Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +0.3 #155
Expected Predictive Rating -0.4 #170
Pace 68.3 #196
Improvement -4.9 #348

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #253 C C- D+ D- D+
Defense #90 B+ C C C B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #316 1.20 #127 -2.4 #267
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #124 0.70 #260 +0.3 #160
Three Pointers 44% #134 1.06 #120 +2.3 #105
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #170 +0.2 #170
Freethrows 0.25 #325 66% #347 0.16 #348
Second Chance 27.5% #268 1.06 #155 0.29 #241
Turnovers 17.9% #279
Total Offense -2.9 #253

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #180 0.97 #14 +3.4 #74
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #38 0.72 #121 -1.8 #313
Three Pointers 35% #338 0.94 #85 +4.4 #31
1st FG Attempt 0.90 #31 +6.1 #30
Freethrows 0.29 #151 74% #275 0.21 #165
Second Chance 31.1% #201 1.04 #163 0.32 #198
Turnovers 15.9% #211
Total Defense +3.2 #90

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.4% #276 -1.4% #68
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 1.8% #150 -10.6% #29
Possession Length 17.4 #175 17.0 #114
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #140 0.13 #54
Improvement -1.4 #256 -3.5 #341

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.0 12.1 11.0
.500 or above 41.0% 49.8% 20.8%
.500 or above in Conference 10.2% 13.9% 1.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 8.2% 4.8% 16.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oregon St. (Home) - 69.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 51 - 8
Quad 36 - 57 - 13
Quad 48 - 315 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 244 Eastern Washington W 70 - 62 77% +1  1 - 0 +1 -8 F B D+ +9 B A+ C+
 Sat, Nov 8 323 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 94 - 72 89% +9  2 - 0 +9 +14 A+ F+ A+ -5 D+ C+ C
 Tue, Nov 11 258 @UTEP W 71 - 58 60% +3  3 - 0 +11 +6 A- A+ F +6 A- A- F+
 Fri, Nov 14 113 Troy W 74 - 63 50% +3  4 - 0 +11 +1 A- F C+ +10 B+ A- A+
 Mon, Nov 17 145 @UC Santa Barbara W 78 - 74 OT 36% -3  5 - 0 +8 -1 C D- D- +8 A+ C- F
 Mon, Nov 24 101 Florida Atlantic L 65 - 76 32% -7  5 - 1 -6 +0 C- D B- -7 D C+ B+
 Tue, Nov 25 209 Ohio W 70 - 58 62% +4  6 - 1 +9 -7 D- D F +15 A+ B- A+
 Fri, Nov 28 241 Stony Brook L 68 - 71 77% -6  6 - 2 -10 -7 D+ B- F -4 C+ C- D+
 Tue, Dec 2 25 Saint Louis L 70 - 91 13% -12  6 - 3 -8 -3 C+ C F+ -3 A- F A+
 Tue, Dec 16 112 UC San Diego L 57 - 67 49% -3  6 - 4 -10 -16 C F F +7 B C- A+
 Fri, Dec 19 330 North Alabama W 91 - 57 90% +22  7 - 4 +20 +12 B+ A+ C +9 A+ C+ F
 Tue, Dec 23 356 Morgan St. W 83 - 56 94% +16  8 - 4 +10 +2 B+ D+ F +8 A+ F A+
 Sun, Dec 28 42 St. Mary's L 73 - 78 21% -1  8 - 5 0 - 1 +4 +18 A A+ A -15 D+ F F
 Tue, Dec 30 131 Pacific W 80 - 71 56% -1  9 - 5 1 - 1 +8 +7 A+ F C+ +1 A+ D+ C-
 Fri, Jan 2 138 @Washington St. L 76 - 78 35% +1  9 - 6 1 - 2 +2 +3 C- D+ B+ -1 D A+ C
 Sun, Jan 4 10 @Gonzaga L 47 - 82 3% -15  9 - 7 1 - 3 -12 -14 F D B- +1 C+ C+ D+
 Thu, Jan 8 97 San Francisco W 84 - 82 2OT 42% +1  10 - 7 2 - 3 +4 +2 C+ D A- +2 A+ D C
 Sat, Jan 10 52 @Santa Clara L 72 - 103 11% -17  10 - 8 2 - 4 -18 -1 D C C- -14 C D- F
 Wed, Jan 14 193 @Oregon St. L 70 - 76 48% -1  10 - 9 2 - 5 -5 -3 F A+ F -2 A+ F F
 Sat, Jan 17 205 Portland L 58 - 71 72% -11  10 - 10 2 - 6 -19 -17 F D+ F -2 C+ B+ D+
 Wed, Jan 21 122 @Seattle L 59 - 69 31% -12  10 - 11 2 - 7 -4 -4 A- F F -0 A D+ F
 Wed, Jan 28 193 Oregon St. W 71 - 66 70%
 Sat, Jan 31 52 Santa Clara L 70 - 77 26%
 Tue, Feb 3 97 @San Francisco L 65 - 73 23%
 Sat, Feb 7 211 San Diego W 77 - 71 72%
 Wed, Feb 11 131 @Pacific L 67 - 71 34%
 Sat, Feb 14 281 @Pepperdine W 70 - 66 65%
 Sat, Feb 21 211 @San Diego W 75 - 74 51%
 Wed, Feb 25 138 Washington St. W 74 - 72 57%
 Sat, Feb 28 122 Seattle W 66 - 65 52%
Totals 15 - 15 7 - 11 +0 -3 C C- D+ +3 B+ C C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.3 2.3 1.5 0.2 4.3 4th
5th 0.1 3.9 4.2 0.5 0.0 8.7 5th
6th 0.0 2.2 7.5 1.3 0.0 11.0 6th
7th 0.5 9.4 4.1 0.1 14.2 7th
8th 0.1 5.6 9.7 0.6 16.1 8th
9th 0.0 2.5 11.9 2.5 0.0 16.9 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 8.2 4.8 0.1 14.3 10th
11th 0.0 1.1 5.2 5.0 0.3 11.6 11th
12th 0.3 1.2 1.3 0.1 2.8 12th
Total 0.3 2.3 7.8 15.8 23.1 24.1 16.4 7.9 2.1 0.3 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.3% 4.0% 4.0% 11.0 0.0 0.2
10-8 2.1% 0.2% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 2.0
9-9 7.9% 0.3% 0.3% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.9
8-10 16.4% 16.4
7-11 24.1% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0 24.1
6-12 23.1% 23.1
5-13 15.8% 15.8
4-14 7.8% 7.8
3-15 2.3% 2.3
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%
Lose Out 0.3%