Noblesville
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank #6
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #4
Noblesville Regional Rank #3
Noblesville Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 7th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.4%
Top 5 at State Finals 24.4%
Top 10 at State Finals 80.9%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Harrison 8-Way Hamilton County Marion Invitational Crawford County Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/22 8/28 9/1 9/15 9/22 10/6 10/13 10/20 10/27
Team Rating 199 210 202 203 258 209 226 188 216 247
Team Adjusted Rating 210 202 203 226 209 226 188 216 247
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Harrison 8-Way Hamilton County Marion Invitational Crawford County Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
59  Sophie Reichard 11 19:15 19:31 19:30 19:30 19:05 19:16 19:41 19:11 19:23 19:07
79  Madison King 11 19:25 19:26 19:35 19:35 20:23 19:29 19:51 19:31 24:01 19:30
86  Isabella Sharples-Gordon 10 19:32 19:21 19:11 19:27 19:19 19:24 19:39 19:24 19:39 20:17
95  Aubrie Deal 12 19:35 22:09 19:44 20:16 20:54 19:13 19:15 19:56 20:12
98  Aubrey Swart 12 19:38 19:24 19:35 19:35 19:48 19:27 19:40 19:47 19:40 19:38
149  Taylor Gregory 11 20:03 19:58 19:35 19:24 20:15 20:03 19:55 20:26 20:12 20:06
293  Sophie Stahl 10 20:43 20:53 20:41 20:35 20:37 20:35 20:56 20:33 20:32 21:25
389  Anna Hazelrigg 11 21:04 20:48 21:12 20:47 21:18
475  Katherine Sandys 12 21:20 21:31 21:31 21:35 20:52
524  Chloe Click 10 21:29 21:50 21:33 21:05 21:30
559  Taylor Goddasr 9 21:35 21:20 21:44
612  Grace Miller 11 21:43 21:32 22:49 21:32 21:50 21:28
636  Zoe Bruns 9 21:46 21:35 21:53
701  Ashley Newcome 9 21:54 21:58 21:53
829  Lauren Sandys 10 22:12 22:31 21:20 22:34
1,055  Rayan Duffy 10 22:42 23:02 22:30
1,062  Magdalena Bischoff 22:43 22:44
1,165  Kaylah Keating 11 22:55 22:55
1,251  Grace Brisco 12 23:06 23:23 22:55
Amelia Moor 9 23:35 23:36
Callie Howell 10 23:36 23:34 23:38
Mya McGavic 10 23:43 23:18 24:02
Mary Dombroski 10 23:45 23:30 23:56
Abby Line 10 23:57 23:58




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 7.8 269 0.4 2.6 3.8 8.1 9.7 13.0 14.6 11.3 9.5 8.2 6.2 4.3 2.8 2.4 1.3 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.2
Semi-State 100% 4.1 131 3.5 8.1 15.2 36.0 24.8 10.3 2.0 0.3 0.1 0.1
Regionals 100% 3.0 81 9.2 16.6 44.9 28.4 1.1
Sectionals 100% 1.8 46 21.1 78.8 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sophie Reichard 100% 58.8 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.4 0.8 57.1%
Madison King 100% 73.8 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 34.3%
Isabella Sharples-Gordon 100% 85.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 20.3%
Aubrie Deal 100% 89.0 0.1 0.1 14.1%
Aubrey Swart 100% 95.5 0.1 0.1 10.1%
Taylor Gregory 100% 125.0 0.2%
Sophie Stahl 100% 167.9 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sophie Reichard 100% 21.4 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.4 1.6 1.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.8 3.7 3.5 3.2 3.3 3.9 4.8 4.9 4.1 4.2 4.0 4.1 3.3 100.0%
Madison King 100% 28.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.2 0.9 1.5 1.7 2.0 1.6 2.6 2.1 2.4 2.6 3.0 3.0 3.4 3.4 4.2 99.9%
Isabella Sharples-Gordon 100% 33.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.6 1.0 1.4 2.1 2.3 1.9 2.3 2.6 100.0%
Aubrie Deal 100% 35.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.7 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 99.6%
Aubrey Swart 100% 37.7 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.0 0.9 1.1 1.7 99.4%
Taylor Gregory 100% 52.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 86.3%
Sophie Stahl 100% 80.7 11.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sophie Reichard 100% 10.8 0.3 1.5 2.7 3.9 5.6 6.4 7.8 7.9 7.7 8.1 7.4 6.7 6.6 5.5 5.8 3.6 2.3 3.4 2.0 1.9 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.4 100.0%
Madison King 100% 14.9 0.2 0.6 1.5 1.8 3.1 3.2 4.2 4.5 5.1 6.0 6.7 7.1 6.7 7.5 6.6 6.4 6.0 4.2 4.2 4.8 2.7 2.7 1.7 100.0%
Isabella Sharples-Gordon 100% 18.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.5 1.9 2.2 2.8 4.3 3.6 4.7 5.6 6.4 7.0 6.7 6.6 7.1 6.6 6.2 6.1 5.6 4.4 100.0%
Aubrie Deal 100% 19.6 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.5 1.3 1.9 1.6 3.0 3.2 4.0 4.1 4.8 6.1 7.3 6.7 7.0 7.3 7.9 7.1 6.6 5.5 100.0%
Aubrey Swart 100% 21.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.5 3.5 3.6 3.8 5.1 5.6 6.2 7.2 6.1 8.2 7.1 8.9 8.4 100.0%
Taylor Gregory 100% 28.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.0 3.2 4.9 5.3 100.0%
Sophie Stahl 100% 43.8 0.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sophie Reichard 4.9 7.2 12.3 17.5 14.7 11.4 10.0 8.1 6.8 5.2 2.9 2.4 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Madison King 7.4 2.0 4.3 7.0 9.8 11.7 10.4 11.3 10.7 9.0 8.5 6.6 3.9 2.7 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1
Isabella Sharples-Gordon 9.4 0.4 1.4 3.3 5.8 6.6 8.9 9.9 9.1 11.4 10.9 10.0 9.0 6.2 4.0 2.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1
Aubrie Deal 10.4 0.2 0.7 1.4 3.8 4.6 6.6 8.7 9.5 10.4 10.5 11.3 9.4 9.8 7.4 3.8 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.2
Aubrey Swart 11.2 0.2 0.3 1.0 2.5 4.2 4.8 7.4 8.4 8.6 11.0 11.3 12.2 10.6 8.5 5.0 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1
Taylor Gregory 16.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.5 2.7 4.4 7.7 11.6 16.8 19.8 12.8 8.6 4.1 3.2 2.4 1.5 0.8 0.3
Sophie Stahl 24.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.0 2.1 3.9 5.0 7.3 8.6 8.7 9.7 9.7