Lapel
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank #136
New Haven Semi-State Rank #40
Delta Regional Rank #6
Pendleton Heights Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Southwestern Small School Invitational Pendleton Heights Arabian Roundup Marion Invitational Maconaquah Invitational Tipton Invitational Madison County Delta Eagle Invitational Nike Valley Twilight Pendleton Heights Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/18 8/22 9/1 9/8 9/15 9/18 9/22 9/29 10/6 10/13 10/20
Team Rating 1,100 1,008 1,080 1,041 1,207 1,051 1,201 1,346 1,077 1,205
Team Adjusted Rating 925 994 982 1,086 965 1,106 1,099 1,001 1,077
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Southwestern Small School Invitational Pendleton Heights Arabian Roundup Marion Invitational Maconaquah Invitational Tipton Invitational Madison County Delta Eagle Invitational Nike Valley Twilight Pendleton Heights Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State
691  Noelle Loller 12 21:53 21:23 21:41 21:22 21:42 21:53 22:10 21:55 22:23
734  Paige Rich 12 22:00 21:20 21:37 21:46 22:26 21:36 21:53 22:45 21:59 22:20 21:53
1,034  Lauren Smith 12 22:40
1,413  Kara Lutz 12 23:28 22:54 23:13 22:49 24:15 23:04 22:59 23:55 23:45 23:45 23:33
Lucy Loller 9 24:18 24:04 24:11 23:39 25:20 24:06 24:11 24:28 23:58 23:55 28:14
Ellie Manning 9 25:52 26:13 25:56 26:13 26:08 25:49 26:42 25:35 26:04 25:17 25:36
Anna Handwork 11 25:56 26:08 25:13 26:10 26:50 26:49 26:03 25:46 25:23 25:52
Sydney Rusche 12 27:32 25:53 26:49 28:39 29:24 27:04 27:46 26:40 29:22




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 5.6 176 0.7 40.8 54.6 3.9 0.1
Sectionals 100% 4.0 146 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Noelle Loller 77.5% 127.5 77.5% 77.5%
Paige Rich 60.0% 132.6 60.0% 60.0%
Lauren Smith 1.2% 145.0 1.2% 1.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Noelle Loller 100% 32.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.9 100.0%
Paige Rich 100% 34.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.8 100.0%
Lauren Smith 100% 43.4 100.0%
Kara Lutz 100% 55.4 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Noelle Loller 23.4 0.1 0.5 1.1 3.1 6.6 6.7 9.1 12.7 26.7 20.4
Paige Rich 24.3 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.3 3.8 6.1 8.6 18.1 31.8
Lauren Smith 27.8 0.1 0.2 0.9
Kara Lutz 33.1