West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
11 Gonzaga 100.0%   4   28 - 3 16 - 2 +19.1      +9.1 27 +10.0 13 73.1 61 +21.6 9 +17.2 2
30 St. Mary's 98.5%   7   26 - 4 16 - 2 +14.8      +6.5 54 +8.3 21 64.2 297 +16.8 25 +18.8 1
45 Santa Clara 54.2%   11   23 - 7 15 - 3 +12.5      +8.6 32 +3.9 73 73.7 50 +12.3 43 +15.8 3
116 San Francisco 0.0%   16 - 16 8 - 10 +3.0      +2.9 99 +0.1 167 65.4 264 +2.6 122 +2.4 5
119 Pacific 0.1%   16 - 14 8 - 10 +2.8      +0.2 160 +2.6 107 63.3 316 +2.0 127 +0.2 7
121 Seattle 0.0%   18 - 13 8 - 10 +2.7      -5.2 306 +8.0 22 68.6 171 +3.0 118 +1.2 6
132 Washington St. 0.0%   11 - 20 7 - 11 +1.8      +2.9 101 -1.1 208 69.5 145 -1.2 183 -0.1 8
163 Oregon St. 0.3%   17 - 15 9 - 9 +0.2      +0.3 158 -0.2 181 64.2 296 +2.1 126 +3.1 4
165 Loyola Marymount 0.0%   14 - 17 6 - 12 -0.1      -1.9 219 +1.8 124 67.7 196 -1.2 185 -1.7 10
209 Portland 0.0%   13 - 19 6 - 12 -2.6      -2.5 237 -0.1 178 70.4 124 -0.8 172 -1.3 9
228 San Diego 0.0%   10 - 21 5 - 13 -3.8      -0.7 187 -3.0 263 69.8 135 -4.3 237 -3.8 11
272 Pepperdine 0.0%   7 - 23 4 - 14 -6.3      -2.8 245 -3.4 279 70.4 123 -6.8 273 -4.7 12


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Thu, Mar 5 165 Loyola Marymount 62 228 San Diego 66   
Thu, Mar 5 272 Pepperdine 68 209 Portland 77   
Fri, Mar 6 209 Portland 74 132 Washington St. 68   
Fri, Mar 6 228 San Diego 56 121 Seattle 58   
Sat, Mar 7 119 Pacific 61 121 Seattle 58   
Sat, Mar 7 209 Portland 65 116 San Francisco 82   
Sun, Mar 8 119 Pacific 0 45 Santa Clara 0   
Sun, Mar 8 163 Oregon St. 78 116 San Francisco 77   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Mon, Mar 9 45 Santa Clara 75 30 St. Mary's 77 59%   
Mon, Mar 9 11 Gonzaga 83 163 Oregon St. 65 95%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
St. Mary's 1.0 100.0
Gonzaga 1.0 100.0
Santa Clara 3.0 100.0
Oregon St. 4.0 100.0
Seattle 5.0 100.0
San Francisco 5.0 100.0
Pacific 5.0 100.0
Washington St. 8.0 100.0
Loyola Marymount 9.0 100.0
Portland 9.0 100.0
San Diego 11.0 100.0
Pepperdine 12.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
St. Mary's 16 - 2 27 - 4 100.0
Gonzaga 16 - 2 29 - 3 100.0
Santa Clara 15 - 3 24 - 8 100.0
Oregon St. 9 - 9 17 - 16 100.0
Seattle 8 - 10 18 - 13 100.0
San Francisco 8 - 10 16 - 16 100.0
Pacific 8 - 10 16 - 15 100.0
Washington St. 7 - 11 11 - 20 100.0
Loyola Marymount 6 - 12 14 - 17 100.0
Portland 6 - 12 13 - 19 100.0
San Diego 5 - 13 10 - 21 100.0
Pepperdine 4 - 14 7 - 23 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
St. Mary's 100.0% 100.0
Gonzaga 100.0% 100.0
Santa Clara
Oregon St.
Seattle
San Francisco
Pacific
Washington St.
Loyola Marymount
Portland
San Diego
Pepperdine


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Gonzaga 100.0% 68.2% 31.9% 4   1.7 19.0 28.0 32.7 15.5 2.9 0.1 100.0%
St. Mary's 98.5% 21.8% 76.7% 7   0.0 0.3 1.5 5.3 17.1 25.0 24.9 17.4 6.5 0.6 1.5 98.1%
Santa Clara 54.2% 9.6% 44.6% 11   0.0 0.1 0.7 2.7 6.4 18.7 24.9 0.6 45.8 49.3%
San Francisco 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Pacific 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%
Seattle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Washington St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Oregon St. 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.1 99.7 0.0%
Loyola Marymount 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Portland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
San Diego 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Pepperdine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 2.5 0.6 45.9 53.3 0.2
1st Round 100.0% 2.4 0.8 57.5 41.6 0.2
2nd Round 98.2% 1.7 1.8 37.5 53.1 7.6
Sweet Sixteen 65.8% 0.7 34.2 57.0 8.8 0.1
Elite Eight 28.8% 0.3 71.2 27.7 1.1
Final Four 10.3% 0.1 89.7 10.2 0.1
Final Game 3.3% 0.0 96.7 3.3
Champion 1.0% 0.0 99.0 1.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Gonzaga 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 94.7% 57.8% 24.3% 9.1% 3.1% 0.9%
St. Mary's 98.5% 0.7% 98.3% 56.0% 13.6% 4.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Santa Clara 54.2% 25.1% 42.4% 15.9% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
San Francisco 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pacific 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Seattle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Washington St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oregon St. 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Marymount 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Portland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
San Diego 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pepperdine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%