East Carolina
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#207
Expected Predictive Rating-1.3#203
Pace69.6#154
Improvement-0.4#299

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#183
First Shot-0.7#195
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#146
Layup/Dunks-2.5#271
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#334
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#110
Freethrows+2.5#45
Improvement-0.2#271

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#225
First Shot-2.9#269
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#97
Layups/Dunks-6.6#344
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#34
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#120
Freethrows-0.4#204
Improvement-0.2#262
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.2 15.6
.500 or above 20.8% 27.7% 10.8%
.500 or above in Conference 9.9% 11.8% 7.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 36.2% 32.7% 41.4%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Campbell (Home) - 59.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 51 - 8
Quad 34 - 75 - 15
Quad 48 - 313 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2022 200   Mercer W 77-75 61%     1 - 0 -2.7 +3.7 -6.3
  Nov 12, 2022 322   Presbyterian W 77-57 85%     2 - 0 +6.7 -0.4 +7.2
  Nov 16, 2022 334   Hampton W 82-73 88%     3 - 0 -5.9 -5.7 -0.9
  Nov 21, 2022 133   Indiana St. L 75-79 33%     3 - 1 -1.4 -5.0 +4.0
  Nov 22, 2022 102   Toledo W 86-75 26%     4 - 1 +15.7 +10.3 +5.3
  Nov 23, 2022 291   Texas Arlington W 79-65 69%     5 - 1 +7.0 +13.7 -5.4
  Nov 26, 2022 147   @ Old Dominion L 50-71 27%     5 - 2 -16.6 -18.2 +0.9
  Nov 29, 2022 347   South Carolina St. L 68-73 90%     5 - 3 -21.2 -12.0 -9.3
  Dec 02, 2022 195   Campbell W 69-66 60%    
  Dec 06, 2022 138   @ UNC Wilmington L 64-71 25%    
  Dec 11, 2022 313   Coppin St. W 83-73 82%    
  Dec 17, 2022 232   South Carolina W 69-67 56%    
  Dec 21, 2022 201   High Point W 76-73 60%    
  Dec 28, 2022 96   Temple L 68-72 35%    
  Dec 31, 2022 95   @ Wichita St. L 61-71 18%    
  Jan 04, 2023 75   Central Florida L 62-68 29%    
  Jan 07, 2023 30   @ Memphis L 63-81 5%    
  Jan 11, 2023 89   @ Cincinnati L 68-79 16%    
  Jan 15, 2023 187   South Florida W 67-65 57%    
  Jan 18, 2023 96   @ Temple L 65-75 18%    
  Jan 24, 2023 169   Tulsa W 76-75 54%    
  Jan 29, 2023 95   Wichita St. L 64-68 35%    
  Feb 01, 2023 187   @ South Florida L 64-68 36%    
  Feb 04, 2023 155   SMU W 70-69 51%    
  Feb 11, 2023 107   @ Tulane L 69-78 21%    
  Feb 15, 2023 89   Cincinnati L 71-76 33%    
  Feb 19, 2023 155   @ SMU L 67-73 30%    
  Feb 21, 2023 169   @ Tulsa L 73-78 33%    
  Feb 25, 2023 1   Houston L 54-74 3%    
  Mar 01, 2023 107   Tulane L 72-75 38%    
  Mar 05, 2023 75   @ Central Florida L 59-71 14%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.8 3rd
4th 0.2 1.0 1.4 0.5 0.1 3.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 2.2 0.8 0.1 4.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 3.5 1.3 0.1 6.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 5.0 2.2 0.2 9.2 7th
8th 0.1 2.0 6.4 3.8 0.4 0.0 12.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.7 7.2 5.2 0.6 16.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 4.2 8.5 5.8 1.0 0.0 20.4 10th
11th 0.9 3.7 6.9 7.8 4.4 0.9 0.0 24.6 11th
Total 0.9 3.7 7.7 12.4 15.7 16.0 14.5 11.4 7.8 4.8 2.9 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0%
15-3 50.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 11.4% 0.0    0.0
13-5 1.1% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 0.1
13-5 0.2% 2.2% 2.2% 12.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.7% 1.2% 1.2% 13.0 0.0 0.7
11-7 1.3% 0.6% 0.6% 14.0 0.0 0.0 1.3
10-8 2.9% 0.3% 0.3% 14.5 0.0 0.0 2.9
9-9 4.8% 0.3% 0.3% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.8
8-10 7.8% 0.4% 0.4% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.8
7-11 11.4% 0.4% 0.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 11.3
6-12 14.5% 0.2% 0.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 14.4
5-13 16.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.0
4-14 15.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.7
3-15 12.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.4
2-16 7.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.7
1-17 3.7% 3.7
0-18 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.8 0.0%