Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +0.2 154
Results Rating -0.7 167
Consistency 0.15 142
Pace 68.1 188
Improvement -3.3 299

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 213 C+ D+ C- D D
Defense C+ 121 B C C- C+ B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 331 C+ 61% 102 -2.6 275
2 Pt. Jumpers 39% 156 C+ 40% 119 +2.2 67
Three Pointers 42% 153 B- 36% 108 +1.7 126
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -1.0 310 B- +2.4 97
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.05 136
Second Chance D+ 26.6% 286 C 1.05 148 D+ 0.28 257
Opponents' Steals C 9.5% 183
Other Turnovers D 8.3% 310
Turnovers C- 17.8% 259
Freethrows D+ 0.27 281 D 69% 287 D 0.19 302
Total Offense C- -1.7 213

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D+ 43% 276 B 8.5% 48
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 24% 193 B- 3.4% 65
Three Pointers C- 81% 244 B- 0.5% 83
Total D+ 51% 275 B+ 3.8% 22


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 172 B+ 51% 28 -2.5 98
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 34 C+ 37% 148 +2.1 333
Three Pointers 35% 339 C+ 33% 135 -3.7 36
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.7 63 B -3.3 54
1st FG Attempt B 0.94 47
Second Chance C- 31.2% 228 C 1.03 177 C 0.32 222
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.1% 287
Other Turnovers C+ 7.8% 108
Turnovers C- 15.8% 234
Freethrows C+ 0.29 152 C- 74% 259 C+ 0.21 159
Total Defense C+ +1.9 121

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 173 B+ 15.7% 40
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 159 D 2.2% 325
Three Pointers C+ 81% 108 C- 0.7% 208
Total B- 52% 100 B- 6.9% 76

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.5 191 17.3 186
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 141 0.13 59
Consistency 0.13 231 0.11 107
Improvement +1.6 106 -4.9 353

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 164 155 142
Results Rating Rank 190 184 149
Conference Record 6 - 12 6 - 12 6 - 12
Conference Finish 9 9 9
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 2% 4% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 41 - 8
Quad 36 - 57 - 13
Quad 48 - 415 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 173 Eastern Washington W 70 - 62 66% +1  55% 1 - 0 C+ +4 F -11 F+ B+ D A+ +14 A- A+ C
 Sat, Nov 8 331 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 94 - 72 91% +9  89% 2 - 0 B- +7 A- +10 A+ F A+ C- -2 C- D C
 Tue, Nov 11 259 @UTEP W 71 - 58 61% +3  63% 3 - 0 B +10 B- +4 A A+ F A- +8 A- B+ F
 Fri, Nov 14 150 Troy W 74 - 63 61% +3  78% 4 - 0 B +8 D+ -3 A- F C+ A +11 B B A+
 Mon, Nov 17 142 @UC Santa Barbara W 78 - 74 OT 35% -3  27% 5 - 0 B- +8 C- -2 C+ D- D- A +10 A+ C F
 Mon, Nov 24 126 Florida Atlantic L 65 - 76 41% -7  2% 5 - 1 D -8 D+ -3 C- D- C+ D -6 D- C- B+
 Tue, Nov 25 219 Ohio W 70 - 58 63% +4  51% 6 - 1 B +9 F+ -9 D- C- F A+ +18 A+ B A+
 Fri, Nov 28 218 Stony Brook L 68 - 71 73% -6  26% 6 - 2 D -9 D- -8 D+ B F C- -2 C+ C- D-
 Tue, Dec 2 24 Saint Louis L 70 - 91 12% -12  3% 6 - 3 D -8 D -6 C+ C D C -1 B+ F A+
 Tue, Dec 16 131 UC San Diego L 57 - 67 55% -3  25% 6 - 4 D -11 F -17 C F F B+ +6 B- D A+
 Fri, Dec 19 343 North Alabama W 91 - 57 92% +22  99% 7 - 4 A +19 B+ +9 B A+ B- A +10 A+ A F
 Tue, Dec 23 349 Morgan St. W 83 - 56 93% +16  99% 8 - 4 B +11 C- -1 A- C- F A+ +12 A+ F A+
 Sun, Dec 28 31 St. Mary's L 73 - 78 14% -1  24% 8 - 5 0 - 1 B- +7 A+ +17 A A+ A+ F -12 D+ F F
 Tue, Dec 30 127 Pacific W 80 - 71 53% -1  34% 9 - 5 1 - 1 B +9 B +6 A F+ C+ B- +3 A+ C- D+
 Fri, Jan 2 128 @Washington St. L 76 - 78 32% +1  49% 9 - 6 1 - 2 C+ +3 C +1 C- D+ B+ B- +2 D A+ C-
 Sun, Jan 4 13 @Gonzaga L 47 - 82 3% -15  19% 9 - 7 1 - 3 D- -13 F -16 F D B- B- +3 C+ C+ D
 Thu, Jan 8 122 San Francisco W 84 - 82 2OT 51% +1  45% 10 - 7 2 - 3 C+ +2 D+ -3 C D- A- B +5 A+ D C+
 Sat, Jan 10 43 @Santa Clara L 72 - 103 8% -17  0% 10 - 8 2 - 4 F+ -16 D -4 D- C+ C F+ -9 C+ F+ F
 Wed, Jan 14 159 @Oregon St. L 70 - 76 40% -1  39% 10 - 9 2 - 5 C- -3 D -4 F A F C+ +1 A+ F F
 Sat, Jan 17 216 Portland L 58 - 71 73% -11  5% 10 - 10 2 - 6 F -19 F -19 F D+ F C +0 C+ B+ D
 Wed, Jan 21 117 @Seattle L 59 - 69 29% -12  7% 10 - 11 2 - 7 C- -4 D- -6 A- F F B- +2 A C- F
 Wed, Jan 28 159 Oregon St. L 69 - 72 63% -0  42% 10 - 12 2 - 8 D+ -6 D+ -4 B- D C+ C- -3 F+ D- A+
 Sat, Jan 31 43 Santa Clara L 73 - 104 19% -17  0% 10 - 13 2 - 9 F -22 D- -7 C- D F F -11 D F C
 Wed, Feb 4 122 @San Francisco W 84 - 75 29% +9  99% 11 - 13 3 - 9 A- +15 A +12 A D D+ B- +3 A+ B+ F+
 Sat, Feb 7 238 San Diego W 83 - 63 77% +17  99% 12 - 13 4 - 9 B+ +13 A +11 A- D+ A+ B- +3 A- C F
 Wed, Feb 11 127 @Pacific L 59 - 65 30% -2  50% 12 - 14 4 - 10 C -0 D -6 C D F B +5 C+ B- F
 Sat, Feb 14 271 @Pepperdine L 89 - 90 63% +2  67% 12 - 15 4 - 11 C- -4 A- +10 B B+ A+ F -14 F C- D-
 Sat, Feb 21 238 @San Diego W 77 - 65 56% +7  94% 13 - 15 5 - 11 B +11 B+ +9 A+ F C+ B- +3 B- C- D+
 Wed, Feb 25 128 Washington St. W 67 - 66 54% -5  5% 14 - 15 6 - 11 C +0 F+ -9 F+ C- A+ A +9 B+ F+ A+
 Sat, Feb 28 117 Seattle L 66 - 71 51% +2  70% 14 - 16 6 - 12 D+ -5 B- +5 A C B- F -11 D- C F
 Thu, Mar 5 238 San Diego W 78 - 73 67%
Totals 15 - 16 6 - 12 +0 C- -2 C+ B- D C+ +2 B- D D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C+ C+ B- B- 33% 39% 42% D C+ D+ C D+ C- D+ D D C+ B+ C+ C+ B 39% 27% 35% B B C- C C C- C+ C- C+
1.06 61% 40% 36% +2 -1 1.05 27% 1.0 .28 18% .27 69% .19 1.06 51% 37% 33% -3 -1 0.94 31% 1.0 .32 16% .29 74% .20
Nov
5		 Eastern Washington F D B- F+ F+ 36% 19% 45% D+ F+ D- A+ B+ D B F C- A+ C B A+ A- 40% 36% 23% A A- A+ A+ A+ C F A- F
0.99 53% 44% 29% -4 0 0.94 26% 1.8 .47 18% .37 62% .23 0.88 58% 35% 27% -3 -2 0.91 18% 0.5 .09 18% .44 68% .30
Nov
8		 Arkansas Pine Bluff A- A+ F A+ A+ 23% 11% 66% D+ A+ D F F A+ A- F D C- D C B- D+ 40% 30% 30% C+ C- F B D C A+ F B
1.33 83% 0% 49% +16 0 1.34 31% 0.9 .28 8% .43 57% .25 1.02 62% 38% 31% 0 -1 1.00 33% 0.8 .28 18% .19 100% .19
Nov
11		 UTEP B- A D- A+ A+ 30% 20% 50% C A B- A+ A+ F F A- F A- A+ A- F B+ 22% 43% 35% A+ A- B- A B+ F B+ F+ B-
1.13 69% 33% 45% +11 -1 1.23 36% 1.4 .52 30% .11 80% .09 0.92 27% 27% 44% -6 -4 0.82 23% 0.8 .18 13% .22 75% .16
Nov
14		 Troy D+ A- A+ B A+ 33% 33% 35% F A- F C- F C+ F F F A A+ F C B+ 40% 10% 50% C B B B- B A+ F F+ F
1.07 67% 56% 37% +10 -2 1.18 19% 1.0 .19 16% .19 45% .09 0.91 41% 50% 33% -6 +2 0.93 30% 0.9 .27 29% .41 80% .32
Nov
17		 UC Santa Barbara C- F D+ A+ C+ 37% 21% 42% C- C+ B- F D- D- A+ F C A B A+ A+ A+ 39% 24% 37% B- A+ B+ F C F A- A- A
1.06 47% 36% 45% +3 0 1.08 31% 0.7 .21 19% .48 52% .25 1.00 54% 27% 26% -9 0 0.84 27% 1.3 .33 8% .25 71% .18
Nov
24		 Florida Atlantic D+ D+ F A C- 43% 22% 35% D+ C- B- F D- C+ F B- F+ D C- F D- F+ 30% 22% 48% B+ D- F A+ C- B+ B- F D+
1.01 52% 18% 41% -3 0 0.96 29% 0.6 .18 15% .22 75% .16 1.18 60% 55% 38% +7 -1 1.14 45% 0.8 .36 20% .27 86% .23
Nov
25		 Ohio F+ C- A+ F F+ 38% 19% 42% C- D- B- F C- F C- D+ C- A+ A+ A B- A+ 37% 20% 43% D+ A+ C- A B A+ F A+ F
0.97 55% 50% 23% -6 0 0.90 38% 0.9 .33 22% .30 71% .21 0.81 29% 33% 30% -14 0 0.74 29% 0.8 .22 24% .53 59% .31
Nov
28		 Stony Brook D- B+ F F+ D 38% 13% 50% B D+ A- C B F A A A+ C- A+ F B C+ 38% 21% 40% B- C+ B F C- D- F F F
1.00 67% 17% 29% -3 +1 0.98 39% 0.9 .35 22% .38 80% .30 1.04 33% 80% 32% -2 0 0.98 24% 1.1 .27 15% .38 82% .31
Dec
2		 Saint Louis D C+ A- F C 40% 20% 40% B- C+ C- B+ C D D D+ D- C D+ F B+ A- 52% 4% 45% D B+ F D+ F A+ B F+ B-
0.91 55% 45% 23% -7 0 0.89 23% 1.0 .23 18% .27 71% .19 1.18 66% 50% 32% +3 +3 1.14 49% 1.1 .54 23% .25 80% .20
Dec
16		 UC San Diego F D A+ D+ C+ 24% 20% 57% D C D- F F F F+ F F B+ D A+ A+ B 57% 16% 27% D B- F A- D A+ F A+ B-
0.80 50% 50% 31% -2 -1 0.96 21% 0.5 .11 25% .19 40% .08 0.95 64% 25% 23% -3 +2 1.00 37% 0.8 .31 23% .35 47% .16
Dec
19		 North Alabama B+ D A+ A+ B 40% 9% 51% C+ B B- A+ A+ B- C F D A A+ C- A+ A+ 43% 31% 25% A A+ C+ A+ A F F B D-
1.32 55% 60% 43% +7 +2 1.20 38% 1.6 .59 13% .28 65% .18 0.83 32% 38% 23% -16 -1 0.69 30% 0.7 .21 12% .41 64% .26
Dec
23		 Morgan St. C- B- A+ B+ A- 44% 9% 47% C+ A- C+ D- C- F A- F C A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 32% 49% 19% A+ A+ F D F A+ C- A+ B-
1.19 65% 75% 38% +9 +2 1.24 38% 1.1 .41 19% .49 61% .30 0.80 33% 22% 22% -19 -4 0.55 43% 1.0 .41 24% .36 63% .23
Dec
28		 St. Mary's A+ D- A+ A A+ 28% 34% 38% F A A A+ A+ A+ B- F C- F B- C- F D 40% 29% 31% B+ D+ C F F F D A+ C+
1.23 46% 56% 39% +6 -3 1.09 32% 1.4 .46 10% .26 64% .17 1.31 56% 38% 50% +7 -1 1.13 38% 1.5 .55 10% .36 68% .24
Dec
30		 Pacific B D- A+ A+ A+ 20% 33% 47% D- A D+ F F+ C+ B+ C B+ B- A+ C F A+ 52% 22% 26% D A+ D- B- C- D+ F C- F
1.15 50% 59% 42% +11 -3 1.18 21% 0.7 .14 14% .39 70% .27 1.02 29% 40% 42% -12 +1 0.80 39% 0.9 .37 19% .46 77% .35
Jan
2		 Washington St. C D- C C+ D+ 44% 19% 37% B C- F+ A D+ B+ B D- C+ B- C+ F F D- 35% 25% 39% A- D A+ A+ A+ C- B+ F C
1.09 50% 40% 35% -3 +1 0.98 19% 1.3 .24 11% .32 70% .23 1.12 61% 54% 45% +12 -1 1.24 19% 0.6 .11 17% .22 92% .21
Jan
4		 Gonzaga F C+ F D+ D- 13% 52% 36% F F C- F D B- F F F B- F D+ A C 31% 38% 31% A C+ B D C+ D A+ A+ A+
0.68 57% 21% 30% -11 -6 0.68 22% 0.6 .13 19% .12 43% .05 1.19 83% 45% 28% +8 -3 1.12 32% 1.3 .41 12% .16 40% .07
Jan
8		 San Francisco D+ D+ B- C C 47% 22% 31% B- C F A+ D- A- F A+ F B A+ A+ A- A+ 37% 23% 40% B A+ C- D D C+ D F F+
1.05 53% 40% 33% -2 0 0.99 15% 1.3 .21 10% .12 100% .12 1.02 45% 21% 29% -11 0 0.78 33% 1.2 .40 16% .37 80% .30
Jan
10		 Santa Clara D A F+ F D+ 31% 28% 41% F D- F+ A+ C+ C C F D+ F+ A F F C+ 37% 19% 43% B- C+ D- D F+ F D- C- D-
0.94 71% 27% 23% -6 -1 0.87 22% 1.5 .33 21% .33 65% .21 1.34 48% 54% 41% +4 0 1.10 42% 1.2 .51 9% .30 76% .23
Jan
14		 Oregon St. D B F F F 39% 28% 33% D- F C A+ A F A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ D- A+ A+ 36% 19% 45% C A+ D- F F F F F F
1.00 61% 8% 27% -11 -1 0.78 32% 1.5 .47 21% .45 96% .43 1.08 35% 44% 24% -14 0 0.74 31% 1.5 .46 13% .51 94% .47
Jan
17		 Portland F D- F F F 21% 31% 48% F F F+ B+ D+ F B B B+ C A B F C 38% 30% 32% A C+ B- A- B+ D D- C- D
0.83 50% 13% 26% -15 -3 0.67 24% 1.2 .29 22% .33 78% .26 1.02 47% 33% 44% -1 -1 0.98 26% 1.0 .26 17% .35 75% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
21		 Seattle D- A+ D- B- A 36% 20% 44% C A- F F F F B- F C- B- D+ A+ A+ A 44% 22% 33% C+ A B F C- F B- F D+
0.86 69% 33% 35% +4 0 1.09 18% 0.0 .00 29% .33 63% .20 1.00 63% 25% 22% -7 0 0.89 22% 1.1 .24 10% .27 82% .23
Jan
28		 Oregon St. D+ A A+ D- A- 25% 35% 40% F B- F+ B D C+ F F F C- C+ F D- F 33% 27% 40% A- F+ F+ C D- A+ A D+ A
1.05 69% 50% 29% +4 -3 1.04 24% 1.1 .26 14% .19 64% .12 1.09 53% 58% 39% +7 -1 1.13 32% 1.2 .39 24% .28 79% .22
Jan
31		 Santa Clara D- A- A F C- 45% 21% 33% C- C- D C- D F A+ B+ A+ F C- D- F D 36% 14% 50% C- D F C- F C F F F
0.94 68% 44% 14% -4 0 0.95 26% 1.0 .26 28% .63 77% .49 1.34 62% 50% 41% +9 +1 1.21 46% 1.2 .54 15% .34 82% .27
Feb
4		 San Francisco A B+ D- A+ A+ 38% 25% 37% C- A C+ F D D+ A B- A B- B A+ B A+ 34% 23% 43% B A+ B B B+ F+ F F F
1.22 65% 31% 47% +8 -1 1.17 29% 0.8 .24 15% .36 76% .27 1.09 53% 0% 32% -12 -1 0.77 28% 1.0 .28 12% .69 88% .61
Feb
7		 San Diego A A+ A+ F A 39% 22% 39% D+ A- C+ F+ D+ A+ B- B B B- A- F A B+ 27% 37% 35% A+ A- B+ F+ C F B- C+ B-
1.32 79% 73% 26% +11 0 1.24 36% 0.9 .32 11% .37 76% .29 1.00 50% 47% 28% -2 -3 0.92 24% 1.1 .26 13% .20 73% .15
Feb
11		 Pacific D A- A+ F B 12% 43% 45% F C F A+ D F F A+ D- B F+ C+ A+ C+ 49% 27% 24% C C+ C B- B- F A B+ A
0.94 67% 52% 27% +3 -5 0.98 14% 1.3 .17 19% .22 82% .18 1.03 67% 38% 25% +1 0 1.04 34% 0.9 .31 16% .19 70% .13
Feb
14		 Pepperdine A- C- A- A+ A- 40% 23% 37% D- B D+ A+ B+ A+ B+ F+ C+ F D+ C- F F 44% 25% 31% C- F C- D+ C- D- F B F
1.25 57% 46% 43% +6 0 1.14 29% 1.5 .44 10% .31 65% .20 1.26 61% 38% 56% +12 0 1.25 30% 1.0 .30 15% .42 72% .30
Feb
21		 San Diego B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 30% 33% 37% F A+ F F F C+ A- A A+ B- B B F+ B 41% 26% 33% C B- C- C- C- D+ D+ B+ C
1.24 69% 57% 50% +19 -2 1.35 14% 0.7 .10 18% .41 81% .33 1.05 53% 33% 40% -1 -1 1.00 29% 1.0 .29 16% .25 69% .17
Feb
25		 Washington St. F+ D- C+ F F+ 37% 31% 31% D F+ C D+ C- A+ C- A C+ A B+ B- F B+ 37% 29% 35% A B+ C+ F F+ A+ A+ F A+
0.99 50% 41% 24% -7 -2 0.85 28% 1.0 .28 9% .27 82% .23 0.97 56% 36% 41% +2 -1 1.04 30% 1.3 .37 25% .12 83% .10
Feb
28		 Seattle B- C B A+ A+ 26% 38% 36% F A F A+ C B- B B+ B+ F C+ F D- F+ 32% 20% 48% B+ D- B D- C F F A+ F
1.07 55% 44% 47% +8 -3 1.12 21% 1.4 .29 19% .34 76% .26 1.15 57% 56% 38% +6 0 1.14 21% 1.0 .21 11% .49 59% .29



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.6%
Lose Out 60.5%