Bowling Green
Mid-American
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.0#152
Expected Predictive Rating+3.3#120
Pace73.7#71
Improvement-3.8#322

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#91
First Shot+4.0#62
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#256
Layup/Dunks+0.4#159
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#81
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#74
Freethrows-1.3#271
Improvement+0.2#167

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#224
First Shot-1.9#229
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#173
Layups/Dunks+2.0#91
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#144
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#330
Freethrows-0.7#224
Improvement-4.0#339
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.9% 6.6% 4.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 13.0 13.4
.500 or above 83.9% 90.0% 69.9%
.500 or above in Conference 67.9% 76.2% 48.7%
Conference Champion 5.0% 6.4% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.4% 2.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round5.9% 6.6% 4.4%
Second Round0.7% 0.8% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Illinois (Home) - 69.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 42 - 5
Quad 36 - 69 - 11
Quad 49 - 317 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 31   @ LSU L 79-88 10%     0 - 1 +5.9 +0.1 +6.8
  Nov 11, 2019 242   Jacksonville W 75-59 70%     1 - 1 +11.6 +4.1 +7.4
  Nov 22, 2019 110   Western Kentucky W 77-75 39%     2 - 1 +5.9 +0.3 +5.6
  Nov 24, 2019 49   Cincinnati W 91-84 OT 20%     3 - 1 +16.9 +4.0 +11.2
  Nov 25, 2019 101   Nevada L 62-77 36%     3 - 2 -10.3 -9.2 -1.1
  Nov 30, 2019 211   Dartmouth W 76-69 75%     4 - 2 +1.1 +2.4 -1.2
  Dec 07, 2019 205   Oakland W 68-65 74%     5 - 2 -2.6 -0.8 -1.6
  Dec 15, 2019 309   Cleveland St. W 72-58 88%     6 - 2 +2.1 -6.2 +8.1
  Dec 20, 2019 278   Norfolk St. L 67-72 OT 76%     6 - 3 -11.5 -6.4 -5.2
  Dec 21, 2019 210   Quinnipiac L 64-69 65%     6 - 4 -7.9 -8.3 +0.1
  Dec 31, 2019 282   Hartford W 81-68 84%     7 - 4 +3.2 +6.8 -3.4
  Jan 03, 2020 105   Kent St. L 61-79 47%     7 - 5 0 - 1 -16.3 -14.7 -0.8
  Jan 07, 2020 191   Miami (OH) W 78-76 71%     8 - 5 1 - 1 -2.6 +0.1 -2.7
  Jan 11, 2020 202   @ Ohio W 83-74 53%     9 - 5 2 - 1 +9.3 +16.9 -6.9
  Jan 14, 2020 240   @ Western Michigan W 85-82 60%     10 - 5 3 - 1 +1.5 +6.2 -4.9
  Jan 18, 2020 188   Northern Illinois W 73-68 70%    
  Jan 21, 2020 234   Eastern Michigan W 72-64 77%    
  Jan 25, 2020 120   @ Toledo L 73-78 31%    
  Jan 28, 2020 100   Ball St. L 71-72 47%    
  Jan 31, 2020 132   @ Buffalo L 81-85 35%    
  Feb 04, 2020 184   @ Central Michigan L 82-83 46%    
  Feb 08, 2020 120   Toledo W 76-75 53%    
  Feb 11, 2020 87   @ Akron L 72-80 22%    
  Feb 15, 2020 100   @ Ball St. L 68-75 26%    
  Feb 22, 2020 202   Ohio W 79-72 73%    
  Feb 25, 2020 87   Akron L 75-77 41%    
  Feb 29, 2020 191   @ Miami (OH) L 76-77 49%    
  Mar 03, 2020 105   @ Kent St. L 73-79 27%    
  Mar 06, 2020 132   Buffalo W 84-82 56%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 1.8 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 5.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 3.5 2.6 0.6 0.0 7.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 4.8 4.4 0.8 0.0 10.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 5.2 6.3 1.2 0.1 13.4 4th
5th 0.4 4.4 7.8 2.2 0.1 14.9 5th
6th 0.2 2.9 8.0 3.3 0.2 14.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.6 6.3 4.0 0.3 0.0 12.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 4.3 4.3 0.7 0.0 10.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.2 0.8 0.0 6.5 9th
10th 0.1 1.0 1.7 0.6 0.0 3.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.4 2.0 5.1 9.9 14.7 17.8 17.6 14.3 9.9 5.2 2.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
15-3 95.1% 0.7    0.6 0.1
14-4 72.9% 1.7    0.9 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-5 34.2% 1.8    0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1
12-6 7.2% 0.7    0.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.0% 5.0 2.2 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 23.3% 23.3% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.7% 21.7% 21.7% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6
14-4 2.3% 17.4% 17.4% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.9
13-5 5.2% 15.5% 15.5% 12.5 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 4.4
12-6 9.9% 11.5% 11.5% 12.8 0.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 8.7
11-7 14.3% 8.3% 8.3% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.3 0.0 13.1
10-8 17.6% 5.9% 5.9% 13.3 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 16.6
9-9 17.8% 3.8% 3.8% 13.6 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 17.1
8-10 14.7% 2.2% 2.2% 14.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 14.4
7-11 9.9% 1.3% 1.3% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.7
6-12 5.1% 0.7% 0.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 5.1
5-13 2.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.0
4-14 0.4% 0.4
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 0.1 1.3 2.9 1.2 0.3 0.0 94.1 0.0%