West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
7 Gonzaga 100.0%   3   16 - 1 4 - 0 29 - 2 17 - 1 +20.5      +12.0 4 +8.5 16 74.3 57 +26.8 7 +14.3 2
41 St. Mary's 51.2%   14 - 2 4 - 0 24 - 6 14 - 4 +12.6      +6.9 49 +5.8 45 63.9 315 +15.3 29 +15.8 1
63 Santa Clara 11.2%   12 - 4 4 - 0 20 - 10 12 - 6 +8.9      +6.1 55 +2.8 91 71.5 117 +8.9 72 +12.2 3
103 San Francisco 1.4%   10 - 6 3 - 1 17 - 13 10 - 8 +5.0      +2.1 114 +2.9 90 65.3 287 +4.7 103 +5.4 5
115 Seattle 0.6%   10 - 5 1 - 3 18 - 11 9 - 9 +3.5      -1.5 202 +5.0 56 69.4 186 +5.0 100 -0.6 8
125 Loyola Marymount 0.3%   9 - 7 1 - 3 17 - 13 9 - 9 +2.3      -1.0 191 +3.3 82 67.7 228 +1.3 147 -0.5 7
141 Pacific 0.2%   9 - 6 2 - 2 15 - 14 8 - 10 +1.1      +0.5 150 +0.6 138 66.3 265 +1.4 144 -2.6 10
144 Washington St. 0.2%   7 - 9 3 - 1 13 - 17 9 - 9 +0.8      +0.2 159 +0.6 139 69.6 177 -0.3 169 +6.2 4
197 Oregon St. 0.0%   8 - 9 1 - 3 13 - 18 6 - 12 -2.4      -0.5 182 -1.9 235 63.6 324 -1.3 184 -1.8 9
229 San Diego 0.0%   4 - 10 1 - 3 9 - 20 6 - 12 -3.9      -2.1 225 -1.8 229 75.4 41 -6.3 265 +1.1 6
240 Portland 0.0%   5 - 10 0 - 4 9 - 20 4 - 14 -4.7      -3.3 263 -1.4 217 72.6 85 -4.4 235 -11.5 12
267 Pepperdine 0.0%   3 - 12 0 - 4 7 - 22 4 - 14 -6.0      -5.5 318 -0.4 185 68.3 214 -8.9 300 -6.3 11




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sun, Jan 4 41 St. Mary's 93 115 Seattle 76   
Sun, Jan 4 141 Pacific 74 267 Pepperdine 69   
Sun, Jan 4 240 Portland 68 103 San Francisco 73   
Sun, Jan 4 229 San Diego 70 63 Santa Clara 98   
Sun, Jan 4 7 Gonzaga 82 125 Loyola Marymount 47   
Sun, Jan 4 197 Oregon St. 67 144 Washington St. 81   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Thu, Jan 8 7 Gonzaga 89 63 Santa Clara 74 91%   
Thu, Jan 8 125 Loyola Marymount 69 103 San Francisco 68 51%   
Thu, Jan 8 197 Oregon St. 67 115 Seattle 70 61%   
Thu, Jan 8 267 Pepperdine 71 229 San Diego 76 69%   
Thu, Jan 8 141 Pacific 74 240 Portland 72 61%   
Sat, Jan 10 125 Loyola Marymount 69 63 Santa Clara 79 82%   
Sat, Jan 10 41 St. Mary's 79 144 Washington St. 64 91%   
Sat, Jan 10 197 Oregon St. 72 240 Portland 73 53%   
Sat, Jan 10 141 Pacific 79 229 San Diego 71 78%   
Sat, Jan 10 267 Pepperdine 65 103 San Francisco 73 78%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Gonzaga 1.1 90.6 8.6 0.8 0.1
St. Mary's 2.1 16.4 61.3 17.4 3.6 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Santa Clara 3.1 4.1 26.5 44.3 14.3 5.9 2.8 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0
San Francisco 4.9 0.2 4.8 16.5 27.3 19.6 13.7 8.6 5.6 2.8 0.7 0.2 0.0
Seattle 5.8 0.0 1.4 8.3 19.7 20.7 17.3 13.0 9.7 5.7 2.9 1.0 0.3
Loyola Marymount 6.1 0.0 1.2 8.3 16.4 16.2 16.2 14.8 11.9 8.3 4.5 1.9 0.4
Pacific 6.5 0.0 1.0 5.6 12.8 15.2 16.3 16.7 14.4 10.0 5.2 2.1 0.5
Washington St. 6.0 0.0 1.3 6.1 16.0 18.8 19.1 16.3 12.1 6.6 2.7 0.9 0.2
Oregon St. 8.9 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.1 6.7 10.0 14.5 20.7 22.0 14.2 5.7
San Diego 8.8 0.0 0.6 2.6 4.7 7.2 10.3 15.1 19.9 18.6 13.7 7.4
Portland 10.4 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.7 3.1 6.4 11.4 19.4 27.8 29.2
Pepperdine 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.9 5.4 10.0 17.5 26.9 35.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Gonzaga 17 - 1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.7 8.8 21.9 36.3 29.8
St. Mary's 14 - 4 0.1 0.4 1.1 3.8 8.9 16.3 23.5 23.6 15.6 5.7 1.0
Santa Clara 12 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 4.1 8.9 14.9 19.8 20.8 16.2 9.2 3.2 0.8 0.1
San Francisco 10 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.7 6.7 12.1 17.8 20.8 18.4 12.0 5.8 2.3 0.4 0.1
Seattle 9 - 9 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.7 6.2 11.3 17.1 20.2 18.7 13.0 6.8 2.6 0.4 0.0
Loyola Marymount 9 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 4.6 8.8 14.0 17.8 18.9 14.9 10.5 5.5 2.3 0.5 0.1
Pacific 8 - 10 0.1 0.5 2.1 5.6 10.9 16.3 19.2 18.4 13.6 8.1 3.6 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
Washington St. 9 - 9 0.1 0.6 2.9 7.7 14.1 20.1 20.6 16.8 10.5 4.6 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
Oregon St. 6 - 12 0.4 2.2 7.0 13.8 19.7 20.5 17.0 11.1 5.4 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.0
San Diego 6 - 12 0.5 2.5 7.0 12.8 18.2 19.5 16.3 11.6 6.7 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Portland 4 - 14 1.0 5.4 13.0 19.2 21.4 18.1 11.8 6.1 2.7 1.0 0.2 0.0
Pepperdine 4 - 14 1.8 7.5 14.9 20.3 20.5 16.1 10.3 5.5 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Gonzaga 90.6% 80.0 10.0 0.5
St. Mary's 16.4% 7.5 8.4 0.5
Santa Clara 4.1% 1.6 2.1 0.5
San Francisco 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.1
Seattle 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Loyola Marymount 0.0% 0.0 0.0
Pacific 0.0% 0.0 0.0
Washington St. 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Oregon St.
San Diego
Portland
Pepperdine


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Gonzaga 100.0% 74.4% 25.5% 3   12.7 20.0 23.1 21.9 13.0 6.2 2.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
St. Mary's 51.2% 17.3% 33.9% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.6 2.6 4.2 8.0 13.6 19.3 0.4 48.8 41.0%
Santa Clara 11.2% 5.9% 5.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.2 7.2 0.6 0.0 88.8 5.7%
San Francisco 1.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.0 98.6 0.2%
Seattle 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 99.4 0.0%
Loyola Marymount 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.7 0.0%
Pacific 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8 0.0%
Washington St. 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8 0.0%
Oregon St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
San Diego 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Portland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Pepperdine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Gonzaga 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 93.9% 64.9% 34.8% 17.9% 8.6% 3.7%
St. Mary's 51.2% 15.7% 44.1% 20.4% 5.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Santa Clara 11.2% 3.9% 9.1% 3.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
San Francisco 1.4% 0.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Seattle 0.6% 0.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Marymount 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pacific 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Washington St. 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oregon St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
San Diego 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Portland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pepperdine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.7 39.9 55.3 4.8 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.6 47.5 49.4 3.2 0.0
2nd Round 95.7% 1.2 4.3 74.0 21.4 0.3
Sweet Sixteen 67.4% 0.7 32.6 64.2 3.3 0.0
Elite Eight 36.1% 0.4 63.9 35.6 0.5
Final Four 18.3% 0.2 81.7 18.3 0.0
Final Game 8.7% 0.1 91.3 8.7 0.0
Champion 3.7% 0.0 96.3 3.7