San Francisco
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +5.4 #97
Expected Predictive Rating +3.6 #110
Pace 64.8 #287
Improvement +0.5 #162

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #105 C+ B C+ C C+
Defense #96 B- B- D- B- C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #293 1.14 #188 -2.5 #269
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #269 0.80 #114 -1.3 #243
Three Pointers 49% #35 1.08 #94 +5.6 #27
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #124 +1.9 #124
Freethrows 0.32 #140 69% #294 0.22 #188
Second Chance 33.2% #107 1.19 #36 0.39 #50
Turnovers 15.8% #138
Total Offense +2.6 #105

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #174 1.10 #104 +0.8 #143
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #73 0.74 #145 -1.1 #274
Three Pointers 37% #289 0.94 #86 +3.5 #52
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #76 +3.2 #77
Freethrows 0.28 #94 71% #104 0.20 #91
Second Chance 26.5% #49 1.02 #144 0.27 #68
Turnovers 13.4% #335
Total Defense +2.8 #96

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.5% #158 -0.8% #104
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 3.0% #127 -5.5% #77
Possession Length 18.3 #269 17.8 #257
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 #336 0.14 #85
Improvement -0.6 #213 +1.1 #118

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 2.6% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.4 11.1 11.5
.500 or above 89.3% 97.5% 87.0%
.500 or above in Conference 77.0% 93.7% 72.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round1.5% 2.5% 1.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Santa Clara (Away) - 22.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 5
Quad 23 - 54 - 10
Quad 36 - 39 - 13
Quad 48 - 118 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 102 @Memphis L 70 - 76 40% -9  0 - 1 +2 +1 B C D+ +1 B- F+ C
 Wed, Nov 12 148 Portland St. W 80 - 70 77% +12  1 - 1 +8 +11 A- B B -4 A- F+ C
 Sat, Nov 15 128 Bradley W 75 - 64 73% +2  2 - 1 +10 +3 A+ D- F +7 A+ B+ C
 Tue, Nov 18 276 Northwestern St. W 84 - 64 91% +15  3 - 1 +11 +15 A+ D+ A- -2 A- C D+
 Sat, Nov 22 76 Minnesota W 77 - 65 42% +6  4 - 1 +20 +17 A A C+ +4 D B B+
 Thu, Nov 27 82 Colorado L 69 - 79 43% -1  4 - 2 -3 -1 B- C+ D- -2 C+ B- D-
 Fri, Nov 28 78 Nevada L 65 - 81 42% -5  4 - 3 -9 +0 D+ A+ F -10 D A- F
 Wed, Dec 3 330 North Alabama L 63 - 65 95% +4  4 - 4 -16 -13 F D+ C -3 B+ F B-
 Sun, Dec 7 86 Mississippi St. W 65 - 62 45% +5  5 - 4 +10 +5 D A+ A +5 A- B+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 25 @Saint Louis L 75 - 85 11% -1  5 - 5 +9 +11 B+ C+ B -2 B A- D-
 Wed, Dec 17 272 Loyola Chicago W 85 - 71 86% +12  6 - 5 +8 +22 A+ C A+ -12 B D- F
 Sun, Dec 21 356 Morgan St. W 94 - 64 97% +13  7 - 5 +13 +16 D+ A+ C -2 D+ C- C-
 Sun, Dec 28 122 @Seattle W 67 - 59 49% +4  8 - 5 1 - 0 +14 +2 F A A+ +11 A+ B- F
 Tue, Dec 30 193 @Oregon St. L 62 - 70 67% -3  8 - 6 1 - 1 -7 -4 F C C -4 F A+ D+
 Fri, Jan 2 211 San Diego W 74 - 64 86% +4  9 - 6 2 - 1 +4 -4 F+ B- A- +7 B- A+ D
 Sun, Jan 4 205 Portland W 73 - 68 85% -4  10 - 6 3 - 1 -1 +1 D- B+ B -1 D+ A+ A+
 Thu, Jan 8 155 @Loyola Marymount L 82 - 84 2OT 58% -1  10 - 7 3 - 2 +1 +4 D- A C -2 C+ B+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 281 @Pepperdine W 80 - 60 81% +12  11 - 7 4 - 2 +16 +12 B+ C+ C- +5 A+ B- F
 Tue, Jan 13 42 St. Mary's L 68 - 82 37% -9  11 - 8 4 - 3 -5 +3 B+ B- C+ -9 C- C C-
 Sun, Jan 18 138 Washington St. W 85 - 80 75% +0  12 - 8 5 - 3 +3 +16 A A+ F+ -13 F A+ D
 Sat, Jan 24 10 @Gonzaga L 66 - 68 6% -8  12 - 9 5 - 4 +21 +6 A B- D+ +14 A+ A D-
 Wed, Jan 28 52 @Santa Clara L 70 - 78 22%
 Sat, Jan 31 131 Pacific W 73 - 66 74%
 Tue, Feb 3 155 Loyola Marymount W 73 - 65 77%
 Sat, Feb 7 42 @St. Mary's L 65 - 74 19%
 Thu, Feb 12 193 Oregon St. W 75 - 64 84%
 Sun, Feb 15 211 @San Diego W 78 - 73 69%
 Wed, Feb 18 10 Gonzaga L 69 - 80 14%
 Sat, Feb 21 52 Santa Clara L 73 - 75 43%
 Sat, Feb 28 131 @Pacific W 70 - 69 53%
Totals 17 - 13 10 - 8 +5 +3 C+ B C+ +3 B- B- D-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.7 2.7 0.7 0.0 5.3 3rd
4th 0.6 10.2 21.9 15.1 3.5 0.2 51.5 4th
5th 0.0 4.6 11.7 4.5 0.2 0.0 21.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 7.3 3.2 0.2 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 2.3 2.9 0.2 5.4 7th
8th 0.5 2.0 0.4 0.0 2.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 0.5 0.0 1.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.1 1.4 5.7 15.7 25.3 26.7 17.0 6.4 1.4 0.1 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.1% 20.0% 12.0% 8.0% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.1%
13-5 1.4% 8.4% 8.1% 0.4% 10.9 0.0 0.1 1.3 0.4%
12-6 6.4% 3.5% 3.3% 0.2% 11.2 0.2 0.0 6.2 0.2%
11-7 17.0% 2.8% 2.8% 11.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 16.5
10-8 26.7% 1.6% 1.6% 11.5 0.2 0.2 26.3
9-9 25.3% 0.8% 0.8% 11.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 25.1
8-10 15.7% 0.4% 0.4% 12.3 0.0 0.0 15.7
7-11 5.7% 0.2% 0.2% 13.0 0.0 0.0 5.7
6-12 1.4% 1.4
5-13 0.1% 0.1
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.6% 1.5% 0.0% 11.4 98.4 0.0%