UMKC
Summit League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.9#347
Expected Predictive Rating-15.9#350
Pace72.4#102
Improvement+1.1#103

Offense
Total Offense-9.1#359
First Shot-8.6#359
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#210
Layup/Dunks-0.5#195
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#117
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.2#348
Freethrows-1.9#295
Improvement-2.2#332

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#266
First Shot-0.3#181
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#326
Layups/Dunks-4.2#321
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#97
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#147
Freethrows+1.6#83
Improvement+3.2#13
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 8.2% 16.5% 8.1%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 43.4% 34.7% 43.5%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
First Round0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oklahoma St. (Away) - 0.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 81 - 13
Quad 44 - 115 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 129 @Southern Illinois L 78-101 7%     0 - 1 -18.1 +1.7 -18.0
  Tue, Nov 11 172 Iona L 91-105 22%     0 - 2 -17.9 -1.0 -14.3
  Sat, Nov 15 40 @Texas L 55-71 1%     0 - 3 -0.6 -6.1 +3.8
  Wed, Nov 19 54 @TCU L 45-81 2%     0 - 4 -23.0 -19.7 -2.8
  Mon, Nov 24 228 @Lindenwood L 67-80 16%     0 - 5 -14.1 -9.7 -3.3
  Sat, Nov 29 215 @Weber St. L 61-82 14%     0 - 6 -21.4 -11.4 -10.5
  Wed, Dec 3 161 Idaho St. L 59-68 20%     0 - 7 -12.1 -6.0 -7.4
  Sat, Dec 6 250 @Eastern Washington L 66-90 18%     0 - 8 -26.1 -15.7 -8.5
  Wed, Dec 10 215 Weber St. L 60-64 30%     0 - 9 -10.4 -20.1 +9.9
  Tue, Dec 16 47 @Oklahoma L 67-89 2%     0 - 10 -7.9 -2.0 -5.9
  Thu, Dec 18 51 @Oklahoma St. L 67-92 1%    
  Sun, Dec 21 191 Austin Peay L 66-73 26%    
  Wed, Dec 31 314 @Denver L 74-80 29%    
  Sat, Jan 3 231 @Nebraska Omaha L 68-79 16%    
  Thu, Jan 8 148 North Dakota St. L 67-77 18%    
  Sat, Jan 10 344 North Dakota W 73-70 59%    
  Thu, Jan 15 274 @South Dakota L 75-84 21%    
  Sat, Jan 17 164 @South Dakota St. L 65-80 9%    
  Sat, Jan 24 231 Nebraska Omaha L 71-76 33%    
  Wed, Jan 28 314 Denver W 78-77 51%    
  Sun, Feb 1 131 @St. Thomas L 64-81 7%    
  Wed, Feb 4 274 South Dakota L 78-81 40%    
  Thu, Feb 12 300 @Oral Roberts L 71-78 25%    
  Sat, Feb 14 131 St. Thomas L 67-78 17%    
  Thu, Feb 19 344 @North Dakota L 70-73 37%    
  Sat, Feb 21 148 @North Dakota St. L 64-80 8%    
  Thu, Feb 26 164 South Dakota St. L 68-77 22%    
  Sat, Feb 28 300 Oral Roberts L 74-75 45%    
Projected Record 5 - 23 4 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.1 1.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 1.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 3.3 2.0 0.4 0.0 7.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.7 5.8 3.1 0.5 0.0 12.4 6th
7th 0.6 5.0 8.4 4.5 0.5 0.0 19.0 7th
8th 0.1 2.0 7.2 10.3 4.8 0.6 0.0 25.1 8th
9th 1.7 6.0 10.3 8.5 3.1 0.5 0.0 30.0 9th
Total 1.7 6.1 12.3 16.3 18.7 16.5 12.5 7.7 4.5 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-3 50.0% 0.0    0.0
12-4 45.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 14.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.0% 0.0
13-3 0.0% 0.0
12-4 0.1% 0.1
11-5 0.3% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3
10-6 1.0% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.0 1.0
9-7 2.2% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.1 2.2
8-8 4.5% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 4.5
7-9 7.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 7.7
6-10 12.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 12.4
5-11 16.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 16.4
4-12 18.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 18.7
3-13 16.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.3
2-14 12.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.3
1-15 6.1% 6.1
0-16 1.7% 1.7
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.4 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.1%