George Mason
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.7#158
Expected Predictive Rating-0.7#189
Pace64.0#297
Improvement-0.2#233

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#144
First Shot-1.2#211
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#50
Layup/Dunks-1.2#221
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#236
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#86
Freethrows-1.9#294
Improvement+0.0#163

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#192
First Shot+3.1#78
After Offensive Rebounds-3.5#340
Layups/Dunks+4.1#52
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#347
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#159
Freethrows+1.5#99
Improvement-0.2#263
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 2.9% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 13.9 14.7
.500 or above 45.1% 58.3% 33.8%
.500 or above in Conference 44.0% 50.2% 38.7%
Conference Champion 1.7% 2.4% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 7.6% 5.6% 9.3%
First Four0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
First Round2.1% 2.7% 1.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Toledo (Home) - 46.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 35 - 77 - 14
Quad 48 - 215 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 29   @ Auburn L 52-70 9%     0 - 1 -2.1 -8.6 +6.6
  Nov 11, 2022 184   Longwood W 83-69 66%     1 - 1 +10.3 +9.1 +1.4
  Nov 13, 2022 235   American W 73-56 76%     2 - 1 +10.2 +4.3 +7.8
  Nov 18, 2022 151   Boston College L 56-71 48%     2 - 2 -13.8 -11.7 -2.4
  Nov 19, 2022 140   Belmont L 62-66 45%     2 - 3 -2.0 -6.5 +4.2
  Nov 21, 2022 190   Buffalo L 74-82 57%     2 - 4 -9.1 +0.8 -9.8
  Nov 26, 2022 243   Queens W 72-65 77%     3 - 4 -0.1 +5.9 -4.8
  Nov 30, 2022 131   Hofstra W 81-77 OT 54%     4 - 4 +3.6 -1.2 +4.5
  Dec 03, 2022 102   Toledo L 77-78 46%    
  Dec 06, 2022 351   Maryland Eastern Shore W 74-56 95%    
  Dec 17, 2022 107   Tulane L 68-72 37%    
  Dec 21, 2022 147   @ Old Dominion L 63-67 37%    
  Dec 23, 2022 313   Coppin St. W 81-68 88%    
  Dec 31, 2022 100   Richmond L 64-65 46%    
  Jan 04, 2023 108   @ St. Bonaventure L 62-69 27%    
  Jan 07, 2023 171   Loyola Chicago W 66-62 63%    
  Jan 11, 2023 46   @ Saint Louis L 66-78 13%    
  Jan 14, 2023 116   Davidson L 68-69 50%    
  Jan 16, 2023 194   George Washington W 74-69 68%    
  Jan 21, 2023 180   @ Rhode Island L 64-66 44%    
  Jan 25, 2023 85   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 60-69 22%    
  Jan 29, 2023 193   Saint Joseph's W 72-67 67%    
  Feb 01, 2023 99   Massachusetts L 69-70 45%    
  Feb 04, 2023 171   @ Loyola Chicago L 63-65 43%    
  Feb 08, 2023 130   @ Duquesne L 68-73 33%    
  Feb 11, 2023 180   Rhode Island W 67-63 64%    
  Feb 15, 2023 194   @ George Washington L 71-72 47%    
  Feb 18, 2023 220   La Salle W 69-62 73%    
  Feb 25, 2023 74   @ Dayton L 55-65 19%    
  Mar 01, 2023 177   Fordham W 68-64 64%    
  Mar 04, 2023 100   @ Richmond L 61-68 25%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.2 1.1 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.2 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.4 2.4 0.9 0.1 5.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 3.1 1.6 0.2 0.0 6.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.5 2.7 0.3 0.0 7.1 5th
6th 0.2 2.7 4.3 1.0 0.0 8.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 5.2 2.1 0.1 8.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 4.0 3.8 0.4 0.0 8.5 8th
9th 0.1 2.2 5.6 1.3 0.0 9.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 4.9 2.8 0.1 8.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 3.3 4.6 0.6 0.0 8.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.9 4.4 1.6 0.0 8.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.2 2.2 0.3 7.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.5 1.9 0.3 0.0 5.8 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.9 15th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.4 5.2 7.6 11.2 14.0 14.5 13.7 11.5 8.5 5.6 2.9 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 91.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 76.6% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 45.5% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 18.2% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
12-6 2.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 32.1% 19.2% 12.8% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 15.9%
15-3 0.5% 16.5% 13.9% 2.6% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 3.0%
14-4 1.2% 8.7% 8.7% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1
13-5 2.9% 7.8% 7.8% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.7
12-6 5.6% 5.7% 5.7% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.3
11-7 8.5% 3.3% 3.3% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.2
10-8 11.5% 2.9% 2.9% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 11.2
9-9 13.7% 2.4% 2.4% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 13.4
8-10 14.5% 1.6% 1.6% 15.7 0.1 0.2 14.3
7-11 14.0% 1.5% 1.5% 15.9 0.0 0.2 13.7
6-12 11.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 11.1
5-13 7.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 7.6
4-14 5.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.1
3-15 2.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.4
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.6 97.7 0.0%