Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.3#130
Expected Predictive Rating+0.4#167
Pace65.6#267
Improvement-0.6#230

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#84
First Shot+3.4#86
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#163
Layup/Dunks+7.8#14
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#348
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#210
Freethrows+0.9#122
Improvement+0.8#93

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#214
First Shot-2.6#266
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#93
Layups/Dunks-4.4#312
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#11
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#202
Freethrows-1.3#258
Improvement-1.4#293
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.4% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.7% 0.9% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.2 11.0 12.5
.500 or above 30.1% 35.7% 14.5%
.500 or above in Conference 30.7% 33.6% 22.4%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.9% 6.6% 11.7%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
First Round1.0% 1.3% 0.4%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Long Beach St. (Away) - 73.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 7
Quad 22 - 32 - 11
Quad 34 - 46 - 15
Quad 46 - 112 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 100   Chattanooga L 64-75 52%     0 - 1 -9.2 -1.9 -8.5
  Nov 17, 2021 289   Arkansas Little Rock W 82-63 87%     1 - 1 +9.1 -1.7 +9.1
  Nov 21, 2021 31   Florida St. L 45-73 18%     1 - 2 -15.8 -21.0 +5.2
  Nov 22, 2021 99   SMU W 76-70 41%     2 - 2 +10.8 +14.9 -3.3
  Nov 27, 2021 242   Prairie View W 83-80 82%     3 - 2 -4.2 +3.5 -7.8
  Nov 29, 2021 110   Grand Canyon L 72-78 56%     3 - 3 -5.3 +3.2 -8.9
  Dec 04, 2021 297   @ Long Beach St. W 80-73 74%    
  Dec 07, 2021 142   @ Tulsa L 69-71 41%    
  Dec 11, 2021 102   New Mexico St. W 71-70 54%    
  Dec 18, 2021 92   @ Nevada L 71-78 28%    
  Dec 21, 2021 177   @ Bellarmine W 70-69 51%    
  Jan 01, 2022 1   Gonzaga L 71-87 7%    
  Jan 06, 2022 251   Portland W 77-67 83%    
  Jan 08, 2022 187   @ Pacific W 69-68 52%    
  Jan 13, 2022 49   @ San Francisco L 65-75 19%    
  Jan 15, 2022 153   @ San Diego L 69-70 45%    
  Jan 20, 2022 235   Pepperdine W 76-67 79%    
  Jan 22, 2022 41   St. Mary's L 62-67 33%    
  Jan 27, 2022 1   @ Gonzaga L 68-90 2%    
  Jan 29, 2022 153   San Diego W 72-67 65%    
  Feb 03, 2022 82   @ Santa Clara L 71-78 25%    
  Feb 05, 2022 41   @ St. Mary's L 59-70 16%    
  Feb 10, 2022 20   BYU L 67-76 21%    
  Feb 12, 2022 251   @ Portland W 74-70 65%    
  Feb 17, 2022 82   Santa Clara L 74-75 45%    
  Feb 24, 2022 20   @ BYU L 64-79 10%    
  Feb 26, 2022 187   Pacific W 72-65 73%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 6 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 2.1 1.3 0.1 4.6 3rd
4th 0.1 2.3 4.7 2.1 0.4 9.6 4th
5th 0.6 4.8 7.3 2.9 0.3 16.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 6.3 9.6 3.7 0.3 20.9 6th
7th 0.0 1.5 7.2 8.6 2.9 0.2 20.5 7th
8th 0.0 1.4 5.7 6.1 1.5 0.1 14.7 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 3.1 3.4 0.5 0.0 8.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 1.8 1.0 0.2 3.8 10th
Total 0.1 0.8 2.8 5.5 10.8 14.8 17.0 17.6 13.7 8.9 4.8 2.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.0%
13-3 24.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-4 3.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-5 1.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.2% 87.2% 87.2% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 87.2%
12-4 0.6% 38.3% 38.3% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 38.3%
11-5 2.4% 9.8% 1.1% 8.7% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 2.2 8.8%
10-6 4.8% 4.2% 2.2% 1.9% 11.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 4.6 2.0%
9-7 8.9% 1.2% 1.1% 0.1% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 8.8 0.1%
8-8 13.7% 0.3% 0.3% 13.0 0.0 13.6
7-9 17.6% 0.4% 0.4% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.6
6-10 17.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 17.0
5-11 14.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.8
4-12 10.8% 10.8
3-13 5.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.5
2-14 2.8% 2.8
1-15 0.8% 0.8
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.1% 0.4% 0.7% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.9 0.7%