UMKC
Summit League
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.2#213
Expected Predictive Rating-0.4#180
Pace61.0#341
Improvement-2.4#333

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#207
First Shot+0.7#154
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#278
Layup/Dunks+5.9#25
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#356
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#124
Freethrows-1.6#275
Improvement-0.8#261

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#214
First Shot-3.9#293
After Offensive Rebounds+2.7#41
Layups/Dunks-5.4#324
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#80
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#68
Freethrows-3.2#329
Improvement-1.6#309
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.6% 7.1% 4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.3
.500 or above 61.8% 67.3% 41.0%
.500 or above in Conference 75.3% 77.6% 66.5%
Conference Champion 5.5% 6.1% 3.4%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 1.0% 2.2%
First Four0.8% 0.8% 1.0%
First Round6.2% 6.7% 4.4%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Green Bay (Home) - 79.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 32 - 43 - 9
Quad 412 - 415 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 85   @ Minnesota L 56-71 14%     0 - 1 -5.8 -5.3 -1.7
  Nov 12, 2021 19   @ Iowa L 57-89 5%     0 - 2 -14.7 -12.8 -0.7
  Nov 15, 2021 128   @ Missouri W 80-66 23%     1 - 2 +19.4 +8.1 +10.7
  Nov 22, 2021 309   @ Idaho St. W 74-58 62%     2 - 2 +10.8 +11.3 +2.0
  Nov 27, 2021 135   Morehead St. L 62-70 33%     2 - 3 -5.7 -0.5 -6.4
  Nov 28, 2021 235   @ Arkansas St. L 55-66 43%     2 - 4 -11.5 -11.7 -1.1
  Dec 10, 2021 299   Green Bay W 70-61 79%    
  Dec 12, 2021 329   @ SIU Edwardsville W 68-63 69%    
  Dec 20, 2021 61   @ South Dakota St. L 67-80 11%    
  Dec 22, 2021 232   @ South Dakota L 67-69 43%    
  Dec 30, 2021 331   Nebraska Omaha W 73-61 85%    
  Jan 01, 2022 324   Denver W 71-60 83%    
  Jan 06, 2022 189   @ Western Illinois L 67-71 36%    
  Jan 08, 2022 333   @ St. Thomas W 73-67 71%    
  Jan 15, 2022 181   Oral Roberts W 73-71 56%    
  Jan 20, 2022 169   North Dakota St. W 63-62 53%    
  Jan 22, 2022 330   North Dakota W 74-62 85%    
  Jan 27, 2022 324   @ Denver W 68-63 66%    
  Jan 29, 2022 331   @ Nebraska Omaha W 70-64 69%    
  Feb 03, 2022 333   St. Thomas W 76-64 86%    
  Feb 05, 2022 189   Western Illinois W 70-68 57%    
  Feb 12, 2022 181   @ Oral Roberts L 70-74 35%    
  Feb 17, 2022 330   @ North Dakota W 71-65 70%    
  Feb 19, 2022 169   @ North Dakota St. L 60-65 34%    
  Feb 24, 2022 232   South Dakota W 70-66 64%    
  Feb 26, 2022 61   South Dakota St. L 70-77 27%    
Projected Record 14 - 12 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.9 1.2 0.4 0.0 5.5 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 3.2 5.6 4.4 1.5 0.2 15.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.6 5.5 7.0 3.6 0.5 0.0 18.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.4 6.3 6.6 2.4 0.3 0.0 18.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.9 6.2 5.4 1.5 0.1 16.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.0 5.3 3.2 0.8 0.0 13.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.1 2.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 6.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.5 0.5 0.1 3.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.1 4.3 6.7 10.0 12.2 14.2 14.5 12.8 10.0 6.3 3.4 1.4 0.4 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 87.9% 1.2    0.8 0.4
15-3 55.3% 1.9    0.9 0.9 0.1
14-4 22.3% 1.4    0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0
13-5 5.2% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.5% 5.5 2.7 2.2 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 20.8% 20.8% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.4% 35.8% 35.8% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-2 1.4% 21.9% 21.9% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1
15-3 3.4% 20.2% 20.2% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.7
14-4 6.3% 17.0% 17.0% 14.6 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.1 5.3
13-5 10.0% 12.1% 12.1% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.1 8.8
12-6 12.8% 9.0% 9.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 11.7
11-7 14.5% 5.7% 5.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.5 13.7
10-8 14.2% 4.0% 4.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 13.7
9-9 12.2% 2.5% 2.5% 15.8 0.1 0.3 11.9
8-10 10.0% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 9.8
7-11 6.7% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 6.6
6-12 4.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.3
5-13 2.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.1
4-14 1.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.0
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.6% 6.6% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.8 2.1 93.4 0.0%