California Baptist
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.4#161
Expected Predictive Rating+0.6#166
Pace62.7#327
Improvement+0.3#19

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#215
First Shot-1.8#233
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#171
Layup/Dunks-1.9#242
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#315
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#60
Freethrows-1.2#249
Improvement+0.1#107

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#121
First Shot-0.5#187
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#51
Layups/Dunks-1.1#227
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#354
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#143
Freethrows+3.4#26
Improvement+0.2#21
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.8% 5.6% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.0 14.6
.500 or above 76.4% 84.2% 63.5%
.500 or above in Conference 61.2% 65.7% 53.7%
Conference Champion 3.4% 4.0% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 2.4% 1.8% 3.4%
First Four0.5% 0.5% 0.6%
First Round4.6% 5.4% 3.2%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal Poly (Away) - 62.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 22 - 3
Quad 34 - 76 - 10
Quad 411 - 317 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 164   Long Beach St. L 64-79 62%     0 - 1 -17.8 -8.8 -9.0
  Nov 11, 2022 318   NJIT W 59-43 88%     1 - 1 +3.4 -3.8 +11.3
  Nov 15, 2022 298   Cal St. Northridge W 62-55 85%     2 - 1 -3.6 -11.4 +8.3
  Nov 17, 2022 97   @ Washington W 73-64 23%     3 - 1 +17.1 +8.6 +8.8
  Nov 21, 2022 165   Minnesota L 61-62 OT 51%     3 - 2 -0.8 -7.8 +7.0
  Nov 23, 2022 117   Southern Illinois L 61-64 OT 37%     3 - 3 +0.7 -2.4 +2.9
  Nov 26, 2022 243   Central Michigan W 77-61 76%     4 - 3 +8.9 +3.4 +5.9
  Nov 30, 2022 158   UC Riverside W 65-60 61%     5 - 3 +2.6 -4.5 +7.4
  Dec 03, 2022 283   @ Cal Poly W 62-59 62%    
  Dec 07, 2022 260   Weber St. W 70-62 77%    
  Dec 10, 2022 180   @ San Diego L 64-66 43%    
  Dec 22, 2022 189   Portland St. W 72-68 66%    
  Dec 29, 2022 129   @ Grand Canyon L 57-62 31%    
  Dec 31, 2022 113   @ Seattle L 65-71 27%    
  Jan 05, 2023 220   Utah Tech W 66-59 73%    
  Jan 07, 2023 102   @ New Mexico St. L 66-73 26%    
  Jan 11, 2023 182   Utah Valley W 65-61 64%    
  Jan 14, 2023 129   Grand Canyon W 60-59 52%    
  Jan 21, 2023 134   Tarleton St. W 66-65 53%    
  Jan 25, 2023 292   @ Texas Arlington W 62-58 65%    
  Jan 28, 2023 310   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 74-68 71%    
  Feb 01, 2023 179   Southern Utah W 74-70 64%    
  Feb 04, 2023 238   Abilene Christian W 70-63 74%    
  Feb 08, 2023 182   @ Utah Valley L 62-64 44%    
  Feb 11, 2023 102   New Mexico St. L 69-70 46%    
  Feb 15, 2023 113   Seattle L 67-68 48%    
  Feb 23, 2023 59   @ Sam Houston St. L 54-65 16%    
  Feb 26, 2023 193   @ Stephen F. Austin L 67-68 45%    
  Mar 01, 2023 310   UT Rio Grande Valley W 77-65 86%    
  Mar 03, 2023 179   @ Southern Utah L 71-73 42%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.8 1.9 0.5 0.1 7.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.2 2.2 0.4 0.0 9.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.4 4.8 2.9 0.5 0.0 10.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 5.7 3.6 0.5 0.0 11.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 5.3 4.4 0.8 0.0 11.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.3 5.0 1.2 0.0 11.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.3 5.1 1.7 0.1 10.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.4 1.9 0.2 8.9 9th
10th 0.2 1.3 2.9 1.8 0.2 0.0 6.4 10th
11th 0.1 0.8 2.0 1.5 0.3 4.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.4 4.4 7.1 10.7 12.9 14.2 14.1 11.8 9.3 6.0 3.4 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 86.7% 0.5    0.4 0.1
15-3 64.5% 1.0    0.5 0.5 0.1
14-4 31.8% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 9.5% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
12-6 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.4% 3.4 1.5 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 41.4% 41.4% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.6% 22.1% 22.1% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4
15-3 1.6% 17.9% 17.6% 0.3% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.3 0.4%
14-4 3.4% 12.2% 12.2% 13.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 3.0
13-5 6.0% 10.6% 10.6% 13.4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 5.4
12-6 9.3% 7.9% 7.9% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 8.6
11-7 11.8% 5.9% 5.9% 14.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 11.1
10-8 14.1% 4.5% 4.5% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 13.5
9-9 14.2% 3.5% 3.5% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 13.7
8-10 12.9% 2.8% 2.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 12.5
7-11 10.7% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2 10.5
6-12 7.1% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 7.0
5-13 4.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.3
4-14 2.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.4
3-15 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 1.0
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.5 1.1 0.8 95.2 0.0%