DeKalb
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank #97
New Haven Semi-State Rank #27
West Noble Regional Rank #12
West Noble Sectional Rank #12
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Huntington North Invitational Marion Invitational Northrop Invitational Riverview Health Flashrock Invite New Haven Invitational NE8 Conference West Noble Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/18 9/1 9/8 9/15 9/22 9/29 10/6 10/13 10/20
Team Rating 890 804 863 996 958 942 925 871
Team Adjusted Rating 804 863 996 958 942 899 855
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington North Invitational Marion Invitational Northrop Invitational Riverview Health Flashrock Invite New Haven Invitational NE8 Conference West Noble Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State
315  Riley Winebrenner 10 20:47 20:28 20:21 21:42 21:06 20:33 20:41 20:48 20:45
449  Sarah Fetter 12 21:16 20:58 20:52 21:01 21:40 21:22 21:34 21:11
872  Penelope Swift 10 22:19 22:32 23:13 22:56 22:27 23:06 22:46 21:56
968  Jillian Peel 12 22:31 22:39 22:41 23:04 22:57 22:33 22:01 22:23
Claire Comfort 12 23:45 22:35 23:01 23:41 23:55 25:15
Ally Kneller 9 24:04 24:18 24:05 23:36 24:13 24:20 24:02
Allyson Hammer 9 24:32 23:54 24:02 24:20 24:25 25:22 25:04
Aby Carey 12 24:33 23:48 24:43 24:50 24:34 24:55 23:54 24:43
Mia Armey 9 24:48 25:48 24:49 24:52 24:23




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 8.7 219 0.1 1.0 11.7 26.9 36.7 23.8
Sectionals 100% 4.0 90 2.1 8.4 15.7 30.4 43.5



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Riley Winebrenner 94.8% 74.8 94.8% 94.8%
Sarah Fetter 38.2% 95.0 38.2% 38.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Riley Winebrenner 100% 27.9 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.7 2.5 3.4 3.9 4.0 5.3 6.5 100.0%
Sarah Fetter 100% 38.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Penelope Swift 100% 58.7 100.0%
Jillian Peel 100% 62.8 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Riley Winebrenner 3.3 10.4 31.1 26.4 16.2 9.4 4.5 1.7 0.5
Sarah Fetter 7.0 0.1 0.6 4.4 8.8 15.6 20.0 21.4 16.1 10.3 1.8 0.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
Penelope Swift 17.0 0.2 0.8 4.7 6.4 7.2 7.5 7.8 8.5 7.2 8.2 8.4 7.1 6.4 6.1 4.4 3.8 1.9
Jillian Peel 21.0 0.1 0.8 1.5 2.4 3.7 3.5 4.2 5.6 6.3 6.6 7.9 7.6 7.7 8.3 8.5 7.4