West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
11 Gonzaga 100.0%   3   28 - 2 16 - 1 +19.4      +9.6 21 +9.8 15 73.3 57 +23.4 5 +19.3 1
37 St. Mary's 92.9%   9   25 - 4 15 - 2 +13.9      +6.3 53 +7.6 27 64.4 289 +15.6 29 +17.0 2
43 Santa Clara 61.9%   11   22 - 7 14 - 3 +12.2      +8.2 37 +4.0 68 73.4 54 +12.3 48 +15.6 3
118 Pacific 0.3%   15 - 13 8 - 9 +3.0      +0.8 145 +2.2 111 63.5 317 +1.9 130 +0.9 6
125 Seattle 0.1%   16 - 12 7 - 10 +2.8      -5.1 302 +7.8 25 69.7 140 +2.7 119 -0.1 8
127 Washington St. 0.1%   11 - 18 7 - 10 +2.6      +3.7 87 -1.0 200 69.0 164 -0.1 159 +0.8 7
128 San Francisco 0.1%   14 - 15 7 - 10 +2.4      +2.6 108 -0.2 177 65.3 267 +2.4 124 +1.1 5
149 Loyola Marymount 0.0%   14 - 15 6 - 11 +0.5      -1.9 222 +2.5 107 68.5 183 -0.1 160 -1.1 9
156 Oregon St. 0.1%   16 - 14 9 - 8 +0.1      0.0 164 +0.1 165 64.0 301 +1.6 138 +3.3 4
224 Portland 0.0%   10 - 18 5 - 12 -3.5      -2.8 247 -0.7 195 70.3 130 -1.8 196 -1.7 10
232 San Diego 0.0%   9 - 19 5 - 12 -4.0      -0.6 179 -3.3 275 71.2 106 -4.6 242 -3.3 11
280 Pepperdine 0.0%   6 - 22 3 - 14 -6.8      -3.0 250 -3.8 289 70.0 137 -7.6 285 -6.5 12


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Feb 25 37 St. Mary's 86 43 Santa Clara 67   
Wed, Feb 25 156 Oregon St. 92 232 San Diego 82   
Wed, Feb 25 127 Washington St. 66 149 Loyola Marymount 67   
Wed, Feb 25 280 Pepperdine 80 125 Seattle 87   
Wed, Feb 25 11 Gonzaga 89 224 Portland 48   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Feb 28 11 Gonzaga 75 37 St. Mary's 72 59%   
Sat, Feb 28 118 Pacific 72 128 San Francisco 69 64%   
Sat, Feb 28 149 Loyola Marymount 67 125 Seattle 66 53%   
Sat, Feb 28 224 Portland 79 232 San Diego 75 63%   
Sat, Feb 28 156 Oregon St. 68 43 Santa Clara 84 91%   
Sat, Feb 28 280 Pepperdine 75 127 Washington St. 81 73%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Gonzaga 1.0 100.0
St. Mary's 1.6 40.8 59.3
Santa Clara 2.5 54.5 45.5
Pacific 4.4 58.0 42.1
Seattle 6.4 17.2 38.6 30.0 14.1
Washington St. 6.0 26.5 54.9 13.7 4.8
San Francisco 6.4 37.1 9.0 32.2 21.7
Loyola Marymount 8.0 9.0 30.0 14.1 46.9
Oregon St. 4.0 100.0
Portland 10.1 29.5 33.6 36.9
San Diego 10.5 17.3 19.6 63.1
Pepperdine 12.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Gonzaga 17 - 1 29 - 2 40.8 59.3
St. Mary's 15 - 3 25 - 5 59.3 40.8
Santa Clara 15 - 3 23 - 7 8.0 92.0
Pacific 9 - 9 16 - 13 37.1 62.9
Seattle 7 - 11 16 - 13 53.2 46.9
Washington St. 8 - 10 12 - 18 27.6 72.4
San Francisco 7 - 11 14 - 16 62.9 37.1
Loyola Marymount 7 - 11 15 - 15 46.9 53.2
Oregon St. 9 - 9 16 - 15 92.0 8.0
Portland 6 - 12 11 - 18 36.9 63.1
San Diego 5 - 13 9 - 20 63.1 36.9
Pepperdine 3 - 15 6 - 23 72.4 27.6

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Gonzaga 100.0% 59.3 40.8
St. Mary's 40.8% 40.8
Santa Clara
Pacific
Seattle
Washington St.
San Francisco
Loyola Marymount
Oregon St.
Portland
San Diego
Pepperdine


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Gonzaga 100.0% 66.2% 33.8% 3   5.6 23.2 36.0 27.2 7.3 0.7 0.0 100.0%
St. Mary's 92.9% 22.1% 70.8% 9   0.0 0.6 4.4 10.9 18.2 25.6 23.4 9.7 0.1 7.1 90.8%
Santa Clara 61.9% 11.0% 50.9% 11   0.2 1.1 3.4 8.2 20.4 28.0 0.6 38.1 57.1%
Pacific 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.0 99.8 0.0%
Seattle 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 0.1 99.9 0.0%
Washington St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%
San Francisco 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.0%
Loyola Marymount 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Oregon St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.0%
Portland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
San Diego 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Pepperdine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 2.6 2.2 40.6 56.9 0.3
1st Round 100.0% 2.4 4.4 52.5 42.9 0.2
2nd Round 98.2% 1.6 1.8 45.3 45.7 7.2
Sweet Sixteen 67.0% 0.7 33.0 60.2 6.7 0.1
Elite Eight 30.5% 0.3 69.5 29.7 0.8
Final Four 12.5% 0.1 87.5 12.5 0.0
Final Game 4.8% 0.0 95.2 4.8
Champion 1.5% 0.0 98.5 1.5

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Gonzaga 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 96.1% 61.9% 27.9% 11.9% 4.7% 1.4%
St. Mary's 92.9% 8.3% 89.2% 43.6% 8.7% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Santa Clara 61.9% 25.7% 49.0% 18.6% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Pacific 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Seattle 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Washington St. 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
San Francisco 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Marymount 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oregon St. 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Portland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
San Diego 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pepperdine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%