San Francisco
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +4.2 106
Expected Predictive Rating +3.1 110
Pace 65.3 268
Improvement -2.1 270

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- #98 C+ B- B- C+ C+
Defense C+ #130 B- B- F+ B- C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 277 59% 151 -1.7 245
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 274 36% 223 -1.9 279
Three Pointers 49% 36 36% 98 +5.4 31
1st FG Attempt 1.05 121 +1.8 120
Second Chance 33.0% 107 1.11 72 0.37 77
Turnovers 15.7% 100
Freethrows 0.33 104 71% 222 0.24 127
Total Offense +2.9 98

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 138 55% 111 +0.1 177
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 92 36% 102 -0.5 228
Three Pointers 37% 299 33% 111 +2.9 65
1st FG Attempt 0.97 96 +2.5 95
Second Chance 26.7% 57 1.02 170 0.27 75
Turnovers 13.3% 344
Freethrows 0.27 66 72% 166 0.19 71
Total Defense +1.3 130

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.3 148 -0.2 128
Shot Type Accuracy +1.4 120 -2.2 87
Possession Length 18.1 255 17.4 217
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 312 0.15 111
Improvement -0.2 #185 -2.0 #293

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.0 11.8 13.0
.500 or above 69.9% 77.7% 41.7%
.500 or above in Conference 44.4% 52.8% 14.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oregon St. (Home) - 78.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 6
Quad 23 - 43 - 11
Quad 36 - 39 - 14
Quad 47 - 216 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 86 @Memphis L 70 - 76 31% -9  0% 0 - 1 C+ +3 C- -1 B+ C+ C+ B +4 B- F+ C-
 Wed, Nov 12 142 Portland St. W 80 - 70 72% +12  99% 1 - 1 B +8 A- +9 A B B+ C -1 A- D- C-
 Sat, Nov 15 119 Bradley W 75 - 64 67% +2  70% 2 - 1 B +11 C +1 A+ F+ F A +10 A+ B+ D+
 Tue, Nov 18 279 Northwestern St. W 84 - 64 90% +15  95% 3 - 1 B +10 A+ +15 A+ C- A C- -2 B- C- C-
 Sat, Nov 22 73 Minnesota W 77 - 65 36% +6  98% 4 - 1 A +20 A +14 A A C+ B+ +7 D+ B+ B
 Thu, Nov 27 70 Colorado L 69 - 79 36% -1  39% 4 - 2 C- -2 D+ -4 B- B- D- C+ +1 C+ B D-
 Fri, Nov 28 67 Nevada L 65 - 81 35% -5  32% 4 - 3 D+ -8 C- -2 D+ A+ F D- -8 D A- F
 Wed, Dec 3 341 North Alabama L 63 - 65 95% +4  59% 4 - 4 F+ -17 F -15 F D+ C+ C -2 A- F C+
 Sun, Dec 7 79 Mississippi St. W 65 - 62 39% +5  95% 5 - 4 B +10 C+ +3 D- A+ A B+ +8 A B F
 Sat, Dec 13 23 @Saint Louis L 75 - 85 8% -1  45% 5 - 5 B +10 B+ +9 B B- B+ C+ +1 B A- D-
 Wed, Dec 17 276 Loyola Chicago W 85 - 71 85% +12  97% 6 - 5 B- +7 A+ +19 A+ C A+ F+ -9 B+ D- F
 Sun, Dec 21 352 Morgan St. W 94 - 64 96% +13  74% 7 - 5 B+ +13 A +13 D+ A+ C C+ +2 D+ C- C-
 Sun, Dec 28 133 @Seattle W 67 - 59 48% +4  85% 8 - 5 1 - 0 B+ +13 C -0 F A A+ A+ +13 A+ B F
 Tue, Dec 30 178 @Oregon St. L 62 - 70 59% -3  34% 8 - 6 1 - 1 D+ -6 D -6 F C- C C -1 F A+ D+
 Fri, Jan 2 223 San Diego W 74 - 64 84% +4  74% 9 - 6 2 - 1 C+ +4 D- -7 F B A- A +10 B A+ D-
 Sun, Jan 4 194 Portland W 73 - 68 82% -4  31% 10 - 6 3 - 1 C -0 C- -1 D- B- B C+ +1 C- A+ A
 Thu, Jan 8 149 @Loyola Marymount L 82 - 84 2OT 53% -1  38% 10 - 7 3 - 2 C +2 C +0 D- B+ C C+ +2 B- B+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 291 @Pepperdine W 80 - 60 80% +12  98% 11 - 7 4 - 2 A- +15 B+ +9 A C+ D+ A- +8 A+ B- F
 Tue, Jan 13 41 St. Mary's L 68 - 82 29% -9  8% 11 - 8 4 - 3 C- -4 C+ +2 B+ B B- D -7 C- C- C-
 Sun, Jan 18 127 Washington St. W 85 - 80 69% +0  54% 12 - 8 5 - 3 C+ +4 A +14 A A+ F+ F+ -9 F A+ D
 Sat, Jan 24 13 @Gonzaga L 66 - 68 6% -8  0% 12 - 9 5 - 4 A +20 C+ +3 A- B- D+ A+ +16 A+ A D-
 Wed, Jan 28 44 @Santa Clara L 73 - 88 15% -4  30% 12 - 10 5 - 5 C +0 B- +5 A F C+ D+ -5 D+ B F
 Sat, Jan 31 115 Pacific W 87 - 82 66% +4  86% 13 - 10 6 - 5 B- +5 A+ +15 A A- A F+ -10 B F F
 Wed, Feb 4 149 Loyola Marymount L 75 - 84 74% -9  0% 13 - 11 6 - 6 D- -11 C+ +2 F+ D+ A F -13 F+ B F+
 Sat, Feb 7 41 @St. Mary's L 54 - 79 14% -15  2% 13 - 12 6 - 7 D -9 F+ -8 F F+ A+ C- -3 D+ A- F
 Thu, Feb 12 178 Oregon St. W 74 - 66 78%
 Sun, Feb 15 223 @San Diego W 79 - 74 67%
 Wed, Feb 18 13 Gonzaga L 70 - 82 14%
 Sat, Feb 21 44 Santa Clara L 74 - 79 33%
 Sat, Feb 28 115 @Pacific L 70 - 72 44%
Totals 15 - 15 8 - 10 +4 B- +3 C+ B- B- C+ +1 B- B- F+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- C C- B- C+ 35% 16% 49% C+ C+ B- B- B- B- B- C- C+ C+ C+ B- C+ B- 40% 23% 37% C+ B- B C B- F+ B- C B-
1.13 59% 36% 36% +1 0 1.05 33% 1.1 .37 16% .33 71% .24 1.07 55% 36% 33% -2 0 0.97 27% 1.0 .27 13% .27 72% .24
Nov
8		 Memphis C- A+ F B B+ 23% 17% 60% C B+ D A C+ C+ A+ F+ B+ B B A+ D B- 33% 26% 41% B B- D D- F+ C- F A+ D+
0.94 73% 13% 36% +1 -1 1.02 27% 1.1 .30 20% .42 64% .27 1.03 53% 25% 37% -3 -1 0.93 40% 1.3 .52 19% .43 54% .23
Nov
12		 Portland St. A- C+ F A+ A- 40% 9% 51% B+ A A D+ B B+ B+ D+ B C A A+ B- A 44% 15% 41% D+ A- D D- D- C- A- C B+
1.17 58% 0% 42% +3 +2 1.11 41% 0.9 .35 16% .43 72% .31 1.02 46% 25% 32% -9 +1 0.87 35% 1.1 .37 19% .23 69% .16
Nov
15		 Bradley C C- A+ A+ A+ 43% 17% 40% A A+ A+ F F+ F A+ D+ A+ A A+ F A+ A+ 31% 12% 58% D- A+ B+ B- B+ D+ D+ F F+
1.10 56% 57% 53% +14 +1 1.31 45% 0.5 .21 26% .46 70% .32 0.94 38% 50% 23% -14 +1 0.75 21% 1.0 .21 13% .36 86% .31
Nov
18		 Northwestern St. A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 3% 60% B+ A+ C+ D- C- A A+ C- A+ C- A+ C+ F B- 35% 30% 35% B- B- D- B+ C- C- F B F
1.35 67% 100% 46% +16 +2 1.38 35% 1.0 .35 13% .57 71% .41 1.03 33% 38% 40% -5 -1 0.88 29% 1.0 .29 16% .50 69% .35
Nov
22		 Minnesota A D- C A+ A 38% 17% 45% B+ A A- A- A C+ A+ B- A+ B+ B- A F C- 62% 10% 28% F D+ B- A- B+ B F A+ D-
1.22 50% 38% 48% +6 0 1.15 36% 1.0 .36 17% .36 74% .27 1.03 58% 25% 45% +4 +3 1.15 28% 0.9 .25 19% .59 50% .29
Nov
27		 Colorado D+ F A+ B- B- 34% 19% 47% B- B- B- C B- D- D- F F C+ C A F C+ 45% 22% 33% C C+ B- B B D- A+ A+ A+
1.01 39% 70% 36% +1 0 1.04 29% 1.1 .32 19% .23 54% .13 1.15 62% 31% 42% +4 0 1.10 31% 0.9 .28 10% .13 63% .08
Nov
28		 Nevada C- D+ B F D+ 35% 18% 48% C+ D+ A+ B- A+ F A+ A A+ D- D+ B+ F D- 48% 31% 21% C- D C+ A+ A- F A- C- B+
1.01 50% 43% 26% -7 0 0.88 40% 1.3 .50 23% .51 80% .41 1.26 60% 31% 55% +5 -1 1.12 33% 0.8 .27 6% .30 78% .23
Dec
3		 North Alabama F F+ C+ F F 29% 14% 57% D+ F F+ A D+ C+ C+ F D C A+ D A A- 47% 29% 24% B+ A- F C F C+ C- F F+
0.97 50% 43% 25% -9 0 0.84 27% 1.4 .38 14% .29 63% .18 1.00 38% 40% 25% -12 -1 0.76 48% 1.1 .50 19% .32 82% .26
Dec
7		 Mississippi St. C+ A+ F F D- 25% 24% 51% C+ D- B- A+ A+ A F F F B+ D A- B+ A- 22% 35% 44% A+ A B B B F A+ A+ A+
1.05 85% 25% 15% -10 -1 0.78 29% 1.7 .50 10% .18 60% .11 1.00 67% 32% 29% -3 -3 0.89 29% 0.9 .27 8% .14 25% .04
Dec
13		 Saint Louis B+ C+ A+ F+ B+ 17% 19% 64% D+ B C- A B- B+ B- C- C+ C+ F+ B B+ B 52% 12% 37% C+ B D A+ A- D- F C+ F
1.06 56% 70% 26% -1 -1 0.96 24% 1.1 .27 13% .34 71% .24 1.21 70% 33% 32% +5 +2 1.15 36% 0.7 .25 13% .41 72% .29
Dec
17		 Loyola Chicago A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 16% 51% B- A+ D A C A+ A+ F A+ F+ F A+ A+ B+ 47% 19% 35% C+ B+ C F D- F F D F
1.40 47% 71% 52% +15 0 1.33 25% 1.3 .32 7% .46 69% .32 1.17 70% 13% 20% -6 +1 0.91 32% 1.2 .38 8% .59 73% .43
Dec
21		 Morgan St. A A+ F F C- 42% 23% 35% F+ D+ A A+ A+ C A+ D+ A+ C+ F B- C- D- 15% 39% 46% A+ D+ A+ F C- C- C B+ B-
1.39 83% 30% 20% +1 0 1.05 47% 1.5 .70 15% .78 69% .54 0.95 71% 33% 33% 0 -4 0.93 18% 1.5 .26 18% .34 68% .23
Dec
28		 Seattle C F C F F 39% 11% 50% B+ F F A+ A A+ A A A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 42% 21% 37% C+ A+ D A+ B F C+ F D+
0.95 28% 40% 26% -17 +1 0.70 22% 2.0 .44 14% .40 79% .31 0.84 50% 8% 19% -18 0 0.67 29% 0.5 .16 7% .27 83% .23
Dec
30		 Oregon St. D D+ A+ F F 42% 20% 38% C- F F A+ C- C A C- A- C A+ F F F 33% 18% 49% C F A+ F A+ D+ A+ F B
0.98 53% 56% 12% -11 0 0.80 22% 1.4 .30 14% .41 73% .30 1.11 40% 75% 45% +9 0 1.20 5% 3.0 .14 16% .26 93% .25
Jan
2		 San Diego D- A A+ F F 35% 13% 52% C F C A- B A- D- A- D+ A F F A+ B- 32% 29% 39% B+ B A+ A+ A+ D- B F C+
1.04 72% 57% 15% -7 +1 0.88 35% 1.3 .44 15% .28 76% .22 0.90 72% 50% 18% -1 -1 0.96 9% 0.7 .06 14% .20 83% .16
Jan
4		 Portland C- D- F C+ D- 33% 14% 53% C+ D- A+ F B- B A+ F A+ C+ F F A+ D+ 32% 21% 47% B+ C- A+ A+ A+ A F F+ F
1.08 50% 0% 35% -7 0 0.88 50% 0.8 .38 15% .59 62% .36 1.01 73% 60% 23% +2 -1 1.04 21% 0.7 .14 25% .38 79% .30
Jan
8		 Loyola Marymount C D- F D- F+ 37% 23% 40% C+ D- C+ A- B+ C A B+ A C+ B C- C+ B 47% 22% 31% F+ B- A+ F B+ F A+ F A-
1.02 45% 21% 29% -11 0 0.78 33% 1.2 .40 16% .37 80% .30 1.05 53% 40% 33% -2 0 0.99 15% 1.3 .21 10% .12 100% .12
Jan
10		 Pepperdine B+ B A+ A A 36% 8% 57% C+ A A+ F C+ D+ F+ F F A- C A+ A+ A+ 33% 33% 33% A A+ C B+ B- F F B+ F
1.21 63% 50% 40% +8 +1 1.21 44% 0.8 .36 18% .18 50% .09 0.91 56% 25% 13% -16 -2 0.67 28% 0.8 .22 9% .48 72% .35
Jan
13		 St. Mary's C+ B- D+ B+ A- 31% 28% 41% D+ B+ D A+ B B- C- F F D B D+ F D 40% 32% 28% A C- A F C- C- F D- F
1.02 59% 33% 36% 0 -1 1.00 18% 1.6 .29 14% .23 38% .09 1.23 53% 40% 54% +7 -1 1.13 29% 1.5 .43 15% .44 88% .39
Jan
18		 Washington St. A C- C+ A+ A+ 33% 25% 42% D+ A A A+ A+ F+ B A+ A F+ F C+ F F 47% 15% 38% D- F A A+ A+ D A+ A A+
1.32 56% 42% 50% +10 -1 1.21 37% 1.4 .52 19% .34 83% .29 1.24 76% 38% 50% +18 +1 1.40 23% 0.7 .15 16% .06 67% .04
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Gonzaga C+ F F+ A+ A 23% 23% 53% C A- C+ B+ B- D+ D F D- A+ A+ F A+ A+ 43% 26% 30% D+ A+ A+ D A D- F+ A+ B-
0.97 18% 27% 52% +3 -1 1.04 25% 1.0 .25 22% .25 62% .15 1.00 48% 64% 13% -7 0 0.87 24% 1.3 .31 10% .36 50% .18
Jan
28		 Santa Clara B- A+ D- B A+ 41% 22% 37% C- A B F F C+ A F+ B- D+ D A- F D 35% 23% 42% B+ D+ A+ F B F B- D- C+
1.06 79% 30% 35% +8 0 1.17 35% 0.5 .18 20% .42 65% .27 1.27 67% 36% 44% +9 -1 1.18 27% 1.3 .36 10% .21 77% .16
Jan
31		 Pacific A+ B- D A+ A 46% 18% 36% A A A- B- A- A A B- A F+ B- A- C A- 54% 18% 28% F B B F F F B- F D+
1.28 61% 33% 44% +6 +1 1.16 33% 1.1 .36 10% .43 73% .31 1.21 52% 33% 36% -3 +1 0.98 31% 2.1 .66 15% .26 93% .24
Feb
4		 Loyola Marymount C+ C F C- F+ 34% 23% 43% C+ F+ D+ C D+ A A+ A+ A+ F D B+ F F+ 38% 25% 37% C- F+ C- A B F+ F F F
1.09 53% 0% 32% -12 -1 0.77 28% 1.0 .28 12% .69 88% .61 1.22 65% 31% 47% +8 -1 1.17 29% 0.8 .24 15% .36 76% .27
Feb
7		 St. Mary's F+ F F F F 29% 17% 54% C+ F F F F+ A+ B A+ A+ C- B D+ F D+ 52% 19% 30% D D+ B- A- A- F A+ A A+
0.84 40% 22% 25% -15 0 0.71 15% 0.7 .10 9% .27 94% .26 1.23 54% 40% 50% +5 +1 1.15 34% 0.9 .31 8% .14 75% .10



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 2.4 22.1 11.7 1.4 37.6 4th
5th 0.1 15.5 8.7 0.1 24.4 5th
6th 1.7 13.9 0.4 16.0 6th
7th 0.0 6.3 3.5 9.8 7th
8th 0.3 6.9 0.3 7.4 8th
9th 1.4 1.9 3.3 9th
10th 1.2 0.1 1.3 10th
11th 0.2 0.2 11th
12th 12th
Total 3.1 16.9 35.6 31.2 11.8 1.4 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 1.4% 1.4
10-8 11.8% 1.5% 1.5% 11.6 0.1 0.1 11.7
9-9 31.2% 0.5% 0.5% 11.9 0.0 0.1 31.0
8-10 35.6% 0.1% 0.1% 12.2 0.0 0.0 35.5
7-11 16.9% 0.2% 0.2% 13.0 0.0 16.9
6-12 3.1% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 3.1
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 12.0 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.8%
Lose Out 1.9%