New Mexico
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1  Ednah Kurgat SO 18:42
7  Alice Wright SR 19:11
10  Weini Kelati FR 19:13
11  Charlotte Prouse JR 19:15
163  Alondra Negron FR 20:10
177  Alex Buck SO 20:12
230  Kieran Casey SR 20:21
323  Sophie Eckel FR 20:33
473  Sarah Laverty JR 20:48
National Rank #1 of 348
Mountain Region Rank #1 of 20
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 100.0%
Most Likely Finish 1st at Nationals


National Champion 31.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 96.8%
Top 10 at Nationals 100.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 100.0%


Regional Champion 68.4%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Ednah Kurgat Alice Wright Weini Kelati Charlotte Prouse Alondra Negron Alex Buck Kieran Casey Sophie Eckel Sarah Laverty
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/29 117 18:49 19:01 19:14 19:25 20:08 20:09 20:02 20:50 20:53
Nuttycombe Invitational 10/13 113 18:37 18:58 19:20 19:07 20:04 20:39 20:07
Mountain West Championship 10/27 96 18:38 19:30 18:50 18:53 20:08 19:54 20:33 19:53 20:43
Mountain Region Championships 11/10 313 19:21 19:25 19:34 20:22 20:15 20:24 20:45





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 100% 2.4 131 31.0 28.5 20.8 11.1 5.6 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.1
Region Championship 100% 1.3 40 68.4 31.5 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ednah Kurgat 100% 1.1 47.6 22.9 11.2 6.4 4.4 1.6 2.1 1.0 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Alice Wright 100% 10.4 0.5 2.9 4.0 6.8 6.7 6.0 5.8 5.7 5.3 4.8 4.8 4.0 3.1 3.4 3.0 2.6 2.3 2.4 2.2 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.7 1.3 1.2
Weini Kelati 100% 12.5 0.2 2.2 3.2 3.8 4.7 5.6 5.1 5.5 4.9 4.6 5.0 4.1 2.8 3.2 3.5 3.4 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.4 1.9 1.4 1.8 2.1 1.4
Charlotte Prouse 100% 13.3 0.2 1.5 3.8 4.3 4.4 5.1 4.6 4.8 4.3 4.1 4.2 4.1 4.0 3.1 3.3 2.9 2.6 2.8 2.8 2.5 2.2 2.0 2.1 1.5 1.5
Alondra Negron 100% 134.5 0.1 0.1 0.1
Alex Buck 100% 140.1
Kieran Casey 100% 166.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ednah Kurgat 1.0 86.9 9.9 2.4 0.5 0.3 0.2
Alice Wright 3.3 2.0 21.6 20.5 17.7 12.4 8.9 5.7 4.2 2.4 1.8 1.0 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Weini Kelati 3.8 1.5 15.5 17.5 18.4 14.3 11.2 7.9 5.5 2.9 1.8 1.9 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Charlotte Prouse 4.1 0.9 12.9 17.9 17.3 15.5 10.5 7.6 5.6 4.5 2.4 1.5 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Alondra Negron 27.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 1.4 1.8 1.5 2.5 2.2 3.0 3.2 2.5 2.8 3.8 3.7 4.1 3.6 4.5
Alex Buck 28.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.8 1.5 1.9 2.1 3.0 2.8 2.8 4.2 3.8 3.6 4.1
Kieran Casey 35.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 1.2 1.2 0.9 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.6 2.7 2.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 68.4% 100.0% 68.4 68.4 1
2 31.5% 100.0% 31.5 31.5 2
3 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
Total 100% 100.0% 68.4 31.5 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Arkansas 100.0% 1.0 1.0
North Carolina St. 100.0% 2.0 2.0
San Francisco 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Minnesota 99.9% 1.0 1.0
Stanford 99.8% 1.0 1.0
Boise State 99.6% 1.0 1.0
Iowa State 98.3% 1.0 1.0
Furman 97.9% 1.0 1.0
Wisconsin 96.1% 1.0 1.0
Washington 96.0% 1.0 1.0
Providence 95.8% 1.0 1.0
Michigan State 90.4% 1.0 0.9
Columbia 78.2% 1.0 0.8
California 58.5% 2.0 1.2
Texas 58.3% 1.0 0.6
Utah 43.1% 2.0 0.9
Indiana 42.4% 1.0 0.4
Ohio State 37.3% 1.0 0.4
Air Force 32.3% 2.0 0.6
Eastern Michigan 29.6% 2.0 0.6
Georgetown 26.5% 1.0 0.3
Baylor 17.5% 2.0 0.3
Yale 14.2% 1.0 0.1
Virginia 8.9% 1.0 0.1
Syracuse 5.6% 1.0 0.1
Florida State 4.9% 2.0 0.1
Alabama 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Vanderbilt 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Notre Dame 0.5% 2.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Pittsburgh 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 19.2
Minimum 11.0
Maximum 28.0