UMKC
Summit League
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#275
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#231
Pace65.0#284
Improvement-0.1#245

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#313
First Shot-6.9#346
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#63
Layup/Dunks-7.4#355
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#44
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#331
Freethrows+3.1#31
Improvement-0.1#236

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#200
First Shot+3.9#61
After Offensive Rebounds-4.9#359
Layups/Dunks+3.6#70
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#62
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#177
Freethrows-1.4#265
Improvement+0.0#222
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.8% 2.0% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 17.7% 20.8% 7.0%
.500 or above in Conference 44.4% 46.9% 35.8%
Conference Champion 2.0% 2.2% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 12.6% 11.3% 16.8%
First Four1.0% 1.1% 0.8%
First Round1.3% 1.5% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Green Bay (Away) - 77.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 21 - 6
Quad 32 - 43 - 9
Quad 49 - 812 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2022 74   @ LSU L 63-74 7%     0 - 1 -0.7 -6.4 +6.2
  Nov 11, 2022 5   @ Illinois L 48-86 2%     0 - 2 -17.1 -16.8 +2.1
  Nov 17, 2022 53   @ Kansas St. L 53-69 6%     0 - 3 -3.7 -8.4 +3.5
  Nov 21, 2022 99   Toledo W 83-71 16%     1 - 3 +16.6 +11.8 +5.4
  Nov 22, 2022 100   Indiana St. W 63-61 16%     2 - 3 +6.5 -5.6 +12.2
  Nov 23, 2022 121   Florida Gulf Coast L 59-73 20%     2 - 4 -10.9 -4.0 -9.2
  Nov 26, 2022 204   SIU Edwardsville L 54-64 46%     2 - 5 -15.0 -18.9 +3.9
  Nov 29, 2022 305   Idaho St. L 65-75 69%     2 - 6 -21.1 -4.7 -17.5
  Dec 03, 2022 345   Lindenwood W 61-47 83%     3 - 6 -1.9 -14.1 +13.2
  Dec 06, 2022 44   @ Oklahoma L 53-75 5%     3 - 7 -8.5 -8.6 -1.6
  Dec 10, 2022 361   @ Green Bay W 67-59 77%    
  Dec 19, 2022 247   South Dakota W 67-66 54%    
  Dec 21, 2022 168   South Dakota St. L 67-70 40%    
  Dec 29, 2022 281   @ Denver L 68-71 40%    
  Dec 31, 2022 288   @ Nebraska Omaha L 68-70 41%    
  Jan 07, 2023 89   @ Oral Roberts L 66-80 9%    
  Jan 12, 2023 282   St. Thomas W 69-66 62%    
  Jan 14, 2023 290   Western Illinois W 72-68 65%    
  Jan 19, 2023 310   @ North Dakota L 67-68 49%    
  Jan 21, 2023 273   @ North Dakota St. L 66-69 38%    
  Jan 26, 2023 288   Nebraska Omaha W 71-67 63%    
  Jan 28, 2023 281   Denver W 71-68 62%    
  Feb 04, 2023 89   Oral Roberts L 69-77 23%    
  Feb 09, 2023 290   @ Western Illinois L 69-71 44%    
  Feb 11, 2023 282   @ St. Thomas L 66-69 40%    
  Feb 16, 2023 273   North Dakota St. W 69-66 60%    
  Feb 18, 2023 310   North Dakota W 70-64 70%    
  Feb 23, 2023 168   @ South Dakota St. L 64-73 21%    
  Feb 25, 2023 247   @ South Dakota L 64-69 34%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.8 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 8.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 3.9 4.5 2.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 12.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.7 5.4 1.8 0.2 0.0 12.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 4.8 5.9 1.7 0.1 13.1 5th
6th 0.4 3.9 6.4 2.0 0.1 0.0 12.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.9 6.4 2.3 0.2 12.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.1 2.8 0.3 0.0 10.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.1 3.9 2.4 0.3 9.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.9 2.4 1.4 0.3 0.0 7.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.4 4.7 7.6 11.0 14.0 14.6 13.7 11.6 8.5 5.5 3.0 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 95.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
15-3 69.0% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 39.3% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
13-5 19.2% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.2% 0.3    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.2% 11.3% 11.3% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.6% 16.4% 16.4% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
14-4 1.3% 9.1% 9.1% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.2
13-5 3.0% 6.5% 6.5% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.8
12-6 5.5% 4.6% 4.6% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 5.3
11-7 8.5% 3.5% 3.5% 15.9 0.0 0.3 8.2
10-8 11.6% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3 11.3
9-9 13.7% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 13.5
8-10 14.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 14.5
7-11 14.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.9
6-12 11.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.9
5-13 7.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.6
4-14 4.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.7
3-15 2.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.4
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 98.2 0.0%