Oregon St.
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#172
Expected Predictive Rating-3.2#223
Pace61.8#352
Improvement-2.4#340

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#162
First Shot-1.4#212
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#105
Layup/Dunks-5.1#340
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#215
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#135
Freethrows+3.0#39
Improvement-1.4#304

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#203
First Shot-3.0#282
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#70
Layups/Dunks-1.3#233
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#120
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#249
Freethrows-1.0#246
Improvement-1.0#271
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.5 12.3 13.0
.500 or above 23.3% 32.7% 13.5%
.500 or above in Conference 24.6% 29.6% 19.3%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 10.1% 7.6% 12.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: California Baptist (Home) - 51.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 21 - 41 - 8
Quad 35 - 76 - 15
Quad 47 - 414 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 160 North Dakota St. W 67-65 60%     1 - 0 -1.7 -2.3 +0.7
  Fri, Nov 7 174 Illinois-Chicago W 76-73 62%     2 - 0 -1.3 +1.6 -2.9
  Wed, Nov 12 125 North Texas W 66-64 47%     3 - 0 +1.6 +3.5 -1.6
  Mon, Nov 17 78 @Oregon L 75-87 14%     3 - 1 -1.8 +9.3 -11.4
  Fri, Nov 21 291 Evansville L 69-73 72%     3 - 2 -11.2 -3.9 -7.4
  Sat, Nov 22 166 Iona L 84-91 2OT 49%     3 - 3 -8.0 -4.9 -1.9
  Mon, Nov 24 177 Massachusetts L 65-73 51%     3 - 4 -9.4 -3.8 -6.1
  Sat, Nov 29 136 California Baptist W 67-66 51%    
  Wed, Dec 3 169 Vermont W 71-68 61%    
  Sat, Dec 6 327 Southern Utah W 76-65 85%    
  Sat, Dec 13 182 Montana St. W 68-65 62%    
  Wed, Dec 17 140 Sam Houston St. W 72-71 52%    
  Sun, Dec 21 81 @Arizona St. L 67-78 15%    
  Sun, Dec 28 53 Santa Clara L 67-75 23%    
  Tue, Dec 30 89 San Francisco L 68-72 35%    
  Fri, Jan 2 144 @Pacific L 66-71 32%    
  Sun, Jan 4 159 @Washington St. L 72-76 37%    
  Thu, Jan 8 108 Seattle L 66-68 41%    
  Sat, Jan 10 274 @Portland W 72-70 57%    
  Wed, Jan 14 128 Loyola Marymount L 66-67 49%    
  Sat, Jan 17 144 Pacific W 69-68 53%    
  Wed, Jan 21 45 @St. Mary's L 59-75 8%    
  Wed, Jan 28 128 @Loyola Marymount L 63-69 29%    
  Sat, Jan 31 245 @San Diego W 73-72 52%    
  Wed, Feb 4 159 Washington St. W 75-73 58%    
  Sat, Feb 7 7 Gonzaga L 63-81 6%    
  Thu, Feb 12 89 @San Francisco L 65-75 18%    
  Sun, Feb 15 108 @Seattle L 63-71 23%    
  Sat, Feb 21 259 Pepperdine W 72-65 74%    
  Wed, Feb 25 245 San Diego W 76-69 72%    
  Sat, Feb 28 53 @Santa Clara L 64-78 10%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 5.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.8 3.3 1.0 0.1 7.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.9 4.7 1.4 0.1 10.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 4.6 6.0 1.8 0.1 13.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.7 6.9 2.3 0.2 0.0 14.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.7 7.1 2.6 0.2 0.0 15.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 4.2 6.0 2.5 0.2 13.7 10th
11th 0.1 0.9 3.3 4.1 1.8 0.1 0.0 10.3 11th
12th 0.2 0.8 1.8 1.8 0.6 0.1 5.2 12th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.7 5.9 9.7 13.1 15.0 14.9 13.1 10.0 7.0 4.1 2.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 75.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 28.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 2.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.4% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.1% 9.4% 9.4% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.4% 2.8% 2.8% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 0.9% 1.8% 1.8% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
12-6 2.1% 0.6% 0.6% 12.3 0.0 0.0 2.1
11-7 4.1% 0.6% 0.6% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0
10-8 7.0% 0.2% 0.2% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0
9-9 10.0% 0.2% 0.2% 12.5 0.0 0.0 10.0
8-10 13.1% 0.1% 0.1% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.0
7-11 14.9% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 14.9
6-12 15.0% 15.0
5-13 13.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.1
4-14 9.7% 9.7
3-15 5.9% 5.9
2-16 2.7% 2.7
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%