Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.4#168
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#233
Pace63.9#305
Improvement-3.4#313

Offense
Total Offense+1.7#129
First Shot-0.7#191
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#45
Layup/Dunks-3.6#311
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#172
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#107
Freethrows+0.7#120
Improvement-0.5#213

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#234
First Shot-1.0#203
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#271
Layups/Dunks-3.8#310
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#270
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#22
Freethrows-0.6#232
Improvement-2.9#316
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 1.3% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
First Round0.9% 1.0% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Diego (Home) - 72.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 40 - 9
Quad 32 - 62 - 15
Quad 49 - 211 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2023 90   Yale L 80-83 35%     0 - 1 +0.5 +7.7 -7.1
  Nov 14, 2023 297   Jackson St. W 88-66 82%     1 - 1 +11.8 +6.9 +3.8
  Nov 19, 2023 164   Stephen F. Austin L 76-86 49%     1 - 2 -10.0 +4.5 -14.4
  Nov 20, 2023 130   Oakland L 69-74 40%     1 - 3 -2.8 +3.6 -6.9
  Nov 21, 2023 273   Florida International W 61-60 69%     2 - 3 -4.4 -10.0 +5.6
  Nov 25, 2023 193   UTEP W 67-47 66%     3 - 3 +15.3 -4.4 +19.6
  Nov 29, 2023 338   Central Arkansas W 90-63 90%     4 - 3 +12.3 +7.2 +4.2
  Dec 02, 2023 45   @ Nevada L 59-73 11%     4 - 4 -0.7 -3.1 +1.5
  Dec 09, 2023 76   @ UNLV W 78-75 17%     5 - 4 +12.9 +7.8 +5.0
  Dec 16, 2023 174   UC Santa Barbara L 59-68 51%     5 - 5 -9.6 -11.3 +1.1
  Dec 18, 2023 353   Detroit Mercy W 76-56 94%     6 - 5 +2.5 -6.2 +8.9
  Dec 22, 2023 37   Colorado St. L 67-76 20%     6 - 6 -0.5 +5.0 -6.4
  Dec 29, 2023 132   Tarleton St. L 66-79 51%     6 - 7 -13.6 +2.1 -17.7
  Jan 04, 2024 107   Santa Clara L 57-68 42%     6 - 8 0 - 1 -9.3 -11.0 +1.0
  Jan 06, 2024 24   St. Mary's L 64-68 16%     6 - 9 0 - 2 +6.5 +7.0 -1.1
  Jan 13, 2024 343   Pacific W 81-64 91%     7 - 9 1 - 2 +1.7 +3.3 -1.0
  Jan 18, 2024 66   @ San Francisco L 74-90 14%     7 - 10 1 - 3 -4.7 +9.4 -14.6
  Jan 20, 2024 205   @ Pepperdine W 68-61 49%     8 - 10 2 - 3 +7.0 +1.4 +6.5
  Jan 25, 2024 301   Portland W 92-65 83%     9 - 10 3 - 3 +16.6 +14.2 +2.9
  Jan 27, 2024 24   @ St. Mary's L 65-70 7%     9 - 11 3 - 4 +11.0 +12.3 -2.2
  Jan 30, 2024 18   @ Gonzaga L 58-92 6%     9 - 12 3 - 5 -16.7 -8.6 -8.3
  Feb 07, 2024 240   @ San Diego L 77-79 53%     9 - 13 3 - 6 -3.1 +8.9 -12.1
  Feb 10, 2024 205   Pepperdine L 63-72 69%     9 - 14 3 - 7 -14.5 -11.6 -3.4
  Feb 15, 2024 18   Gonzaga L 74-91 13%     9 - 15 3 - 8 -5.1 +14.8 -22.3
  Feb 17, 2024 66   San Francisco L 59-82 28%     9 - 16 3 - 9 -17.2 -2.1 -18.4
  Feb 22, 2024 107   @ Santa Clara L 55-65 24%     9 - 17 3 - 10 -2.8 -9.3 +5.5
  Feb 24, 2024 343   @ Pacific W 86-63 82%     10 - 17 4 - 10 +13.1 +21.3 -4.6
  Feb 29, 2024 240   San Diego W 77-71 73%    
  Mar 02, 2024 301   @ Portland W 76-71 66%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 5 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 6.8 6.8 5th
6th 37.3 41.4 78.7 6th
7th 7.9 4.5 12.5 7th
8th 2.0 2.0 8th
9th 9th
Total 9.9 41.9 48.2 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10 48.2% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.6 47.6
5-11 41.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.5 41.4
4-12 9.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 9.8
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.2 98.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 48.2% 1.4% 15.9 0.1 1.3
Lose Out 9.9% 1.0% 16.0 1.0