San Diego
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#245
Expected Predictive Rating-8.0#284
Pace74.9#60
Improvement-2.0#328

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#204
First Shot-2.3#240
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#126
Layup/Dunks-3.0#284
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#338
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#56
Freethrows-0.3#193
Improvement-2.0#334

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#284
First Shot+0.5#149
After Offensive Rebounds-3.7#342
Layups/Dunks-2.0#257
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#76
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#80
Freethrows-1.8#290
Improvement+0.0#182
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.3 11.5 14.5
.500 or above 4.2% 6.8% 1.7%
.500 or above in Conference 10.5% 13.4% 7.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 25.6% 21.3% 29.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Long Beach St. (Away) - 48.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 21 - 51 - 9
Quad 32 - 73 - 16
Quad 46 - 59 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 173 Idaho St. L 68-71 48%     0 - 1 -7.2 +1.0 -8.6
  Wed, Nov 12 212 Idaho W 78-74 56%     1 - 1 -2.3 +4.0 -6.1
  Tue, Nov 18 290 Grambling St. W 78-68 70%     2 - 1 -0.2 -3.0 +2.2
  Fri, Nov 21 257 UC Riverside L 71-85 63%     2 - 2 -22.2 -3.6 -19.1
  Tue, Nov 25 136 California Baptist L 61-76 27%     2 - 3 -13.4 -9.8 -3.5
  Sun, Nov 30 298 @Long Beach St. L 76-77 48%    
  Fri, Dec 5 188 @San Jose St. L 71-77 29%    
  Tue, Dec 9 29 USC L 74-89 8%    
  Sat, Dec 13 247 Northern Arizona W 79-76 61%    
  Fri, Dec 19 98 @UC San Diego L 72-85 12%    
  Mon, Dec 22 58 @Washington L 69-86 6%    
  Sun, Dec 28 144 Pacific L 74-77 41%    
  Tue, Dec 30 7 Gonzaga L 70-91 3%    
  Fri, Jan 2 89 @San Francisco L 70-84 11%    
  Sun, Jan 4 53 @Santa Clara L 70-88 5%    
  Thu, Jan 8 259 Pepperdine W 78-74 63%    
  Sat, Jan 10 144 @Pacific L 71-80 23%    
  Thu, Jan 15 108 @Seattle L 68-80 15%    
  Wed, Jan 21 159 Washington St. L 82-83 46%    
  Sat, Jan 24 53 Santa Clara L 73-85 15%    
  Wed, Jan 28 259 @Pepperdine L 75-77 42%    
  Sat, Jan 31 172 Oregon St. L 72-73 48%    
  Wed, Feb 4 45 @St. Mary's L 64-83 4%    
  Sat, Feb 7 128 @Loyola Marymount L 69-79 19%    
  Wed, Feb 11 274 Portland W 80-76 66%    
  Sun, Feb 15 89 San Francisco L 73-81 25%    
  Sat, Feb 21 128 Loyola Marymount L 72-76 37%    
  Wed, Feb 25 172 @Oregon St. L 69-76 28%    
  Sat, Feb 28 274 @Portland L 77-79 44%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.4 0.4 0.0 3.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.5 2.4 0.6 0.0 6.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.5 4.1 1.0 0.0 9.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 4.3 5.5 1.5 0.1 12.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 5.0 6.7 2.1 0.1 0.0 14.8 9th
10th 0.0 1.1 5.8 7.3 2.6 0.2 17.1 10th
11th 0.1 1.8 6.5 7.0 2.2 0.2 17.8 11th
12th 0.8 3.5 5.8 4.5 1.3 0.1 16.0 12th
Total 0.8 3.6 7.6 12.1 14.9 15.4 14.5 11.9 8.6 5.3 3.0 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 11.1% 0.0    0.0
14-4 10.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 1.4% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 0.1
13-5 0.2% 2.8% 2.8% 11.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
11-7 1.3% 0.3% 0.3% 12.0 0.0 1.3
10-8 3.0% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 3.0
9-9 5.3% 5.3
8-10 8.6% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 8.6
7-11 11.9% 11.9
6-12 14.5% 14.5
5-13 15.4% 15.4
4-14 14.9% 14.9
3-15 12.1% 12.1
2-16 7.6% 7.6
1-17 3.6% 3.6
0-18 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%