Pepperdine
West Coast
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.7#205
Expected Predictive Rating-4.4#249
Pace68.5#180
Improvement-3.2#307

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#145
First Shot+1.7#132
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#229
Layup/Dunks-4.3#325
2 Pt Jumpshots+9.3#2
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#216
Freethrows-2.3#323
Improvement+0.6#153

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#286
First Shot-6.5#355
After Offensive Rebounds+2.7#14
Layups/Dunks-5.0#332
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#291
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#145
Freethrows-1.1#263
Improvement-3.7#336
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.8% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.5% 0.7% 0.5%
First Round0.3% 0.6% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Mary's (Home) - 11.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 7
Quad 20 - 31 - 10
Quad 32 - 63 - 16
Quad 47 - 310 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2023 189   @ UC Davis L 78-79 35%     0 - 1 +0.2 +5.3 -5.1
  Nov 12, 2023 306   Lafayette W 76-53 78%     1 - 1 +12.3 +1.5 +11.0
  Nov 13, 2023 349   LIU Brooklyn W 88-53 90%     2 - 1 +18.3 +0.9 +14.2
  Nov 17, 2023 76   UNLV L 68-82 25%     2 - 2 -9.6 +0.1 -10.6
  Nov 21, 2023 86   UC Irvine L 60-76 19%     2 - 3 -9.4 -4.5 -5.8
  Nov 22, 2023 55   Indiana St. L 82-90 13%     2 - 4 +1.5 +8.8 -7.0
  Nov 24, 2023 32   New Mexico L 71-90 9%     2 - 5 -6.9 -2.7 -2.5
  Nov 28, 2023 254   Idaho St. W 77-62 67%     3 - 5 +7.7 +6.3 +2.6
  Dec 03, 2023 31   @ Colorado L 66-91 6%     3 - 6 -10.1 -3.9 -5.1
  Dec 06, 2023 232   Cal St. Fullerton L 55-60 64%     3 - 7 -11.3 -13.3 +1.5
  Dec 09, 2023 110   UC San Diego W 68-62 34%     4 - 7 +7.6 +2.6 +5.8
  Dec 17, 2023 172   @ Louisville L 63-85 32%     4 - 8 -19.8 -10.9 -8.4
  Dec 21, 2023 318   William & Mary W 71-59 81%     5 - 8 -0.1 -1.3 +2.2
  Jan 04, 2024 18   @ Gonzaga L 60-86 4%     5 - 9 0 - 1 -8.7 -6.8 -2.0
  Jan 06, 2024 107   Santa Clara L 72-78 33%     5 - 10 0 - 2 -4.3 +1.3 -5.7
  Jan 11, 2024 343   Pacific W 93-78 88%     6 - 10 1 - 2 -0.3 +14.5 -14.5
  Jan 13, 2024 240   @ San Diego W 83-77 44%     7 - 10 2 - 2 +4.9 +11.5 -6.5
  Jan 18, 2024 18   Gonzaga L 61-86 9%     7 - 11 2 - 3 -13.1 -6.2 -8.0
  Jan 20, 2024 168   Loyola Marymount L 61-68 51%     7 - 12 2 - 4 -10.1 -7.4 -3.6
  Jan 25, 2024 107   @ Santa Clara L 71-94 17%     7 - 13 2 - 5 -15.8 +2.4 -18.4
  Jan 27, 2024 240   San Diego L 67-69 64%     7 - 14 2 - 6 -8.6 -8.8 +0.2
  Feb 03, 2024 301   @ Portland L 89-93 58%     7 - 15 2 - 7 -8.9 +16.1 -25.2
  Feb 08, 2024 66   San Francisco L 74-80 21%     7 - 16 2 - 8 -0.2 +5.9 -6.3
  Feb 10, 2024 168   @ Loyola Marymount W 72-63 31%     8 - 16 3 - 8 +11.4 +2.5 +9.4
  Feb 15, 2024 24   @ St. Mary's L 59-103 5%     8 - 17 3 - 9 -28.0 -3.5 -25.6
  Feb 17, 2024 301   Portland W 91-70 77%     9 - 17 4 - 9 +10.6 +13.0 -2.1
  Feb 21, 2024 343   @ Pacific W 89-70 75%     10 - 17 5 - 9 +9.1 +8.6 +0.1
  Feb 24, 2024 66   @ San Francisco L 68-92 10%     10 - 18 5 - 10 -12.7 +4.6 -18.5
  Feb 29, 2024 24   St. Mary's L 61-74 11%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 5 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 1.2 1.2 5th
6th 46.1 9.8 55.9 6th
7th 43.0 43.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 89.0 11.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10 11.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 10.9
5-11 89.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.4 88.6
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.5 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 11.0% 0.8% 16.0 0.8
Lose Out 89.0% 0.5% 16.0 0.5