Castle
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank #170
Brown County Semi-State Rank #35
Pike Central Regional Rank #8
Mater Dei Sectional Rank #8
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating IN/KY Border Clash Harrison (Evansville) Invitational Alan Hopewell Class Invitational THSB State Preview Mater Dei Invitational South Knox Invitational Pike Central Invitational Southern Indiana Athletic Conf. Mater Dei Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State
Date 8/21 8/25 8/30 9/1 9/8 9/15 9/22 9/29 10/6 10/13 10/20
Team Rating 1,288 1,293 1,292 1,357
Team Adjusted Rating 1,261 1,292 1,357
State RankRunnerSeason Rating IN/KY Border Clash Harrison (Evansville) Invitational Alan Hopewell Class Invitational THSB State Preview Mater Dei Invitational South Knox Invitational Pike Central Invitational Southern Indiana Athletic Conf. Mater Dei Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State
498  Kaitlyn Porter 11 21:25 21:08 21:17 21:32 21:30 21:26 21:29
733  Shelby Luker 11 21:59 22:34 21:56 21:16 21:39 21:58 22:10 22:17 22:00
1,386  Lilly Kempf 10 23:24 24:12 23:17 22:48 23:39 23:30 22:55 23:08 23:38 23:45
Addison Vandiver 10 25:55 25:33 26:28
Asumi Nabeya 11 26:58 26:59 26:31 27:28
Loralee Purdue 9 27:03 27:40 27:45 27:46 28:38 27:16 24:59 26:24 27:00
Julia Johns 9 29:27 28:54 29:11 30:20




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 7.2 184 1.5 9.7 53.7 35.2
Sectionals 100% 3.6 115 1.6 40.8 56.1 1.5 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaitlyn Porter 100% 83.3 100.0% 100.0%
Shelby Luker 98.8% 112.9 98.8% 98.8%
Lilly Kempf 0.2% 148.5 0.3% 0.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaitlyn Porter 100% 14.2 0.1 0.7 1.2 2.3 4.9 8.8 11.3 17.0 17.6 14.4 9.0 6.1 3.3 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Shelby Luker 100% 20.4 0.1 0.7 1.7 3.3 6.1 9.7 11.1 13.0 11.4 12.2 8.6 7.9 4.8 100.0%
Lilly Kempf 100% 43.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaitlyn Porter 9.4 0.1 1.1 2.2 3.5 11.5 23.8 21.6 15.8 10.5 6.1 3.4 0.6 0.1
Shelby Luker 13.8 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.7 4.5 9.8 14.9 22.7 28.5 14.9 2.2 0.2
Lilly Kempf 20.3 0.1 1.3 5.2 12.6 21.7 31.8 20.4 6.6 0.5