Colorado
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
8  Dani Jones JR 19:12
32  Kaitlyn Benner SR 19:34
34  Sage Hurta SO 19:34
39  Makena Morley JR 19:37
76  Madison Boreman FR 19:51
83  Tabor Scholl SO 19:52
126  Mackenzie Caldwell JR 20:03
137  Melanie Nun SR 20:05
154  Brianna Schwartz SO 20:09
265  Tayler Tuttle JR 20:26
485  Val Constien JR 20:49
National Rank #3 of 348
Mountain Region Rank #2 of 20
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 100.0%
Most Likely Finish 3rd at Nationals


National Champion 18.3%
Top 5 at Nationals 83.6%
Top 10 at Nationals 98.5%
Top 20 at Nationals 100.0%


Regional Champion 31.4%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Dani Jones Kaitlyn Benner Sage Hurta Makena Morley Madison Boreman Tabor Scholl Mackenzie Caldwell Melanie Nun Brianna Schwartz Tayler Tuttle Val Constien
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/29 112 19:01 19:28 19:28 19:22 19:43 20:11 20:20 19:45
Rocky Mountain Shootout 09/30 1039 20:58 20:31
Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/14 152 18:53 19:37 19:31 19:35 19:49 19:50 20:15
Pac-12 Championship 10/27 154 19:15 19:28 19:30 19:44 19:58 19:47 20:07 20:11 20:31 21:00
Mountain Region Championships 11/10 255 19:48 19:48 19:48 19:40 20:19 19:59 19:52





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 100% 3.6 167 18.3 17.5 19.6 17.0 11.2 6.5 4.3 1.8 1.9 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2
Region Championship 100% 1.7 49 31.4 65.9 2.4 0.4



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dani Jones 100% 11.8 1.3 3.1 4.3 5.0 5.8 5.3 4.4 4.9 5.3 4.2 4.1 3.1 3.6 3.7 3.1 3.2 2.5 2.7 2.6 2.1 1.9 2.0 2.3 2.0 1.4
Kaitlyn Benner 100% 38.8 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.1 1.2 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.6 1.2 1.6 1.6 1.9 1.6 1.4 2.0 1.9 2.0 1.4
Sage Hurta 100% 39.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.5 1.3 1.1 1.4 0.9 1.6 1.3 1.6 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.3 1.8
Makena Morley 100% 44.8 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.5 1.1 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.7 1.4 1.1 1.8 1.4 1.1
Madison Boreman 100% 78.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4
Tabor Scholl 100% 81.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3
Mackenzie Caldwell 100% 113.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dani Jones 3.5 4.8 21.0 16.4 14.8 14.3 11.8 7.4 4.1 2.2 1.6 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Kaitlyn Benner 8.9 0.1 0.8 2.0 3.4 4.8 8.2 8.9 12.0 10.5 11.2 8.4 7.8 4.7 4.3 3.2 2.8 1.6 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1
Sage Hurta 8.9 0.1 1.0 1.9 4.1 4.5 7.4 9.9 11.1 10.8 10.8 8.2 7.6 4.7 4.1 2.8 2.2 2.1 1.2 1.3 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.4
Makena Morley 9.8 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.4 3.6 5.6 8.1 10.1 11.0 9.8 9.0 7.5 5.7 5.5 4.0 3.7 3.0 2.3 1.8 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.5
Madison Boreman 15.6 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.8 1.8 2.6 3.7 4.1 6.0 6.8 6.5 6.7 6.7 6.7 5.6 4.9 4.5 4.8 3.7 4.0 3.0 2.3 2.6
Tabor Scholl 16.0 0.4 0.6 1.5 2.1 3.3 4.3 5.2 6.1 7.2 6.6 6.2 6.9 5.5 5.3 4.9 4.7 3.9 4.0 3.6 2.5 2.5
Mackenzie Caldwell 22.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.7 1.8 2.7 2.4 2.6 4.4 4.3 5.5 4.3 5.8 4.7 5.8 4.5 3.2 3.8 3.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 31.4% 100.0% 31.4 31.4 1
2 65.9% 100.0% 65.9 65.9 2
3 2.4% 100.0% 2.1 0.3 0.1 2.4 3
4 0.4% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
Total 100% 100.0% 31.4 65.9 2.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 97.3 2.8




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
North Carolina St. 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Arkansas 100.0% 2.0 2.0
New Mexico 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Michigan 98.8% 1.0 1.0
Mississippi 97.2% 1.0 1.0
Georgia 96.9% 1.0 1.0
Utah State 89.9% 1.0 0.9
BYU 82.0% 1.0 0.8
California 58.5% 1.0 0.6
Texas 58.3% 2.0 1.2
Eastern Kentucky 45.5% 1.0 0.5
Utah 43.1% 1.0 0.4
Ohio State 37.3% 2.0 0.7
Louisville 33.4% 1.0 0.3
Air Force 32.3% 1.0 0.3
Eastern Michigan 29.6% 1.0 0.3
Virginia Tech 27.9% 1.0 0.3
SMU 20.8% 1.0 0.2
Northern Arizona 17.7% 1.0 0.2
Baylor 17.5% 1.0 0.2
Missouri 5.0% 1.0 0.1
Duke 4.9% 1.0 0.0
Florida State 4.9% 1.0 0.0
Arizona 2.8% 1.0 0.0
Wake Forest 2.5% 1.0 0.0
Abilene Christian 1.6% 1.0 0.0
Alabama 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Northwestern 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Portland 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Notre Dame 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Pittsburgh 0.2% 2.0 0.0
Arizona State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Dayton 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 14.1
Minimum 9.0
Maximum 19.0