Pepperdine
West Coast
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.7#235
Expected Predictive Rating-7.1#275
Pace73.4#83
Improvement+3.1#19

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#260
First Shot-1.3#209
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#266
Layup/Dunks-6.1#340
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.2#9
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#170
Freethrows-1.3#259
Improvement+1.0#80

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#199
First Shot-2.0#246
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#106
Layups/Dunks-4.9#317
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#150
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#125
Freethrows+0.8#142
Improvement+2.1#31
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.2% 0.8% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 2.8% 4.0% 2.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 40.3% 31.1% 42.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Santa Barbara (Away) - 17.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 8
Quad 21 - 51 - 13
Quad 32 - 72 - 20
Quad 46 - 38 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 184   @ Rice L 63-82 29%     0 - 1 -17.1 -16.6 +0.7
  Nov 12, 2021 311   Idaho St. W 65-60 76%     1 - 1 -6.3 -13.3 +7.0
  Nov 15, 2021 152   Utah Valley L 74-86 OT 44%     1 - 2 -14.2 -4.9 -8.6
  Nov 17, 2021 212   UC Davis W 72-67 55%     2 - 2 -0.1 -3.3 +3.0
  Nov 20, 2021 74   @ UC Irvine L 48-82 11%     2 - 3 -24.0 -14.1 -11.9
  Nov 22, 2021 129   Fresno St. L 63-70 28%     2 - 4 -4.6 -2.8 -2.4
  Nov 24, 2021 90   TCU L 64-73 18%     2 - 5 -3.0 -0.9 -2.8
  Nov 27, 2021 110   Grand Canyon L 56-59 33%     2 - 6 -2.3 -14.5 +12.1
  Nov 30, 2021 92   @ Nevada L 66-79 12%     2 - 7 -4.1 -10.2 +7.2
  Dec 03, 2021 118   @ UC Santa Barbara L 64-74 17%    
  Dec 06, 2021 280   San Jose St. W 74-68 70%    
  Dec 11, 2021 339   Alabama St. W 78-66 87%    
  Dec 18, 2021 303   Southeast Missouri St. W 79-72 75%    
  Dec 21, 2021 44   @ Oregon L 63-80 6%    
  Jan 01, 2022 187   @ Pacific L 66-71 31%    
  Jan 06, 2022 153   San Diego L 69-71 44%    
  Jan 08, 2022 1   @ Gonzaga L 66-94 1%    
  Jan 13, 2022 41   St. Mary's L 59-70 15%    
  Jan 15, 2022 251   Portland W 75-71 65%    
  Jan 20, 2022 130   @ Loyola Marymount L 67-76 21%    
  Jan 22, 2022 49   San Francisco L 66-76 19%    
  Jan 27, 2022 153   @ San Diego L 66-74 25%    
  Jan 29, 2022 41   @ St. Mary's L 56-73 6%    
  Feb 03, 2022 1   Gonzaga L 69-91 2%    
  Feb 05, 2022 187   Pacific W 69-68 53%    
  Feb 10, 2022 49   @ San Francisco L 63-79 7%    
  Feb 12, 2022 20   BYU L 65-80 9%    
  Feb 19, 2022 251   @ Portland L 72-74 44%    
  Feb 24, 2022 82   Santa Clara L 72-79 26%    
  Feb 26, 2022 20   @ BYU L 62-83 3%    
Projected Record 8 - 22 4 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.6 0.9 0.3 3.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.3 2.1 0.4 0.0 6.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.9 5.5 4.6 0.6 12.6 7th
8th 0.0 3.1 10.4 7.6 1.3 22.4 8th
9th 0.5 5.8 12.9 7.3 1.1 0.0 27.7 9th
10th 2.2 8.2 10.3 4.6 0.8 0.0 26.2 10th
Total 2.2 8.7 16.2 20.7 20.3 15.0 9.6 4.4 1.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0%
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0% 0.0
11-5 0.0% 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.1
9-7 0.8% 0.8
8-8 1.8% 1.8
7-9 4.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 4.4
6-10 9.6% 9.6
5-11 15.0% 15.0
4-12 20.3% 20.3
3-13 20.7% 20.7
2-14 16.2% 16.2
1-15 8.7% 8.7
0-16 2.2% 2.2
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%