Washington St.
West Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.7#87
Expected Predictive Rating+9.2#64
Pace75.3#33
Improvement-3.1#319

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#98
First Shot+3.4#84
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#213
Layup/Dunks+3.5#63
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#281
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#87
Freethrows-1.1#259
Improvement-1.2#262

Defense
Total Defense+3.6#79
First Shot+3.0#86
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#124
Layups/Dunks-1.2#215
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#99
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#65
Freethrows+0.3#171
Improvement-1.9#288
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.0% 11.7% 4.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.5% 7.1% 1.7%
Average Seed 10.7 10.5 10.9
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 92.9% 98.5% 90.1%
Conference Champion 3.5% 7.4% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.5% 4.7% 1.4%
First Round5.5% 9.1% 3.8%
Second Round1.4% 2.6% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Santa Clara (Away) - 32.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 6
Quad 24 - 37 - 9
Quad 34 - 110 - 10
Quad 411 - 122 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 228   Portland St. W 100-92 89%     1 - 0 +1.6 +12.6 -12.1
  Nov 08, 2024 72   Bradley W 91-74 55%     2 - 0 +22.4 +19.1 +3.0
  Nov 11, 2024 249   Idaho W 90-67 90%     3 - 0 +15.5 +6.1 +8.2
  Nov 15, 2024 55   Iowa L 66-76 37%     3 - 1 +0.0 -12.2 +13.1
  Nov 18, 2024 166   Northern Colorado W 83-69 81%     4 - 1 +11.2 +5.0 +6.0
  Nov 21, 2024 259   Eastern Washington W 96-81 87%     5 - 1 +9.4 +7.9 -0.2
  Nov 26, 2024 257   Fresno St. W 84-73 87%     6 - 1 +5.5 -1.9 +5.8
  Nov 27, 2024 47   SMU L 60-77 34%     6 - 2 -5.9 -3.4 -4.4
  Dec 02, 2024 70   @ Nevada W 68-57 35%     7 - 2 +21.8 +2.1 +19.9
  Dec 07, 2024 57   Boise St. W 74-69 38%     8 - 2 +14.9 +2.1 +12.6
  Dec 14, 2024 245   Missouri St. W 91-78 90%     9 - 2 +5.8 +15.1 -9.3
  Dec 18, 2024 94   @ Washington L 73-89 43%     9 - 3 -7.4 +0.4 -6.7
  Dec 21, 2024 112   Northern Iowa W 76-68 64%     10 - 3 +11.0 +6.9 +4.5
  Dec 28, 2024 308   @ Portland W 89-73 87%     11 - 3 1 - 0 +10.4 +8.3 +1.4
  Dec 30, 2024 151   Loyola Marymount W 73-59 79%     12 - 3 2 - 0 +12.2 -3.3 +14.7
  Jan 04, 2025 76   San Francisco W 91-82 57%     13 - 3 3 - 0 +13.8 +15.7 -2.4
  Jan 09, 2025 303   Pacific L 94-95 OT 94%     13 - 4 3 - 1 -11.5 +1.4 -12.8
  Jan 11, 2025 15   @ Gonzaga L 75-88 12%     13 - 5 3 - 2 +6.4 +8.7 -2.5
  Jan 16, 2025 291   @ San Diego W 65-61 86%     14 - 5 4 - 2 -0.8 -5.2 +4.5
  Jan 18, 2025 308   Portland W 92-70 94%     15 - 5 5 - 2 +11.2 +8.2 +1.9
  Jan 23, 2025 66   @ Santa Clara L 77-81 33%    
  Jan 25, 2025 35   St. Mary's L 68-71 39%    
  Jan 30, 2025 303   @ Pacific W 83-71 86%    
  Feb 01, 2025 76   @ San Francisco L 74-77 36%    
  Feb 06, 2025 73   @ Oregon St. L 72-76 34%    
  Feb 08, 2025 202   Pepperdine W 82-71 86%    
  Feb 15, 2025 35   @ St. Mary's L 65-74 20%    
  Feb 19, 2025 15   Gonzaga L 79-86 25%    
  Feb 22, 2025 66   Santa Clara W 79-78 55%    
  Feb 27, 2025 291   San Diego W 84-67 94%    
  Mar 01, 2025 202   @ Pepperdine W 79-73 71%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.8 1.8 0.8 0.1 3.5 1st
2nd 0.0 1.8 5.7 1.6 0.0 9.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.2 10.3 3.4 0.1 16.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.7 10.6 5.6 0.1 18.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 9.2 9.9 0.6 21.0 5th
6th 0.1 2.0 8.7 10.3 1.4 22.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.5 3.8 1.0 0.0 9.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.1 5.8 13.8 22.3 24.1 18.3 10.0 3.4 0.9 0.1 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-3 97.6% 0.8    0.5 0.3
14-4 51.6% 1.8    0.4 1.0 0.4
13-5 8.0% 0.8    0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.5% 3.5 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.9% 69.4% 17.6% 51.8% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 62.9%
14-4 3.4% 36.4% 13.2% 23.2% 10.3 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 2.2 26.7%
13-5 10.0% 18.7% 8.7% 10.0% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.4 0.1 8.1 11.0%
12-6 18.3% 8.7% 4.8% 4.0% 11.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.2 16.7 4.2%
11-7 24.1% 4.0% 2.9% 1.1% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.2 23.2 1.1%
10-8 22.3% 2.1% 1.7% 0.4% 11.2 0.0 0.4 0.1 21.8 0.4%
9-9 13.8% 1.0% 1.0% 11.4 0.1 0.1 13.7
8-10 5.8% 0.5% 0.5% 11.7 0.0 0.0 5.8
7-11 1.1% 1.1
6-12 0.2% 0.2
5-13 0.0% 0.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 7.0% 3.6% 3.4% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.2 4.3 0.8 93.1 3.5%