IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Pepperdine
West Coast
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.4	#239
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.8	#77
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.0	#228

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.4	#254

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.2%	0.8%	0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%
Average Seed	11.9	11.0	11.9

.500 or above	18.9%	51.2%	18.5%
.500 or above in Conference	13.0%	31.4%	12.8%
Conference Champion	0.2%	0.4%	0.2%
Last Place in Conference	29.2%	13.6%	29.3%

First Four	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%
First Round	0.2%	0.4%	0.2%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: UCLA (Away) - 1.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	1 - 4	1 - 8
Quad 3	3 - 7	4 - 15
Quad 4	7 - 4	11 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2025	14	@ UCLA	L	57-82	1%
Nov 15, 2025	190	Northern Colorado	W	76-75	52%
Nov 18, 2025	312	New Orleans	W	80-73	74%
Nov 21, 2025	212	Stephen F. Austin	W	71-69	56%
Nov 26, 2025	198	Fresno St.	L	76-78	43%
Nov 29, 2025	337	@ Cal St. Fullerton	W	73-70	61%
Dec 02, 2025	175	Abilene Christian	L	72-73	50%
Dec 06, 2025	205	Vermont	W	67-66	54%
Dec 13, 2025	223	@ Cal St. Bakersfield	L	70-74	37%
Dec 18, 2025	264	@ Long Beach St.	L	68-70	43%
Dec 20, 2025	165	Rice	L	71-72	47%
Dec 28, 2025	19	Gonzaga	L	70-88	6%
Dec 30, 2025	49	St. Mary's	L	59-71	15%
Jan 02, 2026	105	@ Santa Clara	L	70-82	16%
Jan 04, 2026	219	@ Pacific	L	71-75	37%
Jan 08, 2026	183	@ San Diego	L	76-82	31%
Jan 10, 2026	75	San Francisco	L	69-78	23%
Jan 14, 2026	262	Portland	W	78-74	63%
Jan 21, 2026	19	@ Gonzaga	L	67-91	2%
Jan 24, 2026	124	@ Washington St.	L	72-82	21%
Jan 28, 2026	183	San Diego	W	79-78	51%
Feb 04, 2026	121	@ Seattle	L	64-74	21%
Feb 07, 2026	219	Pacific	W	74-72	57%
Feb 11, 2026	49	@ St. Mary's	L	56-74	6%
Feb 14, 2026	136	Loyola Marymount	L	71-74	40%
Feb 18, 2026	262	@ Portland	L	75-77	43%
Feb 21, 2026	113	@ Oregon St.	L	65-76	19%
Feb 25, 2026	121	Seattle	L	67-71	38%
Feb 28, 2026	124	Washington St.	L	75-79	38%
Projected Record						10 - 19	5 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected West Coast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.2	1st
2nd											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0					0.5	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.2	0.0						1.4	3rd
4th									0.0	0.3	0.9	1.0	0.3	0.0							2.5	4th
5th								0.0	0.4	1.5	1.6	0.6	0.1								4.1	5th
6th							0.0	0.4	2.3	2.5	0.8	0.0									6.0	6th
7th						0.0	0.4	3.0	3.4	1.1	0.1	0.0									8.0	7th
8th					0.0	0.5	3.3	4.7	1.6	0.1											10.2	8th
9th				0.0	0.7	3.9	6.0	2.2	0.2												13.0	9th
10th			0.1	1.1	4.8	6.8	2.9	0.3	0.0												15.9	10th
11th		0.2	2.3	6.4	6.8	2.4	0.3	0.0													18.4	11th
12th	1.9	5.0	6.8	4.5	1.4	0.2	0.0														19.8	12th

Total	1.9	5.2	9.1	12.1	13.7	13.8	12.8	10.6	7.9	5.5	3.5	2.0	1.2	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0			Total

West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
15-3	55.6%	0.0		0.0	0.0
14-4	30.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-5	6.4%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.0%
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.2%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		100.0%		100.0%	10.0											0.0									100.0%
17-1	0.0%		50.0%	50.0%		11.0												0.0						0.0
16-2	0.0%		49.8%	49.8%		10.3											0.0	0.0						0.0
15-3	0.1%		16.8%	5.6%	11.2%	10.7											0.0	0.0						0.1		11.8%
14-4	0.2%		9.3%	9.3%		11.0											0.0	0.0	0.0					0.2
13-5	0.5%		4.8%	4.8%		11.7												0.0	0.0	0.0				0.5
12-6	1.2%		3.8%	3.5%	0.3%	11.9												0.0	0.0	0.0				1.1		0.4%
11-7	2.0%		1.4%	1.4%		11.7												0.0	0.0	0.0				2.0
10-8	3.5%		0.8%	0.8%		12.4												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			3.5
9-9	5.5%		0.4%	0.4%		12.7												0.0		0.0				5.4
8-10	7.9%		0.1%	0.1%		13.0														0.0	0.0			7.8
7-11	10.6%		0.1%	0.1%		13.3													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		10.6
6-12	12.8%		0.0%	0.0%		14.0															0.0			12.8
5-13	13.8%																							13.8
4-14	13.7%																							13.7
3-15	12.1%																							12.1
2-16	9.1%																							9.1
1-17	5.2%																							5.2
0-18	1.9%																							1.9

Total	100%		0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	11.9											0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0		99.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%