Bowling Green
Mid-American
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.6#101
Expected Predictive Rating+4.4#120
Pace73.8#83
Improvement+0.4#124

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#79
First Shot+7.2#26
After Offensive Rebound-3.4#323
Layup/Dunks-3.8#287
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#102
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.6#8
Freethrows+1.1#105
Improvement+0.1#149

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#139
First Shot+2.4#105
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#266
Layups/Dunks+8.5#8
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#114
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#226
Freethrows-6.1#345
Improvement+0.3#115
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 0.7% 1.1% 0.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.8% 20.7% 12.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.8% 5.1% 1.2%
Average Seed 11.4 11.0 11.8
.500 or above 81.3% 90.0% 75.2%
.500 or above in Conference 72.5% 79.7% 67.5%
Conference Champion 15.9% 20.5% 12.7%
Last Place in Conference 4.0% 2.0% 5.4%
First Four1.6% 2.6% 0.9%
First Round14.9% 18.9% 12.1%
Second Round4.3% 6.3% 2.9%
Sweet Sixteen1.4% 2.4% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.5% 0.7% 0.4%
Final Four0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Kentucky (Neutral) - 41.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 43 - 6
Quad 37 - 49 - 10
Quad 48 - 117 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 33   @ LSU L 79-88 17%     0 - 1 +5.6 +1.7 +5.0
  Nov 11, 2019 272   Jacksonville W 75-59 84%     1 - 1 +10.1 +0.6 +9.5
  Nov 22, 2019 78   Western Kentucky L 75-77 41%    
  Nov 30, 2019 200   Dartmouth W 72-62 83%    
  Dec 07, 2019 176   Oakland W 77-68 78%    
  Dec 15, 2019 318   Cleveland St. W 85-67 95%    
  Dec 20, 2019 306   Norfolk St. W 81-67 88%    
  Dec 31, 2019 298   Hartford W 80-64 91%    
  Jan 03, 2020 110   Kent St. W 77-73 63%    
  Jan 07, 2020 159   Miami (OH) W 79-71 73%    
  Jan 11, 2020 153   @ Ohio W 75-74 52%    
  Jan 14, 2020 244   @ Western Michigan W 80-74 68%    
  Jan 18, 2020 173   Northern Illinois W 76-68 75%    
  Jan 21, 2020 193   Eastern Michigan W 71-62 78%    
  Jan 25, 2020 84   @ Toledo L 73-78 35%    
  Jan 28, 2020 87   Ball St. W 74-72 54%    
  Jan 31, 2020 104   @ Buffalo L 82-84 40%    
  Feb 04, 2020 128   @ Central Michigan L 86-87 48%    
  Feb 08, 2020 84   Toledo W 76-75 54%    
  Feb 11, 2020 137   @ Akron W 75-74 50%    
  Feb 15, 2020 87   @ Ball St. L 71-75 37%    
  Feb 22, 2020 153   Ohio W 78-71 74%    
  Feb 25, 2020 137   Akron W 77-71 71%    
  Feb 29, 2020 159   @ Miami (OH) W 76-74 56%    
  Mar 03, 2020 110   @ Kent St. L 74-76 44%    
  Mar 06, 2020 104   Buffalo W 85-81 62%    
Projected Record 16 - 10 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 2.1 4.3 4.6 2.7 1.3 0.4 15.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 4.3 5.1 3.0 0.8 0.1 14.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 4.6 4.2 1.5 0.3 11.5 3rd
4th 0.4 4.1 3.7 1.8 0.0 10.0 4th
5th 0.3 2.5 4.5 2.2 0.1 9.6 5th
6th 0.1 2.1 6.0 2.3 0.1 10.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 3.4 2.4 0.3 7.1 7th
8th 0.7 2.4 2.8 0.3 6.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.9 1.9 0.4 0.1 4.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.6 2.1 0.7 0.0 4.9 10th
11th 0.2 0.3 1.0 1.3 0.4 0.1 3.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.9 12th
Total 0.1 0.7 0.5 2.2 3.7 5.2 6.1 9.0 11.8 12.2 11.6 10.8 8.7 7.6 5.4 2.8 1.3 0.4 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
17-1 100.0% 1.3    1.3
16-2 95.7% 2.7    2.5 0.2
15-3 85.7% 4.6    3.5 1.0 0.1
14-4 56.4% 4.3    1.7 2.3 0.2 0.0
13-5 23.8% 2.1    0.5 1.0 0.5 0.0
12-6 4.2% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1
11-7 1.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.1
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 15.9% 15.9 10.2 4.7 0.9 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.4% 85.2% 39.5% 45.7% 5.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 75.5%
17-1 1.3% 89.4% 59.6% 29.8% 7.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 73.8%
16-2 2.8% 62.4% 40.9% 21.5% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.7 1.1 36.4%
15-3 5.4% 54.1% 42.6% 11.5% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.2 0.1 2.5 20.0%
14-4 7.6% 31.5% 26.2% 5.4% 11.5 0.1 1.0 1.3 0.1 5.2 7.3%
13-5 8.7% 24.8% 23.2% 1.7% 12.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 0.5 0.1 6.5 2.2%
12-6 10.8% 17.6% 17.0% 0.6% 12.3 0.1 1.1 0.6 0.1 8.9 0.7%
11-7 11.6% 10.7% 10.7% 12.6 0.6 0.6 0.1 10.4
10-8 12.2% 9.2% 9.2% 12.8 0.4 0.6 0.1 11.1
9-9 11.8% 4.2% 4.2% 13.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 11.3
8-10 9.0% 0.9% 0.9% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 8.9
7-11 6.1% 3.3% 3.3% 13.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.9
6-12 5.2% 1.3% 1.3% 14.1 0.1 0.0 5.1
5-13 3.7% 3.7
4-14 2.2% 2.2
3-15 0.5% 0.5
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 15.8% 13.4% 2.4% 11.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 3.3 6.4 2.6 0.8 0.1 84.2 2.8%