Pacific
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.3#138
Expected Predictive Rating+3.0#124
Pace66.4#270
Improvement-0.4#212

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#163
First Shot+2.0#120
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#304
Layup/Dunks+1.5#119
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#54
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#218
Freethrows-1.0#248
Improvement+0.1#172

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#122
First Shot+0.2#161
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#102
Layups/Dunks+1.9#109
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#314
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#75
Freethrows-2.6#326
Improvement-0.5#224
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.9 11.9 12.2
.500 or above 70.7% 76.0% 51.4%
.500 or above in Conference 57.1% 59.4% 48.2%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 2.6% 2.2% 4.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nicholls St. (Home) - 78.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 51 - 9
Quad 35 - 46 - 13
Quad 411 - 116 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 99 @Nevada L 77-78 26%     0 - 1 +6.9 +10.3 -3.4
  Wed, Nov 12 278 Long Beach St. W 69-66 84%     1 - 1 -6.3 -8.6 +2.4
  Sat, Nov 15 270 @Cal St. Fullerton W 85-73 65%     2 - 1 +9.3 +2.1 +5.9
  Thu, Nov 20 117 @Florida Atlantic L 59-82 32%     2 - 2 -16.7 -8.3 -10.1
  Mon, Nov 24 234 Stony Brook W 86-58 71%     3 - 2 +23.7 +15.5 +9.5
  Tue, Nov 25 312 Jacksonville W 68-53 83%     4 - 2 +6.2 +1.9 +6.6
  Sat, Nov 29 281 Sacramento St. W 68-54 84%     5 - 2 +4.6 -9.2 +13.7
  Wed, Dec 3 320 @Air Force W 80-65 78%     6 - 2 +8.4 +18.1 -7.4
  Sat, Dec 6 75 @California L 61-67 19%     6 - 3 +4.7 +2.2 +1.7
  Tue, Dec 16 9 @BYU L 57-93 3%     6 - 4 -13.4 -7.2 -5.3
  Sun, Dec 21 231 Nicholls St. W 75-66 79%    
  Sun, Dec 28 243 @San Diego W 77-74 62%    
  Tue, Dec 30 126 @Loyola Marymount L 65-69 36%    
  Fri, Jan 2 164 Oregon St. W 71-66 67%    
  Sun, Jan 4 291 Pepperdine W 74-63 86%    
  Thu, Jan 8 248 @Portland W 75-72 62%    
  Sat, Jan 10 243 San Diego W 80-71 80%    
  Wed, Jan 14 78 @Santa Clara L 69-78 20%    
  Sat, Jan 17 164 @Oregon St. L 68-69 45%    
  Sat, Jan 24 110 Seattle W 70-69 53%    
  Wed, Jan 28 248 Portland W 78-69 80%    
  Sat, Jan 31 93 @San Francisco L 67-74 26%    
  Wed, Feb 4 78 Santa Clara L 72-75 39%    
  Sat, Feb 7 291 @Pepperdine W 71-66 69%    
  Wed, Feb 11 126 Loyola Marymount W 68-66 58%    
  Sat, Feb 14 42 St. Mary's L 65-73 24%    
  Wed, Feb 18 150 @Washington St. L 71-73 41%    
  Sat, Feb 21 5 @Gonzaga L 63-86 2%    
  Sat, Feb 28 93 San Francisco L 70-71 45%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.7 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 5.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.3 4.6 2.6 0.7 0.0 11.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 4.4 5.9 2.4 0.3 0.0 13.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.9 6.3 2.2 0.2 14.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 4.3 6.9 2.2 0.2 14.0 6th
7th 0.3 3.2 6.6 2.6 0.2 0.0 12.8 7th
8th 0.2 2.2 5.3 2.6 0.3 0.0 10.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 3.9 2.4 0.2 0.0 8.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 2.4 1.6 0.2 5.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 1.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 2.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.6 4.9 8.2 11.5 14.5 15.5 13.9 11.7 8.2 4.6 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 90.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 21.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 6.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 8.3% 8.3% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.8% 2.7% 2.7% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.7
14-4 2.2% 2.3% 2.3% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.1
13-5 4.6% 1.7% 1.7% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5
12-6 8.2% 1.1% 1.1% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 8.1
11-7 11.7% 0.4% 0.4% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.7
10-8 13.9% 0.2% 0.2% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.8
9-9 15.5% 0.1% 0.1% 12.6 0.0 0.0 15.5
8-10 14.5% 0.1% 0.1% 13.3 0.0 0.0 14.4
7-11 11.5% 11.5
6-12 8.2% 8.2
5-13 4.9% 4.9
4-14 2.6% 2.6
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 99.6 0.0%