Pepperdine
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -6.3 274
Results Rating -6.8 269
Consistency 0.16 197
Pace 70.3 124
Improvement +0.3 178

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 248 C- D+ D+ C C-
Defense D+ 273 C- D+ C- B D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 232 C- 55% 248 -2.0 256
2 Pt. Jumpers 39% 157 C- 36% 231 +0.3 159
Three Pointers 41% 178 C- 33% 214 -0.4 195
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.3 228 C- -1.8 245
1st FG Attempt C- 0.98 241
Second Chance C 29.7% 196 D 0.93 318 D+ 0.28 260
Opponents' Steals D- 11.3% 326
Other Turnovers C+ 6.9% 132
Turnovers D+ 18.2% 278
Freethrows C- 0.29 235 B 76% 64 C 0.22 192
Total Offense C- -2.9 248

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B 56% 72 D 13.2% 316
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 38% 31 B- 3.5% 69
Three Pointers D+ 79% 290 C 0.9% 186
Total B- 60% 88 C- 6.0% 230


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 70 C 59% 202 +2.9 284
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 343 C 39% 205 -2.2 25
Three Pointers 42% 128 C 34% 203 +0.9 232
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- +1.1 349 C- +0.6 201
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 239
Second Chance D+ 33.0% 289 C- 1.07 245 D+ 0.35 286
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.2% 281
Other Turnovers C+ 7.8% 110
Turnovers C- 15.9% 227
Freethrows B 0.26 66 B- 71% 96 B 0.19 60
Total Defense D+ -3.4 273

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 203 C 10.5% 193
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 23% 139 F+ 0.6% 359
Three Pointers D+ 87% 284 C- 0.8% 182
Total C- 58% 244 C- 4.9% 230

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.6 200 16.9 113
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 338 0.17 171
Consistency 0.14 278 0.11 100
Improvement +5.0 10 -4.6 349

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 276 273 271
Results Rating Rank 271 268 265
Conference Record 4 - 14 4 - 14 4 - 14
Conference Finish 12 12 12
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 6
Quad 20 - 20 - 8
Quad 32 - 102 - 18
Quad 45 - 57 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 30 @UCLA L 63 - 74 2% -10  6% 0 - 1 B- +7 C +1 D- A+ C B +4 A- D- B+
 Sat, Nov 15 150 Northern Colorado L 81 - 88 OT 35% -5  1% 0 - 2 D -9 F+ -9 D+ F+ D+ C+ +0 C+ D A+
 Tue, Nov 18 199 New Orleans W 90 - 79 46% +6  87% 1 - 2 B- +6 B +6 B F A+ C -1 C- D+ A-
 Fri, Nov 21 99 Stephen F. Austin L 60 - 63 22% +3  54% 1 - 3 C -1 F -11 D D F A +10 A- F B
 Wed, Nov 26 131 Fresno St. L 53 - 76 22% -7  53% 1 - 4 F -21 F -19 F C- F C- -3 D F+ F
 Sat, Nov 29 191 @Cal St. Fullerton L 69 - 83 24% -5  24% 1 - 5 D- -13 D- -7 F D- C D -6 C F D
 Tue, Dec 2 252 Abilene Christian L 63 - 71 57% -8  4% 1 - 6 F+ -16 D -5 D- F A F -12 F+ D F
 Sat, Dec 6 232 Vermont L 56 - 65 54% -1  44% 1 - 7 F+ -16 F -16 F F F C -1 D A B-
 Sat, Dec 13 329 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 70 - 62 56% +4  86% 2 - 7 C +0 D- -7 B F F A- +7 A A A-
 Thu, Dec 18 269 @Long Beach St. L 78 - 81 38% +2  60% 2 - 8 D+ -6 C+ +2 A A- F D- -8 F C F
 Sat, Dec 20 220 Rice W 84 - 62 51% +8  93% 3 - 8 A- +16 C+ +3 A C+ F A+ +12 A+ D+ C+
 Sun, Dec 28 11 Gonzaga L 56 - 96 3% -22  0% 3 - 9 0 - 1 F -24 F -12 F+ B C+ F -12 D B- C-
 Tue, Dec 30 32 St. Mary's L 45 - 72 6% -12  0% 3 - 10 0 - 2 F+ -15 F -17 F+ C- F C- -2 D+ B+ C
 Fri, Jan 2 44 @Santa Clara L 63 - 82 3% -7  16% 3 - 11 0 - 3 C- -4 F -11 F+ C- F A +9 D+ A+ C+
 Sun, Jan 4 125 @Pacific L 69 - 74 14% -3  23% 3 - 12 0 - 4 C +1 C +1 C D+ D+ C -0 D+ F A+
 Thu, Jan 8 229 @San Diego L 63 - 83 31% -12  3% 3 - 13 0 - 5 F -21 F -12 F+ F F F -10 F F+ D+
 Sat, Jan 10 120 San Francisco L 60 - 80 28% -12  0% 3 - 14 0 - 6 F -20 F -13 F D A D- -8 F C- B
 Wed, Jan 14 202 Portland W 67 - 63 46% +0  47% 4 - 14 1 - 6 C -1 D- -7 D+ B D- B+ +6 A A- D+
 Wed, Jan 21 11 @Gonzaga L 60 - 84 1% -15  0% 4 - 15 1 - 7 C- -2 D+ -4 D+ C+ C- C+ +1 A+ F F+
 Sat, Jan 24 132 @Washington St. L 79 - 95 15% -12  0% 4 - 16 1 - 8 D -11 C+ +3 A F F F -14 F F C-
 Wed, Jan 28 229 San Diego L 88 - 92 OT 53% +3  75% 4 - 17 1 - 9 D -11 D+ -4 D D A D- -7 A F D-
 Wed, Feb 4 118 @Seattle L 81 - 83 13% -1  37% 4 - 18 1 - 10 C+ +4 B+ +8 C B+ B D+ -4 C- D C+
 Sat, Feb 7 125 Pacific L 59 - 92 29% -14  5% 4 - 19 1 - 11 F -33 F -18 D F D+ F -15 F F F
 Wed, Feb 11 32 @St. Mary's L 60 - 88 2% -16  1% 4 - 20 1 - 12 D -10 D- -7 F+ C D+ C- -3 F D+ A
 Sat, Feb 14 161 Loyola Marymount W 90 - 89 38% -2  24% 5 - 20 2 - 12 C- -2 A +13 A+ C- C+ F -16 D- F F
 Wed, Feb 18 202 @Portland W 95 - 87 25% -1  50% 6 - 20 3 - 12 B +9 A+ +22 A A+ A- F -13 F A- D
 Sat, Feb 21 160 @Oregon St. L 73 - 83 19% +0  45% 6 - 21 3 - 13 D+ -7 D+ -3 C D C+ D+ -4 D F C-
 Wed, Feb 25 118 Seattle L 80 - 87 27% -10  0% 6 - 22 3 - 14 D+ -7 A- +11 A B- D F -18 D F F
 Sat, Feb 28 132 Washington St. W 88 - 79 31% +9  94% 7 - 22 4 - 14 B- +8 B- +4 B- B+ D- B +4 A C- C+
 Thu, Mar 5 202 Portland L 68 - 77 35% -7  0% 7 - 23 D -11 D- -7 F C- B D+ -5 F B+ D
Totals 7 - 23 4 - 14 -6 C- -3 F C- C- D+ -3 C- B C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C- C- C- C- 37% 39% 41% C- C- C D D+ D+ C- B C D+ C C C C- 43% 15% 42% D- C- D+ C- D+ C- B B- B
1.05 55% 36% 33% -2 0 0.98 30% 0.9 .28 18% .29 76% .22 1.13 59% 39% 34% +1 +1 1.05 33% 1.1 .35 16% .26 71% .21
Nov
7		 UCLA C D- D F F 35% 13% 52% B+ D- A+ A A+ C D+ A+ A- B C+ F A+ A 38% 16% 47% F A- F C+ D- B+ F B F
1.00 50% 33% 25% -10 +1 0.83 42% 1.1 .47 19% .26 100% .26 1.18 59% 71% 24% -2 +1 1.00 41% 1.2 .47 16% .49 73% .36
Nov
15		 Northern Colorado F+ F+ A F D+ 46% 22% 32% C- D+ B- F F+ D+ A F B C+ B- F C+ C+ 43% 13% 44% D C+ F B- D A+ F C- F
0.98 48% 50% 25% -6 0 0.90 30% 0.6 .18 13% .42 67% .28 1.07 57% 57% 33% +1 +1 1.07 34% 1.0 .34 24% .40 76% .30
Nov
18		 New Orleans B C+ B+ B- B 40% 24% 36% D+ B D F F A+ B+ A+ A+ C A+ F F B- 51% 4% 45% F C- D C+ D+ A- F+ B D
1.22 59% 46% 35% +3 0 1.07 31% 0.7 .22 8% .41 89% .37 1.07 40% 50% 41% -4 +3 1.00 38% 1.0 .38 23% .42 71% .30
Nov
21		 Stephen F. Austin F F D B D 38% 24% 38% D+ D F+ B- D F C- A+ B+ A C F A+ A+ 33% 11% 56% F A- C+ F F B A+ F A+
0.89 41% 36% 35% -6 -1 0.89 21% 1.2 .25 22% .27 93% .25 0.94 56% 50% 23% -9 +1 0.85 31% 1.5 .47 15% .02 100% .02
Nov
26		 Fresno St. F F F F F 30% 24% 46% D F A+ F C- F D- C- D- C- F A+ B D+ 44% 7% 48% F D A F F+ F A+ A+ A+
0.77 47% 25% 22% -15 -1 0.70 40% 0.7 .29 25% .19 70% .14 1.11 75% 0% 31% +2 +2 1.11 22% 1.7 .38 10% .16 50% .08
Nov
29		 Cal St. Fullerton D- B- F F F 36% 15% 49% C+ F F B+ D- C A+ A+ A+ D F+ D+ A- C 37% 17% 46% D+ C F F F D A+ B+ A+
0.98 65% 29% 22% -8 +1 0.87 18% 1.2 .21 18% .45 88% .40 1.18 68% 40% 30% +1 0 1.05 33% 1.2 .41 13% .15 67% .10
Dec
2		 Abilene Christian D B F B- F+ 44% 17% 39% C D- D+ F F A B+ B+ A- F D+ F D+ F 33% 24% 43% B- F+ C+ F D F F D F
1.02 67% 0% 38% -1 +1 1.02 23% 0.7 .15 18% .49 76% .37 1.15 60% 45% 35% +3 -1 1.07 30% 1.1 .33 13% .43 74% .32
Dec
6		 Vermont F D+ F D- F 28% 15% 58% C+ F D+ F F F A A+ A+ C D- A+ D D+ 38% 6% 56% F D C+ A+ A B- A- A+ A
0.90 55% 17% 30% -7 0 0.88 24% 0.5 .12 19% .40 85% .34 1.04 67% 0% 37% +3 +2 1.13 23% 0.6 .13 18% .21 64% .14
Dec
13		 Cal St. Bakersfield D- B- A+ B+ B+ 44% 19% 38% C+ B C- F F F C D D+ A- A C A+ A+ 40% 24% 36% F A F A+ A A- F F F
1.04 62% 56% 39% +8 +1 1.19 35% 0.2 .06 22% .36 68% .25 0.92 44% 36% 19% -14 0 0.73 40% 0.4 .18 22% .48 96% .46
Dec
18		 Long Beach St. C+ A+ A+ C A+ 29% 29% 43% F A D A+ A- F F B+ F D- C- A- F F 50% 33% 17% D F A+ F C F D F+ F+
1.12 86% 57% 33% +13 -2 1.24 24% 2.0 .48 26% .19 80% .15 1.16 62% 29% 67% +7 -1 1.15 17% 1.6 .28 13% .31 79% .25
Dec
20		 Rice C+ D- D- A+ A 31% 20% 49% B A B- C C+ F D A C A+ A+ B- A+ A+ 51% 13% 36% F A+ D- C+ D+ C+ F C+ F+
1.19 53% 30% 54% +12 -1 1.24 34% 1.0 .34 23% .29 81% .24 0.88 42% 33% 18% -18 +2 0.70 40% 0.9 .36 18% .38 68% .26
Dec
28		 Gonzaga F F D F F 34% 32% 34% C- F+ C+ A+ B C+ A- D B F F A+ F D 42% 25% 33% D+ D D+ A B- C- C- D D+
0.79 41% 31% 24% -13 -2 0.72 24% 1.1 .27 20% .35 65% .23 1.36 79% 29% 42% +11 0 1.23 38% 1.0 .38 13% .31 74% .23
Dec
30		 St. Mary's F C- D+ F F+ 35% 19% 46% C+ F+ C- C- C- F F C+ F C- F+ F+ B+ C- 47% 19% 34% D+ D+ A+ F+ B+ C A+ F A
0.73 53% 33% 18% -14 0 0.75 22% 0.9 .19 21% .08 75% .06 1.17 68% 44% 31% +5 +1 1.13 28% 1.3 .36 16% .19 100% .19
Jan
2		 Santa Clara F D F D F+ 40% 23% 36% D F+ D+ B- C- F A- C B+ A F F A- C- 41% 12% 47% D D+ A+ A+ A+ C+ B+ A A-
0.84 53% 18% 29% -9 0 0.83 27% 1.1 .30 25% .40 73% .29 1.10 75% 57% 30% +6 +1 1.17 26% 0.7 .18 16% .19 67% .13
Jan
4		 Pacific C F A+ C C+ 26% 35% 39% D- C C- D- D+ D+ D- A+ B- C B- A+ F D 36% 19% 45% C D+ C- F F A+ C+ F D+
1.04 36% 58% 33% +1 -3 0.98 24% 0.9 .21 17% .27 93% .25 1.11 53% 25% 47% +5 0 1.12 36% 1.8 .64 27% .27 85% .23
Jan
8		 San Diego F A+ F F F+ 32% 17% 51% C- F+ F F+ F F A+ D A+ F C- F F F 40% 19% 42% D F D F+ F+ D+ C+ A B
0.94 77% 29% 24% -3 0 0.95 23% 0.9 .19 22% .56 69% .38 1.23 62% 60% 45% +13 0 1.28 32% 1.1 .36 16% .21 67% .14
Jan
10		 San Francisco F C- F F F 33% 33% 33% F+ F C+ F D A A+ C- A+ D- D+ F F+ F 36% 8% 57% F+ F F A+ C- B A+ A+ A+
0.91 56% 25% 13% -16 -2 0.67 28% 0.8 .22 9% .48 72% .35 1.21 63% 50% 40% +8 +2 1.21 44% 0.8 .36 18% .18 50% .09
Jan
14		 Portland D- B- F D- D+ 36% 18% 45% C D+ D A+ B D- A F C+ B+ D A+ A+ A+ 38% 9% 53% F+ A F+ A+ A- D+ A+ A A+
0.99 63% 25% 30% -4 0 0.95 27% 1.4 .39 19% .37 60% .22 0.93 67% 20% 21% -9 +1 0.87 34% 0.7 .24 18% .16 67% .11
Jan
21		 Gonzaga D+ D A+ F C- 31% 33% 37% C- D+ B- D+ C+ C- D+ A+ B+ C+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 46% 20% 34% F A+ D+ F F F+ F C F
0.86 50% 53% 16% -8 -2 0.83 27% 0.8 .22 22% .26 93% .24 1.21 62% 27% 21% -7 +1 0.89 38% 1.5 .56 10% .38 71% .27
Jan
24		 Washington St. C+ B A+ B- A+ 31% 37% 33% F A D F F F C- A+ C+ F F D F F 31% 13% 56% C- F F C- F C- B- C+ B-
1.11 63% 63% 35% +11 -3 1.19 23% 0.7 .15 21% .27 87% .23 1.34 76% 43% 43% +14 0 1.31 41% 1.0 .41 17% .25 73% .19
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 San Diego D+ F+ D B D 36% 19% 46% C- D C- F+ D A A D B D- A+ F C- A+ 46% 7% 47% F A F F F D- F F F
1.10 52% 36% 37% 0 0 1.02 33% 0.9 .28 14% .42 69% .29 1.15 33% 50% 36% -9 +2 0.88 37% 1.3 .49 15% .37 88% .32
Feb
4		 Seattle B+ F+ C A C+ 39% 25% 35% C- C C- A+ B+ B A+ A+ A+ D+ F C A+ C- 49% 21% 30% C- C- C+ F D C+ F D- F
1.06 45% 38% 39% -2 -1 0.96 29% 1.3 .38 18% .42 88% .37 1.08 69% 36% 25% +1 +1 1.06 23% 1.1 .27 18% .50 74% .37
Feb
7		 Pacific F F D A+ D 34% 34% 32% D+ D F F F D+ B- F D F A- F F F 41% 23% 36% C+ F A F F F B D- C+
0.81 39% 33% 41% -5 -2 0.89 10% 0.3 .03 17% .35 57% .20 1.27 48% 54% 55% +11 0 1.23 27% 1.8 .47 14% .24 80% .19
Feb
11		 St. Mary's D- D F D- F+ 38% 20% 42% C+ F+ B- D+ C D+ D F F+ C- A+ F F F 32% 20% 48% B- F F A D+ A F+ A+ B-
0.84 48% 8% 28% -14 0 0.75 26% 0.8 .22 17% .20 58% .12 1.23 44% 50% 54% +12 0 1.26 49% 0.9 .46 21% .39 59% .23
Feb
14		 Loyola Marymount A B C+ A+ A+ 44% 25% 31% B- A+ C- C- C- C+ A+ C- A+ F B- F+ F D 40% 23% 37% D- D- D+ F F F D B D+
1.26 61% 38% 56% +12 0 1.25 30% 1.0 .30 15% .42 72% .30 1.25 57% 46% 43% +6 0 1.14 29% 1.5 .44 10% .31 65% .20
Feb
18		 Portland A+ F C+ A+ A+ 31% 22% 47% D+ A A+ A+ A+ A- A C+ A F F F F F 55% 15% 30% F F A+ F A- D C- A+ B
1.36 44% 36% 54% +9 -1 1.20 44% 1.6 .72 13% .38 74% .28 1.25 76% 50% 44% +16 +2 1.38 16% 1.5 .24 17% .31 61% .19
Feb
21		 Oregon St. D+ B+ C D B- 28% 26% 46% F C F A+ D C+ A F B D+ C- A+ F D 37% 15% 48% C- D F A+ F C- A+ A+ A+
1.01 64% 38% 30% -1 -1 0.98 12% 2.3 .26 14% .42 65% .27 1.15 58% 25% 40% +2 +1 1.08 45% 1.0 .45 17% .27 63% .17
Feb
25		 Seattle A- B- C+ A+ A 49% 9% 42% A A A+ F B- D F A+ F F F+ A- B D+ 57% 13% 30% F D F+ F F F F C- F
1.14 58% 40% 41% +4 +2 1.15 44% 0.8 .33 23% .15 88% .13 1.24 68% 29% 31% +3 +2 1.13 30% 1.4 .42 10% .38 71% .27
Feb
28		 Washington St. B- B- D+ C C+ 52% 20% 28% B+ B- A+ F B+ D- A+ A+ A+ B B+ B- B- A+ 39% 19% 42% C+ A F A C- C+ C+ F C-
1.17 61% 36% 33% +1 +1 1.06 45% 0.8 .37 17% .38 88% .34 1.05 55% 36% 33% -2 0 0.98 40% 0.8 .30 19% .26 81% .21
Mar
5		 Portland D- F C+ F F 31% 26% 43% D- F A- F C- B C+ F D- D+ D- A F F 52% 23% 25% D+ F D- A+ B+ D F+ A+ C+
0.98 47% 36% 26% -9 -1 0.81 40% 0.8 .31 14% .30 56% .17 1.11 68% 27% 50% +9 +1 1.21 33% 0.8 .25 17% .37 57% .21



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%