UMKC
Summit League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.8#337
Expected Predictive Rating-12.5#332
Pace72.1#118
Improvement-0.3#200

Offense
Total Offense-7.1#345
First Shot-5.6#326
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#273
Layup/Dunks+0.5#159
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#84
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#321
Freethrows-2.8#321
Improvement-1.6#314

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#300
First Shot-2.6#262
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#265
Layups/Dunks-5.0#326
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#119
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#220
Freethrows+2.3#59
Improvement+1.3#73
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.9% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0.6% 1.5% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 14.1% 19.1% 12.2%
Conference Champion 0.6% 0.9% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 41.4% 34.1% 44.0%
First Four1.2% 1.6% 1.0%
First Round0.7% 1.1% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Idaho St. (Home) - 26.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 31 - 81 - 13
Quad 46 - 106 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 145 @Southern Illinois L 78-101 9%     0 - 1 -19.3 +0.7 -18.1
  Tue, Nov 11 149 Iona L 91-105 21%     0 - 2 -16.4 -0.8 -12.9
  Sat, Nov 15 37 @Texas L 55-71 2%     0 - 3 -0.5 -6.1 +3.9
  Wed, Nov 19 45 @TCU L 45-81 2%     0 - 4 -21.4 -19.0 -1.8
  Mon, Nov 24 252 @Lindenwood L 67-80 20%     0 - 5 -14.8 -9.7 -4.2
  Sat, Nov 29 215 @Weber St. L 61-82 16%     0 - 6 -21.4 -11.7 -10.1
  Wed, Dec 3 178 Idaho St. L 66-73 27%    
  Sat, Dec 6 254 @Eastern Washington L 71-80 20%    
  Wed, Dec 10 215 Weber St. L 73-77 34%    
  Tue, Dec 16 42 @Oklahoma L 63-89 1%    
  Thu, Dec 18 50 @Oklahoma St. L 69-94 1%    
  Sun, Dec 21 173 Austin Peay L 68-75 27%    
  Wed, Dec 31 296 @Denver L 72-78 28%    
  Sat, Jan 3 253 @Nebraska Omaha L 73-82 21%    
  Thu, Jan 8 164 North Dakota St. L 68-75 26%    
  Sat, Jan 10 331 North Dakota W 74-72 57%    
  Thu, Jan 15 265 @South Dakota L 76-84 24%    
  Sat, Jan 17 155 @South Dakota St. L 66-80 11%    
  Sat, Jan 24 253 Nebraska Omaha L 76-79 40%    
  Wed, Jan 28 296 Denver L 75-76 49%    
  Sun, Feb 1 163 @St. Thomas L 67-80 11%    
  Wed, Feb 4 265 South Dakota L 79-81 43%    
  Thu, Feb 12 292 @Oral Roberts L 74-81 28%    
  Sat, Feb 14 163 St. Thomas L 70-77 25%    
  Thu, Feb 19 331 @North Dakota L 71-75 36%    
  Sat, Feb 21 164 @North Dakota St. L 65-78 13%    
  Thu, Feb 26 155 South Dakota St. L 69-77 25%    
  Sat, Feb 28 292 Oral Roberts L 77-78 48%    
Projected Record 6 - 22 5 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 2.6 1.8 0.3 0.0 5.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 4.0 2.7 0.4 0.0 8.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 5.6 4.2 0.6 0.0 12.3 6th
7th 0.3 2.7 7.3 5.3 0.9 0.0 16.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 5.1 9.0 5.8 1.2 0.0 22.3 8th
9th 1.5 5.2 8.8 8.7 4.3 0.8 0.0 29.4 9th
Total 1.5 5.3 10.0 14.1 16.1 15.8 13.2 9.9 6.5 4.0 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 87.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
12-4 53.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
11-5 19.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 4.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.1% 12.8% 12.8% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-4 0.4% 17.5% 17.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.3
11-5 1.0% 7.6% 7.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.9
10-6 2.1% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.1 2.0
9-7 4.0% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.2 3.8
8-8 6.5% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.2 6.3
7-9 9.9% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.2 9.6
6-10 13.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 13.1
5-11 15.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 15.7
4-12 16.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 16.0
3-13 14.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.1
2-14 10.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.0
1-15 5.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.3
0-16 1.5% 1.5
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 98.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%