Washington St.
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#159
Expected Predictive Rating-6.0#259
Pace72.3#116
Improvement+0.9#99

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#95
First Shot+1.9#120
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#106
Layup/Dunks+0.5#158
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#143
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#203
Freethrows+1.6#97
Improvement+1.5#54

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#302
First Shot-6.0#343
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#53
Layups/Dunks-0.3#191
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#199
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#323
Freethrows-1.8#285
Improvement-0.6#244
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.4 11.9 13.0
.500 or above 11.5% 22.1% 7.7%
.500 or above in Conference 29.7% 36.9% 27.1%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 8.1% 5.3% 9.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bradley (Away) - 26.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 61 - 11
Quad 34 - 55 - 17
Quad 47 - 312 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 212 Idaho L 81-83 71%     0 - 1 -8.3 +1.7 -10.0
  Fri, Nov 7 132 @Davidson L 69-85 30%     0 - 2 -11.1 -1.5 -9.6
  Mon, Nov 10 158 St. Thomas W 81-71 61%     1 - 2 +6.5 +8.2 -1.5
  Fri, Nov 14 58 Washington L 69-81 25%     1 - 3 -5.6 +7.5 -14.6
  Wed, Nov 19 327 Southern Utah W 98-74 86%     2 - 3 +11.8 +17.1 -6.1
  Tue, Nov 25 81 Arizona St. L 94-100 24%     2 - 4 +0.9 +20.9 -19.9
  Wed, Nov 26 74 Seton Hall L 61-75 22%     2 - 5 -6.4 -2.8 -4.4
  Tue, Dec 2 116 @Bradley L 74-81 27%    
  Sun, Dec 7 110 Nevada L 77-79 44%    
  Sun, Dec 14 29 @USC L 74-91 6%    
  Wed, Dec 17 239 Eastern Washington W 83-79 65%    
  Sat, Dec 20 205 Mercer W 86-81 69%    
  Sun, Dec 28 274 @Portland W 81-78 59%    
  Tue, Dec 30 108 @Seattle L 71-79 24%    
  Fri, Jan 2 128 Loyola Marymount W 75-74 52%    
  Sun, Jan 4 172 Oregon St. W 76-72 63%    
  Sat, Jan 10 45 @St. Mary's L 67-82 8%    
  Thu, Jan 15 7 Gonzaga L 73-90 6%    
  Sun, Jan 18 89 @San Francisco L 73-83 19%    
  Wed, Jan 21 245 @San Diego W 83-82 54%    
  Sat, Jan 24 259 Pepperdine W 82-74 76%    
  Wed, Jan 28 108 Seattle L 74-76 44%    
  Sat, Jan 31 274 Portland W 84-75 78%    
  Wed, Feb 4 172 @Oregon St. L 73-75 42%    
  Sat, Feb 7 53 Santa Clara L 76-84 25%    
  Tue, Feb 10 7 @Gonzaga L 70-93 2%    
  Wed, Feb 18 144 Pacific W 78-76 56%    
  Sat, Feb 21 45 St. Mary's L 70-79 21%    
  Wed, Feb 25 128 @Loyola Marymount L 72-78 31%    
  Sat, Feb 28 259 @Pepperdine W 79-77 57%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.5 1.1 0.1 6.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.3 4.1 1.4 0.1 9.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.1 5.5 1.9 0.2 0.0 12.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 4.8 6.7 2.4 0.2 14.8 7th
8th 0.6 4.9 7.5 2.6 0.2 15.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 4.0 6.6 2.7 0.2 0.0 13.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.1 5.2 2.3 0.2 0.0 11.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.3 3.4 1.6 0.1 0.0 7.9 11th
12th 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.5 0.6 0.1 4.1 12th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.8 4.2 7.6 11.5 14.6 15.8 14.2 11.8 8.4 4.8 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 75.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 50.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 7.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 14.7% 14.7% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.4% 2.5% 2.5% 11.0 0.0 0.4
13-5 1.2% 2.7% 2.7% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2
12-6 2.9% 0.9% 0.9% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9
11-7 4.8% 0.5% 0.5% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.8
10-8 8.4% 0.4% 0.4% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.4
9-9 11.8% 0.1% 0.1% 14.7 0.0 0.0 11.8
8-10 14.2% 0.1% 0.1% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.2
7-11 15.8% 15.8
6-12 14.6% 14.6
5-13 11.5% 11.5
4-14 7.6% 7.6
3-15 4.2% 4.2
2-16 1.8% 1.8
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8 0.0%