Hagerstown
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank Not in top 196
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #58
Rushville Regional Rank #11
Connersville Sectional Rank #11
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Richmond Invitational Marion Invitational New Castle Invitational Jim Leffler Invitational Connersville Spartan Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Tri-Eastern Conf. Connersville Sectional Rushville Regional
Date 8/18 9/1 9/11 9/15 9/18 9/22 9/29 10/6 10/13
Team Rating 1,417 1,380 1,381 1,398
Team Adjusted Rating 1,380 1,381 1,398
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Richmond Invitational Marion Invitational New Castle Invitational Jim Leffler Invitational Connersville Spartan Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Tri-Eastern Conf. Connersville Sectional Rushville Regional
1,341  Jewelianna Warfel 10 23:18 23:38 24:38 25:06 24:39 23:33 24:38 23:31 22:47 24:06
Anna Shafer 12 23:35 23:06 22:33 23:42 23:40 24:17 23:32 23:08 24:24 23:41
Teresa Rojas 11 23:57 24:18 23:43 24:14 24:10 23:21 24:05 24:02 23:51 23:54
Ella Nicholson 10 24:03 23:22 23:36 23:19 24:03 24:19 23:38 24:13 25:35 24:26
Taylor Pass 9 25:10 25:08 25:11 25:10 25:15 25:23 25:01 24:40 25:17 25:33
Kyley Farmer 10 25:24 25:27 25:51 25:47 28:23 25:34 25:23 25:07 24:50 25:51
Maci Matanich 12 25:56 25:49 25:13 26:43 25:32 25:50 25:37 26:03 26:33 26:18




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 9.2 225 1.3 12.9 51.7 34.2
Sectionals 100% 4.3 111 1.4 5.7 61.8 24.7 6.5



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jewelianna Warfel 0.6% 161.4 0.7% 0.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jewelianna Warfel 100% 44.6 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jewelianna Warfel 15.4 0.1 0.2 1.3 3.5 12.9 23.9 22.1 15.9 10.3 5.3 2.8 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.2