Santa Clara
West Coast
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.7#79
Expected Predictive Rating+6.3#91
Pace74.4#67
Improvement-1.7#299

Offense
Total Offense+5.2#48
First Shot+6.1#28
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#238
Layup/Dunks+5.4#35
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#210
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#132
Freethrows+0.3#166
Improvement-3.0#350

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#119
First Shot+3.9#65
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#310
Layups/Dunks+3.3#64
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#326
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#139
Freethrows+2.3#53
Improvement+1.3#69
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.6% 0.7% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.7% 14.0% 5.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 11.2% 12.3% 5.0%
Average Seed 10.1 10.1 10.5
.500 or above 92.5% 94.4% 81.9%
.500 or above in Conference 69.7% 71.3% 60.9%
Conference Champion 1.2% 1.3% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 1.1% 2.1%
First Four4.6% 5.0% 2.2%
First Round10.3% 11.3% 4.8%
Second Round4.2% 4.6% 1.7%
Sweet Sixteen1.2% 1.3% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hawaii (Home) - 84.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 5
Quad 23 - 35 - 8
Quad 37 - 311 - 11
Quad 49 - 120 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 193   Cal St. Fullerton W 84-77 85%     1 - 0 +2.5 +11.5 -8.6
  Nov 12, 2021 96   Stanford W 88-72 66%     2 - 0 +18.3 +13.6 +4.2
  Nov 16, 2021 90   Nevada W 96-74 64%     3 - 0 +24.9 +13.3 +9.5
  Nov 19, 2021 314   Cal Poly W 87-57 95%     4 - 0 +18.3 +9.9 +8.3
  Nov 22, 2021 91   TCU W 85-66 53%     5 - 0 +24.8 +15.6 +9.3
  Nov 24, 2021 130   Fresno St. L 52-59 66%     5 - 1 -4.6 -11.4 +5.8
  Nov 27, 2021 69   UC Irvine L 64-69 60%     5 - 2 -0.9 -1.0 -0.1
  Nov 30, 2021 186   Hawaii W 82-71 85%    
  Dec 04, 2021 109   Louisiana Tech W 81-76 70%    
  Dec 07, 2021 297   Mount St. Mary's W 76-59 94%    
  Dec 11, 2021 121   @ California W 70-69 54%    
  Dec 14, 2021 67   @ Boise St. L 68-72 36%    
  Dec 17, 2021 304   Florida A&M W 81-63 95%    
  Dec 19, 2021 172   Montana W 78-68 83%    
  Dec 21, 2021 291   @ San Jose St. W 83-72 84%    
  Dec 30, 2021 188   @ Pacific W 74-69 67%    
  Jan 01, 2022 152   San Diego W 78-69 79%    
  Jan 06, 2022 43   St. Mary's L 67-68 49%    
  Jan 08, 2022 254   @ Portland W 81-72 79%    
  Jan 13, 2022 188   Pacific W 77-66 84%    
  Jan 15, 2022 1   Gonzaga L 77-91 11%    
  Jan 20, 2022 43   @ St. Mary's L 65-71 28%    
  Jan 27, 2022 20   BYU L 74-78 35%    
  Jan 29, 2022 49   @ San Francisco L 72-77 31%    
  Feb 03, 2022 116   Loyola Marymount W 78-72 72%    
  Feb 05, 2022 152   @ San Diego W 75-72 59%    
  Feb 12, 2022 49   San Francisco W 75-74 52%    
  Feb 17, 2022 116   @ Loyola Marymount W 75-74 51%    
  Feb 19, 2022 1   @ Gonzaga L 74-94 4%    
  Feb 24, 2022 236   @ Pepperdine W 79-72 74%    
  Feb 26, 2022 254   Portland W 84-69 90%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 9 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 2.8 3.8 2.1 0.5 10.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.2 7.2 6.7 2.3 0.2 18.8 3rd
4th 0.4 3.5 9.3 6.6 1.3 0.0 21.2 4th
5th 0.5 4.2 9.3 5.1 0.7 0.0 19.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.6 6.9 3.2 0.4 0.0 14.5 6th
7th 0.2 2.2 4.0 1.7 0.1 8.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.0 0.7 0.0 4.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.3 4.8 8.7 13.2 16.3 17.1 15.3 10.8 6.4 2.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1
14-2 49.6% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.0
13-3 14.6% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-4 2.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-5 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.2% 96.4% 16.7% 79.8% 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.7%
14-2 1.0% 93.6% 11.1% 82.6% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 92.9%
13-3 2.6% 79.7% 5.9% 73.8% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.5 78.5%
12-4 6.4% 52.6% 4.3% 48.2% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.4 0.0 3.0 50.4%
11-5 10.8% 27.9% 3.5% 24.4% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 7.8 25.3%
10-6 15.3% 12.7% 2.2% 10.4% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 0.7 0.1 13.4 10.6%
9-7 17.1% 5.0% 1.2% 3.8% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 16.2 3.9%
8-8 16.3% 1.7% 0.8% 1.0% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 16.1 1.0%
7-9 13.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.2 0.1%
6-10 8.7% 0.4% 0.4% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.7
5-11 4.8% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 4.8
4-12 2.3% 2.3
3-13 0.9% 0.9
2-14 0.3% 0.3
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.7% 1.7% 11.0% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.3 4.1 2.4 0.3 0.0 87.3 11.2%