Washington
Pac-12
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.1#97
Expected Predictive Rating+5.8#98
Pace73.1#79
Improvement+0.1#84

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#152
First Shot+0.1#169
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#139
Layup/Dunks-0.9#208
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#207
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#244
Freethrows+3.9#23
Improvement+0.0#163

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#59
First Shot+2.9#89
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#90
Layups/Dunks+1.0#157
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#233
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#155
Freethrows+1.5#107
Improvement+0.1#95
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.7% 9.9% 4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4.8% 7.7% 2.6%
Average Seed 10.8 10.4 11.6
.500 or above 50.9% 66.0% 38.8%
.500 or above in Conference 21.1% 32.0% 12.4%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.3% 2.8% 9.1%
First Four2.1% 2.9% 1.5%
First Round5.7% 8.4% 3.5%
Second Round1.8% 3.0% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colorado (Home) - 44.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 32 - 8
Quad 23 - 45 - 12
Quad 33 - 28 - 14
Quad 47 - 116 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 260   Weber St. W 69-52 88%     1 - 0 +9.1 -5.3 +15.2
  Nov 11, 2022 250   North Florida W 75-67 87%     2 - 0 +0.7 -5.0 +5.5
  Nov 14, 2022 220   Utah Tech W 78-67 85%     3 - 0 +4.8 +13.0 -7.2
  Nov 17, 2022 161   California Baptist L 64-73 77%     3 - 1 -11.6 -6.2 -5.7
  Nov 23, 2022 155   Fresno St. W 62-57 66%     4 - 1 +5.8 -6.7 +12.5
  Nov 24, 2022 32   St. Mary's W 68-64 OT 24%     5 - 1 +16.4 +0.7 +15.5
  Nov 28, 2022 113   Seattle W 77-66 66%     6 - 1 +11.8 +1.4 +10.0
  Dec 01, 2022 209   @ Oregon St. L 65-66 67%     6 - 2 0 - 1 -0.4 -6.5 +6.0
  Dec 04, 2022 50   Colorado L 71-73 44%    
  Dec 09, 2022 9   @ Gonzaga L 72-87 8%    
  Dec 13, 2022 283   Cal Poly W 72-58 90%    
  Dec 17, 2022 296   Idaho St. W 75-59 93%    
  Dec 21, 2022 29   Auburn L 66-71 33%    
  Dec 30, 2022 71   USC W 70-69 51%    
  Jan 01, 2023 7   UCLA L 68-78 18%    
  Jan 05, 2023 16   @ Arizona L 76-90 10%    
  Jan 08, 2023 35   @ Arizona St. L 62-71 21%    
  Jan 12, 2023 81   Stanford W 68-66 56%    
  Jan 14, 2023 232   California W 69-57 86%    
  Jan 19, 2023 50   @ Colorado L 68-76 25%    
  Jan 21, 2023 47   @ Utah L 64-72 24%    
  Jan 26, 2023 35   Arizona St. L 65-68 40%    
  Jan 28, 2023 16   Arizona L 79-87 23%    
  Feb 02, 2023 7   @ UCLA L 65-81 8%    
  Feb 04, 2023 71   @ USC L 67-73 31%    
  Feb 11, 2023 60   @ Washington St. L 66-73 28%    
  Feb 15, 2023 42   Oregon L 71-73 42%    
  Feb 18, 2023 209   Oregon St. W 73-62 82%    
  Feb 23, 2023 232   @ California W 66-60 70%    
  Feb 26, 2023 81   @ Stanford L 65-69 35%    
  Mar 02, 2023 60   Washington St. L 69-70 47%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 7 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.8 0.4 0.1 3.7 4th
5th 0.2 1.8 2.7 0.8 0.1 5.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 3.7 1.8 0.2 7.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.0 2.6 0.4 10.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.1 6.3 3.9 0.5 0.0 14.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 4.7 7.4 4.5 0.7 0.0 18.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 3.0 6.6 7.9 3.8 0.7 0.0 22.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.7 2.9 1.1 0.1 10.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.4 3.8 7.4 10.8 14.2 14.9 14.3 11.8 8.8 6.2 3.6 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 56.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 32.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 8.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.3% 88.0% 4.0% 84.0% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 87.5%
14-6 0.7% 82.6% 4.7% 77.9% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 81.7%
13-7 1.4% 63.6% 5.7% 57.9% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.5 61.4%
12-8 3.6% 43.3% 5.3% 38.0% 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.0 40.1%
11-9 6.2% 21.6% 4.0% 17.6% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.8 18.3%
10-10 8.8% 9.0% 3.3% 5.7% 11.4 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 8.0 5.9%
9-11 11.8% 3.2% 2.2% 0.9% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.5 1.0%
8-12 14.3% 1.8% 1.8% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 14.0
7-13 14.9% 2.0% 2.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 14.6
6-14 14.2% 1.3% 1.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 14.0
5-15 10.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 10.7
4-16 7.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.4
3-17 3.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.8
2-18 1.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.4
1-19 0.4% 0.4
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.7% 2.0% 4.8% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.4 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 93.3 4.8%