Pacific
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.7#137
Expected Predictive Rating+2.7#131
Pace66.1#272
Improvement+1.4#87

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#151
First Shot+2.5#106
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#304
Layup/Dunks+1.2#139
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#62
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#205
Freethrows-0.4#202
Improvement+0.7#121

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#129
First Shot+0.6#157
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#143
Layups/Dunks+1.1#133
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#299
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#61
Freethrows-2.2#307
Improvement+0.7#135
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.9% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.9 10.9 11.9
.500 or above 77.5% 93.5% 77.1%
.500 or above in Conference 64.8% 78.9% 64.5%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.9% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 0.3% 1.4%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.5% 0.8% 0.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: BYU (Away) - 2.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 41 - 8
Quad 34 - 46 - 12
Quad 411 - 117 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 106 @Nevada L 77-78 29%     0 - 1 +6.3 +10.8 -4.5
  Wed, Nov 12 280 Long Beach St. W 69-66 85%     1 - 1 -6.5 -7.5 +1.1
  Sat, Nov 15 303 @Cal St. Fullerton W 85-73 74%     2 - 1 +7.0 +0.6 +5.1
  Thu, Nov 20 122 @Florida Atlantic L 59-82 35%     2 - 2 -17.4 -8.4 -10.8
  Mon, Nov 24 221 Stony Brook W 86-58 70%     3 - 2 +24.3 +14.3 +11.3
  Tue, Nov 25 291 Jacksonville W 68-53 80%     4 - 2 +7.7 +3.2 +6.8
  Sat, Nov 29 278 Sacramento St. W 68-54 84%     5 - 2 +4.9 -9.2 +13.9
  Wed, Dec 3 331 @Air Force W 80-65 80%     6 - 2 +7.8 +17.1 -7.0
  Sat, Dec 6 76 @California L 61-67 20%     6 - 3 +4.6 +2.0 +1.7
  Tue, Dec 16 9 @BYU L 62-83 3%    
  Sun, Dec 21 254 Nicholls St. W 75-65 82%    
  Sun, Dec 28 264 @San Diego W 77-73 66%    
  Tue, Dec 30 140 @Loyola Marymount L 67-70 40%    
  Fri, Jan 2 165 Oregon St. W 71-66 69%    
  Sun, Jan 4 311 Pepperdine W 75-62 89%    
  Thu, Jan 8 275 @Portland W 75-70 67%    
  Sat, Jan 10 264 San Diego W 80-70 82%    
  Wed, Jan 14 75 @Santa Clara L 69-78 21%    
  Sat, Jan 17 165 @Oregon St. L 68-69 48%    
  Sat, Jan 24 113 Seattle W 69-68 54%    
  Wed, Jan 28 275 Portland W 78-67 84%    
  Sat, Jan 31 100 @San Francisco L 68-74 29%    
  Wed, Feb 4 75 Santa Clara L 72-75 40%    
  Sat, Feb 7 311 @Pepperdine W 72-65 73%    
  Wed, Feb 11 140 Loyola Marymount W 70-67 62%    
  Sat, Feb 14 41 St. Mary's L 65-72 26%    
  Wed, Feb 18 151 @Washington St. L 74-75 44%    
  Sat, Feb 21 4 @Gonzaga L 63-86 2%    
  Sat, Feb 28 100 San Francisco L 70-71 50%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.2 2.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.1 5.3 3.5 1.1 0.1 13.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.3 6.9 3.2 0.5 0.0 15.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.6 7.1 2.9 0.3 0.0 15.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.9 6.8 2.9 0.3 0.0 14.3 6th
7th 0.3 2.9 6.2 3.0 0.3 0.0 12.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.9 4.6 2.3 0.2 9.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 3.0 1.7 0.2 6.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.1 0.1 0.0 3.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.1 1.8 11th
12th 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 12th
Total 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.6 3.4 6.4 9.7 13.2 15.3 15.1 13.4 9.9 6.2 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 66.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 38.6% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-3 7.1% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 7.9% 6.1% 1.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.9%
15-3 1.3% 4.5% 4.5% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3
14-4 3.2% 2.8% 2.8% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.1
13-5 6.2% 1.4% 1.4% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.1
12-6 9.9% 0.7% 0.7% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.8
11-7 13.4% 0.5% 0.5% 12.2 0.1 0.0 13.3
10-8 15.1% 0.1% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 15.1
9-9 15.3% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 15.3
8-10 13.2% 0.1% 0.1% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.2
7-11 9.7% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 9.7
6-12 6.4% 6.4
5-13 3.4% 3.4
4-14 1.6% 1.6
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 99.5 0.0%