Oregon St.
Pac-12
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.8#141
Expected Predictive Rating+3.4#121
Pace63.1#324
Improvement+0.1#187

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#163
First Shot+0.9#160
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#196
Layup/Dunks-1.6#238
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#87
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#233
Freethrows+2.3#50
Improvement+1.6#88

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#139
First Shot+3.4#64
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#336
Layups/Dunks+0.0#183
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#2
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#235
Freethrows+0.0#189
Improvement-1.5#269
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 1.1% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 96.7% 86.1% 98.6%
First Four0.6% 0.4% 0.6%
First Round0.8% 1.0% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oregon (Away) - 15.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 61 - 9
Quad 22 - 83 - 17
Quad 34 - 27 - 18
Quad 44 - 012 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 128   Troy W 81-80 2OT 58%     1 - 0 +0.7 -9.3 +9.8
  Nov 14, 2023 89   Appalachian St. W 81-71 OT 43%     2 - 0 +13.5 +8.5 +4.6
  Nov 18, 2023 35   Nebraska L 63-84 18%     2 - 1 -9.4 -0.1 -10.8
  Nov 22, 2023 17   Baylor L 72-88 11%     2 - 2 -1.1 +0.7 -1.4
  Nov 24, 2023 50   Pittsburgh L 51-76 22%     2 - 3 -15.0 -15.0 -1.2
  Nov 30, 2023 189   UC Davis W 71-59 72%     3 - 3 +7.7 -2.8 +10.3
  Dec 04, 2023 335   Cal Poly W 70-63 2OT 93%     4 - 3 -7.6 -13.4 +5.2
  Dec 09, 2023 155   Utah Valley W 74-71 66%     5 - 3 +0.6 +8.5 -7.7
  Dec 17, 2023 269   Texas San Antonio W 66-65 82%     6 - 3 -7.1 -8.8 +1.8
  Dec 21, 2023 254   Idaho St. W 76-57 80%     7 - 3 +11.7 +9.3 +5.0
  Dec 28, 2023 80   UCLA L 62-69 41%     7 - 4 0 - 1 -2.8 +1.8 -5.5
  Dec 30, 2023 96   USC W 86-70 45%     8 - 4 1 - 1 +19.1 +13.6 +5.2
  Jan 04, 2024 36   @ Washington St. L 58-65 12%     8 - 5 1 - 2 +7.3 +0.2 +6.1
  Jan 06, 2024 62   @ Washington L 72-79 18%     8 - 6 1 - 3 +4.6 +11.4 -7.5
  Jan 11, 2024 98   Stanford L 84-88 OT 45%     8 - 7 1 - 4 -1.0 +1.0 -1.5
  Jan 18, 2024 52   @ Utah L 47-74 16%     8 - 8 1 - 5 -14.4 -13.9 -3.9
  Jan 20, 2024 31   @ Colorado L 57-90 11%     8 - 9 1 - 6 -18.1 -10.4 -7.4
  Jan 25, 2024 4   Arizona W 83-80 8%     9 - 9 2 - 6 +20.3 +19.9 +0.6
  Jan 27, 2024 105   Arizona St. W 84-71 49%     10 - 9 3 - 6 +15.1 +8.1 +5.9
  Feb 01, 2024 80   @ UCLA L 63-71 23%     10 - 10 3 - 7 +1.6 +5.6 -4.9
  Feb 03, 2024 96   @ USC L 54-82 26%     10 - 11 3 - 8 -19.4 -7.1 -15.9
  Feb 08, 2024 36   Washington St. L 58-64 25%     10 - 12 3 - 9 +2.8 -3.6 +5.8
  Feb 10, 2024 62   Washington L 55-67 34%     10 - 13 3 - 10 -5.9 -10.5 +3.5
  Feb 14, 2024 105   @ Arizona St. L 61-79 29%     10 - 14 3 - 11 -10.4 -2.8 -8.3
  Feb 17, 2024 53   Oregon L 58-60 31%     10 - 15 3 - 12 +4.8 -1.3 +5.8
  Feb 22, 2024 100   @ California L 73-81 27%     10 - 16 3 - 13 +0.0 +8.1 -8.5
  Feb 24, 2024 98   @ Stanford W 85-73 26%     11 - 16 4 - 13 +20.4 +14.6 +5.7
  Feb 28, 2024 53   @ Oregon L 64-75 16%    
  Mar 07, 2024 52   Utah L 68-73 32%    
  Mar 09, 2024 31   Colorado L 68-76 24%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 5 - 15





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 0.4 0.4 10th
11th 7.8 8.1 1.0 17.0 11th
12th 44.5 33.0 5.0 0.1 82.6 12th
Total 44.5 40.8 13.1 1.6 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 1.6% 1.9% 1.9% 15.1 0.0 0.0 1.5
6-14 13.1% 1.3% 1.3% 15.7 0.1 0.1 13.0
5-15 40.8% 0.9% 0.9% 15.9 0.0 0.3 40.5
4-16 44.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.4 44.1
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 15.9 0.1 0.8 99.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.6% 1.9% 15.1 1.8 0.1
Lose Out 44.5% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.8