Preseason Rankings
Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#251
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.8#245
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#275
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#195
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.0% 6.8% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.6 14.7
.500 or above 35.9% 58.7% 25.7%
.500 or above in Conference 36.6% 53.2% 29.2%
Conference Champion 3.6% 7.0% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 14.7% 7.2% 18.1%
First Four0.9% 0.9% 0.9%
First Round3.5% 6.3% 2.3%
Second Round0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Jose St. (Away) - 31.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 33 - 73 - 11
Quad 48 - 612 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2022 210   @ San Jose St. L 65-70 31%    
  Nov 10, 2022 127   @ Santa Clara L 68-78 18%    
  Nov 18, 2022 206   @ Rice L 69-74 32%    
  Nov 19, 2022 298   @ Houston Christian W 59-58 54%    
  Nov 20, 2022 262   Western Michigan W 67-66 55%    
  Nov 30, 2022 203   Florida Gulf Coast W 74-73 52%    
  Dec 10, 2022 181   Wofford L 65-66 48%    
  Dec 14, 2022 187   Morehead St. L 64-65 49%    
  Dec 17, 2022 256   Campbell W 65-61 62%    
  Dec 21, 2022 200   @ Ball St. L 70-76 32%    
  Dec 29, 2022 205   South Alabama W 67-66 52%    
  Dec 31, 2022 184   @ Coastal Carolina L 65-72 30%    
  Jan 05, 2023 159   Marshall L 75-76 46%    
  Jan 07, 2023 186   Old Dominion L 64-65 49%    
  Jan 12, 2023 183   @ Appalachian St. L 61-68 30%    
  Jan 14, 2023 162   @ James Madison L 69-76 28%    
  Jan 19, 2023 259   Louisiana Monroe W 72-68 63%    
  Jan 21, 2023 169   Georgia St. L 68-69 47%    
  Jan 26, 2023 168   @ Texas St. L 61-68 29%    
  Jan 28, 2023 158   @ Louisiana L 60-67 27%    
  Feb 02, 2023 169   @ Georgia St. L 65-72 29%    
  Feb 04, 2023 186   @ Old Dominion L 61-67 30%    
  Feb 09, 2023 162   James Madison L 72-73 46%    
  Feb 11, 2023 230   Arkansas St. W 70-68 56%    
  Feb 16, 2023 159   @ Marshall L 72-79 28%    
  Feb 18, 2023 299   @ Southern Miss W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 22, 2023 184   Coastal Carolina L 68-69 48%    
  Feb 24, 2023 183   Appalachian St. L 64-65 48%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 3.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 4.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 2.1 1.2 0.3 0.0 4.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 2.3 1.5 0.3 0.0 5.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.7 2.0 0.4 0.0 5.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.3 2.8 0.7 0.0 6.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.9 3.7 1.2 0.1 6.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.8 2.0 0.1 7.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 3.7 3.2 0.4 0.0 8.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 3.2 4.0 0.9 0.0 8.9 10th
11th 0.1 0.7 2.9 4.1 1.5 0.1 9.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.8 4.0 1.9 0.2 0.0 9.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.3 3.6 1.9 0.3 0.0 10.7 13th
14th 0.8 2.1 2.9 2.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 9.2 14th
Total 0.8 2.4 4.3 6.5 8.1 9.7 10.5 10.8 10.3 9.1 7.8 6.2 5.1 3.6 2.4 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.2 0.0
16-2 89.9% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
15-3 70.9% 1.1    0.7 0.4 0.0 0.0
14-4 43.4% 1.0    0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 13.9% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.6% 3.6 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 76.9% 47.0% 29.9% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 56.5%
17-1 0.3% 47.0% 29.1% 17.9% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 25.3%
16-2 0.6% 29.0% 25.9% 3.1% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 4.2%
15-3 1.5% 23.4% 22.0% 1.4% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1 1.8%
14-4 2.4% 18.2% 18.1% 0.1% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.9 0.1%
13-5 3.6% 13.7% 13.6% 0.1% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.1 0.1%
12-6 5.1% 9.5% 9.5% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.6
11-7 6.2% 7.6% 7.6% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 5.7
10-8 7.8% 5.3% 5.3% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 7.4
9-9 9.1% 3.1% 3.1% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 8.8
8-10 10.3% 2.3% 2.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 10.0
7-11 10.8% 1.8% 1.8% 15.9 0.0 0.2 10.6
6-12 10.5% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2 10.3
5-13 9.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 9.6
4-14 8.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 8.1
3-15 6.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.5
2-16 4.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.3
1-17 2.4% 2.4
0-18 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 4.0% 3.9% 0.1% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.1 96.0 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 85.7% 4.7 42.9 28.6 14.3
Lose Out 0.2%