Washington St.
Pac-12
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.9#58
Expected Predictive Rating+4.7#114
Pace68.2#217
Improvement-3.4#350

Offense
Total Offense+5.3#44
First Shot+2.7#98
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#51
Layup/Dunks-7.0#346
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#67
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#88
Freethrows+4.4#5
Improvement-2.6#344

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#94
First Shot+5.5#35
After Offensive Rebounds-3.0#324
Layups/Dunks+4.7#38
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#268
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#67
Freethrows-0.9#243
Improvement-0.8#265
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.7% 1.2% 0.3%
Top 6 Seed 2.5% 3.9% 1.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 25.1% 32.9% 17.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 23.1% 30.7% 16.0%
Average Seed 9.3 9.1 9.7
.500 or above 82.0% 89.9% 74.5%
.500 or above in Conference 62.4% 74.7% 50.7%
Conference Champion 2.2% 3.7% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 2.8% 1.0% 4.5%
First Four5.7% 6.7% 4.7%
First Round22.2% 29.4% 15.2%
Second Round10.3% 13.9% 6.9%
Sweet Sixteen3.1% 4.2% 2.0%
Elite Eight1.0% 1.4% 0.7%
Final Four0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Arizona St. (Away) - 48.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 22 - 6
Quad 25 - 46 - 10
Quad 38 - 314 - 12
Quad 45 - 119 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 316   Alcorn St. W 85-67 96%     1 - 0 +6.2 +9.4 -2.9
  Nov 12, 2021 175   Seattle W 79-61 86%     2 - 0 +14.5 +9.0 +6.6
  Nov 15, 2021 95   UC Santa Barbara W 73-65 71%     3 - 0 +10.3 +3.7 +7.1
  Nov 18, 2021 349   @ Idaho W 109-61 96%     4 - 0 +36.2 +26.8 +8.0
  Nov 22, 2021 144   Winthrop W 92-86 81%     5 - 0 +4.5 +10.4 -6.4
  Nov 27, 2021 201   Eastern Washington L 71-76 88%     5 - 1 -9.9 -9.3 -0.3
  Dec 01, 2021 97   @ Arizona St. L 73-74 49%    
  Dec 04, 2021 16   USC L 67-71 35%    
  Dec 08, 2021 98   Weber St. W 76-70 70%    
  Dec 11, 2021 61   South Dakota St. W 80-79 51%    
  Dec 15, 2021 94   New Mexico St. W 71-66 68%    
  Dec 18, 2021 179   Northern Colorado W 79-67 86%    
  Dec 22, 2021 67   Boise St. W 68-67 52%    
  Dec 29, 2021 143   Washington W 77-68 81%    
  Jan 06, 2022 74   @ Colorado L 70-72 43%    
  Jan 08, 2022 56   @ Utah L 69-72 39%    
  Jan 12, 2022 96   Stanford W 75-69 69%    
  Jan 15, 2022 121   California W 70-62 77%    
  Jan 20, 2022 52   @ Oregon L 69-73 37%    
  Jan 22, 2022 127   @ Oregon St. W 69-67 59%    
  Jan 26, 2022 56   Utah W 72-69 60%    
  Jan 30, 2022 74   Colorado W 73-69 64%    
  Feb 03, 2022 96   @ Stanford L 71-72 48%    
  Feb 05, 2022 121   @ California W 67-65 58%    
  Feb 10, 2022 5   Arizona L 72-79 27%    
  Feb 12, 2022 97   Arizona St. W 77-71 69%    
  Feb 17, 2022 6   @ UCLA L 67-80 13%    
  Feb 20, 2022 16   @ USC L 64-74 19%    
  Feb 26, 2022 143   @ Washington W 74-71 62%    
  Mar 03, 2022 127   Oregon St. W 72-64 77%    
  Mar 05, 2022 52   Oregon W 72-70 58%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 10 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.0 1.4 0.5 0.1 5.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.7 3.7 3.8 1.9 0.4 0.0 12.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 4.0 6.1 4.6 1.7 0.3 0.0 17.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 4.9 6.0 3.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 16.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 4.5 5.3 2.2 0.3 0.0 13.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.6 4.2 1.5 0.2 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.6 3.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 7.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.8 2.6 1.1 0.1 5.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.0 0.8 0.1 4.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 0.6 0.0 2.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.5 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.7 4.8 7.0 9.4 11.3 12.8 12.6 11.6 9.7 7.1 4.5 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 81.9% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
17-3 55.1% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 29.4% 0.7    0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
15-5 7.8% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 1.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 18.4% 81.6% 2.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.3% 98.8% 17.0% 81.9% 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.6%
17-3 1.1% 98.4% 14.5% 83.8% 5.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.1%
16-4 2.5% 94.8% 8.5% 86.4% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 94.3%
15-5 4.5% 87.4% 9.1% 78.2% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.6 86.1%
14-6 7.1% 72.6% 5.1% 67.6% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.4 1.1 0.2 0.0 1.9 71.1%
13-7 9.7% 52.9% 4.4% 48.5% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.4 1.6 0.6 0.0 4.6 50.7%
12-8 11.6% 33.4% 2.3% 31.1% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.6 0.7 0.0 7.7 31.8%
11-9 12.6% 16.2% 2.6% 13.6% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.1 10.6 13.9%
10-10 12.8% 6.3% 1.4% 4.9% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 12.0 5.0%
9-11 11.3% 1.4% 0.4% 1.0% 11.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.2 1.0%
8-12 9.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.3 0.0%
7-13 7.0% 0.3% 0.3% 12.4 0.0 0.0 7.0
6-14 4.8% 4.8
5-15 2.7% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 2.7
4-16 1.5% 1.5
3-17 0.7% 0.7
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 25.1% 2.5% 22.5% 9.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 2.0 2.7 4.1 5.0 6.0 2.5 0.2 0.0 74.9 23.1%