Nebraska Omaha
Summit League
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.1#335
Expected Predictive Rating-16.6#346
Pace70.6#143
Improvement-1.6#294

Offense
Total Offense-6.1#330
First Shot-2.8#263
After Offensive Rebound-3.3#340
Layup/Dunks-2.7#268
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#166
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#110
Freethrows-2.2#303
Improvement-1.3#299

Defense
Total Defense-6.0#332
First Shot-5.1#321
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#241
Layups/Dunks-5.4#328
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#55
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#239
Freethrows-0.3#207
Improvement-0.3#216
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.3% 0.8% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 6.0% 9.7% 4.8%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 38.3% 30.5% 40.8%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Washington (Home) - 24.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 71 - 13
Quad 45 - 106 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 214   @ Ball St. L 69-73 12%     0 - 1 -3.2 -3.8 +0.5
  Nov 17, 2021 91   @ Kansas St. L 64-79 4%     0 - 2 -6.1 -1.8 -4.3
  Nov 20, 2021 207   @ Montana L 47-68 12%     0 - 3 -20.0 -21.5 -0.5
  Nov 23, 2021 17   @ Texas Tech L 40-96 1%     0 - 4 -38.3 -22.0 -18.8
  Nov 26, 2021 2   @ Purdue L 40-97 0.4%    0 - 5 -33.4 -23.1 -13.2
  Nov 30, 2021 322   SIU Edwardsville L 65-75 51%     0 - 6 -22.2 -14.5 -7.6
  Dec 04, 2021 203   Eastern Washington L 72-79 25%    
  Dec 08, 2021 58   Drake L 61-78 6%    
  Dec 11, 2021 318   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 71-72 49%    
  Dec 15, 2021 147   @ UNLV L 59-76 6%    
  Dec 20, 2021 329   St. Thomas W 77-75 57%    
  Dec 22, 2021 191   Western Illinois L 71-79 24%    
  Dec 30, 2021 215   @ UMKC L 60-73 12%    
  Jan 01, 2022 170   @ Oral Roberts L 71-86 9%    
  Jan 06, 2022 330   North Dakota W 74-72 57%    
  Jan 08, 2022 182   North Dakota St. L 64-72 23%    
  Jan 13, 2022 70   South Dakota St. L 73-89 7%    
  Jan 15, 2022 243   @ South Dakota L 66-77 17%    
  Jan 22, 2022 326   @ Denver L 68-73 32%    
  Jan 27, 2022 170   Oral Roberts L 74-83 21%    
  Jan 29, 2022 215   UMKC L 63-70 26%    
  Feb 03, 2022 182   @ North Dakota St. L 61-75 11%    
  Feb 05, 2022 330   @ North Dakota L 71-75 36%    
  Feb 10, 2022 243   South Dakota L 69-74 35%    
  Feb 12, 2022 70   @ South Dakota St. L 70-92 2%    
  Feb 19, 2022 326   Denver W 71-70 54%    
  Feb 24, 2022 191   @ Western Illinois L 68-82 12%    
  Feb 26, 2022 329   @ St. Thomas L 74-78 35%    
Projected Record 6 - 22 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.6 4th
5th 0.4 1.7 1.7 0.7 0.1 4.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.3 3.1 3.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 8.3 6th
7th 0.4 2.8 6.2 4.7 0.8 0.1 14.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 4.3 8.0 5.2 1.1 0.0 19.5 8th
9th 0.0 1.8 6.8 9.2 4.2 0.9 0.1 23.1 9th
10th 1.5 4.9 9.1 7.7 3.1 0.3 26.7 10th
Total 1.5 5.0 11.0 15.3 17.0 15.3 13.6 9.4 6.0 3.2 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0%
14-4 48.8% 0.0    0.0
13-5 37.0% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 0.1
13-5 0.1% 0.1
12-6 0.3% 0.3
11-7 0.7% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 0.0 0.7
10-8 1.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.6
9-9 3.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.2
8-10 6.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 5.9
7-11 9.4% 9.4
6-12 13.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.6
5-13 15.3% 15.3
4-14 17.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.9
3-15 15.3% 15.3
2-16 11.0% 11.0
1-17 5.0% 5.0
0-18 1.5% 1.5
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.8%