Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +0.0 153
Expected Predictive Rating -1.2 180
Pace 68.9 169
Improvement -4.3 333

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 220 C+ C- D+ D- D
Defense C+ 120 B C C- C B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 328 B- 61% 101 -2.3 265
2 Pt. Jumpers 38% 178 C+ 39% 141 +1.7 88
Three Pointers 43% 144 C+ 35% 135 +1.6 123
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -0.9 301 C+ +1.8 108
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.04 140
Second Chance D+ 27.4% 270 C 1.05 149 C- 0.29 235
Turnovers D+ 18.2% 272
Freethrows D 0.27 304 D 68% 321 D- 0.18 328
Total Offense C- -1.8 220

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D+ 42% 287 B+ 7.6% 32
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 22% 218 B- 3.9% 96
Three Pointers C- 82% 237 B- 0.6% 102
Total D+ 51% 281 A- 3.7% 19

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 173 B+ 51% 35 -2.4 98
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% 35 C+ 37% 129 +1.9 324
Three Pointers 35% 339 B- 32% 106 -3.9 34
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.7 64 B -3.7 50
1st FG Attempt B 0.93 48
Second Chance C- 31.6% 226 C 1.01 155 C 0.32 204
Turnovers C- 15.9% 234
Freethrows C+ 0.29 148 D+ 74% 289 C 0.22 174
Total Defense C+ +1.9 120

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 172 B 15.5% 45
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 175 D 2.6% 308
Three Pointers C+ 82% 117 C- 0.8% 187
Total B- 52% 105 B- 7.0% 77

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.3 167 17.3 189
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 152 0.13 61
Improvement +1.1 #132 -5.3 #354

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 13.0 13.0 n/a
.500 or above 9% 18% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 13% 4% 22%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: San Diego (Away) - 51.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 41 - 8
Quad 36 - 57 - 13
Quad 47 - 414 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 201 Eastern Washington W 70 - 62 70% +1  55% 1 - 0 C+ +3 F -11 F+ B+ D A+ +14 A- A+ C
 Sat, Nov 8 328 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 94 - 72 90% +9  89% 2 - 0 B +8 A- +10 A+ F+ A+ C- -2 C- D+ C
 Tue, Nov 11 245 @UTEP W 71 - 58 56% +3  63% 3 - 0 B+ +12 B- +4 A A+ F A +8 A- B+ F+
 Fri, Nov 14 146 Troy W 74 - 63 59% +3  78% 4 - 0 B +9 C- -2 A- F C+ A+ +11 B B A+
 Mon, Nov 17 144 @UC Santa Barbara W 78 - 74 OT 35% -3  27% 5 - 0 B- +8 D+ -3 C D- D A +10 A+ C F
 Mon, Nov 24 118 Florida Atlantic L 65 - 76 39% -7  2% 5 - 1 D+ -8 D+ -2 C- D- B- D- -7 D- C B
 Tue, Nov 25 208 Ohio W 70 - 58 61% +4  51% 6 - 1 B +9 F+ -9 D- C- F A+ +18 A+ B A+
 Fri, Nov 28 216 Stony Brook L 68 - 71 73% -6  26% 6 - 2 D -9 D- -8 D+ B F C- -2 C+ C- D
 Tue, Dec 2 23 Saint Louis L 70 - 91 11% -12  3% 6 - 3 D+ -8 D -5 C+ C+ D C -1 B F A+
 Tue, Dec 16 137 UC San Diego L 57 - 67 56% -3  25% 6 - 4 D- -12 F -17 C F F B+ +6 B- D A+
 Fri, Dec 19 340 North Alabama W 91 - 57 91% +22  99% 7 - 4 A +19 B+ +9 B+ A+ B- A +11 A+ A F
 Tue, Dec 23 352 Morgan St. W 83 - 56 93% +16  99% 8 - 4 B +10 C- -1 B+ D+ F+ A+ +11 A+ F A
 Sun, Dec 28 41 St. Mary's L 73 - 78 18% -1  24% 8 - 5 0 - 1 B- +5 A+ +17 A A+ A+ F -13 D+ F F
 Tue, Dec 30 127 Pacific W 80 - 71 52% -1  34% 9 - 5 1 - 1 B +8 B- +5 A F+ C+ B- +3 A+ C- D+
 Fri, Jan 2 122 @Washington St. L 76 - 78 29% +1  49% 9 - 6 1 - 2 C+ +4 C +1 C- D+ B+ B- +3 D A+ C-
 Sun, Jan 4 10 @Gonzaga L 47 - 82 3% -15  19% 9 - 7 1 - 3 D- -13 F -17 F D B- B +4 C+ C+ D
 Thu, Jan 8 119 San Francisco W 84 - 82 2OT 51% +1  45% 10 - 7 2 - 3 C+ +2 D+ -3 C D- B+ B+ +5 A+ D+ C+
 Sat, Jan 10 42 @Santa Clara L 72 - 103 9% -17  0% 10 - 8 2 - 4 F+ -16 D+ -4 D- C+ C F+ -9 C+ F F
 Wed, Jan 14 160 @Oregon St. L 70 - 76 39% -1  39% 10 - 9 2 - 5 C- -3 D+ -4 F A F C+ +1 A+ F F
 Sat, Jan 17 219 Portland L 58 - 71 73% -11  5% 10 - 10 2 - 6 F -19 F -19 F D F C +0 C+ B+ D
 Wed, Jan 21 126 @Seattle L 59 - 69 30% -12  7% 10 - 11 2 - 7 C- -4 D -6 A- F F C+ +1 A- D+ F
 Wed, Jan 28 160 Oregon St. L 69 - 72 62% -0  42% 10 - 12 2 - 8 D+ -6 D+ -4 B- D C+ C- -3 F+ D- A+
 Sat, Jan 31 42 Santa Clara L 73 - 104 20% -17  0% 10 - 13 2 - 9 F -22 D- -7 C- D+ F F -12 D+ F C
 Wed, Feb 4 119 @San Francisco W 84 - 75 29% +9  99% 11 - 13 3 - 9 A- +15 A +11 A D+ D+ B +4 A+ B+ F+
 Sat, Feb 7 220 San Diego W 83 - 63 73% +17  99% 12 - 13 4 - 9 B+ +14 A +13 A D+ A+ B- +3 A- C+ F
 Wed, Feb 11 127 @Pacific L 59 - 65 30% -2  50% 12 - 14 4 - 10 C -1 D- -6 C D- F+ B+ +5 C+ B- F+
 Sat, Feb 14 276 @Pepperdine L 89 - 90 64% +2  67% 12 - 15 4 - 11 C- -5 A- +10 B B+ A+ F -15 F D+ D-
 Sat, Feb 21 220 @San Diego W 76 - 75 51%
 Wed, Feb 25 122 Washington St. W 76 - 75 51%
 Sat, Feb 28 126 Seattle W 67 - 66 51%
Totals 14 - 16 6 - 12 +0 C- -2 B C+ D C+ +2 C+ D D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- B- C+ C+ C+ 33% 38% 43% D C+ D+ C C- D+ D D D- C+ B+ C+ B- B 39% 26% 35% B B C- C C C- C+ D+ C
1.06 61% 39% 35% +2 -1 1.04 27% 1.0 .29 18% .27 68% .18 1.06 51% 37% 32% -4 -1 0.93 32% 1.0 .32 16% .29 74% .20
Nov
5		 Eastern Washington F D C+ F+ F+ 36% 19% 45% D+ F+ D- A+ B+ D B- F D+ A+ C B- A+ B+ 40% 36% 23% A A- A+ A+ A+ C F A- F
0.99 53% 44% 29% -4 0 0.94 26% 1.8 .47 18% .37 62% .23 0.88 58% 35% 27% -3 -2 0.91 18% 0.5 .09 18% .44 68% .30
Nov
8		 Arkansas Pine Bluff A- A+ F A+ A+ 23% 11% 66% D+ A+ D F F+ A+ B+ F D C- D C- B D+ 40% 30% 30% C+ C- F B D+ C A+ F B
1.33 83% 0% 49% +16 0 1.34 31% 0.9 .28 8% .43 57% .25 1.02 62% 38% 31% 0 -1 1.00 33% 0.8 .28 18% .19 100% .19
Nov
11		 UTEP B- A D- A+ A+ 30% 20% 50% C A C+ A+ A+ F F A F A A+ A- F B+ 22% 43% 35% A+ A- B A B+ F+ B+ F+ B-
1.13 69% 33% 45% +11 -1 1.23 36% 1.4 .52 30% .11 80% .09 0.92 27% 27% 44% -6 -4 0.82 23% 0.8 .18 13% .22 75% .16
Nov
14		 Troy C- A- A+ B A 33% 33% 35% F+ A- F D+ F C+ F F F A+ A+ F C B+ 40% 10% 50% C B B B B A+ F F F
1.07 67% 56% 37% +10 -2 1.18 19% 1.0 .19 16% .19 45% .09 0.91 41% 50% 33% -6 +2 0.93 30% 0.9 .27 29% .41 80% .32
Nov
17		 UC Santa Barbara D+ F D+ A+ C 37% 21% 42% C- C B- F D- D A+ F C A B A+ A+ A+ 39% 24% 37% B- A+ B+ F C F A- A- A
1.06 47% 36% 45% +3 0 1.08 31% 0.7 .21 19% .48 52% .25 1.00 54% 27% 26% -9 0 0.84 27% 1.3 .33 8% .25 71% .18
Nov
24		 Florida Atlantic D+ D+ F A C 43% 22% 35% D+ C- C+ F D- B- F B F+ D- C- F D- F+ 30% 22% 48% B+ D- F A+ C B B- F C-
1.01 52% 18% 41% -3 0 0.96 29% 0.6 .18 15% .22 75% .16 1.18 60% 55% 38% +7 -1 1.14 45% 0.8 .36 20% .27 86% .23
Nov
25		 Ohio F+ C- A F F+ 38% 19% 42% C D- B- F+ C- F C- D+ D+ A+ A+ A B- A+ 37% 20% 43% D+ A+ C- A B A+ F A+ F
0.97 55% 50% 23% -6 0 0.90 38% 0.9 .33 22% .30 71% .21 0.81 29% 33% 30% -14 0 0.74 29% 0.8 .22 24% .53 59% .31
Nov
28		 Stony Brook D- B+ F F+ D 38% 13% 50% B D+ B+ C+ B F A A- A+ C- A+ F B C+ 38% 21% 40% C+ C+ B F C- D F F F
1.00 67% 17% 29% -3 +1 0.98 39% 0.9 .35 22% .38 80% .30 1.04 33% 80% 32% -2 0 0.98 24% 1.1 .27 15% .38 82% .31
Dec
2		 Saint Louis D C+ A- F C 40% 20% 40% B- C+ C- A- C+ D D D+ D- C D F B+ A- 52% 4% 45% D B F D+ F A+ B+ F+ B-
0.91 55% 45% 23% -7 0 0.89 23% 1.0 .23 18% .27 71% .19 1.18 66% 50% 32% +3 +3 1.14 49% 1.1 .54 23% .25 80% .20
Dec
16		 UC San Diego F D A+ D+ C+ 24% 20% 57% D C F+ F F F F F F B+ D A+ A+ B 57% 16% 27% D B- F A- D A+ F A+ B-
0.80 50% 50% 31% -2 -1 0.96 21% 0.5 .11 25% .19 40% .08 0.95 64% 25% 23% -3 +2 1.00 37% 0.8 .31 23% .35 47% .16
Dec
19		 North Alabama B+ D+ A+ A+ B+ 40% 9% 51% B- B+ B- A+ A+ B- C F D A A+ D+ A+ A+ 43% 31% 25% A A+ C A+ A F F B- F+
1.32 55% 60% 43% +7 +2 1.20 38% 1.6 .59 13% .28 65% .18 0.83 32% 38% 23% -16 -1 0.69 30% 0.7 .21 12% .41 64% .26
Dec
23		 Morgan St. C- B- A+ B+ A- 44% 9% 47% C+ B+ C+ F+ D+ F+ B+ F D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 32% 49% 19% A+ A+ F D F A C- A+ B-
1.19 65% 75% 38% +9 +2 1.24 38% 1.1 .41 19% .49 61% .30 0.80 33% 22% 22% -19 -4 0.55 43% 1.0 .41 24% .36 63% .23
Dec
28		 St. Mary's A+ D- A+ A A+ 28% 34% 38% F A A- A+ A+ A+ B- F C F B- C- F D 40% 29% 31% B+ D+ C- F F F D+ A+ B-
1.23 46% 56% 39% +6 -2 1.09 32% 1.4 .46 10% .26 64% .17 1.31 56% 38% 50% +7 -1 1.13 38% 1.5 .55 10% .36 68% .24
Dec
30		 Pacific B- D- A+ A+ A+ 20% 33% 47% F+ A D F F+ C+ A- C- B+ B- A+ C+ F A+ 52% 22% 26% D A+ D- B- C- D+ F C- F
1.15 50% 59% 42% +11 -3 1.18 21% 0.7 .14 14% .39 70% .27 1.02 29% 40% 42% -12 +1 0.80 39% 0.9 .37 19% .46 77% .35
Jan
2		 Washington St. C D- C C+ D+ 44% 19% 37% B C- F+ A- D+ B+ B- D C+ B- C+ F F D- 35% 25% 39% B+ D A+ A+ A+ C- A- F C
1.09 50% 40% 35% -3 +1 0.98 19% 1.3 .24 11% .32 70% .23 1.12 61% 54% 45% +12 -1 1.24 19% 0.6 .11 17% .22 92% .21
Jan
4		 Gonzaga F C+ F D+ D- 13% 52% 36% F F C F D B- F F F B F D A C 31% 38% 31% A+ C+ B D C+ D A+ A+ A+
0.68 57% 21% 30% -11 -6 0.68 22% 0.6 .13 19% .12 43% .05 1.19 83% 45% 28% +8 -3 1.12 32% 1.3 .41 12% .16 40% .07
Jan
8		 San Francisco D+ D+ B- C C- 47% 22% 31% B- C F A+ D- B+ F A+ F B+ A A+ A- A+ 37% 23% 40% B A+ C D D+ C+ D F F+
1.05 53% 40% 33% -2 0 0.99 15% 1.3 .21 10% .12 100% .12 1.02 45% 21% 29% -11 0 0.78 33% 1.2 .40 16% .37 80% .30
Jan
10		 Santa Clara D+ A F+ F D 31% 28% 41% F D- F+ A+ C+ C C F D F+ A F F C+ 37% 19% 43% B- C+ D- D- F F D- D F+
0.94 71% 27% 23% -6 -1 0.87 22% 1.5 .33 21% .33 65% .21 1.34 48% 54% 41% +4 0 1.10 42% 1.2 .51 9% .30 76% .23
Jan
14		 Oregon St. D+ B- F F F 39% 28% 33% F+ F C A+ A F A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ D- A+ A+ 36% 19% 45% C A+ F+ F F F F F F
1.00 61% 8% 27% -11 -1 0.78 32% 1.5 .47 21% .45 96% .43 1.08 35% 44% 24% -14 0 0.74 31% 1.5 .46 13% .51 94% .47
Jan
17		 Portland F D- F F F 21% 31% 48% F F F+ B+ D F B- B+ B C A B F C 38% 30% 32% A C+ B- A- B+ D D- C- D-
0.83 50% 13% 26% -15 -3 0.67 24% 1.2 .29 22% .33 78% .26 1.02 47% 33% 44% -1 -1 0.98 26% 1.0 .26 17% .35 75% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
21		 Seattle D A+ D- B- A 36% 20% 44% C A- F F F F B F C C+ D+ A A+ A 44% 22% 33% C+ A- B F D+ F C+ F D+
0.86 69% 33% 35% +4 0 1.09 18% 0.0 .00 29% .33 63% .20 1.00 63% 25% 22% -7 0 0.89 22% 1.1 .24 10% .27 82% .23
Jan
28		 Oregon St. D+ A A+ D- A- 25% 35% 40% F B- F+ B+ D C+ F F F C- C+ F D- F 33% 27% 40% A- F+ F+ C+ D- A+ A C- A
1.05 69% 50% 29% +4 -3 1.04 24% 1.1 .26 14% .19 64% .12 1.09 53% 58% 39% +7 -1 1.13 32% 1.2 .39 24% .28 79% .22
Jan
31		 Santa Clara D- A- A F C- 45% 21% 33% C- C- D C D+ F A+ B+ A+ F C D- F D 36% 14% 50% C- D+ F D F C F F F
0.94 68% 44% 14% -4 0 0.95 26% 1.0 .26 28% .63 77% .49 1.34 62% 50% 41% +9 +1 1.21 46% 1.2 .54 15% .34 82% .27
Feb
4		 San Francisco A B+ D- A+ A+ 38% 25% 37% C- A B- F D+ D+ A B- A B B A+ B- A+ 34% 23% 43% B A+ B+ B B+ F+ F F F
1.22 65% 31% 47% +8 -1 1.17 29% 0.8 .24 15% .36 76% .27 1.09 53% 0% 32% -12 -1 0.77 28% 1.0 .28 12% .69 88% .61
Feb
7		 San Diego A A+ A+ F A 39% 22% 39% D+ A C+ F+ D+ A+ B- B B B- A- F A B 27% 37% 35% A+ A- A- D- C+ F B C+ B
1.32 79% 73% 26% +11 0 1.24 36% 0.9 .32 11% .37 76% .29 1.00 50% 47% 28% -2 -3 0.92 24% 1.1 .26 13% .20 73% .15
Feb
11		 Pacific D- A- A+ F B 12% 43% 45% F C F A D- F+ F A+ D- B+ F+ B- A+ C+ 49% 27% 24% C C+ C B B- F+ A A- A
0.94 67% 52% 27% +3 -5 0.98 14% 1.3 .17 19% .22 82% .18 1.03 67% 38% 25% +1 0 1.04 34% 0.9 .31 16% .19 70% .13
Feb
14		 Pepperdine A- C- B+ A+ B+ 40% 23% 37% D- B C- A+ B+ A+ B F+ C+ F D+ C- F F 44% 25% 31% C- F C- D+ D+ D- F B F
1.25 57% 46% 43% +6 0 1.14 29% 1.5 .44 10% .31 65% .20 1.26 61% 38% 56% +12 0 1.25 30% 1.0 .30 15% .42 72% .30



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.1 0.1 5th
6th 1.7 1.7 6th
7th 6.7 6.7 7th
8th 4.5 6.2 10.8 8th
9th 24.9 0.0 24.9 9th
10th 17.4 7.9 25.3 10th
11th 10.8 17.6 0.0 28.5 11th
12th 1.8 0.3 2.1 12th
Total 12.6 35.3 37.4 14.7 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 14.7% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 14.7
6-12 37.4% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 37.4
5-13 35.3% 35.3
4-14 12.6% 12.6
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.3%
Lose Out 12.6%