San Diego
West Coast
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.9#152
Expected Predictive Rating-2.6#219
Pace70.3#149
Improvement-1.7#300

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#222
First Shot-1.0#200
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#228
Layup/Dunks-0.9#200
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#46
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#229
Freethrows-1.0#247
Improvement-2.8#347

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#95
First Shot+4.1#62
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#271
Layups/Dunks+1.5#136
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#356
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.1#23
Freethrows+2.2#60
Improvement+1.1#76
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.7 12.2 13.2
.500 or above 32.6% 48.1% 24.8%
.500 or above in Conference 31.5% 38.6% 28.0%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 8.9% 5.9% 10.3%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fresno St. (Away) - 33.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 5
Quad 22 - 43 - 9
Quad 34 - 46 - 13
Quad 47 - 313 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 90   @ Nevada W 75-68 22%     1 - 0 +15.9 +6.6 +9.5
  Nov 15, 2021 121   @ California L 70-75 31%     1 - 1 +0.9 +4.7 -4.0
  Nov 17, 2021 131   UC Riverside W 74-62 56%     2 - 1 +11.3 +3.3 +7.8
  Nov 19, 2021 193   Cal St. Fullerton L 55-57 70%     2 - 2 -6.5 -17.0 +10.4
  Nov 25, 2021 156   South Alabama L 67-68 51%     2 - 3 -0.4 -4.9 +4.5
  Nov 26, 2021 252   Illinois-Chicago W 64-52 71%     3 - 3 +7.1 -8.7 +16.3
  Nov 28, 2021 273   Cal St. Northridge L 52-56 82%     3 - 4 -13.0 -17.6 +3.9
  Dec 01, 2021 130   @ Fresno St. L 62-67 33%    
  Dec 05, 2021 314   Cal Poly W 71-58 88%    
  Dec 18, 2021 315   Northern Arizona W 74-64 81%    
  Dec 20, 2021 290   Long Beach St. W 81-70 84%    
  Dec 22, 2021 145   @ UNLV L 64-68 37%    
  Dec 30, 2021 1   Gonzaga L 68-87 4%    
  Jan 01, 2022 79   @ Santa Clara L 69-78 21%    
  Jan 06, 2022 236   @ Pepperdine W 71-69 56%    
  Jan 08, 2022 49   @ San Francisco L 63-74 15%    
  Jan 13, 2022 254   Portland W 74-65 79%    
  Jan 15, 2022 116   Loyola Marymount W 69-68 52%    
  Jan 20, 2022 20   BYU L 65-75 18%    
  Jan 22, 2022 188   @ Pacific L 66-67 47%    
  Jan 27, 2022 236   Pepperdine W 74-66 75%    
  Jan 29, 2022 116   @ Loyola Marymount L 66-71 32%    
  Feb 05, 2022 79   Santa Clara L 72-75 41%    
  Feb 10, 2022 43   @ St. Mary's L 56-68 14%    
  Feb 12, 2022 188   Pacific W 69-64 67%    
  Feb 17, 2022 254   @ Portland W 71-68 59%    
  Feb 24, 2022 43   St. Mary's L 59-65 29%    
  Feb 26, 2022 49   San Francisco L 66-71 32%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.5 1.5 0.4 0.0 5.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.7 2.4 0.4 0.0 10.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.3 6.8 2.8 0.4 0.0 14.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 6.3 8.7 3.4 0.2 0.0 19.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 7.1 8.2 2.7 0.2 0.0 19.5 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 6.0 5.9 1.5 0.0 0.0 14.4 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 4.0 3.4 0.7 0.0 9.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 1.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 4.6 10th
Total 0.1 1.0 2.8 6.4 10.8 14.6 16.6 16.1 12.9 8.9 5.6 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 33.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-2 37.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-3 20.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-4 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.1% 18.8% 18.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 18.8%
13-3 0.3% 9.9% 1.2% 8.7% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 8.8%
12-4 1.1% 2.1% 0.9% 1.1% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.1%
11-5 2.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.1% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.6 0.1%
10-6 5.6% 0.7% 0.7% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.5
9-7 8.9% 0.3% 0.3% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.9
8-8 12.9% 0.1% 0.1% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.9
7-9 16.1% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.1
6-10 16.6% 0.0% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 16.6
5-11 14.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.6
4-12 10.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.8
3-13 6.4% 6.4
2-14 2.8% 2.8
1-15 1.0% 1.0
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8 0.1%