West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
10 Gonzaga 100.0%   3   26 - 2 14 - 1 +19.5      +9.8 22 +9.7 13 74.2 44 +23.2 6 +19.0 1
41 St. Mary's 72.1%   11   23 - 4 13 - 2 +12.9      +5.5 67 +7.4 28 64.8 281 +14.6 34 +15.5 3
42 Santa Clara 51.8%   21 - 6 13 - 2 +12.1      +8.1 38 +4.1 67 72.9 65 +12.3 47 +16.7 2
119 San Francisco 0.1%   14 - 14 7 - 9 +2.9      +2.9 100 0.0 172 64.8 279 +2.5 123 +1.3 6
122 Washington St. 0.2%   11 - 16 7 - 8 +2.8      +3.9 85 -1.1 205 69.3 158 +0.2 152 +1.8 5
126 Seattle 0.1%   14 - 12 5 - 10 +2.5      -5.6 312 +8.1 22 69.6 143 +2.2 127 -1.3 8
127 Pacific 0.4%   15 - 12 8 - 8 +2.4      +0.6 149 +1.8 122 64.0 304 +1.9 136 +0.9 7
153 Loyola Marymount 0.0%   12 - 15 4 - 11 0.0      -1.8 220 +1.9 120 68.9 169 -1.2 180 -3.4 11
160 Oregon St. 0.1%   14 - 14 7 - 8 -0.1      -0.3 168 +0.1 168 63.6 318 +1.3 142 +2.9 4
219 Portland 0.0%   10 - 16 5 - 10 -3.3      -2.3 237 -1.0 202 70.7 120 -1.7 187 -1.4 9
220 San Diego 0.0%   9 - 17 5 - 10 -3.3      -0.7 180 -2.6 254 72.1 82 -4.0 231 -1.9 10
276 Pepperdine 0.0%   6 - 20 3 - 12 -6.7      -3.5 263 -3.2 267 69.4 154 -7.1 281 -5.4 12


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Feb 18 41 St. Mary's 72 126 Seattle 70   
Wed, Feb 18 119 San Francisco 59 10 Gonzaga 80   
Wed, Feb 18 127 Pacific 70 122 Washington St. 87   
Wed, Feb 18 276 Pepperdine 95 219 Portland 87   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Feb 21 119 San Francisco 74 42 Santa Clara 81 73%   
Sat, Feb 21 41 St. Mary's 77 122 Washington St. 70 75%   
Sat, Feb 21 153 Loyola Marymount 76 220 San Diego 75 52%   
Sat, Feb 21 10 Gonzaga 84 127 Pacific 64 96%   
Sat, Feb 21 219 Portland 64 126 Seattle 73 80%   
Sat, Feb 21 276 Pepperdine 67 160 Oregon St. 76 82%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Gonzaga 1.0 98.9 1.1 0.0
St. Mary's 2.2 19.2 42.2 38.6
Santa Clara 2.2 9.3 60.1 30.6
San Francisco 6.1 15.6 19.0 21.5 31.8 11.5 0.6
Washington St. 4.9 50.2 20.5 21.7 5.6 1.9 0.1
Seattle 7.4 1.5 8.1 15.8 26.3 27.7 14.7 4.4 1.6 0.1
Pacific 4.6 57.9 24.1 14.4 3.6
Loyola Marymount 9.6 0.1 1.7 6.7 10.8 24.9 25.3 28.5 2.1
Oregon St. 4.6 60.0 23.3 13.1 2.3 1.1 0.1
Portland 9.3 0.0 0.1 1.1 5.8 11.5 37.5 27.7 16.1 0.2
San Diego 8.8 0.8 2.8 3.9 9.5 17.1 36.0 12.5 17.2 0.3
Pepperdine 11.8 0.3 0.9 3.7 13.6 81.6

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Gonzaga 17 - 1 29 - 2 0.0 1.5 37.7 60.9
St. Mary's 15 - 3 25 - 5 6.3 30.6 44.2 18.9
Santa Clara 15 - 3 23 - 7 1.6 21.3 52.4 24.7
San Francisco 8 - 10 15 - 15 43.5 44.6 11.9
Washington St. 8 - 10 12 - 18 11.2 40.4 38.4 10.0
Seattle 7 - 11 16 - 13 3.2 21.9 46.1 28.8
Pacific 9 - 9 16 - 13 39.3 58.7 1.9
Loyola Marymount 6 - 12 14 - 16 12.6 35.3 37.4 14.7
Oregon St. 9 - 9 16 - 15 5.2 32.9 57.1 4.8
Portland 6 - 12 11 - 18 31.5 55.1 13.3 0.2
San Diego 6 - 12 10 - 19 23.6 43.3 27.3 5.9
Pepperdine 4 - 14 7 - 22 44.2 40.4 13.9 1.5

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Gonzaga 98.9% 71.7 26.9 0.2
St. Mary's 19.2% 0.7 18.2 0.2
Santa Clara 9.3% 0.4 8.7 0.2
San Francisco
Washington St.
Seattle
Pacific
Loyola Marymount
Oregon St.
Portland
San Diego
Pepperdine


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Gonzaga 100.0% 69.4% 30.6% 3   2.7 13.9 32.6 34.0 13.8 2.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
St. Mary's 72.1% 16.6% 55.4% 11   0.0 0.2 1.4 3.3 7.4 13.9 21.8 23.6 0.3 27.9 66.5%
Santa Clara 51.8% 13.1% 38.7% 0.0 0.2 0.9 3.0 7.7 15.6 24.2 0.3 48.2 44.6%
San Francisco 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%
Washington St. 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.8 0.0%
Seattle 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%
Pacific 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 99.6 0.0%
Loyola Marymount 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Oregon St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%
Portland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
San Diego 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Pepperdine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 2.2 10.6 54.2 35.0 0.2
1st Round 100.0% 2.0 18.1 59.1 22.7 0.1
2nd Round 97.2% 1.4 2.8 61.0 33.2 3.1
Sweet Sixteen 62.5% 0.7 37.5 58.2 4.2 0.1
Elite Eight 28.2% 0.3 71.8 27.8 0.5
Final Four 12.1% 0.1 87.9 12.1 0.0
Final Game 4.8% 0.0 95.2 4.8
Champion 1.8% 0.0 98.2 1.8

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Gonzaga 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 95.2% 58.9% 26.6% 11.8% 4.7% 1.8%
St. Mary's 72.1% 21.4% 62.4% 25.8% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Santa Clara 51.8% 20.9% 41.6% 15.5% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
San Francisco 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Washington St. 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Seattle 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pacific 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Marymount 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oregon St. 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Portland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
San Diego 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pepperdine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%