Preseason Rankings
Portland
West Coast
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#262
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.9#125
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#190
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#313
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.5 11.9 15.0
.500 or above 11.2% 11.5% 0.8%
.500 or above in Conference 9.5% 9.7% 2.1%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 36.0% 35.3% 57.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Pine Bluff (Home) - 97.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 51 - 9
Quad 33 - 73 - 16
Quad 46 - 410 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2025 364   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 89-69 97%    
  Nov 09, 2025 252   UC Davis W 72-69 59%    
  Nov 15, 2025 155   @ Wyoming L 66-74 22%    
  Nov 21, 2025 337   Cal St. Fullerton W 75-70 68%    
  Nov 22, 2025 190   Northern Colorado L 76-77 49%    
  Nov 23, 2025 148   St. Thomas L 74-77 40%    
  Nov 26, 2025 264   Long Beach St. W 71-68 61%    
  Dec 01, 2025 95   @ Stanford L 65-79 12%    
  Dec 14, 2025 126   Kent St. L 70-74 36%    
  Dec 17, 2025 28   @ Oregon L 63-86 3%    
  Dec 22, 2025 135   @ UC Santa Barbara L 67-77 20%    
  Dec 28, 2025 124   Washington St. L 76-81 34%    
  Dec 30, 2025 105   Santa Clara L 73-80 28%    
  Jan 02, 2026 49   @ St. Mary's L 56-75 5%    
  Jan 04, 2026 75   @ San Francisco L 66-82 10%    
  Jan 08, 2026 219   Pacific W 74-73 53%    
  Jan 10, 2026 113   Oregon St. L 68-74 31%    
  Jan 14, 2026 239   @ Pepperdine L 74-78 37%    
  Jan 17, 2026 136   @ Loyola Marymount L 68-78 21%    
  Jan 24, 2026 49   St. Mary's L 59-72 13%    
  Jan 28, 2026 219   @ Pacific L 71-76 34%    
  Jan 31, 2026 124   @ Washington St. L 73-84 19%    
  Feb 04, 2026 19   Gonzaga L 70-89 6%    
  Feb 07, 2026 121   Seattle L 67-72 35%    
  Feb 11, 2026 183   @ San Diego L 76-83 29%    
  Feb 18, 2026 239   Pepperdine W 77-75 57%    
  Feb 21, 2026 121   @ Seattle L 64-75 20%    
  Feb 25, 2026 19   @ Gonzaga L 67-92 2%    
  Feb 28, 2026 183   San Diego L 79-80 47%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.2 0.4 0.1 3.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.7 1.7 0.6 0.0 0.0 4.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.5 2.7 0.9 0.1 6.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.1 4.1 1.4 0.1 9.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.4 5.7 1.8 0.2 11.6 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 5.1 6.5 2.5 0.3 15.7 10th
11th 0.2 2.9 7.0 7.6 2.9 0.3 0.0 20.9 11th
12th 2.5 7.0 8.2 5.4 1.8 0.2 0.0 25.1 12th
Total 2.5 7.3 11.1 13.5 15.1 13.5 12.1 9.1 6.3 4.1 2.6 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 50.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 87.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 11.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 4.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 5.6% 2.8% 2.8% 12.0 0.0 0.1 2.9%
13-5 0.4% 5.1% 5.1% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-6 0.8% 2.8% 2.8% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
11-7 1.5% 1.2% 1.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 1.5
10-8 2.6% 0.6% 0.6% 12.3 0.0 0.0 2.6
9-9 4.1% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 4.0
8-10 6.3% 0.2% 0.2% 19.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.3
7-11 9.1% 9.1
6-12 12.1% 12.1
5-13 13.5% 13.5
4-14 15.1% 15.1
3-15 13.5% 13.5
2-16 11.1% 11.1
1-17 7.3% 7.3
0-18 2.5% 2.5
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%