Rate		Total Effect
Close Shots	36%	#258	1.14	#190	-1.9	#249
2 Pt. Jumpers	20%	#181	0.83	#75	+0.7	#145
Three Pointers	44%	#128	0.96	#250	+0.3	#159
1st FG Attempt			1.00	#200	-0.8	#200
Freethrows	0.30	#212	72%	#198	0.21	#199
Second Chance	25.7%	#310	1.09	#113	0.28	#256
Turnovers					16.6%	#190
Total Offense					-2.0	#224

Defense Breakdown

	Attempts		Conversion Rate		Total Effect
Close Shots	36%	#252	1.27	#315	-0.7	#202
2 Pt. Jumpers	15%	#325	0.81	#276	+1.6	#71
Three Pointers	49%	#21	0.97	#121	-2.8	#299
1st FG Attempt			1.06	#248	-1.9	#245
Freethrows	0.31	#210	75%	#303	0.23	#243
Second Chance	28.9%	#111	1.06	#207	0.31	#144
Turnovers					14.0%	#319
Total Defense					-2.6	#253

Miscellaneous

	Offense		Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect	-0.3%	#206	1.0%	#264
Shot Type Accuracy Effect	-1.4%	#199	2.8%	#234
Possession Length	18.4	#283	16.5	#48
Fast Break Points Per Possession	0.13	#300	0.16	#137
Improvement	-1.3	#254	+3.8	#17

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.8%	6.5%	5.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.8	15.7	15.9

.500 or above	6.0%	10.3%	1.9%
.500 or above in Conference	55.8%	74.9%	37.8%
Conference Champion	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	0.1%	0.0%	0.2%

First Four	3.9%	3.5%	4.3%
First Round	4.4%	5.0%	3.7%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Denver (Away) - 48.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	1 - 4	1 - 5
Quad 3	2 - 6	3 - 11
Quad 4	9 - 7	11 - 17

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Avg Lead	Record		Total Rating	Offense				Defense
Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Avg Lead	Overall	Conf	Total Rating	Total	First FGA	2nd Chance	TOs	Total	First FGA	2nd Chance	TOs
Mon, Nov 3	103 Murray St.	L	77 - 85	19%	-5	0 - 1		-3	-5	C+	F+	F	+3	A+	C+	B+
Thu, Nov 6	252 @Abilene Christian	L	71 - 73	41%	-4	0 - 2		-4	+0	C+	F	F+	-4	D	C	C+
Sun, Nov 9	102 @Colorado St.	L	74 - 97	12%	-8	0 - 3		-15	+7	B-	D	A+	-24	D	F	D+
Sat, Nov 15	282 Southern Utah	W	90 - 85	70%	+3	1 - 3		-5	+8	A-	F	C	-13	F	B+	F
Fri, Nov 21	47 @LSU	L	73 - 99	5%	-16	1 - 4		-12	-2	C	F+	C	-8	F	A+	C
Tue, Nov 25	210 James Madison	L	77 - 88	44%	-13	1 - 5		-14	+7	A	C+	F	-22	F	F	D
Wed, Nov 26	190 @Florida International	L	61 - 74	30%	-8	1 - 6		-12	-13	F	B+	F	+1	B-	C+	F
Wed, Dec 3	197 Northern Colorado	L	70 - 75	53%	-1	1 - 7		-10	-3	D	B-	C-	-7	D+	A+	F+
Sat, Dec 6	148 @Portland St.	W	60 - 55	22%	+2	2 - 7		+9	+5	D-	A+	C-	+4	A	C	D+
Sat, Dec 20	205 @Lamar	W	85 - 82 OT	32%	+7	3 - 7		+3	+10	B+	C+	D+	-7	C+	F	D+
Sun, Dec 28	79 @Oregon	L	57 - 80	9%	-11	3 - 8		-13	-5	D-	C	B	-10	F+	A-	F+
Thu, Jan 1	180 @South Dakota St.	L	69 - 84	28%	-6	3 - 9	0 - 1	-13	-4	F	F	A+	-10	C	F	D+
Sat, Jan 3	355 UMKC	L	66 - 73	87%	-2	3 - 10	0 - 2	-24	-11	D+	D	F	-13	D	B-	F
Thu, Jan 8	290 North Dakota	W	90 - 79	71%	+7	4 - 10	1 - 2	+1	+12	A+	D	C+	-11	D+	C-	F
Sat, Jan 10	137 North Dakota St.	L	76 - 78	38%	+6	4 - 11	1 - 3	-4	+12	B-	A+	C	-15	F	B-	D-
Sat, Jan 17	331 @Oral Roberts	W	73 - 62	62%	+6	5 - 11	2 - 3	+3	-0	B-	F	B+	+4	B	B	C
Wed, Jan 21	287 South Dakota	L	64 - 68	71%	+2	5 - 12	2 - 4	-14	-18	F	D-	F+	+4	D+	A+	A+
Sat, Jan 24	355 @UMKC	W	77 - 60	73%	+8	6 - 12	3 - 4	+6	-3	D-	A	F	+8	C	A	C+
Wed, Jan 28	180 South Dakota St.	W	80 - 71	50%	+2	7 - 12	4 - 4	+5	+4	C-	C+	A	+0	A	B-	C
Sat, Jan 31	284 @Denver	L	80 - 81	48%
Thu, Feb 5	290 @North Dakota	L	76 - 77	49%
Sat, Feb 7	137 @North Dakota St.	L	68 - 77	20%
Thu, Feb 12	128 St. Thomas	L	74 - 77	37%
Sat, Feb 14	284 Denver	W	83 - 77	70%
Wed, Feb 18	331 Oral Roberts	W	78 - 69	80%
Wed, Feb 25	287 @South Dakota	L	80 - 81	49%
Sat, Feb 28	128 @St. Thomas	L	71 - 80	19%
Totals						11 - 16	8 - 8	-5	-2	C	D+	C	-3	C-	C+	D

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Summit League Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0	Total
1st												0.0	0.1					0.1	1st
2nd										0.0	0.4	0.9	0.2					1.5	2nd
3rd								0.0	1.5	6.3	5.8	1.2	0.0					14.9	3rd
4th							0.0	1.3	9.8	9.7	2.1	0.1						23.1	4th
5th						0.0	1.5	11.2	13.0	2.7	0.0							28.4	5th
6th						0.8	8.1	10.1	1.8	0.0								20.8	6th
7th					0.4	3.7	5.4	1.2	0.0									10.7	7th
8th					0.3	0.3	0.0											0.6	8th
9th					0.0													0.0	9th

Total					0.7	4.7	15.0	23.8	26.2	18.7	8.4	2.1	0.3						Total

Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total	2-Way	3-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4	24.6%	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-5	0.5%	0.0		0.0
10-6	0.0%
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	0.1%	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance	Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid	At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4	0.3%	18.0%	18.0%		14.0												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.3
11-5	2.1%	11.8%	11.8%		14.9														0.1	0.2	0.0	1.8
10-6	8.4%	10.0%	10.0%		15.3														0.0	0.6	0.3	7.6
9-7	18.7%	7.9%	7.9%		15.9															0.1	1.4	17.3
8-8	26.2%	5.6%	5.6%		16.0															0.0	1.5	24.7
7-9	23.8%	4.5%	4.5%		16.0																1.1	22.7
6-10	15.0%	3.1%	3.1%		16.0																0.5	14.6
5-11	4.7%	3.5%	3.5%		16.0																0.2	4.6
4-12	0.7%	1.5%	1.5%		16.0																0.0	0.7
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16

Total	100%	5.8%	5.8%	0.0%	15.8																	94.2	0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.3%