Portland
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#254
Expected Predictive Rating-3.9#230
Pace73.0#86
Improvement-0.3#195

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#259
First Shot-3.4#270
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#157
Layup/Dunks+6.9#12
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#283
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#325
Freethrows-3.0#328
Improvement+1.4#81

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#242
First Shot-1.3#212
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#249
Layups/Dunks+1.2#139
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#50
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#332
Freethrows+0.3#160
Improvement-1.7#307
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 n/a 15.0
.500 or above 0.4% 3.9% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 1.3% 5.0% 1.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 46.1% 18.8% 46.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Mary's (Away) - 2.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 60 - 10
Quad 33 - 73 - 17
Quad 46 - 39 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 351 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83-74 84%     13.8   1 - 0 -6.7 -8.8 +0.7
  Sun, Nov 9 173 UC Davis W 67-63 45%     -0.1   2 - 0 -0.1 -7.7 +7.7
  Sat, Nov 15 103 @Wyoming L 56-93 12%     -15.5   2 - 1 -29.2 -13.2 -15.8
  Fri, Nov 21 261 Cal St. Fullerton W 103-85 63%     13.2   3 - 1 +9.4 +14.8 -7.3
  Sat, Nov 22 152 Northern Colorado L 80-86 OT 40%     -2.3   3 - 2 -8.6 -5.8 -2.0
  Sun, Nov 23 135 St. Thomas L 66-76 35%     -5.4   3 - 3 -11.3 -9.4 -1.7
  Wed, Nov 26 275 Long Beach St. W 93-73 64%     10.7   4 - 3 +10.9 +11.9 -1.4
  Mon, Dec 1 91 @Stanford L 72-94 10%     -14.4   4 - 4 -13.1 +5.3 -18.6
  Sun, Dec 14 131 Kent St. W 88-78 34%     0.3   5 - 4 +8.9 +1.2 +6.3
  Wed, Dec 17 56 @Oregon L 69-94 6%     -10.6   5 - 5 -12.6 -6.7 -3.2
  Mon, Dec 22 148 @UC Santa Barbara L 61-79 20%     -11.0   5 - 6 -14.3 -6.7 -9.4
  Sun, Dec 28 149 Washington St. L 62-67 39%     -2.7   5 - 7 0 - 1 -7.4 -9.9 +2.4
  Tue, Dec 30 65 Santa Clara L 85-92 16%     5 - 8 0 - 2 -1.7 +11.1 -12.7
  Fri, Jan 2 43 @St. Mary's L 62-82 2%    
  Sun, Jan 4 94 @San Francisco L 66-80 10%    
  Thu, Jan 8 153 Pacific L 72-75 40%    
  Sat, Jan 10 166 Oregon St. L 72-74 45%    
  Wed, Jan 14 279 @Pepperdine L 71-73 44%    
  Sat, Jan 17 122 @Loyola Marymount L 67-78 15%    
  Sat, Jan 24 43 St. Mary's L 65-79 9%    
  Wed, Jan 28 153 @Pacific L 69-78 21%    
  Sat, Jan 31 149 @Washington St. L 70-79 21%    
  Wed, Feb 4 7 Gonzaga L 69-92 2%    
  Sat, Feb 7 115 Seattle L 69-75 31%    
  Wed, Feb 11 209 @San Diego L 76-81 33%    
  Wed, Feb 18 279 Pepperdine W 74-70 64%    
  Sat, Feb 21 115 @Seattle L 66-78 15%    
  Wed, Feb 25 7 @Gonzaga L 66-95 0.4%   
  Sat, Feb 28 209 San Diego W 79-78 54%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 4th
5th 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.6 6th
7th 0.3 1.8 1.4 0.1 3.6 7th
8th 0.3 2.9 2.9 0.5 6.5 8th
9th 0.2 3.2 5.4 1.3 0.0 10.1 9th
10th 0.5 5.0 8.6 3.0 0.1 17.1 10th
11th 0.2 2.4 9.3 11.7 4.5 0.3 28.3 11th
12th 1.3 6.6 11.2 9.4 3.0 0.3 31.8 12th
Total 1.3 6.7 13.5 19.2 19.9 16.8 11.8 6.4 3.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0% 0.0
10-8 0.3% 0.3
9-9 1.0% 1.0
8-10 3.0% 3.0
7-11 6.4% 6.4
6-12 11.8% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 11.8
5-13 16.8% 16.8
4-14 19.9% 19.9
3-15 19.2% 19.2
2-16 13.5% 13.5
1-17 6.7% 6.7
0-18 1.3% 1.3
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.3%