Pepperdine
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.1#291
Expected Predictive Rating-10.7#324
Pace67.1#246
Improvement-2.3#323

Offense
Total Offense-5.5#321
First Shot-3.7#280
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#299
Layup/Dunks-2.6#272
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#189
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#206
Freethrows-0.2#188
Improvement-1.2#279

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#218
First Shot-2.8#280
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#84
Layups/Dunks-2.1#262
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#185
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#246
Freethrows+0.7#128
Improvement-1.1#271
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.7% 2.2% 1.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 51.0% 46.5% 54.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rice (Home) - 46.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 30 - 8
Quad 32 - 92 - 17
Quad 44 - 66 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 30 @UCLA L 63-74 2%     0 - 1 +6.2 +4.1 +0.8
  Sat, Nov 15 153 Northern Colorado L 81-88 OT 33%     0 - 2 -9.4 -6.7 -1.7
  Tue, Nov 18 246 New Orleans W 90-79 53%     1 - 2 +3.2 +7.2 -4.6
  Fri, Nov 21 131 Stephen F. Austin L 60-63 29%     1 - 3 -4.3 -9.7 +5.3
  Wed, Nov 26 182 Fresno St. L 53-76 30%     1 - 4 -24.5 -19.0 -5.9
  Sat, Nov 29 270 @Cal St. Fullerton L 69-83 34%     1 - 5 -16.7 -5.2 -11.5
  Tue, Dec 2 213 Abilene Christian L 63-71 48%     1 - 6 -14.4 -2.5 -13.0
  Sat, Dec 6 174 Vermont L 56-65 38%     1 - 7 -13.0 -14.6 +0.5
  Sat, Dec 13 313 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 70-62 45%     2 - 7 +2.2 -2.5 +5.0
  Thu, Dec 18 278 @Long Beach St. L 78-81 36%     2 - 8 -6.3 +2.1 -8.4
  Sat, Dec 20 206 Rice L 68-69 46%    
  Sun, Dec 28 5 Gonzaga L 61-87 1%    
  Tue, Dec 30 42 St. Mary's L 60-76 6%    
  Fri, Jan 2 78 @Santa Clara L 63-81 5%    
  Sun, Jan 4 138 @Pacific L 63-74 14%    
  Thu, Jan 8 243 @San Diego L 72-77 31%    
  Sat, Jan 10 93 San Francisco L 64-74 19%    
  Wed, Jan 14 248 Portland W 73-72 53%    
  Wed, Jan 21 5 @Gonzaga L 58-90 0.2%   
  Sat, Jan 24 150 @Washington St. L 66-77 16%    
  Wed, Jan 28 243 San Diego W 75-74 52%    
  Wed, Feb 4 110 @Seattle L 62-76 11%    
  Sat, Feb 7 138 Pacific L 66-71 31%    
  Wed, Feb 11 42 @St. Mary's L 57-79 2%    
  Sat, Feb 14 126 Loyola Marymount L 63-69 28%    
  Wed, Feb 18 248 @Portland L 70-75 32%    
  Sat, Feb 21 164 @Oregon St. L 63-73 19%    
  Wed, Feb 25 110 Seattle L 65-73 25%    
  Sat, Feb 28 150 Washington St. L 69-74 33%    
Projected Record 6 - 23 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.1 1.5 6th
7th 0.3 1.4 1.2 0.1 0.0 3.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.2 2.4 0.4 0.0 5.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 3.6 4.4 1.3 0.1 9.8 9th
10th 0.0 1.1 5.8 7.5 2.3 0.1 16.9 10th
11th 0.2 2.9 9.4 9.7 3.3 0.3 0.0 25.7 11th
12th 2.8 8.7 12.9 9.1 2.7 0.2 0.0 36.6 12th
Total 2.8 8.9 15.8 19.6 18.8 14.9 9.5 5.4 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.1
10-8 0.4% 0.4
9-9 1.1% 1.1
8-10 2.6% 2.6
7-11 5.4% 5.4
6-12 9.5% 9.5
5-13 14.9% 14.9
4-14 18.8% 18.8
3-15 19.6% 19.6
2-16 15.8% 15.8
1-17 8.9% 8.9
0-18 2.8% 2.8
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.9%