Seattle
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +2.2 #124
Expected Predictive Rating +2.5 #123
Pace 69.1 #170
Improvement -2.6 #292

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #302 C+ F+ C D+ B-
Defense #27 B- B- A C+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #70 1.17 #156 +2.7 #98
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #246 0.71 #262 -1.7 #268
Three Pointers 40% #209 1.05 #137 +0.0 #176
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #143 +1.1 #142
Freethrows 0.28 #268 70% #267 0.19 #284
Second Chance 25.4% #317 0.82 #363 0.21 #357
Turnovers 16.9% #209
Total Offense -4.8 #302

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #140 1.05 #58 +1.3 #128
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #109 0.85 #312 -1.6 #307
Three Pointers 38% #271 0.92 #62 +3.6 #50
1st FG Attempt 0.95 #74 +3.2 #74
Freethrows 0.29 #160 71% #96 0.21 #139
Second Chance 31.6% #230 0.90 #31 0.28 #94
Turnovers 21.0% #12
Total Defense +7.0 #27

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.4% #86 -0.2% #146
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 0.7% #161 -6.1% #67
Possession Length 16.6 #104 17.6 #228
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 #306 0.14 #70
Improvement -6.0 #362 +3.5 #28

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.9 11.9 12.5
.500 or above 94.2% 96.3% 79.7%
.500 or above in Conference 25.0% 27.8% 5.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 0.5% 7.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Pepperdine (Home) - 87.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 22 - 22 - 6
Quad 34 - 56 - 12
Quad 411 - 217 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 290 Denver W 84 - 73 87% +6  1 - 0 +1 -7 D- F D +7 B C A+
 Sat, Nov 8 272 Cal Poly L 71 - 73 86% +4  1 - 1 -11 -13 C+ F F +2 C- C A+
 Wed, Nov 12 247 Eastern Washington W 94 - 67 83% +15  2 - 1 +19 +10 A+ C- F +8 B- A+ B-
 Sat, Nov 15 226 Idaho St. W 83 - 74 80% +9  3 - 1 +2 +15 A+ B+ F+ -12 C F B
 Fri, Nov 21 83 @Stanford W 77 - 69 23% -2  4 - 1 +18 +7 B C- D+ +11 A+ B+ C+
 Fri, Nov 28 271 Texas St. W 66 - 52 79% +5  5 - 1 +8 +2 B F B +8 C A+ A-
 Sat, Nov 29 133 UC Santa Barbara L 71 - 74 52% -1  5 - 2 -1 +5 B D+ B+ -6 C- F A+
 Sun, Dec 7 266 UTEP W 75 - 68 85% +1  6 - 2 -2 +3 B C C- -5 D+ D B+
 Wed, Dec 17 198 @UC Davis W 79 - 78 56% +4  7 - 2 +2 +2 C C+ D- -1 F A+ C
 Fri, Dec 19 45 Washington W 70 - 66 27% -2  8 - 2 +13 -5 C+ F D +17 A+ A+ A+
 Mon, Dec 22 343 @Texas San Antonio W 71 - 68 84% +4  9 - 2 -6 -9 F+ F D +3 F B A
 Sun, Dec 28 97 San Francisco L 59 - 67 50% -4  9 - 3 0 - 1 -6 -13 F F+ A+ +7 A+ D C-
 Tue, Dec 30 128 Washington St. W 69 - 55 63% +6  10 - 3 1 - 1 +13 -5 B- F C- +18 A+ C A+
 Fri, Jan 2 11 @Gonzaga L 72 - 80 OT 4% +6  10 - 4 1 - 2 +15 +5 B C+ B- +11 A A B-
 Sun, Jan 4 43 @St. Mary's L 76 - 93 12% -0  10 - 5 1 - 3 -2 +17 A+ D A+ -21 F F D+
 Thu, Jan 8 180 @Oregon St. L 55 - 68 54% -2  10 - 6 1 - 4 -12 -16 F F D+ +4 A+ F B
 Thu, Jan 15 202 San Diego W 75 - 64 77% +6  11 - 6 2 - 4 +6 -4 B+ F C +9 B- A A+
 Sat, Jan 17 11 Gonzaga L 50 - 71 9% -8  11 - 7 2 - 5 -4 -14 D C- F +10 A C- A+
 Wed, Jan 21 160 Loyola Marymount W 69 - 59 70% +12  12 - 7 3 - 5 +7 -1 C- D A+ +8 D+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 24 122 @Pacific L 54 - 56 38% -8  12 - 8 3 - 6 +3 -10 B- F F +13 B+ B+ A-
 Wed, Jan 28 128 @Washington St. L 58 - 70 40% -6  12 - 9 3 - 7 -7 -13 F C- C+ +5 F A+ A+
 Wed, Feb 4 285 Pepperdine W 72 - 60 87%
 Sat, Feb 7 217 @Portland W 70 - 67 59%
 Wed, Feb 11 49 @Santa Clara L 65 - 77 13%
 Sun, Feb 15 180 Oregon St. W 70 - 63 74%
 Wed, Feb 18 43 St. Mary's L 62 - 69 27%
 Sat, Feb 21 217 Portland W 73 - 64 78%
 Wed, Feb 25 285 @Pepperdine W 69 - 63 72%
 Sat, Feb 28 160 @Loyola Marymount L 65 - 66 47%
Totals 17 - 12 8 - 10 +2 -5 C+ F+ C +7 B- B- A




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 3rd
4th 0.2 3.2 3.7 0.4 7.5 4th
5th 0.1 5.1 9.3 2.1 0.0 16.6 5th
6th 0.0 2.3 13.3 5.3 0.2 21.0 6th
7th 0.2 10.2 9.0 0.7 0.0 20.1 7th
8th 0.0 3.7 10.9 1.4 0.0 16.0 8th
9th 0.6 7.2 2.0 0.0 9.8 9th
10th 0.1 2.6 2.9 0.1 5.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 1.9 0.3 2.8 11th
12th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 12th
Total 0.1 0.9 5.2 14.2 25.5 29.0 18.5 6.0 0.6 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.6% 1.8% 1.8% 11.0 0.0 0.6
10-8 6.0% 0.8% 0.8% 11.8 0.0 0.0 6.0
9-9 18.5% 0.4% 0.4% 11.8 0.0 0.1 18.4
8-10 29.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.5 0.0 0.0 29.0
7-11 25.5% 0.2% 0.2% 12.4 0.0 0.0 25.5
6-12 14.2% 14.2
5-13 5.2% 5.2
4-14 0.9% 0.9
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 11.9 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%