Portland
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -3.5 224
Results Rating -1.8 196
Consistency 0.17 290
Pace 70.3 130
Improvement -2.2 274

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 247 C C+ F+ C C+
Defense C 195 C D+ C C C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 102 B- 62% 85 +3.4 62
2 Pt. Jumpers 40% 156 C- 36% 227 -0.6 214
Three Pointers 39% 220 D 30% 319 -3.2 290
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 148 C- -0.8 199
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 188
Second Chance C- 29.1% 217 B+ 1.17 31 C+ 0.34 107
Opponents' Steals D- 11.4% 329
Other Turnovers D- 8.7% 329
Turnovers F+ 20.1% 343
Freethrows C 0.30 190 C+ 74% 127 C 0.23 157
Total Offense C- -2.8 247

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots A+ 70% 2 A- 7.1% 20
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 33% 76 C 4.9% 179
Three Pointers C 85% 171 B+ 0.3% 36
Total A 68% 10 B+ 4.0% 28

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 270 C 57% 167 -1.9 113
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 277 A 31% 7 -2.5 18
Three Pointers 47% 31 C- 35% 228 +3.8 334
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 205 C+ -0.8 148
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 153
Second Chance D+ 32.2% 261 C- 1.07 243 D+ 0.34 267
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.5% 253
Other Turnovers B 8.5% 49
Turnovers C 17.0% 166
Freethrows C 0.30 173 C- 73% 251 C 0.22 187
Total Defense C -0.7 195

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D- 57% 339 C 11.8% 140
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F 42% 352 C- 3.8% 243
Three Pointers F+ 93% 362 C- 0.6% 222
Total F 69% 358 C- 5.1% 202

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.0 138 17.3 185
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 252 0.19 251
Consistency 0.14 312 0.13 261
Improvement +0.4 165 -2.7 305

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 237 223 203
Results Rating Rank 210 193 175
Conference Record 5 - 13 6 - 12 6 - 12
Conference Finish 11 10 9
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: San Diego (Home) - 63.1% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 21 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 4
Quad 20 - 71 - 11
Quad 34 - 55 - 16
Quad 46 - 311 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 330 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83 - 74 83% +10  92% 1 - 0 C- -5 F -13 D F F B+ +7 A D- A
 Sun, Nov 9 178 UC Davis W 67 - 63 52% -0  49% 2 - 0 C -0 F+ -10 F+ C- F A +10 A+ F A
 Sat, Nov 15 101 @Wyoming L 56 - 93 14% -16  1% 2 - 1 F -29 F -17 F D- D+ F -12 C F D
 Fri, Nov 21 206 Cal St. Fullerton W 103 - 85 58% +13  94% 3 - 1 B+ +12 A +14 A+ A+ B- C- -3 F A- C+
 Sat, Nov 22 170 Northern Colorado L 80 - 86 OT 51% -2  14% 3 - 2 D -10 F+ -9 D- A+ F C -0 B D F+
 Sun, Nov 23 115 St. Thomas L 66 - 76 36% -5  1% 3 - 3 D -10 F -12 C A- F B- +3 A F+ D
 Wed, Nov 26 265 Long Beach St. W 93 - 73 70% +11  94% 4 - 3 B +11 A +11 A+ C F+ C -1 B- C- C+
 Mon, Dec 1 74 @Stanford L 72 - 94 10% -14  7% 4 - 4 D -11 C+ +3 A B F F -14 D F F+
 Sun, Dec 14 152 Kent St. W 88 - 78 46% +0  46% 5 - 4 B- +7 D+ -2 B+ D+ F+ A- +8 A- D A+
 Wed, Dec 17 84 @Oregon L 69 - 94 11% -11  2% 5 - 5 F+ -15 F+ -9 D+ C+ F D+ -4 F B- B
 Mon, Dec 22 142 @UC Santa Barbara L 61 - 79 23% -11  8% 5 - 6 D- -14 F+ -9 F A+ F D- -7 F D+ B
 Sun, Dec 28 127 Washington St. L 62 - 67 38% -3  21% 5 - 7 0 - 1 D+ -5 F -14 F A A+ A +9 A A+ C+
 Tue, Dec 30 43 Santa Clara L 85 - 92 12% -1  49% 5 - 8 0 - 2 C+ +2 A- +11 A+ A C F+ -8 F+ B A-
 Fri, Jan 2 37 @St. Mary's L 57 - 78 4% -14  1% 5 - 9 0 - 3 C- -4 D+ -4 F+ C B- C- -2 D- B+ C-
 Sun, Jan 4 128 @San Francisco L 68 - 73 20% +4  69% 5 - 10 0 - 4 C +0 D+ -4 B- F F B +4 A C- C-
 Thu, Jan 8 118 Pacific W 90 - 89 OT 37% +4  74% 6 - 10 1 - 4 C +1 A- +11 A- A+ F F -10 C C- F
 Sat, Jan 10 156 Oregon St. W 82 - 76 48% -2  33% 7 - 10 2 - 4 C+ +3 A- +10 C A- A- D- -7 C- B+ F+
 Wed, Jan 14 280 @Pepperdine L 63 - 67 51% -0  43% 7 - 11 2 - 5 D+ -8 F -12 F F+ D B +4 C+ F C+
 Sat, Jan 17 149 @Loyola Marymount W 71 - 58 25% +11  90% 8 - 11 3 - 5 A- +17 C +0 B- D D+ A+ +17 A+ C A-
 Sat, Jan 24 37 St. Mary's L 69 - 75 9% -4  1% 8 - 12 3 - 6 B- +5 B- +5 B- B+ B- C -0 D+ A+ B
 Wed, Jan 28 118 @Pacific L 51 - 74 18% -15  2% 8 - 13 3 - 7 F+ -17 F -16 F F F D+ -4 C+ F D+
 Sat, Jan 31 127 @Washington St. L 74 - 104 19% -15  3% 8 - 14 3 - 8 F -24 D+ -3 D- A+ B F -21 F F F
 Wed, Feb 4 11 Gonzaga W 87 - 80 4% +6  94% 9 - 14 4 - 8 A+ +23 A+ +15 A+ A- D A- +8 A+ C+ D+
 Sat, Feb 7 125 Seattle W 54 - 53 37% -4  26% 10 - 14 5 - 8 C +1 F+ -9 F A+ B- A +9 A- B- A+
 Wed, Feb 11 232 @San Diego L 58 - 71 40% -2  46% 10 - 15 5 - 9 D- -14 F -14 F C- F C- -2 F A B
 Wed, Feb 18 280 Pepperdine L 87 - 95 73% +1  41% 10 - 16 5 - 10 F -18 B +7 A+ F+ D+ F -24 F F F
 Sat, Feb 21 125 @Seattle L 59 - 71 19% -8  0% 10 - 17 5 - 11 D+ -6 D -6 D+ D F C -1 B+ D+ D-
 Wed, Feb 25 11 @Gonzaga L 48 - 89 2% -16  8% 10 - 18 5 - 12 F -19 F -14 F+ B- F D -6 D- C B-
 Sat, Feb 28 232 San Diego W 78 - 75 63%
Totals 11 - 18 6 - 12 -4 C- -3 C+ C- C+ C -1 D C+ C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- B- C- D C- 41% 40% 39% C+ C C- B+ C+ F+ C C+ C C C A C- C+ 36% 18% 47% C- C D+ C- D+ C C C- C
1.05 62% 36% 30% -1 0 1.01 29% 1.2 .34 20% .30 74% .23 1.10 57% 31% 35% -1 0 1.01 32% 1.1 .34 17% .30 73% .22
Nov
6		 Arkansas Pine Bluff F B+ C+ F D- 42% 9% 49% B D F B F F A+ B- A+ B+ B+ A+ B A+ 36% 18% 46% D A C+ F D- A F F F
1.01 68% 40% 23% -4 +2 0.98 23% 1.3 .29 23% .50 78% .39 0.90 50% 11% 30% -10 0 0.82 24% 1.3 .32 23% .43 89% .38
Nov
9		 UC Davis F+ D- F C F+ 38% 19% 43% D+ F+ C+ D- C- F A+ C- A A A+ F A+ A+ 25% 16% 59% C+ A+ F C F A B C B
0.96 50% 22% 35% -5 0 0.91 32% 0.8 .27 24% .42 73% .30 0.91 38% 50% 23% -13 0 0.76 38% 1.0 .38 23% .30 75% .22
Nov
15		 Wyoming F D+ F+ F F 56% 23% 21% C F D F D- D+ A+ F B+ F F A+ C+ C 40% 12% 47% C C F F F D B F+ C+
0.80 54% 30% 11% -11 +1 0.81 21% 0.8 .16 18% .58 55% .31 1.32 70% 14% 33% +1 +1 1.07 44% 1.2 .51 14% .28 82% .23
Nov
21		 Cal St. Fullerton A B+ A A+ A+ 46% 18% 36% B- A+ D A+ A+ B- D C- D C- D C F F 38% 14% 48% D- F C- A+ A- C+ B A+ A+
1.32 69% 50% 50% +16 +1 1.36 24% 2.5 .60 17% .26 71% .18 1.09 64% 38% 43% +8 +1 1.21 26% 0.6 .16 17% .28 50% .14
Nov
22		 Northern Colorado F+ C B- F F 48% 12% 40% B D- B- A+ A+ F F C- F C C+ F A B+ 43% 15% 43% D B A+ F D F+ D+ F F+
0.99 59% 43% 17% -10 +2 0.87 30% 1.6 .48 17% .24 75% .18 1.07 58% 56% 27% -2 +1 1.00 17% 2.0 .34 14% .26 89% .23
Nov
23		 St. Thomas F C- D+ C C- 47% 18% 35% C+ C B B+ A- F F F F B- C A+ B A 34% 4% 63% C- A C- F F+ D C F D+
0.92 58% 33% 33% -1 +1 1.02 34% 1.3 .45 28% .14 57% .08 1.06 63% 0% 31% -2 +2 1.02 22% 1.4 .30 13% .29 78% .22
Nov
26		 Long Beach St. A A+ A+ A+ A+ 70% 11% 19% A+ A+ F A+ C F+ C- A+ B C C- B- A B+ 34% 17% 49% F B- C- C- C- C+ F+ B D
1.30 76% 80% 44% +20 +4 1.49 18% 2.0 .35 21% .33 89% .30 1.02 61% 33% 27% -5 0 0.92 27% 1.1 .30 18% .34 70% .24
Dec
1		 Stanford C+ A C- A+ A+ 38% 33% 29% D A C A B F A+ B A+ F C A+ F D 44% 4% 53% D D C F F F+ C B- C+
1.04 69% 36% 42% +7 -2 1.12 27% 1.3 .35 26% .47 79% .37 1.35 58% 0% 41% +5 +3 1.16 34% 1.5 .51 12% .33 70% .23
Dec
14		 Kent St. D+ A- A C- B+ 47% 18% 35% C+ B+ F+ B+ D+ F+ C- D- D+ A- C- A+ A+ A 45% 18% 37% D+ A- D- C D A+ F F F
1.08 68% 45% 33% +6 +1 1.15 23% 1.1 .26 20% .32 67% .21 0.96 59% 22% 22% -9 +1 0.86 39% 1.1 .42 29% .49 86% .42
Dec
17		 Oregon F+ B+ F F D 40% 21% 40% B+ D+ D A C+ F D B- D+ D+ F A+ F F 34% 14% 52% C F B+ C- B- B C- F F+
0.88 61% 25% 26% -6 0 0.90 25% 1.1 .28 22% .23 79% .18 1.19 70% 25% 43% +10 +1 1.22 30% 1.2 .36 19% .36 83% .30
Dec
22		 UC Santa Barbara F+ C- D- F F 50% 19% 31% B F B A+ A+ F F F F D- F A+ F F 34% 11% 55% D F C- D D+ B A+ A+ A+
0.96 58% 33% 13% -10 +1 0.83 31% 1.6 .50 22% .22 64% .14 1.24 81% 20% 46% +16 +1 1.36 33% 1.1 .37 20% .18 56% .10
Dec
28		 Washington St. F F F F F 36% 18% 45% B- F B- A+ A A+ A+ F C+ A C+ A+ C- A+ 33% 18% 49% B- A B- A+ A+ C+ F A- F
0.91 45% 10% 16% -22 0 0.58 30% 1.4 .43 9% .38 58% .22 0.98 60% 13% 36% -2 0 0.98 28% 0.5 .15 19% .51 68% .34
Dec
30		 Santa Clara A- A+ A B+ A+ 43% 18% 39% C A+ A B- A C D F F+ F+ D F F+ F 33% 24% 43% A- F+ F A+ B A- D- F F
1.19 86% 44% 37% +15 +1 1.33 40% 1.1 .44 21% .28 63% .18 1.29 67% 69% 39% +14 -1 1.28 46% 0.8 .36 20% .30 82% .24
Jan
2		 St. Mary's D+ D+ A F F+ 46% 25% 29% C+ F+ A F C B- B- A+ A- C- F A+ F F+ 31% 18% 51% C+ D- A C B+ C- F+ B+ D
0.89 50% 46% 7% -14 0 0.75 33% 0.7 .23 14% .27 87% .24 1.22 71% 25% 43% +9 0 1.20 31% 1.1 .34 16% .39 76% .30
Jan
4		 San Francisco D+ A+ A+ F B- 32% 21% 47% C B- D- F F F A+ B+ A+ B A- A+ C A+ 33% 14% 53% C A F A+ C- C- F A+ F
1.01 73% 60% 23% +2 -1 1.04 21% 0.7 .14 25% .38 79% .30 1.08 50% 0% 35% -7 0 0.88 50% 0.8 .38 15% .59 62% .36
Jan
8		 Pacific A- B F A+ A+ 20% 39% 41% F A- A+ A A+ F D+ A+ B- F B- A F C+ 45% 20% 35% D+ C F A C- F F F F
1.23 64% 24% 55% +8 -4 1.11 37% 1.2 .46 19% .30 83% .25 1.21 52% 30% 44% +1 +1 1.06 45% 0.8 .37 14% .41 85% .35
Jan
10		 Oregon St. A- B+ F D C 40% 17% 43% C C B A- A- A- A+ A+ A+ D- D+ F+ C+ D+ 37% 24% 39% B- C- B B- B+ F+ F C+ F
1.24 63% 25% 30% -3 +1 0.98 35% 1.2 .42 11% .58 88% .51 1.15 59% 45% 33% +2 -1 1.04 22% 1.2 .26 14% .58 76% .44
Jan
14		 Pepperdine F B+ F F F 38% 9% 53% C+ F C+ F F+ D F D- F B D A+ B+ B- 36% 18% 45% D+ C+ C+ F F C+ F A+ C
0.93 67% 20% 21% -9 +1 0.87 34% 0.7 .24 18% .16 67% .11 0.99 63% 25% 30% -3 0 0.95 27% 1.4 .39 19% .37 60% .22
Jan
17		 Loyola Marymount C D- D+ A+ B- 38% 30% 32% C- B- D C- D D+ A- C+ B+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 21% 31% 48% A A+ B F+ C A- D- F F
1.02 47% 33% 44% -1 -1 0.98 26% 1.0 .26 17% .35 75% .26 0.83 50% 13% 26% -15 -3 0.67 24% 1.2 .29 22% .33 78% .26
Jan
24		 St. Mary's B- C- F A- B- 43% 24% 33% C+ B- C- A+ B+ B- A- A+ A+ C B C- F C- 46% 17% 37% D D+ B A+ A+ B C- F D
1.06 52% 25% 38% -4 0 0.94 21% 1.4 .30 14% .30 88% .27 1.15 52% 38% 47% +5 +1 1.13 34% 0.7 .24 18% .34 89% .30
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Pacific F F C+ F F 31% 13% 56% A F D- F F F A+ D+ A+ D+ D F A+ C+ 44% 25% 31% C+ C+ C- F F D+ B- A- B
0.80 33% 40% 27% -13 0 0.77 19% 0.7 .13 22% .56 68% .38 1.16 62% 50% 27% +1 0 1.04 35% 1.5 .55 19% .25 69% .17
Jan
31		 Washington St. D+ F A+ F F+ 40% 26% 34% C D- B+ A+ A+ B A+ F A- F F+ A+ F F 39% 13% 48% D F D+ F F F C- F D-
1.03 40% 62% 24% -6 -1 0.88 33% 1.5 .49 13% .48 57% .27 1.45 73% 14% 52% +16 +1 1.36 32% 1.5 .48 11% .30 84% .25
Feb
4		 Gonzaga A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 47% 21% 32% A A+ B+ B+ A- D A- A+ A+ A- A+ A- C+ A+ 32% 21% 47% C- A+ B- C- C+ D+ F C+ F
1.18 73% 60% 47% +18 +1 1.38 30% 1.0 .30 23% .35 80% .28 1.08 50% 33% 33% -4 -1 0.93 33% 1.2 .41 12% .40 69% .28
Feb
7		 Seattle F+ F F F F 50% 15% 35% B+ F B- A+ A+ B- F A F+ A D- A+ A- A- 28% 16% 56% B A- F+ A+ B- A+ B- C C+
0.86 39% 29% 19% -19 +2 0.67 34% 1.4 .49 19% .20 80% .16 0.85 67% 14% 29% -6 0 0.91 31% 0.6 .19 24% .27 69% .19
Feb
11		 San Diego F A A F F 40% 18% 42% C F F A+ C- F F+ A+ B C- A+ D- F F 33% 22% 45% C+ F D- A+ A B A A+ A
0.91 72% 50% 11% -7 0 0.89 22% 1.6 .35 24% .29 100% .29 1.11 44% 45% 55% +11 -1 1.22 34% 0.5 .17 20% .16 63% .10
Feb
18		 Pepperdine B A+ A+ A+ A+ 55% 15% 30% B- A+ F A+ F+ D+ B F C F A C+ F F 31% 22% 47% C+ F F F F F F C+ F+
1.25 76% 50% 44% +16 +2 1.38 16% 1.5 .24 17% .31 61% .19 1.36 44% 36% 54% +9 -1 1.20 44% 1.6 .72 13% .38 74% .28
Feb
21		 Seattle D A+ F F C- 27% 22% 51% D D+ F A+ D F A+ A+ A+ C A+ D- D- A- 34% 14% 52% C B+ D C- D+ D- F F F
0.86 70% 25% 26% -6 -1 0.89 15% 1.5 .22 28% .58 83% .48 1.03 29% 43% 38% -6 +1 0.92 29% 0.9 .26 15% .38 77% .29
Feb
25		 Gonzaga F A+ F F D- 17% 38% 45% F F+ B+ D+ B- F D+ A+ B- D F F C D- 28% 11% 60% F+ D- B- D- C B- A+ F B+
0.71 71% 25% 21% -12 -4 0.71 30% 0.8 .24 33% .26 83% .22 1.32 87% 67% 34% +12 0 1.26 33% 1.3 .43 15% .19 82% .16



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 29.5 29.5 9th
10th 33.6 33.6 10th
11th 36.9 36.9 11th
12th 12th
Total 36.9 63.1 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 63.1% 63.1
5-13 36.9% 36.9
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.9%
Lose Out 36.9%