All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Huntington North Invitational |
Penn Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
West Noble Invitational |
New Haven Invitational |
Summit Athletic Conf. |
Northrop Sectional |
West Noble Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/18 |
8/25 |
9/1 |
9/15 |
9/22 |
9/29 |
10/6 |
10/13 |
10/20 |
10/27 |
| Team Rating |
224 |
218 |
267 |
304 |
278 |
248 |
300 |
345 |
263 |
245 |
205 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
218 |
267 |
232 |
225 |
248 |
300 |
199 |
263 |
245 |
205 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Huntington North Invitational |
Penn Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
West Noble Invitational |
New Haven Invitational |
Summit Athletic Conf. |
Northrop Sectional |
West Noble Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 2 |
Erin Strzelecki |
11 |
17:57 |
17:53 |
18:34 |
18:05 |
18:19 |
18:30 |
18:44 |
|
18:16 |
18:09 |
17:49 |
| 38 |
Katie Woods |
9 |
19:02 |
18:55 |
19:15 |
|
|
19:07 |
19:39 |
19:00 |
19:18 |
19:05 |
18:54 |
| 64 |
Nora Steele |
10 |
19:16 |
19:20 |
20:14 |
19:52 |
19:40 |
19:55 |
19:53 |
|
19:58 |
19:52 |
19:08 |
| 214 |
Katie Nix |
11 |
20:24 |
20:14 |
20:17 |
19:49 |
20:44 |
20:18 |
20:33 |
20:10 |
21:00 |
20:29 |
20:20 |
| 271 |
Aileen Delaney |
10 |
20:40 |
21:35 |
21:00 |
20:45 |
20:25 |
20:40 |
20:49 |
20:22 |
20:47 |
20:28 |
20:33 |
| 288 |
Susie Beeber |
11 |
20:43 |
20:41 |
22:38 |
|
20:24 |
20:32 |
21:03 |
20:29 |
20:30 |
20:30 |
21:06 |
| 334 |
Anna Morris |
11 |
20:51 |
20:53 |
20:32 |
20:55 |
20:14 |
21:12 |
20:56 |
20:50 |
20:34 |
21:06 |
21:07 |
| 393 |
Natalee Vogan |
10 |
21:05 |
21:13 |
21:29 |
20:45 |
|
21:34 |
20:53 |
20:59 |
|
|
|
| 442 |
Megan Palmer |
12 |
21:15 |
21:26 |
21:22 |
21:21 |
21:16 |
21:16 |
21:22 |
20:53 |
|
|
|
| 482 |
Mary Baumgartner |
9 |
21:21 |
21:47 |
21:22 |
20:58 |
21:12 |
|
21:30 |
|
|
|
|
| 589 |
Isabel Knight |
12 |
21:39 |
21:07 |
21:12 |
21:20 |
21:54 |
22:00 |
21:47 |
|
|
|
|
| 652 |
Ella Grashoff |
9 |
21:48 |
22:06 |
21:51 |
21:46 |
21:41 |
21:48 |
21:47 |
|
|
|
|
| 760 |
Paige Aselage |
9 |
22:03 |
24:38 |
22:29 |
21:50 |
22:31 |
21:32 |
21:38 |
|
|
|
|
| 955 |
Hannah Ewing |
12 |
22:30 |
|
23:09 |
|
22:22 |
22:41 |
22:05 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,182 |
Alex Ebetino |
12 |
22:57 |
|
|
|
22:23 |
23:25 |
22:55 |
|
|
|
|
|
Maria Cavacini |
11 |
23:43 |
24:41 |
23:23 |
|
|
23:30 |
23:47 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jackie Miles |
10 |
24:03 |
23:42 |
23:03 |
|
25:26 |
24:14 |
23:50 |
|
|
|
|
|
Grace McAlary |
10 |
24:04 |
24:20 |
23:49 |
|
23:38 |
24:32 |
24:02 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100% |
9.5 |
298 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
1.7 |
4.4 |
8.5 |
13.9 |
13.0 |
14.1 |
11.2 |
8.1 |
8.2 |
5.7 |
4.5 |
2.9 |
2.2 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
3.8 |
131 |
|
13.1 |
25.1 |
37.7 |
19.6 |
4.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.2 |
63 |
0.1 |
76.6 |
23.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.2 |
57 |
|
77.6 |
22.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Erin Strzelecki |
100% |
2.4 |
19.1 |
22.9 |
19.7 |
15.3 |
8.8 |
4.6 |
3.0 |
2.3 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Katie Woods |
100% |
39.9 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
2.2 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
|
98.8% |
| Nora Steele |
100% |
60.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
|
93.7% |
| Katie Nix |
100% |
147.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.0% |
| Aileen Delaney |
100% |
164.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
| Susie Beeber |
100% |
167.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2% |
| Anna Morris |
100% |
175.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Erin Strzelecki |
100% |
1.0 |
70.8 |
16.0 |
6.6 |
3.4 |
2.1 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Katie Woods |
100% |
11.9 |
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.4 |
3.7 |
6.8 |
8.3 |
8.6 |
9.3 |
9.0 |
8.3 |
6.2 |
7.0 |
4.7 |
3.9 |
3.5 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
2.1 |
1.4 |
2.1 |
1.4 |
0.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Nora Steele |
100% |
17.8 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
3.3 |
3.8 |
4.5 |
5.6 |
5.8 |
6.4 |
5.0 |
6.0 |
6.1 |
6.2 |
5.0 |
5.6 |
5.4 |
5.0 |
4.3 |
4.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Katie Nix |
100% |
53.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
99.8% |
| Aileen Delaney |
100% |
67.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
96.6% |
| Susie Beeber |
100% |
71.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
94.5% |
| Anna Morris |
100% |
79.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
87.4% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Erin Strzelecki |
100% |
1.0 |
73.2 |
16.4 |
6.1 |
2.8 |
1.4 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Katie Woods |
100% |
6.7 |
|
0.2 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
6.4 |
24.4 |
22.5 |
14.1 |
11.0 |
8.4 |
4.8 |
4.0 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Nora Steele |
100% |
9.2 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
4.4 |
11.2 |
16.1 |
13.5 |
14.5 |
14.6 |
12.6 |
7.9 |
2.8 |
1.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Katie Nix |
100% |
20.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.6 |
4.4 |
6.0 |
8.7 |
6.7 |
8.4 |
8.6 |
10.7 |
8.9 |
8.9 |
7.4 |
5.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Aileen Delaney |
100% |
25.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
2.5 |
3.4 |
2.8 |
4.9 |
6.6 |
6.0 |
9.2 |
9.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Susie Beeber |
100% |
26.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
3.0 |
3.7 |
4.8 |
5.6 |
6.6 |
7.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Anna Morris |
100% |
29.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
4.2 |
4.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Erin Strzelecki |
1.0 |
81.5 |
10.9 |
5.2 |
2.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Katie Woods |
5.7 |
|
1.3 |
1.9 |
5.0 |
24.0 |
24.6 |
14.8 |
11.1 |
8.3 |
5.1 |
2.5 |
1.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Nora Steele |
8.2 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
3.9 |
10.1 |
15.7 |
16.0 |
14.4 |
14.1 |
13.0 |
8.6 |
2.6 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Katie Nix |
19.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.8 |
3.5 |
7.7 |
7.7 |
9.2 |
10.8 |
9.1 |
11.2 |
11.4 |
10.0 |
7.0 |
4.5 |
2.7 |
| Aileen Delaney |
22.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
2.2 |
2.7 |
3.9 |
5.4 |
7.0 |
8.8 |
11.9 |
11.1 |
11.5 |
10.9 |
| Susie Beeber |
23.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
3.6 |
5.0 |
7.7 |
9.4 |
11.2 |
12.6 |
12.7 |
| Anna Morris |
25.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
4.4 |
4.6 |
6.0 |
9.3 |
11.2 |
|
